List of election bellwether counties in the United States
Significant bellwethers
Significant American bellwether counties include:
- Valencia County, New Mexico – perfect since 1952 (longest current perfect streak)
- Vigo County, Indiana (county seat: Terre Haute) – 2 misses (1908, 1952) from 1888 on, perfect since 1956.[1][2] From 1960 to 2004, Vigo County had been within 3 percent of the national presidential vote every election.[3] In 2008, Vigo County again voted with the winner, but Obama's percentage of 57.3% was about 4.4% above Obama's national vote.[4] In 2012, Vigo kept its streak going, voting for President Obama, 49.5% to Romney's 48.6%.[5] Vigo County continued the trend in 2016, with election winner Donald Trump winning the county 55.1% to Hillary Clinton's 40%; as in 2008, the final percentages were more than 3 percent different from the national popular vote, which Clinton won 48.2% to Trump's 46.1% (The President of the United States is not elected directly by popular vote, but indirectly by the Electoral College). Vigo County is particularly important because it is in Indiana which declares early in the evening, meaning it can be one of the first signs of a winner.
- Westmoreland County, Virginia (county seat: Montross) – two misses since 1928 (in 1948 and 1960), perfect since 1964.
- Ottawa County, Ohio (county seat: Port Clinton) – one miss since 1948 (in 1960), perfect since 1964.[6][7][8]
- Wood County, Ohio (county seat: Bowling Green) – one miss since 1964 (in 1976), perfect since 1980.[6][9]
- Kent County, Delaware – two misses since 1928 (in 1948 and in 1992).
- Coös County, New Hampshire (county seat: Lancaster) – two misses since 1892 (in 1968 and 2004)
- Essex County, Vermont – one miss since 1964 (in 1976), perfect since 1980.
- Sawyer County, Wisconsin – one miss since 1952 (in 1960), perfect since 1964.
- Sargent County, North Dakota (county seat: Forman) – one miss since 1948 (in 1988)[10]
- Blaine County, Montana (county seat: Chinook) – one miss since 1916 (in 1988)[11][12]
- Clallam County, Washington – two misses (1968, 1976) since 1920.
- Stanislaus County, California (county seat Modesto) – one miss since 1972 (in 2016).
- Ventura County, California – two misses since 1920 (in 1976 and 2016).[13]
- Merced County, California (county seat Merced) – one miss since 1972 (in 2016).
- Hidalgo County, New Mexico (county seat: Lordsburg) – one miss since 1928 (in 1968), perfect since 1972.[6]
- Bexar County, Texas (county seat: San Antonio) – two misses since 1932 (in 1968 and 2016).[6][14][15]
- Val Verde County, Texas – two misses since 1924 (in 1968 and 2016)
- Hillsborough County, Florida (county seat: Tampa) – two misses since 1928 (in 1992 and 2016). Although its history as a bellwether is shorter than others, the fact that the county is in a swing state and recent demographic changes strengthen its importance.[16][17]
- Calhoun County, South Carolina – one miss since 1972 (in 1980), perfect since 1984.
- Colleton County, South Carolina – one miss since 1968 (in 1980), perfect since 1984.
- Washington County, Maine – one miss since 1972 (in 1976), perfect since 1980.
Other bellwethers
Ohio
- Lake County, Ohio – two misses since 1952 (in 1992 and 2012).
- Stark County, Ohio – two misses since 1964 (in 1976 and 2004).
- Sandusky County, Ohio – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976 and 1992).
- Tuscarawas County, Ohio – three misses since 1912 (in 1960, 1968, and 2012).
Florida
- Osceola County, Florida – three misses since 1980 (in 1992, 2000, and 2016).
- Pinellas County, Florida – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2000).
- Flagler County, Florida – two misses since 1972 (in 2000 and 2012).
Missouri
- Iron County, Missouri – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 1988, and 2012).
- Jefferson County, Missouri – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 2000, and 2012).
- Washington County, Missouri – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2000, and 2012).
New Mexico
- Colfax County, New Mexico – three misses since 1912 (in 1968, 1988, and 2000).
- Sandoval County, New Mexico – three misses since 1916 (in 1944, 1968, and 2016).
- Luna County, New Mexico – three misses since 1912 (in 1920, 1976, and 2012).
- Eddy County, New Mexico – two misses since 1960 (in 2008 and 2012).
Tennessee
- Montgomery County, Tennessee – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Maury County, Tennessee – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Campbell County, Tennessee – three misses since 1964 (in 2000, 2008, and 2012).
- Carroll County, Tennessee – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Weakley County, Tennessee – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Obion County, Tennessee – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- McNairy County, Tennessee – two misses since 1968 (in 2008 and 2012).
- Anderson County, Tennessee – three misses since 1936 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Coffee County, Tennessee – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Polk County, Tennessee – three misses since 1964 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Putnam County, Tennessee – three misses since 1960 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Sequatchie County, Tennessee – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Bledsoe County, Tennessee – two misses since 1968 (in 2008 and 2012).
- Morgan County, Tennessee – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Fayette County, Tennessee – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Cheatham County, Tennessee – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Roane County, Tennessee – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Lawrence County, Tennessee – three misses since 1920 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Dyer County, Tennessee – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Fentress County, Tennessee – two misses since 1968 (in 2008 and 2012).
- Meigs County, Tennessee – two misses since 1968 (in 2008 and 2012).
- Moore County, Tennessee – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Claiborne County, Tennessee – three misses since 1968 (in 1996, 2008, and 2012).
- Hardin County, Tennessee – three misses since 1968 (in 1996, 2008, and 2012).
Illinois
- Jo Daviess County, Illinois – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 1992).
- Henry County, Illinois – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1988, and 2000).
- DeKalb County, Illinois – two misses since 1968 (in 1976 and 2016).
- Winnebago County, Illinois – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2016).
- Warren County, Illinois – one miss since 1968 (in 1976).
- Will County, Illinois – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2016).
- Bureau County, Illinois – two misses since 1968 (in 1976 and 2012).
- Cass County, Illinois – three misses since 1912 (in 1960, 1988, and 2012).
- Coles County, Illinois – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2012).
- Macoupin County, Illinois – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2000, and 2012).
- McDonough County, Illinois – two misses since 1968 (in 1976 and 2012).
- Montgomery County, Illinois – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2000, and 2012).
- Jersey County, Illinois – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Randolph County, Illinois – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
Arizona
- Gila County, Arizona – three misses since 1956 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Pinal County, Arizona – three misses since 1916 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Navajo County, Arizona – two misses since 1968 (in 2008 and 2012).
California
- Del Norte County, California – three misses since 1952 (in 1996, 2008, and 2012).
- Trinity County, California – three misses since 1972 (in 1992, 1996, and 2012).
- Butte County, California – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1996, and 2012).
- Riverside County, California – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1996, and 2016).
- San Luis Obispo County, California – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1996, and 2016).
- Fresno County, California – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 1996, and 2016).
- San Bernardino County, California – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2016).
- San Diego County, California – three misses since 1968 (in 1976, 1996, and 2016).
- San Joaquin County, California – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2016).
Wyoming
- Albany County, Wyoming – three misses since 1896 (in 1960, 1976, and 2012).
- Teton County, Wyoming – three misses since 1968 (in 1976, 2004, and 2016).
- Sweetwater County, Wyoming – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
Utah
- Grand County, Utah – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1996, and 2012).
- Carbon County, Utah three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
Montana
- Lake County, Montana – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1996, and 2012).
- Cascade County, Montana – three misses since 1972 (1976, 1988, and 2012).
- Rosebud County, Montana – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1988, and 2012).
- Hill County, Montana – three misses since 1912 (in 1924, 1968, and 1988).
- Sheridan County, Montana – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Dawson County, Montana – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
New Hampshire
- Rockingham County, New Hampshire – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1992, and 2012).
- Hillsborough County, New Hampshire – three misses since 1956 (in 1968, 1976, and 1992).
- Sullivan County, New Hampshire – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2004).
Colorado
- Conejos County, Colorado – three misses since 1932 (in 1968, 1988, and 2004).
- Chaffee County, Colorado – two misses since 1912 (in 1960 and 1976)
- Mineral County, Colorado – three misses since 1972 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
Idaho
- Latah County, Idaho – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1988, and 2016).
- Nez Perce County, Idaho – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
North Dakota
- Divide County, North Dakota – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Mountrail County, North Dakota – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 1988, and 2012).
- Towner County, North Dakota – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1988, and 2012).
New Jersey
- Gloucester County, New Jersey – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 2000, and 2004).
- Salem County, New Jersey – three misses since 1936 (in 1960, 1992, and 2000).
Virginia
- Buckingham County, Virginia – two misses since 1972 (in 1980 and 1992).
- Nelson County, Virginia – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 1980, and 2004).
- Essex County, Virginia – two misses since 1972 (in 1976 and 1992).
- Montgomery County, Virginia – three misses since 1968 (in 1976, 2012, and 2016).
- King and Queen County, Virginia – three misses since 1928 (in 1968, 1980, and 2012).
- Alleghany County, Virginia – three misses since 1912 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Tazewell County, Virginia – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Giles County, Virginia – three misses since 1928 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
Kentucky
- Franklin County, Kentucky – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2000, and 2008).
- Rowan County, Kentucky – three misses since 1964 (in 1980, 2004, and 2012).
- Hancock County, Kentucky – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 1980, and 2012).
- Powell County, Kentucky – three misses since 1964 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Montgomery County, Kentucky – three misses since 1960 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Nicholas County, Kentucky – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Lawrence County, Kentucky – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Bourbon County, Kentucky – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Nelson County, Kentucky – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Simpson County, Kentucky – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Hopkins County, Kentucky – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Calloway County, Kentucky – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Harrison County, Kentucky – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Meade County, Kentucky – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Bell County, Kentucky – three misses since 1964 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Ohio County, Kentucky – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Clark County, Kentucky – three misses since 1964 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Trigg County, Kentucky – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Logan County, Kentucky – three misses since 1960 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Caldwell County, Kentucky – three misses since 1964 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Carter County, Kentucky – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2004, and 2012).
- Fayette County, Kentucky – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1992, and 2016).
- Hart County, Kentucky – three misses since 1964 (in 1996, 2008, and 2012).
- Fleming County, Kentucky – three misses since 1964 (in 1996, 2008, and 2012).
Washington
- Skamania County, Washington – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 1988, and 2012).
- Kittitas County, Washington – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Klickitat County, Washington – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 1988, and 2012).
- Pend Oreille County, Washington – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Okanogan County, Washington – three misses since 1904 (in 1996, 2008, and 2012).
- Ferry County, Washington – three misses since 1960 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Wahkiakum County, Washington – three misses since 1972 (in 1984, 1988, and 2012).
- Asotin County, Washington – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Clark County, Washington – three misses since 1960, (in 1968, 1988, and 2016).
- Whitman County, Washington – three misses since 1968 (in 1976, 2012, and 2016).
- Island County, Washington – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1996, and 2016).
- Skagit County, Washington – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 1976, and 2016).
Texas
- Kleberg County, Texas – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 1988, and 2016).
- Reeves County, Texas – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2000, and 2016).
- Brewster County, Texas – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 1976, and 2012).
- Hudspeth County, Texas – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Bee County, Texas – three misses since 1928 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
Minnesota
- Stevens County, Minnesota – three misses since 1964 (in 1972, 1988, and 2012).
- Chippewa County, Minnesota – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 1988, and 2004).
- Watonwan County, Minnesota – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 1976, and 2012).
- Houston County, Minnesota – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 1992).
- Traverse County, Minnesota – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 1972, and 1988).
- Kittson County, Minnesota – two misses since 1972 (in 1988 and 2004).
- Nicollet County, Minnesota – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 1976, and 2004).
- Clay County, Minnesota – three misses since 1928 (in 1960, 1968, and 1988).
- Blue Earth County, Minnesota – two misses since 1964 (in 1988 and 2004).
- Winona County, Minnesota – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 2000, and 2004).
- Pope County, Minnesota – two misses since 1976 (in 1988 and 2012).
- Grant County, Minnesota – two misses since 1976 (in 1988 and 2012).
- Yellow Medicine County, Minnesota – two misses since 1972 (in 1988 and 2012).
- Lincoln County, Minnesota – three misses since 1976 (in 1988, 2000, and 2012).
- Pennington County, Minnesota – two misses since 1972 (in 1988 and 2012).
- Le Sueur County, Minnesota – three misses since 1948 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Murray County, Minnesota – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 1988, and 2012).
- Benton County, Minnesota – three misses since 1948 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
Arkansas
- Washington County, Arkansas – three misses since 1928 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Columbia County, Arkansas – two misses since 1972 (in 2008 and 2012).
- Arkansas County, Arkansas – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Faulkner County, Arkansas – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Union County, Arkansas – two misses since 1972 (in 2008 and 2012).
- Garland County, Arkansas – three misses since 1932 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Craighead County, Arkansas – three misses since 1972 (in 2000, 2008, and 2012).
- Johnson County, Arkansas – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Howard County, Arkansas – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Calhoun County, Arkansas – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Saline County, Arkansas – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Perry County, Arkansas – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Miller County, Arkansas – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
North Dakota
- Steele County, North Dakota – two misses since 1972 (in 1988 and 2004).
- Ransom County, North Dakota – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 1988).
- Benson County, North Dakota – two misses since 1972 (in 1988 and 2004).
- Eddy County, North Dakota – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1992, and 2012).
- Nelson County, North Dakota – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 1992, and 2012).
Kansas
- Crawford County, Kansas – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 1988, and 2012).
- Atchison County, Kansas – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
Pennsylvania
- Luzerne County, Pennsylvania – three misses since 1952 (in 1968, 2000, and 2004).
- Carbon County, Pennsylvania – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 2000, and 2012).
- Elk County, Pennsylvania – three misses since 1932 (in 1940, 1968, and 2012).
- Warren County, Pennsylvania – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Clinton County, Pennsylvania – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
Indiana
- Spencer County, Indiana – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 2012).
- Starke County, Indiana – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 2012).
- Vanderburgh County, Indiana – three misses since 1896 (in 1960, 1976, and 2012).
- Madison County, Indiana – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1992, and 2012).
- Porter County, Indiana – two misses since 1968 (in 1976 and 1992).
- Vermillion County, Indiana – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2000, and 2012).
- Delaware County, Indiana – three misses since 1936 (in 1960, 1976, and 1992).
- St. Joseph County, Indiana – three misses since 1972 (in 1976, 2000, and 2016).
- Perry County, Indiana – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 1988, and 2000).
- LaPorte County, Indiana – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2000, and 2004).
- Monroe County, Indiana – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2004, and 2016).
- Blackford County, Indiana – three misses since 1964 (in 1992, 2008, and 2012).
- Sullivan County, Indiana – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Crawford County, Indiana – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Jefferson County, Indiana – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Knox County, Indiana – three misses since 1928 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Clark County, Indiana – three misses since 1956 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Posey County, Indiana – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Switzerland County, Indiana – three misses in 1960 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Pike County, Indiana three misses in 1964 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Floyd County, Indiana – three misses since 1928 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Gibson County, Indiana – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Warrick County, Indiana – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
Wisconsin
- Sauk County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2000, and 2004).
- Price County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1928 (in 1960, 1988, and 2004).
- Chippewa County, Wisconsin – two misses since 1948 (in 1988 and 2012).
- Marquette County, Wisconsin – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 1976).
- Lincoln County, Wisconsin – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 1988).
- Winnebago County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 1992).
- Racine County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1896 (in 1916, 1976, and 1988).
- Forest County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1928 (in 1968, 1980, and 1988).
- Juneau County, Wisconsin – one miss since 1952 (in 1960), perfect since 1964.
- Door County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 1992).
- Columbia County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2000).
- Grant County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2000, and 2004).
- Crawford County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2000, and 2004).
- Richland County, Wisconsin – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 1976).
- Lafayette County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2000, and 2004).
- Brown County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1948 (in 1976, 1992, and 2012).
- Jackson County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2000, and 2004).
- Outagamie County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1992, and 2012).
- Trempealeau County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2000, and 2004).
- Jefferson County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1992, and 2012).
- Wood County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1992, and 2012).
- Oneida County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1928 (in 1960, 1976, and 2012).
- Barron County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 1988, and 2012).
- Manitowoc County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1948 (in 1968, 1988, and 2012).
- Washburn County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 1988, and 2012).
- Monroe County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2012).
- Marathon County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 1988, and 2012).
- Kewaunee County, Wisconsin – two misses since 1952 (in 1988 and 2012).
- Clark County, Wisconsin – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1988, and 2012).
- Rusk County, Wisconsin – two misses since 1928 (in 1988 and 2012).
- Oconto County, Wisconsin – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 2012).
New York
- Chautauqua County, New York – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2012).
- Madison County, New York – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 1992).
- Washington County, New York – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 1992).
- Warren County, New York – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 1992).
- Saratoga County, New York – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 1992).
- Otsego County, New York – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 1976).
- Orange County, New York – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 1992).
- Oswego County, New York – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 1992).
- Rockland County, New York – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2000, and 2016).
- Dutchess County, New York – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1992, and 2016).
- Cortland County, New York – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 1976).
- Seneca County, New York – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2000).
- Sullivan County, New York – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 2000).
- Cayuga County, New York – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2000).
- Rensselaer County, New York – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2000 and 2004).
- St. Lawrence County, New York – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2000 and 2004).
- Essex County, New York – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 1992).
- Franklin County, New York – three misses since 1952 (in 1976, 2000 and 2004).
Vermont
- Caledonia County, Vermont – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2004, and 2016).
- Orange County, Vermont – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2004, and 2016).
- Orleans County, Vermont – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2004, and 2016).
Maine
- Somerset County, Maine – three misses since 1972 (in 1992, 2000, and 2004).
- Aroostook County, Maine – three misses since 1972 (in 1976, 2000, and 2004).
- Oxford County, Maine – three misses since 1972 (in 1976, 2000, and 2004).
- Penobscot County, Maine – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 1976, and 2004).
- Franklin County, Maine – three misses since 1972 (in 1976, 2000, and 2004).
- Kennebec County, Maine – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 2000, and 2004).
- Waldo County, Maine – three misses since 1980 (in 1992, 2004, and 2016).
- Lincoln County, Maine – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2004, and 2016).
Connecticut
- Windham County, Connecticut – three misses since 1920 (in 1968, 2000, and 2004).
- Litchfield County, Connecticut – three misses since 1980 (in 1992, 2000, and 2012).
South Dakota
- Beadle County, South Dakota – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Bon Homme County, South Dakota – three misses since 1964 (in 1972, 2008, and 2012).
- Brule County, South Dakota – three misses since 1976 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Brown County, South Dakota – two misses since 1976 (in 1988 and 2012).
- Charles Mix County, South Dakota – three misses since 1976 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Corson County, South Dakota – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 1992, and 2004).
- Day County, South Dakota – two misses since 1976 (in 1988 and 2004).
- Deuel County, South Dakota – three misses since 1964 (in 1972, 2008, and 2012).
- Grant County, South Dakota – three misses since 1964 (in 1992, 2008, and 2012).
- Hanson County, South Dakota – three misses since 1976 (in 1996, 2008, and 2012).
- Jerauld County, South Dakota – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Kingsbury County, South Dakota – three misses since 1968 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Lake County, South Dakota – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1988, and 2012).
- Marshall County, South Dakota – one miss since 1976 (in 1988).
- Miner County, South Dakota – two misses since 1976 (in 1988 and 2012).
- Minnehaha County, South Dakota – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1988, and 2012).
- Moody County, South Dakota – three misses since 1964 (in 1972, 1988, and 2012).
- Sanborn County, South Dakota – three misses since 1964 (in 1972, 2008, and 2012).
- Roberts County, South Dakota – two misses since 1976 (in 1988 and 2004).
- Union County, South Dakota – three misses since 1976 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Ziebach County, South Dakota – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 1992, and 2004).
Iowa
- Jefferson County, Iowa – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2004).
- Winneshiek County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1988, and 2004).
- Poweshiek County, Iowa – three misses since 1920 (in 1960, 1988, and 2004).
- Woodbury County, Iowa – three misses since 1980 (in 1988, 1992, and 2008).
- Delaware County, Iowa – three misses since 1980 (in 1988, 1992, and 2012).
- Winnebago County, Iowa – three misses since 1980 (in 1992, 2000, and 2012).
- Louisa County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1988, and 2000).
- Bremer County, Iowa – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 1976).
- Mitchell County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2000, and 2004).
- Union County, Iowa – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 1988).
- Howard County, Iowa – three misses since 1944 (in 1988, 2000, and 2004).
- Jackson County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2000, and 2004).
- Floyd County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2000, and 2004).
- Fayette County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1988, and 2004).
- Chickasaw County, Iowa – three misses since 1948 (in 1988, 2000, and 2004).
- Marshall County, Iowa – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 1988).
- Tama County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2000, and 2004).
- Jasper County, Iowa – three misses since 1900 (in 1960, 1988, and 2004).
- Cedar County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1988, and 2000).
- Allamakee County, Iowa – two misses since 1968 (in 1976 and 1992).
- Crawford County, Iowa – three misses since 1948 (in 1960, 1988, and 2012).
- Iowa County, Iowa – three misses since 1980 (in 1988, 1992, and 2012).
- Emmet County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1988, and 2012).
- Carroll County, Iowa – two misses since 1976 (in 1988 and 2012).
- Kossuth County, Iowa – three misses since 1920 (in 1960, 1988 and 2012).
- Audubon County, Iowa – three misses since 1920 (in 1960, 1988 and 2012).
- Adams County, Iowa – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1988 and 2012).
- Palo Alto County, Iowa – three misses since 1896 (in 1984, 1988, and 2012).
- Franklin County, Iowa – three misses since 1980 (in 1988, 1992, and 2012).
- Hamilton County, Iowa – three misses since 1920 (in 1960, 1988 and 2012).
- Warren County, Iowa – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1988, and 2012).
- Hardin County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1988, and 2012).
- Monona County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Appanoose County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Decatur County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Henry County, Iowa – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Butler County, Iowa – three misses since 1980 (in 1992, 2008, and 2012).
- Clay County, Iowa – three misses since 1980 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Dickinson County, Iowa – three misses since 1980 (in 1992, 2008, and 2012).
- Guthrie County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Keokuk County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Madison County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Lucas County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Wright County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Pocahontas County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Taylor County, Iowa – three misses since 1980 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Van Buren County, Iowa – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Wayne County, Iowa – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
South Carolina
- Charleston County, South Carolina – three misses since 1968 (in 1992, 1996, and 2016).
- Darlington County, South Carolina – one miss since 1972 (in 1980), perfect since 1984.
- Barnwell County, South Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 1992, and 1996).
- Chester County, South Carolina – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 1980, and 2000).
- Sumter County, South Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1992, 2004, and 2016).
- Chesterfield County, South Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Georgetown County, South Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Abbeville County, South Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Lancaster County, South Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
Alabama
- Conecuh County, Alabama – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2000, and 2008).
- Barbour County, Alabama – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2000, and 2008).
- Jefferson County, Alabama – three misses since 1980 (in 1992, 1996, and 2016).
- Marion County, Alabama – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Fayette County, Alabama – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Pickens County, Alabama – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Etowah County, Alabama – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Coosa County, Alabama – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Chambers County, Alabama – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Washington County, Alabama – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Butler County, Alabama – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Crenshaw County, Alabama – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Franklin County, Alabama – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
Georgia
- Newton County, Georgia – two misses since 1972 (in 1980 and 2016).
- Douglas County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1992, 1996, and 2016).
- Early County, Georgia – two misses since 1972 (in 1980 and 2008).
- Baldwin County, Georgia – two misses since 1972 (in 1980 and 2016).
- Sumter County, Georgia – two misses since 1972 (in 1980 and 2016).
- Burke County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2000, and 2016).
- Rockdale County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1992, 1996, and 2016).
- Chattahoochee County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2000, and 2012).
- Wheeler County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Butts County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Heard County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Polk County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Long County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Hart County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Chattooga County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Elbert County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Treutlen County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Decatur County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Screven County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Wilkes County, Georgia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
Mississippi
- Chickasaw County, Mississippi – one miss since 1972 (in 1980).
- Pike County, Mississippi – two misses since 1972 (in 1980 and 2016).
- Panola County, Mississippi – two misses since 1972 (in 1980 and 2000).
- Copiah County, Mississippi – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 1992, and 2016).
- Jasper County, Mississippi – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2004, and 2016).
- Alcorn County, Mississippi – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Amite County, Mississippi – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
Oklahoma
- Sequoyah County, Oklahoma – two misses since 1964 (in 2008 and 2012).
- Nowata County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Caddo County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Craig County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Kiowa County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Mayes County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Osage County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Tillman County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Seminole County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Pontotoc County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Garvin County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Cotton County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Carter County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Greer County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Le Flore County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Murray County, Oklahoma – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
West Virginia
- Monongalia County, West Virginia – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 1988, and 2012).
- Jefferson County, West Virginia – three misses since 1956 (in 1968, 1980, and 2012).
- Mason County, West Virginia – three misses since 1964 (in 1988, 2008, and 2012).
- Cabell County, West Virginia – three misses since 1928 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Roane County, West Virginia – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Ohio County, West Virginia – three misses since 1972 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Jackson County, West Virginia – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Pendleton County, West Virginia – three misses since 1960 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Mercer County, West Virginia – three misses since 1956 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Pleasants County, West Virginia – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Monroe County, West Virginia – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Lewis County, West Virginia – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 2008, and 2012).
- Hardy County, West Virginia – three misses since 1960 (in 1992, 2008, and 2012).
Maryland
- Kent County, Maryland – three misses since 1964 (in 1980, 1992, and 2012).
Nebraska
- Thurston County, Nebraska – three misses since 1980 (in 1988, 1992, and 2004).
- Saline County, Nebraska – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 1988, and 2012).
North Carolina
- Granville County, North Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 1988, and 2000).
- Martin County, North Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 1988, and 2000).
- Pitt County, North Carolina – three misses since 1960 (in 1968, 1996, and 2016).
- Forsyth County, North Carolina – three misses since 1964 (in 1992, 1996, and 2016).
- Wilson County, North Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1992, 1996, and 2016).
- Wake County, North Carolina – three misses since 1960 (in 1976, 1996, and 2016).
- Buncombe County, North Carolina – two misses since 1928 (in 1960 and 2016).
- Guilford County, North Carolina – three misses since 1928 (in 1960, 2004, and 2016).
- Cumberland County, North Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2000, and 2016).
- Mecklenburg County, North Carolina – three misses since 1964 (in 1992, 2004, and 2016).
- Watauga County, North Carolina – three misses since 1980 (in 1996, 2012, and 2016).
- Jackson County, North Carolina – two misses since 1964 (in 1980 and 2012).
- Hyde County, North Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 1988, and 2012).
- Franklin County, North Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Perquimans County, North Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Montgomery County, North Carolina – three misses since 1964 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Madison County, North Carolina – three misses since 1952 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
- Camden County, North Carolina – three misses since 1972 (in 1980, 2008, and 2012).
Michigan
- Bay County, Michigan – three misses since 1972 (in 1988, 2000, and 2004).
- Calhoun County, Michigan – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2000).
- Eaton County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1992, and 1996).
- Manistee County, Michigan – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2000).
- Isabella County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2000, and 2004).
- Macomb County, Michigan – three misses since 1972 (in 1976, 1992, and 2000).
- Monroe County, Michigan – two misses since 1952 (in 1968 and 2000).
- Shiawassee County, Michigan – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 1976).
- Van Buren County, Michigan – two misses since 1952 (in 1960 and 1976).
- Delta County, Michigan – three misses since 1976 (in 1980, 1988, and 2012).
- St. Clair County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1992, and 2012).
- Benzie County, Michigan – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2012).
- Houghton County, Michigan – three misses since 1972 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Lenawee County, Michigan – two misses since 1964 (in 1976 and 2012).
- Alcona County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Alpena County, Michigan – three misses since 1972 (in 1976, 2000, and 2012).
- Cass County, Michigan – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2012).
- Cheboygan County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Clare County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (1976, 2000, and 2012).
- Crawford County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Dickinson County, Michigan – three misses since 1920 (in 1968, 2008, and 2012).
- Gladwin County, Michigan – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2012).
- Gratiot County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1992, and 2012).
- Iosco County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (1976, 2000, and 2012).
- Kalkaska County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Luce County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Mackinac County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Mason County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 1992, and 2012).
- Mecosta County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1976, 2008, and 2012).
- Menominee County, Michigan – three misses since 1948 (in 1968, 1976, and 2012).
- Ogemaw County, Michigan – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 2000, and 2012).
- Ontonagon County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 1988, and 2012).
- Presque Isle County, Michigan – three misses since 1952 (in 1960, 1976, and 2012).
- Roscommon County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (1976, 2000, and 2012).
- Schoolcraft County, Michigan – three misses since 1964 (in 1968, 1988, and 2012).
Louisiana
- East Baton Rouge Parish, Louisiana – three misses since 1972 (in 1976, 1992, and 2016).
References
- ↑ "Bellwether States and Counties". Uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved 2012-03-24.
- ↑ David Leip (2013). "Vigo County, IN Extends Bellwether Streak". Retrieved 2015-10-26.
- ↑ "Indiana County Is A Presidential Election Oracle". NPR. Retrieved 2012-03-24.
- ↑ Anonymous. "FINAL: VIGO COUNTY ELECTION 2008 RESULTS » Election 2008 » News From Terre Haute, Indiana". Tribstar.com. Retrieved 2012-03-24.
- ↑ Indiana Secretary of State. "2012 General Election". Retrieved November 7, 2012.
- 1 2 3 4 Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections See individual state presidential results county maps. County maps available without a subscription from 1960 – present.
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State. "President Results by County Statewide". Retrieved November 10, 2012.
- ↑ "The Ohio county that picks presidents is leaning Trump". BBC. 2016-07-23. Retrieved 2016-07-23.
- ↑ Ohio Secretary of State. "President Results by County Statewide". Retrieved November 7, 2012.
- ↑ The Political Graveyard; Sargent County, North Dakota
- ↑ ‘There Are No Bellwether Counties’
- ↑ 1892 ‘Presidential Election of 1892’ (and subsequent elections’ maps)
- ↑ Herdt, Timm (3 November 2012). "Ventura County voters are nearly flawless in picking presidential winners". Ventura County Star. Retrieved 13 August 2016.
- ↑ CHRISTOPHER, LONG, (12 June 2010). "BEXAR COUNTY". www.tshaonline.org.
- ↑ Texas Secretary of State. "Office of the Secretary of State 2012 General Election Election Night Returns for BEXAR COUNTY". Retrieved November 7, 2012.
- ↑ Reinhard, Beth(June 23, 2012). The Cornerstone. National Journal. Retrieved June 24, 2012.
- ↑ In Race to 270, It May Come Down to 106 Counties. Associated Press. Retrieved October 22, 2012.
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