United States presidential election in Louisiana, 2016

United States presidential election in Louisiana, 2016
November 8, 2016
Turnout 67.79% Decrease

 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 8 0
Popular vote 1,178,638 780,154
Percentage 58.09% 38.45%
Parish Results
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

 Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by parish.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana was won by Donald Trump on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 5, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, and Republican, parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated weren't able to vote in the primaries.[1]

Primary elections

24 candidates were on the ballot.[2]

Democratic primary

Louisiana Democratic primary, March 5, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 221,733 71.12% 37 7 44
Bernie Sanders 72,276 23.18% 14 0 14
Steve Burke 4,785 1.53%
John Wolfe, Jr. 4,512 1.45%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,550 0.82%
Willie Wilson 1,423 0.46%
Keith Russell Judd 1,357 0.44%
Rocky De La Fuente 1,341 0.43%
Michael A. Steinberg 993 0.32%
Henry Hewes 806 0.26%
Uncommitted N/A 0 1 1
Total 311,776 100% 51 8 59
Source: The Green Papers, Louisiana Secretary of States

Republican primary

Republican primary results by county.
  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz


Fourteen candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Louisiana Republican primary, March 5, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 124,854 41.45% 25 0 25
Ted Cruz 113,968 37.83% 18 0 18
Marco Rubio 33,813 11.22% 0 0 0
John Kasich 19,359 6.43% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 4,544 1.51% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 2,145 0.71% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 670 0.22% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 645 0.21% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 401 0.13% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 243 0.08% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 180 0.06% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 152 0.05% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 3 0 3
Total: 301,241 100.00% 46 0 46
Source: The Green Papers

State Convention

On March 24, the State Convention met and reversed the results of the primary, giving Ted Cruz a clear majority.[3] Rubio's five delegates and 2 uncommitted delegates committed to Trump after Kasich and Cruz dropped out of the race.[4][5] This gave Trump the majority of the delegates from the state.

Polling

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Louisiana as of Election Day.

  1. Los Angeles Times: Strongly Trump[6]
  2. CNN: Solid Trump[7]
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Trump[8]
  4. NBC: Likely Trump[9]
  5. RealClearPolitics: Solid Trump[10]
  6. Fox News: Solid Republican[11]
  7. ABC: Solid Trump[12]

General Election

By parish

Parish Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Acadia Parish20.58%5,63877.26%21,16202.15%58927,389
Allen Parish22.78%2,10674.28%6,86702.94%2729,245
Ascension Parish30.13%16,47666.10%36,14303.77%2,05954,678
Assumption Parish36.05%3,93161.57%6,71402.38%25910,904
Avoyelles Parish30.36%5,03567.32%11,16502.33%38616,586
Beauregard Parish15.87%2,39381.16%12,23802.96%44715,078
Bienville Parish44.67%3,12953.62%3,75601.71%1207,005
Bossier Parish25.36%12,64171.16%35,47403.48%1,73349,848
Caddo Parish50.55%53,48346.32%49,00603.13%3,315105,804
Calcasieu Parish31.39%26,29664.68%54,19103.94%3,29883,785
Caldwell Parish16.79%78881.46%3,82201.75%824,692
Cameron Parish08.75%32388.19%3,25603.06%1133,692
Catahoula Parish27.22%1,32271.64%3,47901.13%554,856
Claiborne Parish42.31%2,71755.83%3,58501.85%1196,421
Concordia Parish36.88%3,27261.73%5,47701.39%1238,872
De Soto Parish38.26%5,16559.76%8,06801.98%26713,500
East Baton Rouge Parish52.33%102,82843.09%84,66004.58%9,003196,491
East Carroll Parish62.54%1,83836.03%1,05901.43%422,939
East Feliciana Parish42.17%4,23555.46%5,56902.37%23810,042
Evangeline Parish28.28%4,20869.61%10,36002.11%31414,882
Franklin Parish27.35%2,50671.10%6,51401.55%1429,162
Grant Parish13.39%1,18183.98%7,40802.63%2328,821
Iberia Parish32.96%10,69864.41%20,90302.63%85332,454
Iberville Parish51.89%8,32445.63%7,32002.49%39916,043
Jackson Parish28.66%2,13969.25%5,16902.09%1567,464
Jefferson Parish40.56%73,67055.27%100,39804.17%7,571181,639
Jefferson Davis Parish21.57%3,08075.47%10,77502.96%42214,277
Lafayette Parish30.99%32,72664.58%68,19504.43%4,682105,603
Lafourche Parish20.23%8,42376.74%31,95903.03%1,26341,645
LaSalle Parish09.21%60588.84%5,83601.95%1286,569
Lincoln Parish38.07%7,10757.64%10,76104.29%80118,669
Livingston Parish12.04%6,95084.57%48,82403.39%1,95657,730
Madison Parish57.99%2,74440.72%1,92701.29%614,732
Morehouse Parish43.49%5,15554.86%6,50201.65%19511,852
Natchitoches Parish42.98%7,14453.96%8,96803.06%50916,621
Orleans Parish80.81%133,99614.65%24,29204.54%7,524165,812
Ouachita Parish35.91%24,42861.36%41,73402.73%1,85568,017
Plaquemines Parish31.66%3,34765.26%6,90003.08%32610,573
Pointe Coupee Parish40.51%4,76457.72%6,78901.77%20811,761
Rapides Parish32.23%18,32264.77%36,81603.00%1,70656,844
Red River Parish43.83%1,93854.07%2,39102.10%934,422
Richland Parish32.90%3,15765.51%6,28701.59%1539,597
Sabine Parish17.40%1,70380.50%7,87902.09%2059,787
St. Bernard Parish31.36%4,96064.73%10,23703.91%61815,815
St. Charles Parish32.68%8,55963.46%16,62103.86%1,01226,192
St. Helena Parish56.22%3,35341.87%2,49701.91%1145,964
St. James Parish53.11%6,41845.15%5,45601.75%21112,085
St. John the Baptist Parish61.04%12,66136.49%7,56902.47%51320,743
St. Landry Parish43.05%17,20954.96%21,97101.99%79739,977
St. Martin Parish32.10%8,26665.53%16,87302.37%61125,750
St. Mary Parish35.19%8,05062.77%14,35902.05%46822,877
St. Tammany Parish22.28%27,71773.09%90,91504.63%5,760124,392
Tangipahoa Parish32.20%16,87864.79%33,95903.01%1,57952,416
Tensas Parish52.28%1,33246.39%1,18201.33%342,548
Terrebonne Parish24.30%10,66572.68%31,90203.03%1,32943,896
Union Parish24.70%2,69173.18%7,97202.12%23110,894
Vermilion Parish18.95%4,85778.27%20,06302.78%71225,632
Vernon Parish16.02%2,66580.99%13,47102.99%49716,633
Washington Parish30.56%5,69267.40%12,55602.04%38018,628
Webster Parish34.50%6,26063.61%11,54201.89%34318,145
West Baton Rouge Parish42.35%5,38354.49%6,92703.16%40212,712
West Carroll Parish15.02%71583.42%3,97001.55%744,759
West Feliciana Parish38.77%2,24858.46%3,39002.78%1615,799
Winn Parish25.80%1,64472.32%4,60801.88%1206,372

Analysis

Donald Trump won the election in Louisiana with 58.1% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 38.4% of the vote.[13] All of Louisiana's parishes voted for the same party they voted for in 2012. In 2012, every parish had also voted for the same party as they did in 2008. As a result, this marked the first time since 1992 that East Baton Rouge Parish backed the losing candidate of the election, and the first time since 1948 East Baton Rouge voted Democratic three elections in a row.

See also

References

  1. ↑ Hatfield, Mycah (2016-01-24). "Closed elections for presidential primaries in Louisiana - KATC.com | Continuous News Coverage | Acadiana-Lafayette". KATC.com. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  2. ↑ "Twenty-Four Presidential Candidates Qualify for Louisiana Presidential Primaries | Ballot Access News". Ballot-access.org. 2015-12-04. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  3. ↑ Epstein, Reid J. (2016-03-24). "Ted Cruz Gains in Louisiana After Loss There to Donald Trump". WSJ.com. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  4. ↑ Katiana Krawchenko (2016-05-04). "Louisiana's five Rubio delegates back Trump, call for Rubio as VP". CBS News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  5. ↑ "BREAKING: Trump Gains Seven More Delegates From Louisiana After Rubio Delegates Finally Switch". The Hayride. 2016-05-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  6. ↑ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  7. ↑ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  8. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  9. ↑ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  10. ↑ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  11. ↑ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  12. ↑ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  13. ↑ "Louisiana Election Results 2016". The New York Times. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
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