United States presidential election in Kansas, 2016

United States presidential election in Kansas, 2016
November 8, 2016
Turnout 67.40% Increase

 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 671,018 427,005
Percentage 56.6% 36.0%
County Results
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

 Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 5, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president.

Donald Trump won the election in Kansas with 56.6% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 36.0% of the vote.[1] Kansas was among the eleven states in which Hillary Clinton outperformed Barack Obama's margin in 2012 (though her percentage was lower than Obama's 38% of the vote), largely due to a significant shift towards Democrats in Johnson County.[2]

Background

The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with then-Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[3][4] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[5] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50 percent for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[6][7] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[8]

Following his second term, President Obama is not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either.[9] With their term expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate is asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.

Political landscape in Kansas

The state of Kansas has given its electoral votes to the Republican ticket since 1968, and only once to the Democrats (1964) since 1940. All current statewide officials are Republicans, as are all four members of the state's U.S. House delegation. Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama by a margin of 60% to 38% in 2012. A poll conducted by John Zogby found Clinton leading Trump by 7 points in June.↵In addition, an internal poll for Representative Kevin Yoder, a Republican from Kansas' 3rd congressional district, released an internal poll showing Clinton leading Trump by 6 points in his district. This district voted for Mitt Romney by a 10-point margin in 2012 and has a PVI of R+6. This result, coupled with Clinton's gains in nationtional polls, caused Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball to move the Kansas race from "Safe Republican" to "Likely Republican" on August 18.[10]

Primary elections

Democratic caucuses

Results of the Democratic caucuses by Congressional District
  Bernie Sanders
Kansas Democratic caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate District delegates Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 26,637 67.90% 23 0 23
Hillary Clinton 12,593 32.10% 10 4 14
Uncommitted N/A 0 0 0
Total 39,230 100% 33 4 37
Source: The Green Papers

Republican caucuses

Results of the Republican caucuses by Congressional District
  Ted Cruz
Kansas Republican precinct caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Ted Cruz 37,512 47.50% 24 0 24
Donald Trump 18,443 23.35% 9 0 9
Marco Rubio 13,295 16.83% 6 0 6
John Kasich 8,741 11.07% 1 0 1
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 582 0.74% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 279 0.35% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 84 0.11% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 42 0.05% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 78,978 100.00% 40 0 40
Source: The Green Papers

General election

Polling

Minor candidates

The following received write-in status:[11]

  • President: Andrew D. Basiago; Vice President: Karen D. Kinnison
  • President: Darrell L Castle; Vice President: Scott N. Bradley
  • President: "Rocky" Roque De La Fuente, Vice President: Michael Steinberg
  • President: Rocky Giordani; Vice President: Farley M Anderson
  • President: James A Hedges; Vice President: Bill V Bayes
  • President: Tom Hoefling; Vice President: Steve Schulin
  • President: Lynn Kahn; Vice President: Kathy Monahan
  • President: Gloria La Riva; Vice President: Eugene Puryer
  • President: Michael S. Levinson; Vice President: Perry E. Wharton, II
  • President: Michael A Maturen; Vice President: Juan A Munoz
  • President: Evan McMullin; Vice President: Nathan D Johnson
  • President: Monica G. Moorehead; Vice President: Lamont G. Lilly
  • President: Darryl Perry; Vice President: Conan Salada
  • President: Marshall R. Schoenke; Vice President: James C. Mitchell, Jr.
  • President: Joe C Schriner; Vice President: Joe Moreaux
  • President: Mike Smith; Vice President: Daniel White

Results

Candidate Popular vote Percentage
Donald Trump 671,018 56.65%
Hillary Clinton 427,005 36.05%
Gary Johnson 55,406 4.64%
Jill Stein 23,506 1.97%
Evan McMullin (write-in) 6,520 0.55%
Darrell Castle (write-in) 646 0.05%
Mike Maturen (write-in) 214 0.02%
Tom Hoefling (write-in) 45 <0.01%
Gloria La Riva (write-in) 7 <0.01%
Mike Smith (write-in) 6 <0.01%
Rocky De La Fuente (write-in) 3 <0.01%
James Hedges (write-in) 3 <0.01%
Lynn Kahn (write-in) 2 <0.01%
Other write-ins 10,374 0.87%
Total 1,194,755 100.00%
Source: 2016 Presidential General Election Results - Kansas

By congressional district

Trump won 3 of the 4 congressional districts.[12]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 69% 24% Tim Huelskamp
Roger Marshall
2nd 56% 37% Lynn Jenkins
3rd 46% 47% Kevin Yoder
4th 60% 33% Mike Pompeo

By county

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Allen County26.27%1,43366.94%3,6516.78%3705,454
Anderson County20.06%67272.69%2,4357.25%2433,350
Atchison County30.25%1,98961.58%4,0498.17%5376,575
Barber County12.70%28682.15%1,8505.15%1162,252
Barton County17.91%1,83976.82%7,8885.27%54110,268
Bourbon County21.93%1,33672.61%4,4245.47%3336,093
Brown County21.38%86372.00%2,9066.62%2674,036
Butler County23.77%6,57368.96%19,0737.27%2,01127,657
Chase County23.08%31670.78%9696.14%841,369
Chautauqua County13.30%19783.46%1,2363.24%481,481
Cherokee County23.26%2,00571.72%6,1825.02%4338,620
Cheyenne County12.86%18183.37%1,1733.77%531,407
Clark County11.94%12082.09%8255.97%601,005
Clay County17.72%67775.68%2,8916.60%2523,820
Cloud County19.36%76174.27%2,9196.36%2503,930
Coffey County17.87%72774.98%3,0507.15%2914,068
Comanche County11.76%10282.47%7155.77%50867
Cowley County28.14%3,55165.53%8,2706.34%80012,621
Crawford County34.91%5,19957.91%8,6247.17%1,06814,891
Decatur County12.26%17883.33%1,2104.41%641,452
Dickinson County19.60%1,60973.43%6,0296.97%5728,210
Doniphan County17.38%58777.15%2,6065.48%1853,378
Douglas County62.28%31,19529.32%14,6888.39%4,20450,087
Edwards County16.07%21278.62%1,0375.31%701,319
Elk County12.71%16083.24%1,0484.05%511,259
Ellis County22.95%2,74270.86%8,4666.19%73911,947
Ellsworth County19.45%52173.50%1,9697.05%1892,679
Finney County31.45%3,19562.51%6,3506.04%61410,159
Ford County27.84%2,14966.26%5,1145.90%4557,718
Franklin County26.37%2,89265.53%7,1858.10%88810,965
Geary County36.27%2,72256.96%4,2746.77%5087,504
Gove County11.09%14984.88%1,1404.02%541,343
Graham County14.64%18879.83%1,0255.53%711,284
Grant County18.46%44175.51%1,8046.03%1442,389
Gray County12.73%26382.19%1,6985.08%1052,066
Greeley County12.77%8382.15%5345.08%33650
Greenwood County17.08%48576.06%2,1606.87%1952,840
Hamilton County13.81%12180.48%7055.71%50876
Harper County15.24%39377.42%1,9967.33%1892,578
Harvey County33.98%5,06858.11%8,6687.91%1,18014,916
Haskell County18.09%24576.81%1,0405.10%691,354
Hodgeman County12.19%12484.07%8553.74%381,017
Jackson County25.99%1,51267.70%3,9396.31%3675,818
Jefferson County30.20%2,51862.53%5,2137.27%6068,337
Jewell County12.05%18081.86%1,2236.09%911,494
Johnson County44.76%129,85247.40%137,4907.84%22,748290,090
Kearny County13.22%17481.69%1,0755.09%671,316
Kingman County17.97%59975.88%2,5306.15%2053,334
Kiowa County10.57%11483.41%9006.02%651,079
Labette County28.26%2,29165.81%5,3355.93%4818,107
Lane County12.17%10682.43%7185.40%47871
Leavenworth County33.69%10,20958.21%17,6388.10%2,45430,301
Lincoln County14.69%21580.53%1,1794.78%701,464
Linn County16.63%73678.70%3,4844.68%2074,427
Logan County10.98%14983.42%1,1325.60%761,357
Lyon County37.83%4,64953.32%6,5528.85%1,08712,288
Marion County21.41%1,20471.18%4,0037.41%4175,624
Marshall County22.94%1,07270.77%3,3076.29%2944,673
McPherson County25.32%3,22667.09%8,5497.59%96712,742
Meade County12.21%21082.27%1,4155.52%951,720
Miami County26.57%3,99166.59%10,0036.84%1,02815,022
Mitchell County16.21%47778.45%2,3085.34%1572,942
Montgomery County21.97%2,63772.30%8,6795.73%68812,004
Morris County22.90%60169.36%1,8207.74%2032,624
Morton County12.33%14783.47%9954.19%501,192
Nemaha County14.15%72580.52%4,1245.33%2735,122
Neosho County23.77%1,50170.18%4,4316.05%3826,314
Ness County11.14%16284.46%1,2284.40%641,454
Norton County12.58%28182.36%1,8405.06%1132,234
Osage County24.88%1,75368.49%4,8266.63%4677,046
Osborne County13.03%23381.66%1,4605.31%951,788
Ottawa County14.61%42478.64%2,2836.75%1962,903
Pawnee County21.76%57971.55%1,9046.69%1782,661
Phillips County11.26%30083.82%2,2334.92%1312,664
Pottawatomie County20.81%2,22571.19%7,6128.01%85610,693
Pratt County20.07%77173.87%2,8386.06%2333,842
Rawlins County11.07%16382.88%1,2206.05%891,472
Reno County28.24%6,83764.08%15,5137.68%1,86024,210
Republic County14.83%37580.03%2,0245.14%1302,529
Rice County18.27%69574.58%2,8377.15%2723,804
Riley County43.38%9,34146.94%10,1079.68%2,08421,532
Rooks County11.37%27583.96%2,0314.67%1132,419
Rush County15.50%23379.64%1,1974.86%731,503
Russell County14.44%46180.61%2,5744.95%1583,193
Saline County28.63%6,31762.67%13,8288.70%1,91922,064
Scott County10.72%23684.70%1,8654.59%1012,202
Sedgwick County36.88%69,62755.28%104,3537.84%14,803188,783
Seward County32.31%1,62862.70%3,1594.98%2515,038
Shawnee County44.99%33,92647.65%35,9347.35%5,54675,406
Sheridan County09.24%12787.12%1,1973.64%501,374
Sherman County13.28%34779.98%2,0896.74%1762,612
Smith County14.54%29781.34%1,6614.11%842,042
Stafford County16.03%30478.59%1,4905.38%1021,896
Stanton County18.05%11577.24%4924.71%30637
Stevens County11.63%22084.56%1,5993.81%721,891
Sumner County21.35%2,07671.84%6,9846.81%6629,722
Thomas County13.23%47381.32%2,9085.45%1953,576
Trego County13.36%19882.79%1,2273.85%571,482
Wabaunsee County22.96%77670.18%2,3726.86%2323,380
Wallace County05.76%4690.35%7213.88%31798
Washington County14.00%38779.35%2,1946.65%1842,765
Wichita County14.64%14080.44%7694.92%47956
Wilson County16.54%59477.64%2,7885.82%2093,591
Woodson County18.92%27374.98%1,0826.10%881,443
Wyandotte County61.80%30,14632.40%15,8065.80%2,82948,781

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Kansas Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 11, 2016.
  2. ↑ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2016&def=swg&datatype=national&f=0&off=0&elect=0
  3. ↑ "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved January 30, 2009.
  4. ↑ "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  5. ↑ "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  6. ↑ "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015.
  7. ↑ Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
  8. ↑ Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
  9. ↑ "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015.
  10. ↑ Kondik, Kyle; Sabato, Larry; Skelley, Geoffrey. "Clinton Rises to 348 Electoral Votes, Trump Drops to 190". Sabato's Crystal Ball. University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 22 August 2016.
  11. ↑ http://www.sos.ks.gov/elections/16elec/2016_General_Election-Write-In_Presidential_Candidates.pdf
  12. ↑ http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/
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