United States presidential election, 2020

United States presidential election, 2020
November 3, 2020
538 members of the Electoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win

ElectoralCollege2020.svg
About this image
The electoral map for the 2020 election, based on populations from the 2010 Census
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican

The United States presidential election of 2020, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2020, will be the 59th quadrennial U.S. presidential election. Voters will select presidential electors who in turn will either elect a new president and vice president through the electoral college or reelect the incumbents. The series of presidential primary elections and caucuses are likely to be held during the first six months of 2020. This nominating process is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots selecting a slate of delegates to a political party's nominating convention, who then in turn elect their party's presidential nominee.

President Donald Trump of the Republican Party, who was elected in 2016, is seeking reelection to a second term. The winner of the 2020 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2021.

Background

Procedure

Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to serve as President of the United States the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, at least 35 years old and a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, in which case each party develops a method (such as a primary election) to choose the candidate the party deems best suited to run for the position. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The nominee then personally chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party's presidential ticket (with the exception of the Libertarian Party, which nominates its vice presidential candidate by delegate vote regardless of the nominee's preference). The general election in November is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the President and Vice President.[1]

In August 2018, the Democratic National Committee voted to disallow superdelegates from voting on the first ballot of the nominating process, beginning with the 2020 election. This would require a candidate to win a majority of pledged delegates from the assorted primary elections in order to win the party's nomination. The last time this did not occur was the nomination of Adlai Stevenson II at the 1952 Democratic National Convention.[2]

The Twenty-second Amendment to the Constitution states that an individual can not be elected to the presidency more than twice. This prohibits former Presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama from being elected president again. However, former presidents Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush (both nonagenarians), having each served a single term as president, are not constitutionally prohibited from being elected to another term in the 2020 election.

The age group of what will then be people in the 18 to 45-year-old bracket is expected to represent just under 40 percent of the United States' eligible voters in 2020. It is expected that more than 30 percent of eligible American voters will be nonwhite.[3]

A bipartisan report indicates that changes in voter demographics since the 2016 election could impact the results of the 2020 election. African Americans, Hispanics, Asians/others, and "whites with a college degree" are expected to all increase their percentage of national eligible voters by 2020, while "whites without a college degree" will decrease. This shift is potentially an advantage for the Democratic nominee, however due to geographical differences, this could still lead to President Trump (or a different Republican nominee) winning the Electoral College while still losing the popular vote, possibly by an even larger margin than in 2016.[4]

Additionally, Washington, D.C. may lower its voting age from 18 to 16. Legislation was introduced by City Councilman Charles Allen in April 2018, with a public hearing in June, and a vote by the end of the year. Unlike other cities with a voting age of 16 such as Berkeley, California, this would allow 16 and 17-year-olds to vote for President of the United States for the first time in 2020. Allen said that he was inspired by the high school students that participated in the March for Our Lives, which occurred at the capital in March.[5]

Simultaneous elections

The presidential election will occur at the same time as elections to the Senate and the House of Representatives. Several states will also hold state gubernatorial and state legislative elections. Following the election, the United States House will redistribute the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 United States Census, and the states will conduct a redistricting of Congressional and state legislative districts. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have redistricting commissions), and often a party that wins a presidential election experiences a coattail effect that also helps other candidates of that party win election.[6] Therefore, the party that wins the 2020 presidential election could also win a significant advantage in the drawing of new Congressional and state legislative districts that would stay in effect until the 2032 elections.[7]

Advantage of incumbency

An incumbent president seeking reelection usually faces no significant opposition during their respective party's primaries, especially if they are still popular. For Presidents Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama, for example, their respective paths to nomination became uneventful and the races become merely pro forma; all four then went on to win a second presidential term. Serious challenges are rare, but then generally presage failure to win the general election in the fall. During the 1976 Republican Party primaries, then-former California Governor Reagan carried 23 states while running against incumbent President Gerald Ford; Ford then went on to lose the general election to Jimmy Carter, albeit carrying more states. Senator Ted Kennedy then carried 12 states while running against President Carter during the 1980 Democratic Party primaries; Reagan then defeated Carter in the fall of 1980. Pat Buchanan captured a decent percentage of a protest vote against President George H. W. Bush during the 1992 Republican primaries, but only received a handful of delegates; Bush too subsequently went on to lose in the general election to Clinton.

General election polling

National polling
Trump vs. Avenatti
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Michael
Avenatti		 Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[8] 1,974 August 16–18, 2018 ± 2.0% 28% 20% 51%
Trump vs. Biden
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Joe
Biden		 Other Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[8] 1,974 August 16–18, 2018 ± 2.0% 31% 43% – 26%
Politico/Morning Consult[9] 1,993 July 26–30, 2018 ± 2.0% 37% 44% – 19%
Public Policy Polling[10] 679 June 8–10, 2018 ± 3.8% 39% 53% – 8%
Zogby Analytics[11] 881 May 10–12, 2018 ± 3.2% 38% 48% – 14%
Public Policy Polling[12] 846 March 23–25, 2018 ± 3.4% 39% 56% – 6%
Public Policy Polling[13] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 42% 51% – 7%
CNN/SSRS[14] 1,005 January 14–18, 2018 ± 3.7% 37% 59% 2% 1%
Zogby Analytics[15] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 38% 53% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[16] 862 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 54% – 6%
Politico/Morning Consult[17] 1,993 November 9–11, 2017 ± 2.0% 35% 46% – 20%
Public Policy Polling[18] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 38% 56% – 6%
Zogby Analytics[19] 1,514 October 19–25, 2017 ± 2.5% 41% 50% – 9%
Emerson College[20] 820 October 12–14, 2017 ± 3.4% 42% 51% – 7%
Public Policy Polling[21] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 53% – 6%
Public Policy Polling[22] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 39% 51% – 11%
Public Policy Polling[23] 692 July 14–17, 2017 ± 3.7% 39% 54% – 7%
Public Policy Polling[24] 692 June 9–11, 2017 ± 3.7% 41% 54% – 5%
Public Policy Polling[25] 692 May 12–14, 2017 ± 3.7% 40% 54% – 6%
Public Policy Polling[26] 648 April 17–18, 2017 ± 3.9% 40% 54% – 6%
Public Policy Polling[27] 677 March 27–28, 2017 ± 3.8% 40% 54% – 6%
Trump vs. Blumenthal
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Richard
Blumenthal		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling[22] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 39% 42% 19%
Trump vs. Booker
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Cory
Booker		 Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[8] 1,974 August 16–18, 2018 ± 2.0% 29% 27% 44%
Public Policy Polling[10] 679 June 8–10, 2018 ± 3.8% 39% 47% 15%
Zogby Analytics[11] 881 May 10–12, 2018 ± 3.2% 38% 38% 24%
Public Policy Polling[12] 846 March 23–25, 2018 ± 3.4% 39% 49% 12%
Public Policy Polling[13] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 42% 46% 11%
Public Policy Polling[16] 862 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 50% 10%
Public Policy Polling[18] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 38% 49% 13%
Public Policy Polling[21] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 47% 13%
Public Policy Polling[22] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 39% 42% 19%
Public Policy Polling[23] 692 July 14–17, 2017 ± 3.7% 40% 45% 15%
Public Policy Polling[24] 692 June 9–11, 2017 ± 3.7% 41% 43% 17%
Public Policy Polling[25] 692 May 12–14, 2017 ± 3.7% 39% 46% 15%
Public Policy Polling[26] 648 April 17–18, 2017 ± 3.9% 42% 42% 17%
Public Policy Polling[27] 677 March 27–28, 2017 ± 3.8% 42% 45% 13%
Trump vs. Bullock
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Steve
Bullock		 Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[8] 1,974 August 16–18, 2018 ± 2.0% 28% 18% 54%
Trump vs. Clinton
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Hillary
Clinton		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling[21] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 42% 47% 11%
Trump vs. Cuban
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Mark
Cuban		 Undecided
Emerson College[20] 820 October 12–14, 2017 ± 3.4% 43% 36% 22%
Public Policy Polling[22] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 38% 42% 20%
Public Policy Polling[28] 941 February 21–22, 2017 ± 3.2% 41% 40% 19%
Trump vs. Cuomo
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Andrew
Cuomo		 Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[8] 1,974 August 16–18, 2018 ± 2.0% 30% 25% 45%
Trump vs. Delaney
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 John
Delaney		 Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[8] 1,974 August 16–18, 2018 ± 2.0% 28% 18% 53%
Public Policy Polling[22] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 38% 38% 24%
Trump vs. Franken
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Al
Franken		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling[25] 692 May 12–14, 2017 ± 3.7% 38% 46% 16%
Public Policy Polling[26] 648 April 17–18, 2017 ± 3.9% 43% 43% 14%
Public Policy Polling[27] 677 March 27–28, 2017 ± 3.8% 41% 46% 13%
Trump vs. Gillibrand
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Kirsten
Gillibrand		 Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[8] 1,974 August 16–18, 2018 ± 2.0% 29% 24% 47%
Public Policy Polling[10] 679 June 8–10, 2018 ± 3.8% 39% 45% 16%
Public Policy Polling[12] 846 March 23–25, 2018 ± 3.4% 40% 42% 18%
Public Policy Polling[13] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 43% 42% 15%
YouGov[29] 865 January 9, 2018 – 43% 41% 16%
Public Policy Polling[16] 862 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 47% 14%
Public Policy Polling[18] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 38% 48% 14%
Public Policy Polling[21] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 39% 42% 18%
Trump vs. Harris
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Kamala
Harris		 Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[8] 1,974 August 16–18, 2018 ± 2.0% 29% 26% 45%
Public Policy Polling[10] 679 June 8–10, 2018 ± 3.8% 40% 45% 15%
Zogby Analytics[11] 881 May 10–12, 2018 ± 3.2% 39% 35% 26%
Public Policy Polling[12] 846 March 23–25, 2018 ± 3.4% 39% 43% 18%
Public Policy Polling[13] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 43% 43% 15%
Zogby Analytics[15] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 41% 42% 16%
Public Policy Polling[16] 862 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 46% 13%
Public Policy Polling[18] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 39% 45% 16%
Public Policy Polling[21] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 41% 19%
Public Policy Polling[22] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 39% 39% 22%
Zogby Analytics[30] 1,300 August 4–7, 2017 – 38% 41% 21%
Public Policy Polling[23] 692 July 14–17, 2017 ± 3.7% 40% 41% 19%
Public Policy Polling[24] 692 June 9–11, 2017 ± 3.7% 41% 42% 18%
Trump vs. Holder
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Eric
Holder		 Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[8] 1,974 August 16–18, 2018 ± 2.0% 30% 24% 46%
Trump vs. Johnson
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Dwayne
Johnson		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling[25] 692 May 12–14, 2017 ± 3.7% 37% 42% 21%
Trump vs. Kennedy
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Joe
Kennedy III		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling[13] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 43% 46% 12%
Trump vs. Obama
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Michelle
Obama		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[11] 881 May 10–12, 2018 ± 3.2% 39% 48% 13%
Zogby Analytics[15] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 42% 49% 9%
Zogby Analytics[19] 1,514 October 19–25, 2017 ± 2.5% 44% 47% 9%
Public Policy Polling[21] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 41% 51% 9%
Trump vs. Sanders
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Bernie
Sanders		 Other Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[8] 1,974 August 16–18, 2018 ± 2.0% 32% 44% – 24%
Public Policy Polling[10] 679 June 8–10, 2018 ± 3.8% 40% 49% – 11%
Zogby Analytics[11] 881 May 10–12, 2018 ± 3.2% 37% 48% – 14%
Public Policy Polling[12] 846 March 23–25, 2018 ± 3.4% 39% 55% – 6%
Public Policy Polling[13] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 44% 48% – 8%
CNN/SSRS[14] 1,005 January 14–18, 2018 ± 3.7% 39% 58% 3% 1%
Zogby Analytics[15] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 39% 52% – 10%
YouGov[29] 856 January 9, 2018 – 43% 48% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[16] 862 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 53% – 6%
Politico/Morning Consult[31] 2,586 November 16–19, 2017 ± 2.0% 36% 42% – 22%
Public Policy Polling[18] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 38% 53% – 9%
Zogby Analytics[19] 1,514 October 19–25, 2017 ± 2.5% 40% 51% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[21] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 51% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[22] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 38% 51% – 11%
Public Policy Polling[23] 692 July 14–17, 2017 ± 3.7% 39% 52% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[24] 692 June 9–11, 2017 ± 3.7% 41% 51% – 8%
Public Policy Polling[25] 692 May 12–14, 2017 ± 3.7% 39% 52% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[26] 648 April 17–18, 2017 ± 3.9% 41% 50% – 8%
Public Policy Polling[27] 677 March 27–28, 2017 ± 3.8% 41% 52% – 7%
Trump vs. Warren
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[8] 1,974 August 16–18, 2018 ± 2.0% 30% 34% 36%
Public Policy Polling[10] 679 June 8–10, 2018 ± 3.8% 40% 48% 12%
Zogby Analytics[11] 881 May 10–12, 2018 ± 3.2% 37% 43% 20%
Public Policy Polling[12] 846 March 23–25, 2018 ± 3.4% 40% 51% 9%
Public Policy Polling[13] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 44% 44% 12%
Zogby Analytics[15] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 40% 50% 10%
Public Policy Polling[32]
(for a Warren-aligned PAC)		 620 January 9–10, 2018 ± 3.9% 43% 49% 8%
Public Policy Polling[16] 862 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% 42% 51% 7%
Public Policy Polling[18] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 40% 50% 9%
Zogby Analytics[19] 1,514 October 19–25, 2017 ± 2.5% 43% 45% 13%
Emerson College[20] 820 October 12–14, 2017 ± 3.4% 44% 44% 12%
Democracy Corps/Greenberg Research[33] 1,000 September 30 – October 6, 2017 – 42% 54% 4%
Public Policy Polling[21] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 41% 47% 12%
Public Policy Polling[22] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 45% 15%
Zogby Analytics[30] 1,300 August 4–7, 2017 – 37% 46% 17%
Public Policy Polling[23] 692 July 14–17, 2017 ± 3.7% 42% 49% 9%
Public Policy Polling[24] 692 June 9–11, 2017 ± 3.7% 43% 46% 11%
Public Policy Polling[25] 692 May 12–14, 2017 ± 3.7% 39% 49% 12%
Public Policy Polling[26] 648 April 17–18, 2017 ± 3.9% 42% 46% 13%
Public Policy Polling[27] 677 March 27–28, 2017 ± 3.8% 43% 48% 9%
Politico/Morning Consult[34] 1,791 February 9–10, 2017 ± 2.0% 42% 36% 22%
Trump vs. Wilson
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Frederica
Wilson		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling[18] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 39% 42% 19%
Trump vs. Winfrey
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Oprah
Winfrey		 Other Undecided
Zogby Analytics[11] 881 May 10–12, 2018 ± 3.2% 47% 53% – –
CNN/SSRS[14] 1,005 January 14–18, 2018 ± 3.7% 39% 54% 6% 2%
Quinnipiac University[35] 1,212 January 12–16, 2018 ± 3.4% 39% 52% – 9%
Zogby Analytics[15] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 46% 54% – –
Public Policy Polling[32]
(for a Warren-aligned PAC)		 620 January 9–10, 2018 ± 3.9% 43% 44% – 13%
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist[36] 1,092 January 8–10, 2018 ± 3.0% 39% 50% – 11%
YouGov[29] 856 January 9, 2018 – 43% 47% – 10%
Rasmussen Reports[37] 1,000 January 8–9, 2018 ± 3.0% 38% 48% – 14%
Zogby Analytics[38] 1,531 March 27–29, 2017 ±2.5% 36% 46% – 18%
Public Policy Polling[39] 808 March 10–12, 2017 ± 3.4% 40% 47% – 12%
Trump vs. Zuckerberg
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Mark
Zuckerberg		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[15] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 40% 41% 19%
Zogby Analytics[30] 1,300 August 4–7, 2017 – 40% 43% 16%
Public Policy Polling[23] 836 July 14–17, 2017 ± 3.4% 40% 40% 20%
Trump vs. Zuckerberg vs. Scarborough
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Mark
Zuckerberg		 Joe
Scarborough		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[30] 1,300 August 4–7, 2017 – 36% 34% 18% 12%
Trump vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Democratic
candidate		 Other Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[9] 1,993 July 26–30, 2018 ± 2.0% 35% 48% – 17%
Politico/Morning Consult[40] 1,990 May 17–19, 2018 ± 2.0% 36% 44% – 20%
Politico/Morning Consult[41] 1,993 March 1–5, 2018 ± 2.0% 36% 44% – 19%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[42] 900 December 13–15, 2017 ± 3.6% 36% 52% 3% 9%
Politico/Morning Consult[31] 2,586 November 16–19, 2017 ± 2.0% 35% 44% – 21%
Politico/Morning Consult[17] 1,993 November 9–11, 2017 ± 2.0% 34% 48% – 18%
Politico/Morning Consult[43] 1,990 October 26–30, 2017 ± 2.0% 36% 46% – 18%
Opinion Savvy[44] 763 August 16–17, 2017 ± 3.5% 41% 52% – 8%
Gravis Marketing[45] 1,917 July 21–31, 2017 ± 2.2% 39% 48% – 13%
Politico/Morning Consult[34] 1,791 February 9–10, 2017 ± 2.0% 35% 43% – 23%
Pence vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Mike
Pence		 Democratic
candidate		 Undecided
Opinion Savvy[44] 762 August 16–17, 2017 ± 3.5% 40% 52% 8%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat[note 1]
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Republican
candidate		 Democratic
candidate		 Undecided
Politico/Morning Consult[40] 1,990 May 17–19, 2018 ± 2.0% 27% 40% 33%
Politico/Morning Consult[41] 1,993 March 1–5, 2018 ± 2.0% 28% 42% 31%
Statewide polling

California California

Trump vs. Biden

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Joe
Biden		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 33% 56% 11%

Trump vs. Booker

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Cory
Booker		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 35% 39% 26%

Trump vs. J. Brown

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Jerry
Brown		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 35% 54% 11%

Trump vs. S. Brown

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Sherrod
Brown		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 35% 36% 29%

Trump vs. Garcetti

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Eric
Garcetti		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 34% 49% 17%
SurveyUSA[47] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 32% 46% 21%

Trump vs. Gillibrand

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Kirsten
Gillibrand		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 33% 47% 19%
SurveyUSA[47] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 32% 46% 22%

Trump vs. Hanks

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Tom
Hanks		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 34% 51% 15%
SurveyUSA[47] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 31% 56% 14%

Trump vs. Harris

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Kamala
Harris		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 35% 54% 12%
SurveyUSA[47] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 33% 53% 13%

Trump vs. Holder

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Eric
Holder		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 35% 38% 26%

Trump vs. Landrieu

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Mitch
Landrieu		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 35% 36% 29%

Trump vs. Obama

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Michelle
Obama		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 36% 57% 8%

Trump vs. Patrick

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Deval
Patrick		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 34% 34% 32%

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[47] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 32% 53% 14%

Trump vs. Winfrey

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Oprah
Winfrey		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 35% 52% 13%
SurveyUSA[47] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 32% 56% 12%

Trump vs. Zuckerberg

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Mark
Zuckerberg		 Undecided
SurveyUSA[46] 882 March 22–25, 2018 ± 3.8% 36% 42% 22%
SurveyUSA[47] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 31% 50% 19%

Florida Florida

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[48] 828 August 17–23, 2017 ± 3.4% 39% 48% 14%

Indiana Indiana

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[48] 603 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.0% 45% 39% 17%

Kentucky Kentucky

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[48] 402 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.9% 47% 41% 13%

Michigan Michigan

Trump vs. Biden

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Joe
Biden		 Undecided
Epic-MRA[49] 600 April 28–30, 2018 ± 4.0% 39% 52% 9%
Zogby Analytics[50] – September 2017 – 35% 52% 13%

Trump vs. Sanders

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Bernie
Sanders		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[50] – September 2017 – 36% 54% 10%

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[50] – September 2017 – 37% 46% 17%
Zogby Analytics[48] 803 August 17–23, 2017 ± 3.5% 35% 51% 14%

Missouri Missouri

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[48] 604 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.0% 40% 46% 14%

Montana Montana

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[48] 403 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.9% 45% 39% 17%

New Hampshire New Hampshire

Trump vs. Biden

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Joe
Biden		 Undecided
American Research Group[51] 1,365 March 21–27, 2018 ± 3.0% 39% 53% 8%

Trump vs. Sanders

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Bernie
Sanders		 Undecided
American Research Group[51] 1,365 March 21–27, 2018 ± 3.0% 49% 45% 5%

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
American Research Group[51] 1,365 March 21–27, 2018 ± 3.0% 50% 42% 9%

Kasich vs. Biden

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error John
Kasich		 Joe
Biden		 Undecided
American Research Group[51] 1,365 March 21–27, 2018 ± 3.0% 45% 46% 8%

Kasich vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error John
Kasich		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
American Research Group[51] 1,365 March 21–27, 2018 ± 3.0% 52% 37% 11%

North Carolina North Carolina

Trump vs. Biden

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Joe
Biden		 Other Undecided
Meredith College[52] 618 January 21–25, 2018 ± 4.0% 45% 46% 8% 1%

Trump vs. Cooper

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Roy
Cooper		 Other Undecided
Meredith College[52] 618 January 21–25, 2018 ± 4.0% 45% 43% 11% 1%

Trump vs. Gillibrand

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Kirsten
Gillibrand		 Other Undecided
Meredith College[52][note 2] 618 January 21–25, 2018 ± 4.0% 46% 36% 18% 1%

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Other Undecided
Meredith College[52] 618 January 21–25, 2018 ± 4.0% 48% 40% 12% 1%

Trump vs. Winfrey

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Oprah
Winfrey		 Other Undecided
Meredith College[52] 618 January 21–25, 2018 ± 4.0% 48% 38% 12% 2%

North Dakota North Dakota

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[48] 403 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.9% 47% 36% 17%

Ohio Ohio

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[48] 805 August 17–23, 2017 ± 3.5% 40% 44% 16%

Pennsylvania Pennsylvania

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[48] 813 August 17–23, 2017 ± 3.4% 38% 46% 16%

Texas Texas

Trump vs. Cuban

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Mark
Cuban		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling[53] – December 28, 2017 – 44% 47% 9%

West Virginia West Virginia

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[48] 401 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.9% 43% 40% 17%

Wisconsin Wisconsin

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald
Trump		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Zogby Analytics[48] 603 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.0% 37% 48% 15%

Nominations

Republican Party

Donald Trump is eligible to run for reelection and intends to do so.[54] His reelection campaign has been ongoing since his victory in 2016, leading pundits to describe his tactic of holding rallies continuously throughout his presidency as a "never-ending campaign".[55] On January 20, 2017, at 5:11 PM, he submitted a letter as a substitute of FEC Form 2, for which he had reached the legal threshold for filing, in compliance with the Federal Election Campaign Act.[56]

Beginning in August 2017, reports arose that members of the Republican Party were preparing a "shadow campaign" against Trump, particularly from the moderate or establishment wings of the party.[57] A poor showing for the GOP in the 2018 midterm elections may lead to an influx of ambitious politicians vying to reclaim the nomination from Trump, as Arizona Senator John McCain said that "[Republicans] see weakness in this president." Maine Senator Susan Collins, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie have all expressed doubts that Trump will be the 2020 nominee, with Collins stating "it's too difficult to say."[58][59] Meanwhile, Senator Jeff Flake has claimed that Trump is "inviting" a primary challenger by the way he is governing.[60] Longtime political strategist Roger Stone, however, predicts that Trump may not seek a second term if he succeeds in keeping all of his campaign promises and "[makes] America great again", à la James K. Polk.[61]

Declared major candidates

The candidates in this section have held public office or been included in a minimum of five independent national polls.

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

Donald Trump		 June 14, 1946
(age 72)
New York City, New York		 President of the United States since 2017
Candidate for President in 2000
New York		 August 19, 2016

(Campaign • Website)
FEC Filing		 [62]

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months.

Convention site

On July 20, 2018, the Republican National Convention chose Charlotte, North Carolina as the site for their 2020 national convention.[70] The convention will be held from August 24 until August 27, 2020.[71]

Endorsements

Donald Trump
Main article: List of Donald Trump presidential campaign endorsements, 2020
Declined to endorse
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
Brad Thor (withdrawn)
Individuals

Primary election polling

National polling
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Bob
Corker		 Tom
Cotton		 Ted
Cruz		 Jeff
Flake		 Trey
Gowdy		 Nikki
Haley		 John
Kasich		 Mike
Pence		 Colin
Powell		 Mitt
Romney		 Marco
Rubio		 Paul
Ryan		 Ben
Sasse		 Donald
Trump		 Oprah
Winfrey		 Other Undecided
Harvard-Harris[77] 460 June 24–25, 2018 – 15% – – – – – – – – – – – – 85% – – –
CNN/SRSS[78] 458 March 22–25, 2018 ± 5.4% – – 1% – 1% – 0% 1% 0% 1% – 1% – 75% 1% 7% 11%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[79] 1,313 December 15, 2017 – January 15, 2018 ± 2.0% – – – – – – – – – – – – – 75% – 25% –
Emerson College[80] 198 January 8–11, 2018 – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 68% – 18% 14%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/Democracy Corps[81] 370 January 8–11, 2018 – – – 4% 1% – 4% 3% 11% – 5% 5% – – 62% – 0% 5%
Public Policy Polling[16] 284 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% – – – – – – – – – – – – – 70% – 24% 6%
– – 21% – – – – – – – – – – 64% – – 15%
– – – 16% – – – – – – – – – 74% – – 10%
– – – – – – – 22% – – – – – 62% – – 15%
– – – – – – 19% – – – – – – 70% – – 11%
Public Religion Research Institute[82] 846 October 18–30, 2017 – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 59% – 34% 7%
Public Policy Polling[18] 183 October 27–29, 2017 – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 57% – 36% 8%
– – 27% – – – – – – – – – – 57% – – 16%
– – – 14% – – – – – – – – – 70% – – 16%
– – – – – – – 28% – – – – – 53% – – 19%
– – – – – – 24% – – – – – – 66% – – 11%
Public Policy Polling[21] 268 September 22–25, 2017 – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 61% – 27% 12%
– – 15% – – – – – – – – – – 68% – – 17%
– – – – – – – 21% – – – – – 59% – – 21%
– – – – – – 18% – – – – – – 68% – – 13%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[83]
(Trump-aligned)		 1,500 August 2017 ± 2.5% – 1% 14% – – – 10% – – – – – 1% 50% – – 24%
Public Policy Polling[22] 275 August 18–21, 2017 – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 57% – 29% 13%
– – 22% – – – – – – – – – – 62% – – 17%
– – – – – – – 24% – – – – – 52% – – 23%
– – – – – – 21% – – – – – – 68% – – 11%
Opinion Savvy[44] 221 August 16–17, 2017 ± 6.6% – – 12% – – – 15% 65% – – – – – – – – 8%
220 – – – 8% – – 17% – – – – – – 68% – – 7%
Marist Poll[84] 361 August 8–12, 2017 ± 5.2% – – – – – – 23% – – – – – – 64% – 3% 10%
– – – – – – – 33% – – – – – 56% – 3% 8%
Statewide polling

Delaware Delaware

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error John
Kasich		 Donald
Trump		 Undecided
Gravis Marketing[85] 288 July 24–29, 2018 ± 5.8% 9% 67% 25%

New Hampshire New Hampshire

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Tom
Cotton		 Ted
Cruz		 Jeff
Flake		 John
Kasich		 Mike
Pence		 Mitt
Romney		 Marco
Rubio		 Donald
Trump		 Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[86] 199 August 2–19, 2018 ± 6.9% – – – – – – – 56% 20% 24%
Suffolk University[87] 315 April 26–30, 2018 – – – – 23% – – – 68% – 8%
– – 15% – – – – 72% – 13%
– – – – – – 23% 66% – 11%
– – – – – 28% – 63% – 9%
University of New Hampshire[88] 208 April 13–22, 2018 ± 6.8% – – – – – – – 55% 19% 27%
– – – 19% – – – 67% 0% 14%
American Research Group[51] 420 March 21–27, 2018 ± 5.0% – – 33% – – – – 49% – 18%
– – – 42% – – – 48% – 9%
– – 4% 34% – – – 51% – 11%
5% 7% 11% 36% – – – – – 41%
University of New Hampshire[89] 157 January 28 – February 10, 2018 ± 7.8% – – – – – – – 60% 18% 23%
University of New Hampshire[90] 191 October 3–15, 2017 ± 7.1% – – – – – – – 47% 23% 30%
American Research Group[91] 600 August 4–6, 2017 ± 4.0% – – – 52% – – – 40% – 8%
– – – 41% 27% – – – – 32%

Ohio Ohio

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error John
Kasich		 Donald
Trump		 Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University[92] 261 February 28 – March 9, 2018 ± 6.0% 27% 62% 11%

Democratic Party

After Hillary Clinton's loss in the previous election, the Democratic Party was seen largely as leaderless[93] and fractured between the centrist Clinton wing and the more progressive Sanders wing of the party, echoing the rift brought up in the 2016 primary election.[94][95]

This establishment/progressive divide was reflected in several elections leading up to the 2020 primaries. Most notably in 2017 with the election for DNC Chair between Tom Perez and Sanders-backed progressive Keith Ellison.[96] Perez was elected Chairman, but Ellison was appointed as the Deputy Chair, a largely ceremonial role. In 2018, several U.S. House districts that Democrats are hoping to gain from the Republican majority had contentious primary elections. These clashes were described by Politico's Elena Schneider as a "Democratic civil war."[97] Meanwhile there has been a general shift to the left in regards to college tuition, healthcare, and immigration among Democrats in the Senate, likely to build up credentials for the upcoming primary election.[98][99]

Perez has commented that the 2020 primary field will likely go into double-digits, rivaling the size of the 2016 GOP primary, which consisted of 17 major candidates.[100] In the wake of the Me Too movement, several female candidates are expected to enter the race, increasing the likelihood of the Democrats nominating a woman for the second time in a row.[101] Speculation also mounted that Democrats' best bet to defeat President Trump would be to nominate their own celebrity or businessperson with no government experience, most notably Oprah Winfrey after her memorable speech at the 75th Golden Globe Awards.[102]

The topic of age has been brought up among the most likely front-runners: former Vice President Joe Biden, Massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren, and senator Sanders; who will be 78, 71, and 79 respectively on inauguration day. Former Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid described the trio as "an old folks' home", expressing a need for fresh faces to step up and lead the party.[103]

Declared major candidates

The candidates in this section have held public office or been included in a minimum of five independent national polls.

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

John Delaney		 April 16, 1963
(age 55)
Wood-Ridge, New Jersey		 U.S. Representative from Maryland since 2013
Maryland		 July 28, 2017

(Campaign • Website)
FEC Filing		 [104]

Other declared candidates

These candidates have established campaign websites.

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced

Jeff Boss		 May 20, 1963
(age 55)
New Jersey		 Conspiracy theorist
Candidate for U.S. Representative from New York in 2018
Candidate for Mayor of New York City in 2013 and 2017
Candidate for Governor of New Jersey in 2009, 2013, and 2017
Candidate for President in 2008, 2012, and 2016
Candidate for U.S. Representative in 2010 and 2016
Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2008 and 2014
New York		 August 5, 2017
(Website)

Ken Nwadike		 December 29, 1981
(age 36)
San Diego, California		 Peace activist, inspirational speaker, video journalist
California		 October 18, 2017
(Website)
FEC Filing

Robby Wells		 April 10, 1968
(age 50)
Bartow, Georgia		 Former college football coach
Natural Law nominee for U.S. Representative from California in 1996
Candidate for President in 2012 and 2016
Georgia		 May 24, 2017
(Website)
FEC Filing

Andrew Yang		 January 13, 1975
(age 43)
Schenectady, New York		 Entrepreneur
New York		 November 6, 2017

(Website)
FEC Filing

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months.

Potential convention sites

Bids for the National Convention were solicited in the fall of 2017, with finalists being announced in June 2018. The winning bid will be revealed in the summer of 2018.

Endorsements

John Delaney
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Andrew Yang
Individuals

Primary election polling

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Joe
Biden		 Michael
Bloomberg		 Cory
Booker		 Sherrod
Brown		 Julian
Castro		 Hillary
Clinton		 Mark
Cuban		 Andrew
Cuomo		 Al
Franken		 Kirsten
Gillibrand		 Kamala
Harris		 Eric
Holder		 Jason
Kander		 Joe
Kennedy III		 Amy
Klobuchar		 Terry
McAuliffe		 Michelle
Obama		 Deval
Patrick		 Tim
Ryan		 Bernie
Sanders		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Oprah
Winfrey		 Mark
Zuckerberg		 Other Undecided
CNN/SSRS 1,009 October 4–7, 2018 ± 3.8% 33% 4% 5% – – – – – – 1% 9% 3% – – 1% – – 1% 13% 8% – – 17% 6%
Harvard-Harris[77] 537 June 24–25, 2018 – 32% 3% 6% – – 18% – 1% – 1% 2% – – – – – – – – 16% 10% – – 12% –
Zogby Analytics[177] 495 June 4–6, 2018 ± 4.4% 21% – 4% 0% – – – 4% – 1% 5% 1% – – – 1% – 0% – 19% 6% 10% – – 29%
Google Surveys[178] 482 May 16–19, 2018 – 25% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 37% – – – – 38%
Google Surveys[179] 518 May 10–19, 2018 – 20% – 4% – – – – – – – 5% – – – – – – – – 26% 9% – – – 37%
Zogby Analytics[180] 533 May 10–12, 2018 ± 4.2% 26% – 3% 1% – – – 2% – 1% 4% 1% – – – 0% – 1% – 18% 8% 14% – – 22%
Rasmussen Reports[181] 1,000 February 27–28, 2018 ± 3.0% 25% – 4% – – 9% – – – – 4% – – – – 2% – – – 12% 4% – – 25% 17%
Civis Analytics[182] – January 19, 2018 – 29% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 27% – 17% – 27% –
Harvard-Harris[183] 441 January 13–16, 2018 – 27% – 4% – – 13% – 2% – 1% 4% – – – – – – – – 16% 10% 13% – – 10%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[79] 1,699 December 15, 2017 – January 15, 2018 ± 2.0% 28% – 3% – – 19% – – – 2% 5% – – 4% 1% – – – 1% 22% 11% – – 4% –
RABA Research[184] 345 January 10–11, 2018 ± 5.0% 26% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 21% 18% 20% – – 15%
Emerson College[80] 216 January 8–11, 2018 – 27% – 3% – – – – – – 3% 2% – 4% – 2% – – – – 23% 9% – – 9% 19%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/Democracy Corps[81] 440 January 6–11, 2018 – 26% – 6% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 29% 14% 8% – 12% 6%
Google Surveys[185] 310 December 20–22, 2017 – 22% – 3% – – – – – – – 1% – – – – – – – – 31% 11% – – – 32%
Zogby Analytics[186] 682 October 30, 2017 – 19% – – – – – – 2% – 1% 3% – – – 1% 2% 22% – – 18% 8% – 4% – 20%
Zogby Analytics[187] 356 September 12, 2017 – 17% – – – – – – 3% – 3% 6% – – – 1% 1% – – – 28% 12% – 7% – 23%
Harvard-Harris[188] 2,092 March 14–16, 2017 – – – 3% – – 8% 3% 4% – – – – – – – – 11% – – 14% 9% 3% – 45% –
Rasmussen Reports[189] 1,000 February 8–9, 2017 ± 3.0% 15% – 8% – – 17% – – 6% – – – – – – – – – – 20% 16% – – 20% –
Public Policy Polling[190] 400 December 6–7, 2016 ± 4.9% 31% – 4% 2% 0% – – 2% 3% 3% – – – – – – – – – 24% 16% – – – 14%
Statewide polling

California California

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Joe
Biden		 Cory
Booker		 Kamala
Harris		 Bernie
Sanders		 Undecided
Google Surveys[191] 261 November 8–10, 2017 – 17% 4% 14% 38% 28%

Delaware Delaware

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Joe
Biden		 Cory
Booker		 Julian
Castro		 Andrew
Cuomo		 John
Delaney		 Kamala
Harris		 Bernie
Sanders		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided
Gravis Marketing[85][note 5] 354 July 24–29, 2018 ± 5.2% 47% 5% 1% 1% 0% 3% 5% 9% 29%

Iowa Iowa

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Michael
Avenatti		 Joe
Biden		 Cory
Booker		 Steve
Bullock		 Julian
Castro		 Andrew
Cuomo		 John
Delaney		 Eric
Garcetti		 Kirsten
Gillibrand		 Kamala
Harris		 Eric
Holder		 Amy
Klobuchar		 Mitch
Landrieu		 Martin
O'Malley		 Deval
Patrick		 Sheryl
Sandberg		 Bernie
Sanders		 Howard
Schultz		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Undecided Others
David Binder Research[192]
 500 September 20–23, 2018 – 1% 37% 8% <1% N/A N/A 1% <1% 2% 10% 2% N/A <1% N/A <1% N/A 12% N/A 16% 9% 2%
Public Policy Polling[193]
(for an O'Malley-aligned PAC)		 1,062 March 3–6, 2017 – N/A N/A 17% N/A 4% N/A 8% N/A 3% 3% N/A 11% N/A 18% <1% 4% N/A 1% N/A 32% N/A

New Hampshire New Hampshire

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Joe
Biden		 Cory
Booker		 John
Delaney		 Kirsten
Gillibrand		 Kamala
Harris		 John
Hickenlooper		 Joe
Kennedy III		 Amy
Klobuchar		 Terry
McAuliffe		 Martin
O'Malley		 Deval
Patrick		 Tim
Ryan		 Bernie
Sanders		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Mark
Zuckerberg		 Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[86] 198 August 2–19, 2018 ± 7.0% 19% 6% 0% 0% 3% 0% 7% – – 1% – – 30% 17% – 2% 12%
Suffolk University[87] 295 April 26–30, 2018 – 30% 10% – 3% 6% – – – 2% – 8% – 25% – – 1% 15%
20% 8% – 2% 4% – – – 2% – 4% – 13% 26% – – 21%
University of New Hampshire[88] 188 April 13–22, 2018 ± 7.1% 26% 5% – 1% 6% 1% 3% 1% – 2% – 0% 28% 11% – 2% 13%
American Research Group[51] 400 March 21–27, 2018 ± 5.0% 58% – – – – – – – – – – – – 33% – – 8%
47% – – – – – – – – – – – 45% – – – 7%
University of New Hampshire[89] 219 January 28 – February 10, 2018 ± 6.6% 35% 3% 0% 2% 1% – – 0% – 1% – – 24% 15% – 4% 15%
University of New Hampshire[90] 212 October 3–15, 2017 ± 6.7% 24% 6% 0% 1% 1% 2% – 1% – 3% – 1% 31% 13% 2% 5% 11%

Libertarian Party

Declared candidates

These candidates have established campaign websites.

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

Adam Kokesh		 February 1, 1982
(age 36)
San Francisco, California		 Libertarian and anti-war political activist
Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018
Candidate for U.S. Representative from New Mexico in 2010
Arizona		 July 18, 2013
(Campaign • Website)
FEC Filing		 [194]

Vermin Supreme		 June 1961
(age 57)
Rockport, Massachusetts		 Performance artist and activist
Candidate for President in 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016
Candidate for Mayor of Detroit, Michigan in 1989
Candidate for Mayor of Baltimore, Maryland in 1987
Maryland		 May 28, 2018

(Website)		 [195]

Arvin Vohra		 May 9, 1979
(age 39)
Silver Spring, Maryland		 Vice Chair of the LNC 2014–2018
Libertarian nominee for U.S. Senate from Maryland in 2018
Libertarian nominee for U.S. Representative in 2012 and 2014
Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016
Maryland		 July 3, 2018
(Website)		 [196]

Convention site

On December 10, 2017, the Libertarian National Committee chose Austin, Texas as the site of their 2020 national convention. The convention will be held between May 22–25, 2020.[197]

Constitution Party

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months.

Independent or unaffiliated

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the last six months.

Maps

See also

Notes

    1. ↑ "Generic Republican" specifically excludes Donald Trump.
    2. ↑ In this poll, Kirsten Gillibrand's name was misspelled as "Kristen Gillebrand".
    3. 1 2 This individual is not a member of the Republican Party, but has been the subject of speculation and/or expressed interest in running under this party.
    4. 1 2 This individual is not a member of the Democratic Party, but has been the subject of speculation or expressed interest in running under this party.
    5. ↑ In this poll, Kamala Harris' name was misspelled as "Kamela Harris".

    References

    1. ↑ "US Election guide: how does the election work?". The Daily Telegraph. November 6, 2012. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
    2. ↑ Levy, Adam (August 25, 2018). "DNC changes superdelegate rules in presidential nomination process". CNN. Retrieved August 27, 2018.
    3. ↑ Weeks, Linton (January 25, 2013). "Forget 2016. The Pivotal Year In Politics May Be 2020". NPR. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
    4. ↑ Chinni, Dante (April 22, 2018). "Demographic shifts show 2020 presidential race could be close". NBC News. Retrieved April 23, 2018.
    5. ↑ Fox, Peggy (April 17, 2018). "Washington, D.C., may allow 16-year-olds to vote for president in the 2020 election". USA Today. Retrieved April 19, 2018.
    6. ↑ Campbell, James E. (March 1986). "Presidential Coattails and Midterm Losses in State Legislative Elections". The American Political Science Review. 80 (1): 45. JSTOR 1957083.
    7. ↑ Sarlin, Benjy (August 26, 2014). "Forget 2016: Democrats already have a plan for 2020". MSNBC.
    8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 "National Tracking Poll 180824". Politico. Retrieved August 22, 2018.
    9. 1 2 "National Tracking Poll #180746". Politico. Retrieved August 2, 2018.
    10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Jensen, Tom (June 13, 2018). "Tax Reform Still Not Helping GOP; Dems Lead House Ballot By 6" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved June 14, 2018.
    11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "The Zogby Poll®: Biden, Sanders, Warren, Oprah and Obama beat Trump head to head in 2020 presidential election!; Trump making gains with base, especially NASCAR fans and Walmart shoppers". Zogby Analytics. May 25, 2018. Retrieved June 1, 2018.
    12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Jensen, Tom (March 27, 2018). "Voters Like High School Gun Protesters; Don't Like NRA" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved March 28, 2018.
    13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Jensen, Tom (February 14, 2018). "Democrats Lead by 8 Points On Generic House Ballot Nationally" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved February 14, 2018.
    14. 1 2 3 "CNN January 2018" (PDF). CNN. January 23, 2018. Retrieved January 23, 2018.
    15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "The Zogby Poll® Oprah, Biden, Sanders and Warren easily defeat Trump in 2020; Trump in closer races with Harris, Zuckerberg, and Obama". Zogby Analytics. January 19, 2018. Retrieved February 25, 2018.
    16. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Jensen, Tom (December 14, 2017). "Voters Think Trump Should Resign Over Harassment Allegations" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
    17. 1 2 "National Tracking Poll". Politico. November 15, 2017. Retrieved November 17, 2017.
    18. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Jensen, Tom (October 31, 2017). "Support For Impeachment At Record High" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved October 31, 2017.
    19. 1 2 3 4 "The Zogby Poll℠: Sanders and Biden dominate Trump; Obama and Warren in tight races with the president". Zogby Analytics. November 8, 2017. Retrieved November 8, 2017.
    20. 1 2 3 Hall, Peter (October 16, 2017). "Emerson College Poll: Trump Job Approval 44%. Voters Split on Trusting Media/Trump. North Korea - Biggest Threat, Support for DACA, Canada as Good Neighbor, Views on Catalonia Independence, Men better suited for politics, and 2020 Pres. Race" (PDF). Emerson College. Retrieved October 16, 2017.
    21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Jensen, Tom (September 28, 2017). "2018 Shaping Up Big For Democrats" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved September 28, 2017.
    22. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Jensen, Tom (August 23, 2017). "Trump Holds Steady After Charlottesville; Supporters Think Whites, Christians Face Discrimination" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved August 23, 2017.
    23. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Jensen, Tom (July 18, 2017). "Health Care a Mine Field for Republicans; Many Trump Voters in Denial on Russia" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved July 18, 2017.
    24. 1 2 3 4 5 Jensen, Tom (June 12, 2017). "Plurality of Voters Think Trump Obstructed Justice" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved June 12, 2017.
    25. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Jensen, Tom (May 16, 2017). "Health Care Puts House in Play" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved May 16, 2017.
    26. 1 2 3 4 5 Jensen, Tom (April 20, 2017). "Democrats Have Big Enthusiasm Edge for 2018" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved April 20, 2017.
    27. 1 2 3 4 5 Jensen, Tom (March 30, 2017). "Trump, Ryan Both Hit Record Low Approval" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved March 30, 2017.
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