United States presidential election in Indiana, 2016

United States presidential election in Indiana, 2016

November 8, 2016
Turnout 58.00%

 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 1,557,286 1,033,126
Percentage 56.8% 37.9%

County results:

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Indiana was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Indiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On May 3, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president.

Donald Trump won the election in Indiana with 56.9% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 37.9% of the vote.[1] Indiana is the home state of Trump's running mate, Mike Pence, which was believed to have provided important assistance to the Trump campaign in what already would have been a Republican-leaning state.

Results

By congressional district

Trump won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[2]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 41% 54% Pete Visclosky
2nd 59% 36% Jackie Walorski
3rd 65% 30% Marlin Stutzman
4th 64% 30% Todd Rokita
5th 53% 41% Susan Brooks
6th 68% 27% Luke Messer
7th 36% 58% André Carson
8th 64% 31% Larry Bucshon
9th 61% 34% Todd Young

By county

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Adams County21.43%2,80573.71%9,6484.87%63713,090
Allen County37.64%55,38257.04%83,9305.32%7,825147,137
Bartholomew County30.29%9,84163.53%20,6406.18%2,00932,490
Benton County23.46%86070.35%2,5796.19%2273,666
Blackford County25.69%1,24369.23%3,3505.08%2464,839
Boone County31.64%10,18161.08%19,6547.28%2,34332,178
Brown County31.69%2,51863.13%5,0165.17%4117,945
Carroll County21.89%1,89272.58%6,2735.53%4788,643
Cass County26.46%3,75968.27%9,7015.27%74914,209
Clark County36.77%18,80858.72%30,0354.50%2,30451,147
Clay County20.44%2,30675.62%8,5313.94%44511,282
Clinton County23.62%2,81971.47%8,5314.91%58611,936
Crawford County28.80%1,32365.64%3,0155.55%2554,593
Daviess County16.72%1,80079.36%8,5453.93%42310,768
Dearborn County20.36%4,88375.51%18,1134.13%99123,987
Decatur County19.06%2,12176.30%8,4904.64%51611,127
DeKalb County23.32%3,94271.32%12,0545.36%90616,902
Delaware County40.23%18,15353.77%24,2636.0%2,70745,123
Dubois County26.97%5,38966.88%13,3656.15%1,23019,984
Elkhart County31.60%20,74063.79%41,8674.61%3,02365,630
Fayette County23.63%2,25271.76%6,8394.61%4399,530
Floyd County37.26%13,94557.27%21,4325.47%2,04837,425
Fountain County19.70%1,47675.57%5,6624.73%3547,492
Franklin County17.88%1,96978.72%8,6693.41%37511,013
Fulton County23.41%1,96071.77%6,0104.82%4048,374
Gibson County24.03%3,72171.56%11,0814.40%68215,484
Grant County27.69%7,01067.19%17,0085.11%1,29425,312
Greene County21.22%2,92974.47%10,2774.31%59513,801
Hamilton County37.12%57,26356.66%87,4046.22%9,589154,256
Hancock County24.61%8,90469.30%25,0746.09%2,20336,181
Harrison County25.77%4,78369.74%12,9434.48%83218,558
Hendricks County29.91%22,60063.97%48,3376.12%4,62275,559
Henry County25.42%5,12468.94%13,8955.64%1,13620,155
Howard County30.44%11,21564.26%23,6755.30%1,95336,843
Huntington County21.85%3,50672.61%11,6495.54%88816,043
Jackson County21.87%3,84373.17%12,8594.96%87117,573
Jasper County24.88%3,32970.13%9,3824.99%66713,378
Jay County23.65%1,88971.34%5,6975.01%4007,986
Jefferson County31.94%4,32663.10%8,5464.96%67213,544
Jennings County21.20%2,36473.76%8,2245.04%56211,150
Johnson County26.04%17,31868.35%45,4565.60%3,72666,500
Knox County24.31%3,77271.39%11,0774.30%66715,516
Kosciusko County19.68%6,31374.60%23,9355.72%1,83632,084
LaGrange County43.80%19,79850.19%22,6876.01%2,71845,203
Lake County21.74%2,08073.44%7,0254.82%4619,566
LaPorte County58.12%116,93537.59%75,6254.30%8,645201,205
Lawrence County21.98%4,21073.28%14,0354.74%90719,152
Madison County34.49%18,59560.06%32,3765.45%2,93853,909
Marion County58.75%212,89935.97%130,3605.27%19,113362,372
Marshall County26.53%4,79867.96%12,2885.51%99618,082
Martin County18.32%88176.88%3,6974.80%2314,809
Miami County20.52%2,76673.99%9,9755.50%74113,482
Monroe County58.53%34,21635.23%20,5926.24%3,64658,454
Montgomery County22.18%3,36272.97%11,0594.85%73515,156
Morgan County19.31%6,04075.68%23,6745.01%1,56631,280
Newton County24.23%1,40470.35%4,0775.42%3145,795
Noble County23.11%3,90472.22%12,1984.67%78816,890
Ohio County23.49%68672.51%2,1184.01%1172,921
Orange County25.00%2,04870.84%5,8034.16%3418,192
Owen County22.74%1,94671.91%6,1535.35%4588,557
Parke County21.89%1,44173.88%4,8634.22%2786,582
Perry County38.01%3,06256.56%4,5565.43%4378,055
Pike County21.70%1,29773.58%4,3984.72%2825,977
Porter County43.63%33,67650.31%38,8326.07%4,68277,190
Posey County28.24%3,52167.41%8,4044.35%54212,467
Pulaski County24.31%1,32770.60%3,8545.09%2785,459
Putnam County22.81%3,35672.29%10,6374.91%72214,715
Randolph County23.39%2,44671.88%7,5174.73%49510,458
Ripley County19.29%2,47176.55%9,8064.16%53312,810
Rush County21.14%1,52573.36%5,2925.50%3977,214
Scott County29.03%2,64266.74%6,0744.23%3859,101
Shelby County23.60%4,24770.68%12,7185.72%1,02917,994
Spencer County28.67%2,86165.86%6,5725.47%5469,979
St. Joseph County47.48%52,25247.27%52,0215.26%5,787110,060
Starke County26.98%2,48969.01%6,3674.01%3709,226
Steuben County25.70%3,74469.57%10,1334.73%68914,566
Sullivan County24.69%2,11371.71%6,1383.60%3088,559
Switzerland County25.14%93069.15%2,5585.70%2113,699
Tippecanoe County43.64%27,28249.22%30,7687.14%4,46562,515
Tipton County21.13%1,58774.42%5,5894.45%3347,510
Union County21.73%71574.29%2,4453.98%1313,291
Vanderburgh County39.35%28,53055.85%40,4964.80%3,48172,507
Vermillion County29.99%2,08165.04%4,5134.97%3456,939
Vigo County40.01%15,93155.09%21,9374.90%1,95039,818
Wabash County22.41%3,01872.92%9,8214.67%62913,468
Warren County21.35%83973.74%2,8984.91%1933,930
Warrick County30.71%9,08664.59%19,1134.70%1,39029,589
Washington County23.16%2,63672.12%8,2094.72%53711,382
Wayne County32.53%8,32262.66%16,0284.80%1,22925,579
Wells County19.61%2,58675.88%10,0054.51%59413,185
White County25.76%2,59068.57%6,8935.67%57010,053
Whitley County21.63%3,37972.70%11,3585.67%88615,623

Primary elections

Democratic primary

County results of the Indiana Democratic presidential primary, 2016.
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton

Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

Indiana Democratic primary, May 3, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 335,074 52.46% 44 0 44
Hillary Clinton 303,705 47.54% 39 7 46
Uncommitted N/A 0 2 2
Total 638,779 100% 83 9 92
Source: The Green Papers - Official Primary Results

Republican primary

  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Indiana Republican primary, May 3, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 591,514 53.26% 57 0 57
Ted Cruz 406,783 36.63% 0 0 0
John Kasich 84,111 7.57% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 8,914 0.80% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 6,508 0.59% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn) 5,175 0.47% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 4,306 0.39% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,738 0.16% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 1,494 0.13% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 1,110,543 100.00% 57 0 57
Source: The Green Papers

Polling

Analysis

Indiana Governor Mike Pence ran as Donald Trump's running-mate

Indiana, despite voting Democratic once for Barack Obama in 2008, has shifted back to being solidly Republican. Republican nominee Donald Trump carried the state by 19 points over Democrat Hillary Clinton,[3] thus gaining all of Indiana's 11 electoral votes.

Donald Trump's victory in the Hoosier State can be attributed to several factors. For one, Donald Trump had selected Indiana governor Mike Pence as his running mate, effectively eliminating any chance that Clinton could repeat Obama's surprise upset win in the state over John McCain eight years prior. Also, the state skews whiter and more Evangelical Protestant than the rest of the Midwest and the Rust Belt overall, which is a better demographic make-up for Republicans; Trump won white born-again and Evangelical Christians by a margin of 75-22.[4]

Suburban communities in the "doughnut counties" surrounding Indianapolis lean heavily Republican, and bolstered the Trump-Pence ticket in the state. Many of these voters are fiscally conservative and pro-life. Another G.O.P. stronghold that benefitted Trump was the northeast region around Fort Wayne, which is a mix of suburban, exurban and rural areas, and is home to some of the most socially conservative voters in the nation.

In Southern Indiana along the Ohio River, especially around Evansville in Vanderburgh County, the electorate is dominated by "Butternut Democrats:" socially conservative, working-class white voters who were Democrats for generations but have been trending Republican.[5] Such voters turned out for Trump in full force, inspired by his economic populism and by Pence's social conservatism.

Trump also won in Vigo County, home to Terre Haute and a noted bellwether; it has voted for the winner of every presidential election all but twice since 1892.

Clinton, for her part, performed well in Indianapolis in Marion County and in Gary in Lake County, which has a large African American population and is considered part of the Chicago Metropolitan Area. Clinton won African Americans by a margin of 83-12.

See also

References

  1. "Indiana Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  2. http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/
  3. "Indiana Election Results 2016". Retrieved 2016-11-12.
  4. "2016 election results: Indiana Exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved 2016-11-12.
  5. Cohen, Micah (2012-10-19). "After Brief Role as Battleground, Indiana Exits, Stage Right". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2016-11-12.
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