United States presidential election in Iowa, 2016
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 County Results
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The 2016 United States presidential election in Iowa was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Iowa voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.
Both parties' caucuses were held on February 1, 2016.[1]
Donald Trump won the election in Iowa with 51.1% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 41.7% of the vote.[2] Trump carried Iowa by the largest margin of any Republican candidate since Ronald Reagan in 1980. Trump enjoyed the support of working-class whites in the agricultural industry, as well as the endorsements of Iowa's GOP establishment.[3][4] The difference of 9.4% points was the largest winning margin for Trump in a state that had voted for Barack Obama in 2012. He carried 93 out of 99 counties, the most for a Republican presidential nominee since 1980. This was the first time since 1988 in which Iowa didn't go for the winner of the popular vote.
Background
The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected to the presidency in 2008, running with U.S. Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[5][6] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[7] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50 percent for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[8][9] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[10]
Following his second term, President Obama is not eligible for another re-election. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either.[11] With their term expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate is asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.
Caucuses
Democratic caucus
Procedure
There is no ballot; instead, a unique form of debate and groupings chose delegates to county conventions supporting Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, and Bernie Sanders. The Iowa Democratic Party does not release vote counts or the numbers of these delegates.
| Candidate | State delegate equivalents | Estimated delegates | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
 |
700.47 | 49.84% | 23 | 6 | 29 |
| Bernie Sanders | 696.92 | 49.59% | 21 | 0 | 21 |
| Martin O'Malley | 7.63 | 0.54% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 0.46 | 0.03% | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Total | 1,405.48 | 100% | 44 | 7 | 51 |
| Source: The Green Papers, Iowa Democrats | |||||
County Conventions
In early March, the delegates chosen in the Caucuses met chose delegates to the Congressional District Conventions.
Republican caucus
| Iowa Republican precinct caucuses, February 1, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
|
51,666 | 27.64% | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| Donald Trump | 45,427 | 24.3% | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| Marco Rubio | 43,165 | 23.12% | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| Ben Carson | 17,395 | 9.3% | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Rand Paul | 8,481 | 4.54% | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jeb Bush | 5,238 | 2.8% | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Carly Fiorina | 3,485 | 1.86% | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| John Kasich | 3,474 | 1.86% | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Mike Huckabee | 3,345 | 1.79% | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Chris Christie | 3,284 | 1.76% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum | 1,783 | 0.95% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other | 117 | 0.06% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jim Gilmore | 12 | 0.01% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 186,932 | 100.00% | 30 | 0 | 30 |
| Source: "Iowa". cnn.com. Retrieved 23 November 2016. | |||||
Polling
General election
| United States presidential election in Iowa, 2016 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Republican | Donald Trump | Mike Pence | 800,983 | 51.15% | 6 | |
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton | Tim Kaine | 653,669 | 41.74% | 0 | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | William Weld | 59,186 | 3.78% | 0 | |
| Independent | Evan McMullin | Nathan Johnson | 12,366 | 0.79% | 0 | |
| Green | Jill Stein | Ajamu Baraka | 11,479 | 0.73% | 0 | |
| Constitution | Darrell Castle | Scott Bradley | 5,335 | 0.34% | 0 | |
| New Independent | Lynn Kahn | Jay Stolba | 2,247 | 0.14% | 0 | |
| Legal Marijuana Now | Dan Vacek | Mark Elworth | 2,246 | 0.14% | 0 | |
| Independent | Rocky De La Fuente | Michael Steinberg | 451 | 0.03% | 0 | |
| Socialism and Liberation | Gloria La Riva | Dennis J. Banks | 323 | 0.02% | 0 | |
| Totals | 1,566,031 | 100.00% | 6 | |||
| Voter turnout (Voting age population) | 72.0% | |||||
| Source: Iowa Secretary of State | ||||||
By county
| County | Trump | Trump % |
Clinton | Clinton % |
Johnson | Johnson % |
Others | Others % % |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adair | 2,461 | 64.58% | 1,133 | 29.73% | 127 | 3.33% | 90 | 2.36% | 3,811 |
| Adams | 1,395 | 66.24% | 565 | 26.83% | 93 | 4.42% | 53 | 2.51% | 2,106 |
| Allamakee | 4,093 | 59.12% | 2,421 | 34.97% | 227 | 3.28% | 182 | 2.63% | 6,923 |
| Appanoose | 4,033 | 65.73% | 1,814 | 29.56% | 139 | 2.27% | 150 | 2.44% | 6,136 |
| Audubon | 2,136 | 62.60% | 1,080 | 31.65% | 107 | 3.14% | 89 | 2.60% | 3,412 |
| Benton | 8,232 | 59.46% | 4,678 | 33.79% | 542 | 3.92% | 392 | 2.83% | 13,844 |
| Black Hawk | 27,476 | 42.66% | 32,233 | 50.05% | 2,368 | 3.68% | 2,328 | 3.63% | 64,405 |
| Boone | 7,484 | 52.72% | 5,541 | 39.03% | 643 | 4.53% | 528 | 3.71% | 14,196 |
| Bremer | 7,208 | 53.24% | 5,356 | 39.56% | 543 | 4.01% | 431 | 3.18% | 13,538 |
| Buchanan | 5,510 | 53.75% | 3,970 | 38.72% | 478 | 4.66% | 294 | 2.87% | 10,252 |
| Buena Vista | 4,903 | 59.23% | 2,856 | 34.50% | 288 | 3.48% | 231 | 2.79% | 8,278 |
| Butler | 4,921 | 65.50% | 2,157 | 28.71% | 219 | 2.91% | 216 | 2.88% | 7,513 |
| Calhoun | 3,468 | 67.22% | 1,398 | 27.10% | 173 | 3.35% | 120 | 2.33% | 5,159 |
| Carroll | 6,638 | 62.96% | 3,309 | 31.38% | 318 | 3.02% | 279 | 2.64% | 10,544 |
| Cass | 4,761 | 66.82% | 1,951 | 27.38% | 206 | 2.89% | 207 | 2.91% | 7,125 |
| Cedar | 5,295 | 55.50% | 3,599 | 37.72% | 365 | 3.83% | 282 | 2.95% | 9,541 |
| Cerro Gordo | 11,621 | 50.60% | 9,862 | 42.94% | 851 | 3.71% | 631 | 2.75% | 22,965 |
| Cherokee | 4,192 | 66.99% | 1,679 | 26.83% | 206 | 3.29% | 181 | 2.89% | 6,258 |
| Chickasaw | 3,742 | 58.15% | 2,266 | 35.21% | 236 | 3.67% | 191 | 2.98% | 6,435 |
| Clarke | 2,713 | 60.91% | 1,465 | 32.89% | 160 | 3.59% | 116 | 2.60% | 4,454 |
| Clay | 5,877 | 68.20% | 2,249 | 26.10% | 288 | 3.34% | 203 | 2.36% | 8,617 |
| Clayton | 5,317 | 58.24% | 3,237 | 35.46% | 334 | 3.66% | 241 | 2.64% | 9,129 |
| Clinton | 11,276 | 48.88% | 10,095 | 43.76% | 825 | 3.58% | 871 | 3.80% | 23,067 |
| Crawford | 4,617 | 66.58% | 1,991 | 28.71% | 172 | 2.48% | 155 | 2.23% | 6,935 |
| Dallas | 19,339 | 50.56% | 15,701 | 41.05% | 1,757 | 4.59% | 1,455 | 3.80% | 38,252 |
| Davis | 2,723 | 70.14% | 977 | 25.17% | 85 | 2.19% | 97 | 2.50% | 3,882 |
| Decatur | 2,296 | 61.49% | 1,201 | 32.16% | 123 | 3.29% | 114 | 3.06% | 3,734 |
| Delaware | 5,694 | 61.62% | 2,957 | 32.00% | 337 | 3.65% | 253 | 2.74% | 9,241 |
| Des Moines | 9,529 | 49.88% | 8,212 | 42.99% | 635 | 3.32% | 727 | 3.80% | 19,103 |
| Dickinson | 6,753 | 65.22% | 3,056 | 29.52% | 292 | 2.82% | 253 | 2.44% | 10,354 |
| Dubuque | 23,460 | 47.18% | 22,850 | 45.96% | 2,013 | 4.05% | 1,398 | 2.80% | 49,721 |
| Emmet | 3,124 | 65.73% | 1,357 | 28.55% | 139 | 2.92% | 133 | 2.80% | 4,753 |
| Fayette | 5,620 | 56.34% | 3,689 | 36.98% | 328 | 3.29% | 338 | 3.38% | 9,975 |
| Floyd | 4,375 | 54.28% | 3,179 | 39.44% | 241 | 2.99% | 265 | 3.28% | 8,060 |
| Franklin | 3,163 | 63.67% | 1,493 | 30.05% | 188 | 3.78% | 124 | 2.48% | 4,968 |
| Fremont | 2,407 | 66.95% | 963 | 26.79% | 115 | 3.20% | 110 | 3.06% | 3,595 |
| Greene | 2,820 | 58.49% | 1,691 | 35.08% | 160 | 3.32% | 150 | 3.10% | 4,821 |
| Grundy | 4,527 | 65.88% | 1,856 | 27.01% | 233 | 3.39% | 256 | 3.73% | 6,872 |
| Guthrie | 3,628 | 63.10% | 1,732 | 30.12% | 258 | 4.49% | 132 | 2.29% | 5,750 |
| Hamilton | 4,463 | 58.01% | 2,726 | 35.43% | 259 | 3.37% | 246 | 3.19% | 7,694 |
| Hancock | 3,977 | 67.74% | 1,587 | 27.03% | 166 | 2.83% | 141 | 2.40% | 5,871 |
| Hardin | 5,254 | 61.57% | 2,787 | 32.66% | 298 | 3.49% | 194 | 2.28% | 8,533 |
| Harrison | 4,902 | 65.67% | 2,131 | 28.55% | 210 | 2.81% | 222 | 2.98% | 7,465 |
| Henry | 5,779 | 61.45% | 2,904 | 30.88% | 337 | 3.58% | 384 | 4.08% | 9,404 |
| Howard | 2,611 | 57.27% | 1,677 | 36.78% | 131 | 2.87% | 140 | 3.07% | 4,559 |
| Humboldt | 3,568 | 70.14% | 1,252 | 24.61% | 127 | 2.50% | 140 | 2.75% | 5,087 |
| Ida | 2,655 | 73.50% | 792 | 21.93% | 103 | 2.85% | 62 | 1.71% | 3,612 |
| Iowa | 5,205 | 58.46% | 3,084 | 34.64% | 317 | 3.56% | 298 | 3.35% | 8,904 |
| Jackson | 5,824 | 56.49% | 3,837 | 37.22% | 319 | 3.09% | 330 | 3.19% | 10,310 |
| Jasper | 11,560 | 57.48% | 6,109 | 35.35% | 715 | 3.76% | 650 | 3.42% | 19,034 |
| Jefferson | 3,748 | 45.95% | 3,710 | 45.49% | 246 | 3.02% | 452 | 5.55% | 8,156 |
| Johnson | 21,044 | 27.35% | 50,200 | 65.25% | 2,758 | 3.58% | 2,938 | 3.82% | 76,940 |
| Jones | 5,720 | 56.45% | 3,787 | 37.37% | 305 | 3.01% | 321 | 3.17% | 10,133 |
| Keokuk | 3,390 | 68.00% | 1,342 | 26.92% | 139 | 2.79% | 114 | 2.28% | 4,985 |
| Kossuth | 5,653 | 65.68% | 2,543 | 29.55% | 194 | 2.25% | 217 | 2.52% | 8,607 |
| Lee | 8,803 | 54.50% | 6,215 | 38.48% | 510 | 3.16% | 623 | 3.86% | 16,151 |
| Linn | 48,390 | 41.32% | 58,935 | 50.33% | 5,557 | 4.75% | 4,216 | 3.60% | 117,098 |
| Louisa | 3,069 | 61.28% | 1,648 | 32.91% | 136 | 2.72% | 155 | 3.10% | 5,008 |
| Lucas | 2,877 | 66.08% | 1,239 | 28.46% | 115 | 2.64% | 123 | 2.82% | 4,354 |
| Lyon | 5,192 | 81.42% | 920 | 14.43% | 137 | 2.15% | 128 | 2.00% | 6,377 |
| Madison | 5,360 | 62.07% | 2,678 | 31.01% | 347 | 4.02% | 251 | 2.90% | 8,636 |
| Mahaska | 7,432 | 69.90% | 2,619 | 24.63% | 318 | 2.99% | 263 | 2.48% | 10,632 |
| Marion | 10,962 | 61.53% | 5,482 | 30.77% | 706 | 3.96% | 666 | 3.74% | 17,816 |
| Marshall | 9,146 | 50.87% | 7,652 | 42.56% | 577 | 3.21% | 605 | 3.37% | 17,980 |
| Mills | 5,867 | 66.82% | 1,996 | 26.11% | 307 | 3.99% | 234 | 3.05% | 7,698 |
| Mitchell | 3,190 | 58.89% | 1,888 | 34.85% | 210 | 3.88% | 129 | 2.39% | 5,417 |
| Monona | 3,120 | 68.24% | 1,247 | 27.27% | 112 | 2.45% | 93 | 2.03% | 4,572 |
| Monroe | 2,638 | 68.25% | 1,056 | 27.32% | 104 | 2.69% | 67 | 1.74% | 3,865 |
| Montgomery | 3,436 | 68.12% | 1,314 | 26.05% | 152 | 3.01% | 142 | 2.82% | 5,044 |
| Muscatine | 9,584 | 49.32% | 8,368 | 43.06% | 748 | 3.85% | 734 | 3.78% | 19,434 |
| O'Brien | 5,752 | 77.67% | 1,315 | 17.76% | 197 | 2.66% | 142 | 1.93% | 7,406 |
| Osceola | 2,531 | 78.77% | 552 | 17.18% | 73 | 2.27% | 57 | 1.76% | 3,213 |
| Page | 4,893 | 69.46% | 1,807 | 25.65% | 176 | 2.50% | 168 | 2.40% | 7,044 |
| Palo Alto | 3,081 | 65.51% | 1,398 | 29.73% | 131 | 2.79% | 93 | 1.99% | 4,703 |
| Plymouth | 9,680 | 73.39% | 2,885 | 21.87% | 343 | 2.60% | 282 | 2.13% | 13,190 |
| Pocahontas | 2,702 | 69.91% | 963 | 24.92% | 115 | 2.98% | 85 | 2.20% | 3,865 |
| Polk | 93,492 | 40.38% | 119,804 | 51.74% | 10,029 | 4.33% | 8,230 | 3.56% | 231,555 |
| Pottawattamie | 24,447 | 57.28% | 15,355 | 35.98% | 1,469 | 3.44% | 1,409 | 3.30% | 42,680 |
| Poweshiek | 4,946 | 50.30% | 4,304 | 43.77% | 283 | 2.88% | 300 | 3.06% | 9,833 |
| Ringgold | 1,824 | 67.38% | 753 | 27.82% | 72 | 2.66% | 58 | 2.14% | 2,707 |
| Sac | 3,703 | 71.05% | 1,270 | 24.37% | 129 | 2.48% | 110 | 2.12% | 5,212 |
| Scott | 39,149 | 45.41% | 40,440 | 46.90% | 3,555 | 4.12% | 3,076 | 3.57% | 86,220 |
| Shelby | 4,362 | 68.48% | 1,662 | 26.09% | 174 | 2.73% | 172 | 2.70% | 6,370 |
| Sioux | 14,785 | 81.26% | 2,300 | 12.64% | 435 | 2.39% | 674 | 3.70% | 18,194 |
| Story | 19,458 | 38.40% | 25,709 | 50.74% | 3,014 | 5.95% | 2,486 | 4.90% | 50,667 |
| Tama | 4,971 | 56.80% | 3,196 | 36.52% | 245 | 2.80% | 340 | 3.88% | 8,752 |
| Taylor | 2,111 | 69.69% | 758 | 25.02% | 97 | 3.20% | 63 | 2.08% | 3,029 |
| Union | 3,525 | 60.44% | 1,922 | 32.96% | 213 | 3.65% | 172 | 2.96% | 5,832 |
| Van Buren | 2,527 | 70.96% | 845 | 23.73% | 83 | 2.33% | 106 | 2.98% | 3,561 |
| Wapello | 8,715 | 57.53% | 5,594 | 36.93% | 380 | 2.51% | 460 | 3.04% | 15,149 |
| Warren | 14,814 | 54.26% | 10,411 | 38.14% | 1,275 | 4.67% | 800 | 2.92% | 27,300 |
| Washington | 6,173 | 56.48% | 3,943 | 36.08% | 459 | 4.20% | 354 | 3.24% | 10,929 |
| Wayne | 2,069 | 70.37% | 719 | 24.46% | 78 | 2.65% | 74 | 2.52% | 2,940 |
| Webster | 10,056 | 57.69% | 6,305 | 36.17% | 569 | 3.26% | 500 | 2.88% | 17,430 |
| Winnebago | 3,447 | 59.56% | 1,931 | 33.37% | 218 | 3.77% | 191 | 3.30% | 5,787 |
| Winneshiek | 5,344 | 47.03% | 5,254 | 46.24% | 382 | 3.36% | 382 | 3.36% | 11,362 |
| Woodbury | 24,727 | 56.56% | 16,210 | 37.08% | 1,179 | 2.70% | 1,602 | 3.67% | 43,718 |
| Worth | 2,453 | 57.62% | 1,530 | 35.94% | 165 | 3.88% | 109 | 2.55% | 4,257 |
| Wright | 3,800 | 63.06% | 1,896 | 31.46% | 176 | 2.92% | 154 | 2.56% | 6,026 |
| Iowa Total | 800,983 | 51.15% | 653,669 | 41.74% | 59,186 | 3.78% | 52,193 | 3.33% | 1,566,031 |
By congressional district
Trump won all 4 of the congressional districts.[12]
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 48% | 45% | Rod Blum |
| 2nd | 49% | 44% | Dave Loebsack |
| 3rd | 48% | 45% | David Young |
| 4th | 60% | 33% | Steve King |
See also
| Elections in Iowa |
|---|
 |
References
- ↑ "2016 Primary Calendar and Results". nytimes.com. Retrieved January 25, 2016.
- ↑ "Iowa Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
- ↑ "Donald Trump wins Iowa on a wave of popular discontent". Des Moines Register. Retrieved 2017-01-16.
- ↑ CNN, Dana Bash and Abigail Crutchfield. "Can Trump turn Iowa red?". CNN. Retrieved 2017-01-16.
- ↑ "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved January 30, 2009.
- ↑ "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
- ↑ "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
- ↑ "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015.
- ↑ Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
- ↑ Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
- ↑ "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015.
- ↑ http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/
External links
- RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
- Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
- 2016 Presidential primaries, ElectionProjection.com
