United States presidential election in New York, 2016

United States presidential election in New York, 2016
November 8, 2016
Turnout 52.45% (estimated)

 
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state New York New York
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence
Electoral vote 29 0
Popular vote 4,556,124 2,819,534
Percentage 59.01% 36.52%
County Results
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

 Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in New York was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. New York voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote with the two major party's candidates claiming New York as their home state, the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Hillary Clinton carried New York with 59.01% of the vote, while Donald Trump received 36.52% of the vote, a 22.49% Democratic victory margin.[1]

New York State remained a solid blue state in the 2016 election, although Hillary Clinton received a smaller vote share than President Obama had in 2012, while Donald Trump slightly improved upon Mitt Romney's performance. Still, despite being born and raised in New York, and long being associated with the state, Trump decisively lost the popular vote.

  Republican—>30%
  Republican—25-30%
  Republican—20-25%
  Republican—15-20%
  Republican—10-15%
  Republican—5-10%
  Republican—<5%
  Democratic—<5%
  Democratic—5-10%

This presidential election marked the first time since 1944 when both party's presidential candidates had New York as their home state. In fact, it is also the first time since 1944 when both major party candidates even shared a home state, although only Trump was born in the state of the candidates.[lower-alpha 1]

Primary elections

On April 19, 2016, in the presidential primaries, New York voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated with either party didn't vote in the primary.[2]

Democratic primary

Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[3]

Similarly to the general election, both candidates in the Democratic primary had a connection to New York, as New York was Clinton's adopted home state, and the birthplace of Sanders.

New York Democratic primary, 2016
April 19, 2016 (2016-04-19)

 
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 139 108
Popular vote 1,133,980 820,256
Percentage 57.54% 41.62%
New York results by county
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders
New York Democratic primary, April 19, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 1,133,980 57.54% 139 41 180
Bernie Sanders 820,056 41.62% 108 0 108
Void 11,306 0.57%
Blank Votes 5,358 0.27%
Uncommitted N/A 0 3 3
Total 1,970,900 100% 247 44 291
Source: Green Papers, New York State Board of Elections

New York City results

2016 Democratic primary Manhattan The Bronx Brooklyn Queens Staten Island Total
Hillary Clinton190,806105,719183,662133,21017,612631,009
64.42%68.76%59.07%61.32%52.40% 62.65%
Bernie Sanders98,19446,189123,87281,76215,471365,488
33.67%30.04%39.84%37.64%46.03% 36.29%
Blank, Void2,6561,8343,3722,27253010,664
1.91%1.2%1.09%1.04%1.57% 1.06%
TOTAL291,656153,742310,906217,24433,6131,007,161
TURNOUT 47.20% 31.31% 36.42% 32.15% 28.17% 36.52%

Republican primary

Three candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3]

New York Republican primary, 2016
April 19, 2016 (2016-04-19)

 
Candidate Donald Trump John Kasich Ted Cruz
Home state New York Ohio Texas
Delegate count 89 6 0
Popular vote 554,522 231,166 136,083
Percentage 59.21% 24.68% 14.53%
New York results by county
  Donald Trump
  John Kasich
New York Republican primary, April 19, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 554,522 59.21% 89 0 89
John Kasich 231,166 24.68% 6 0 6
Ted Cruz 136,083 14.53% 0 0 0
Blank & Void 14,756 1.58% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 936,527 100.00% 95 0 95
Source: The Green Papers

Republican primary results by county

County Carson* % Cruz % Kasich % Trump % BVS Total Turnout MV%
Albany150 1.04%2,390 16.58%5,026 34.87%6,793 41.13% 5514,414 41.25% 12.26%
Allegany156 2.93%1,159 21.74%1,175 22.05%2,827 53.04% 135,330 43.63% 30.99%
Bronx127 1.75%1,164 16.00%1,148 15.78%4,730 65.00% 1087,277 19.57% 49.00%
Broome286 1.55%3,953 21.45%5,138 27.88%8,923 48.42% 13018,430 45.32% 20.54%
Cattaraugus113 1.74%1,298 19.97%1,419 21.83%3,636 55.93% 356,501 38.22% 31.10%
Cayuga70 1.13%1,136 18.38%1,942 31.42%3,024 48.92% 96,181 37.92% 17.51%
Chautauqua177 1.85%2,016 21.08%2,294 23.99%5,027 52.57% 499,563 38.35% 28.58%
Chemung N/A1,820 21.16%2,372 27.58%4,208 48.92% 2018,601 42.99% 21.35%
Chenango87 1.64%1,133 21.31%1,394 26.22%2,659 50.02% 435,316 43.33% 23.80%
Clinton N/A739 15.77%1,389 29.64%2,487 53.06% 724,687 33.05% 23.43%
Columbia63 1.32%744 15.62%1,271 26.68%2,662 55.88% 244,764 40.46% 29.20%
Cortland N/A900 22.66%1,276 32.13%1,710 43.06% 853,971 41.05% 10.93%
Delaware91 1.85%846 17.19%1,142 23.21%2,831 57.53% 114,921 42.63% 34.32%
Dutchess213 1.05%2,840 13.94%4,401 21.60%12,872 63.18% 4620,372 40.07% 41.58%
Erie N/A7,964 12.93%13,136 21.33%39,589 64.27% 90761,596 42.04% 42.95%
Essex68 1.71%664 16.72%1,274 32.07% 1,918 48.29% 483,972 36.82% 16.21%
Franklin62 2.27%433 15.83%763 27.90%1,460 53.38% 172,735 32.34% 25.48%
Fulton72 1.17%1,036 16.85%1,552 25.24% 3,456 56.20% 346,150 39.59% 30.96%
Genesee N/A1,032 16.54% 1,282 20.54%3,815 61.13% 1126,241 40.16% 40.59%
Greene N/A705 16.39% 838 19.48% 2,689 62.52% 694,301 37.08% 43.04%
Hamilton N/A210 18.77% 326 29.13% 565 50.49% 181,119 44.89% 21.36%
Herkimer107 1.47%1,042 14.35% 1,877 25.85%4,193 57.75% 427,261 41.32% 31.90%
Jefferson121 1.28%1,235 13.10% 2,860 30.34% 5,190 55.07% 199,425 41.69% 24.72%
Kings (Brooklyn)255 1.01%4,872 19.32%4,024 15.96% 15,920 63.14% 14425,215 25.12% 43.82%
Lewis71 2.29%476 15.36%898 28.99% 1,643 53.03% 103,098 36.49% 24.05%
Livingston116 1.62%1,329 18.54% 1,724 24.05%3,957 55.20% 437,169 43.60% 31.15%
Madison N/A1,358 19.87% 2,214 32.39%3,108 45.47% 1556,835 43.72% 13.08%
Monroe685 1.24%9,537 17.23% 16,870 30.47%28,034 50.63% 23955,365 43.98% 20.16%
Montgomery42 1.12%793 21.15% 865 23.07%2,039 54.39% 103,749 39.85% 31.32%
Nassau N/A9,902 9.54% 22,722 21.90%69,692 67.17% 1,437103,753 32.35% 45.27%
New York (Manhattan)254 0.93%3,586 13.08% 12,181 44.43%11,196 40.84% 19827,415 32.30% -3.59%
Niagara245 1.40%2,406 13.78% 3,321 19.02%11,450 65.56% 4317,465 41.26% 46.54%
Oneida252 1.23%3,335 16.33% 5,398 26.44% 11,332 55.50% 10220,419 43.10% 29.06%
Onondaga307 0.91%6,075 17.97% 12,055 35.67% 15,155 44.84% 20733,799 41.76% 9.17%
Ontario180 1.60%2,061 18.37% 3,380 30.13% 5,558 49.55% 3911,218 43.02% 19.42%
Orange217 0.89%3,120 12.75% 4,372 17.87% 16,659 68.07% 10424,472 35.94% 50.21%
Orleans61 1.45%720 16.65%799 18.95% 2,643 62.69% 114,216 40.68% 43.74%
Oswego188 1.57%2,026 16.88%3,285 27.37% 6,423 53.52% 8012,002 38.57% 26.15%
Ostego96 1.78%1,035 19.20%1,516 28.12%2,719 50.43% 265,392 41.92% 22.31%
Putnam61 0.70%986 11.36%1,587 18.28% 6,027 69.44% 198,680 40.96% 51.15%
Queens342 1.08%4,495 14.20%5,601 17.69% 20,951 66.18% 26831,657 27.36% 48.49%
Rensselaer100 1.10%1,576 17.27%2,600 28.48% 4,758 52.13% 949,128 38.70% 23.64%
Richmond (Staten Island)120 0.45%2,096 7.90%2,690 10.14% 21,521 81.09% 11426,541 34.76% 70.95%
Rockland104 0.70%2,367 15.92%3,158 21.24% 9,219 62.00% 2114,869 34.71% 40.76%
St. Lawrence124 1.74%1,074 15.04%2,036 28.52% 3,825 53.58% 807,139 36.07% 25.06%
Saratoga240 0.97%4,404 17.85%8,272 33.52% 11,673 47.30% 8824,677 41.91% 13.78%
Schenectady N/A2,010 20.93%2,946 30.67% 4,496 46.81% 1529,604 41.32% 16.14%
Schoharie N/A640 22.74%638 22.66% 1,497 53.18% 402,815 39.99% 30.44%
Schuyler42 2.21%405 21.35%461 24.30% 979 51.61% 101,897 40.85% 27.31%
Seneca56 1.85%521 17.21%854 28.20% 1,585 52.34% 123,028 40.86% 24.14%
Steuben262 2.24%2,401 20.50%2,755 23.52% 6,252 53.37% 4411,714 42.09% 29.85%
Suffolk735 0.73%9,099 9.01%18,694 18.52% 72,359 71.67% 77100,964 34.15% 53.15%
Sullivan N/A534 13.19%687 16.98% 2,742 67.75% 844,047 33.08% 50.78%
Tioga126 2.09%1,429 23.68%1,546 25.62% 2,926 48.48% 86,035 44.66% 22.87%
Tompkins105 2.11%1,342 26.96%1,691 33.98% 1,821 36.59% 184,977 42.82% 2.61%
Ulster142 1.41%1,332 13.19% 2,197 21.75% 6,388 63.24% 4310,102 36.63% 41.49%
Warren101 1.28%1,206 15.28%2,772 35.12% 3,761 47.64% 547,894 42.15% 12.53%
Washington7 0.13%1,048 19.15%1,839 33.61% 2,458 44.92% 1205,472 37.60% 11.31%
Wayne N/A1,627 19.99%2,016 24.77% 4,472 54.94% 1568,271 38.12% 30.17%
Westchester376 0.83%5,245 11.59%13,599 30.06% 25,880 57.20% 14745,247 35.31% 27.14%
Wyoming N/A749 17.40%724 16.82%2,752 63.94% 794,304 40.10% 46.54%
Yates43 1.56%425 15.44%884 32.11%1,388 50.42% 132,753 43.29% 18.31%
Total8,018* 0.86%136,083 14.53%231,166 24.69% 554,522 59.22% 6,636936,525 36.35% 34.53%

*Note: Blank, Void, and Scattering (BVS) votes include some votes for Former Candidate Ben Carson. Carson vote totals are unavailable in some county canvass returns. Only those available are posted. New York is a Closed primary state, meaning that the turnout is based on Active Republican Voters on April 1, 2016

New York City results

2016 Republican Primary Manhattan The Bronx Brooklyn Queens Staten Island Total
Donald Trump11,1964,73015,92020,95121,52174,318
40.84%65.00%63.14%66.18%81.09% 62.93%
John Kasich12,1811,1484,0245,6012,09625,644
44.43%15.78%15.96%17.69%10.14% 21.71%
Ted Cruz3,5861,1644,8724,4952,09616,213
13.08%16.00%19.32%14.20%7.90% 13.73%
Ben Carson 254 127 255 342 120 1,098
0.93% 1.75% 1.01% 1.08% 0.45% 0.93%
Blank, Void 198 108 144 268 114 832
0.72% 1.48% 0.57% 0.85% 0.43% 0.70%
TOTAL27,4157,27725,21531,65726,541118,105
TURNOUT 32.30% 19.57% 25.12% 27.36% 34.76% 28.49%

General election

Polling

Polls have projected New York to remain safely in the Democratic column for former Senator Hillary Clinton, despite it also being the home state of Donald Trump for his entire life.

Debate

The first Presidential Debate took place at Hofstra University. Snap polls indicated that Clinton won.

Candidates

New York is a fusion state, which means that candidates are allowed to be on multiple lines. Those on the ballot were:

Democratic, Women's Equality and Working Families Parties

Conservative and Republican parties

Green party

Independence and Libertarian parties

Gary Johnson and Bill Weld were nominated by the Libertarian and Independence Parties using separate elector slates. Their votes have been added together in the below table for convenience. [4]

With the introduction of computerized voting, write-in candidates were permitted. The following is a certified list of persons who made valid presidential write in filings with the State Board of Elections[5]

According to the New York Times, only 300 write-in votes were counted in 2012,[6] while 63,239 were recorded as "Blank, Void or Scattering".[7]

Results

United States presidential election in New York, 2016 [8]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Democratic Hillary Clinton 4,379,783 57.08%
Working Families Hillary Clinton 140,043 1.83%
Women's Equality Hillary Clinton 36,292 0.47%
Total Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 4,556,124 59.01% 29
Republican Donald Trump 2,527,141 32.93%
Conservative Donald Trump 292,392 3.81%
Total Donald Trump Mike Pence 2,819,534 36.52% 0
Independence Gary Johnson 119,160 1.55% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson 57,438 0.75% 0
Total Gary Johnson Bill Weld 176,598 2.29%
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 107,934 1.40% 0
Write-In Evan McMullin 10,373 0.13% 0
Others / Write-Ins Others / Write-Ins 50,890 0.66% 0
Totals 7,721,453 100.00% 29

Results by County

[9]

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Johnson% Johnson# Stein% Stein# Others% Others#
Albany 59.41% 83,071 34.19% 47,808 3.43% 4,792 1.77% 2,475 0.23% 317
Allegany 26.12% 4,882 67.01% 12,525 3.93% 735 1.47% 275 0.05% 9
Bronx 88.52% 353,646 9.46% 37,797 0.58% 2,312 1.09% 4,341 0.04% 154
Broome 45.56% 39,212 47.57% 40,943 3.77% 3,246 1.80% 1,546 0.30% 258
Cattaraugus 30.48% 9,497 63.19% 19,692 4.00% 1,246 1.41% 440 0.25% 79
Cayuga 40.76% 13,522 52.41% 17,384 4.09% 1,358 1.51% 501 0.28% 94
Chautauqua 35.20% 19,091 58.25% 31,594 4.06% 2,203 1.40% 757 0.19% 104
Chemung 38.09% 13,757 55.64% 20,097 4.01% 1,447 1.28% 463 0.25% 92
Chenango 33.61% 6,775 59.13% 11,921 4.54% 916 1.78% 358 0.09% 19
Clinton 46.91% 15,059 45.01% 14,449 4.09% 1,312 1.91% 613 0.21% 68
Columbia 49.46% 15,284 44.51 13,756 3.05% 944 1.94% 598 0.25% 76
Cortland 43.33% 8,771 48.90% 9,900 4.73% 957 1.85% 374 0.01% 3
Delaware 33.48% 6,627 60.34% 11,942 3.28% 650 1.90% 377 0.27% 53
Dutchess 47.54% 62,285 47.19% 61,821 2.75% 3,602 1.52% 1,988 0.23% 303
Erie 50.86% 215,456 44.45 188,303 3.00% 12,720 1.50% 6,367 0.18% 779
Essex 45.08% 7,762 46.22% 7,958 4.23% 728 2.44% 420 0.28% 48
Franklin 43.05% 7,297 48.50% 8,221 4.23% 717 2.12% 359 0.27% 46
Fulton 30.62% 6,496 63.46% 13,462 3.67% 779 1.47% 311 0.09% 20
Genessee 28.94% 7,650 63.99% 16,915 4.99% 1,319 1.23% 324 0.18% 47
Greene 33.58% 7,405 59.29% 13,073 2.93% 647 1.80% 398 0.12% 27
Hamilton 29.43% 949 64.00% 2,064 3.69% 119 1.36% 44 0% 0
Herkimer 30.79% 8,083 63.60% 16,699 3.82% 1,002 1.53% 403 0.26% 68
Jefferson 36.12% 13,809 56.92% 21,763 4.37% 1,670 1.61% 617 0.21% 80
Kings 79.51% 640,553 17.51% 141,044 0.85% 6,864 1.48% 11,932 0.08% 661
Lewis 27.78% 3,146 65.34% 7,400 4.38% 496 1.17% 132 0.09% 10
Livingston 35.62% 10,697 57.57% 17,290 4.25% 1,276 1.50% 449 0.06% 17
Madison 38.81% 11,667 53.01% 15,936 5.26% 1,582 1.72% 516 0.05% 15
Monroe 54.23% 188,592 39.27% 136,582 3.80% 13,205 1.52% 5,289 0.05% 186
Montgomery 34.61% 6,595 59.31% 11,301 3.62% 690 1.41% 268 0.28% 53
Nassau 51.33% 332,154 45.13% 292,025 1.75% 11,337 1.04% 6,734 0.11% 683
New York 86.56% 579,013 9.71% 64,930 1.41% 9,408 1.41% 9,441 0.16% 1,051
Niagara 38.48% 35,559 56.23% 51,961 3.10% 2,865 1.39% 1,287 0.14% 129
Oneida 37.08% 33,743 56.52% 51,437 4.12% 3,754 1.36% 1,235 0.21% 187
Onondaga 53.89% 112,337 40.13% 83,649 4.09% 8,524 1.53% 3,185 0.06% 121
Ontario 42.33% 22,233 49.55% 26,029 4.73% 2,846 1.62% 852 0.08% 40
Orange 44.91% 68,278 50.42% 76,645 2.54% 3,867 1.42% 2,154 0.12% 176
Orleans 27.29% 4,470 66.76% 10,936 4.15% 680 1.12% 184 0.18% 30
Oswego 35.48% 17,095 57.47% 27,688 4.44% 2,137 1.46% 705 0.33% 158
Otsego 40.72% 10,451 51.85% 13,308 4.15% 1,066 2.03% 520 0.27% 70
Putnam 39.88% 19,366 55.65% 27,024 2.41% 1,171 1.21% 590 0.12% 57
Queens 75.35% 517,220 21.76% 149,341 1.04% 7,116 1.34% 9,230 0.08% 576
Rensselaer 45.72% 32,717 47.13% 33,726 4.11% 2,944 1.89% 1,355 0.21% 150
Richmond 40.97% 74,143 56.05% 101,437 1.34% 2,432 1.04% 1,886 0.10% 176
Rockland 51.33% 69,342 45.09% 60,911 1.69% 2,284 1.00% 1,348 0.14% 193
St. Lawrence 42.11% 16,488 50.93% 19,942 3.69% 1,445 2.06% 807 0.20% 79
Saratoga 44.62% 50,913 47.83% 54,575 4.48% 5,116 1.60% 1,825 0.05% 59
Schenectady 50.16% 33,747 43.03% 28,953 3.90% 2,624 1.68% 1,127 0.24% 159
Schoharie 30.18% 4,240 62.85% 8,831 3.78% 531 1.95% 274 0.11% 15
Schuyler 35.24% 3,091 57.57% 5,050 3.52% 309 2.46% 216 0.27% 24
Seneca 40.75% 5,697 51.76% 7,236 4.56% 638 1.85% 259 0.04% 6
Steuben 29.82% 12,526 63.88% 26,831 3.97% 1,666 1.39% 585 0.25% 103
Suffolk 44.62% 303,951 51.46% 350,570 2.04% 13,916 1.19% 8,099 0.09% 615
Sullivan 41.96% 12,568 53.18% 15,931 2.45% 734 1.68% 504 0.08% 24
Tioga 33.75% 7,526 59.46% 13,260 4.17% 930 1.51% 337 0.24% 54
Tompkins 67.69% 28,890 24.30% 10,371 3.26% 1,393 3.23% 1,380 0.04% 19
Ulster 52.29% 44,597 41.32% 35,239 2.80% 2,392 2.52% 2,147 0.17% 147
Warren 41.68% 13,091 50.15% 15,751 4.00% 1,255 1.27% 863 0.26% 81
Washington 37.09% 9,098 55.49% 13,610 3.78% 926 2.36% 236 0.03% 7
Wayne 33.95% 13,473 58.91% 23,380 4.82% 1,911 1.43% 567 0.07% 29
Westchester 64.88% 272,926 31.20% 131,238 1.91% 8,042 1.04% 4,358 0.14% 602
Wyoming 22.57% 3,904 71.93% 12,442 3.89% 673 1.04% 180 0.20% 317
Yates 36.35% 3,659 56.23% 5,660 4.91% 494 1.45% 146 0.06% 6

By congressional district

Clinton won 18 of 27 congressional districts.[10]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 54% 42% Lee Zeldin
2nd 53% 44% Peter T. King
3rd 45% 51% Steve Israel
Thomas Suozzi
4th 43% 53% Kathleen Rice
5th 36% 63% Gregory W. Meeks
6th 32% 65% Grace Meng
7th 10% 86% Nydia Velázquez
8th 13% 84% Hakeem Jeffries
9th 14% 83% Yvette Clarke
10th 19% 78% Jerrold Nadler
11th 53% 44% Dan Donovan
12th 13% 82% Carolyn Maloney
13th 5% 92% Charles B. Rangel
Adriano Espaillat
14th 22% 77% Joseph Crowley
15th 5% 94% Jose Serrano
16th 22% 75% Eliot L. Engel
17th 38% 58% Nita Lowey
18th 49% 47% Sean Patrick Maloney
19th 51% 44% John Faso
20th 40% 53% Paul Tonko
21st 53% 39% Elise Stefanik
22nd 54% 39% Richard L. Hanna
Claudia Tenney
23rd 54% 39% Tom Reed
24th 45% 49% John Katko
25th 39% 55% Louise Slaughter
26th 38% 58% Brian Higgins
27th 59% 35% Chris Collins

Reflecting a strong nationwide trend of rural areas swinging hard against Clinton, Trump improved greatly upon recent Republican performances in rural Upstate New York. Upstate New York was historically a staunchly Republican region, although it had been trending Democratic since the 1990s, and Democrat Barack Obama had twice performed very strongly across both urban and rural upstate in the preceding two elections. Trump won 20 counties in New York State that voted for President Obama in 2012, 18 of which were rural upstate counties.

Clinton did win Upstate New York's traditionally Democratic cities and hold onto urban counties upstate. However Trump nevertheless also made gains in urban parts of upstate, which had long been in economic decline, due to his strength in economically distressed areas and his appeal to working class whites who traditionally vote Democratic. Trump's message on trade policy and pledge to halt job outsourcing appealed strongly to the Rust Belt region of the United States, where many local economies had been ravaged by loss of industrial jobs, which extends into Upstate New York cities like Buffalo, Rochester, and Syracuse. In Erie County, where Buffalo is located in Western New York bordering the Great Lakes, Clinton won only 51-44 compared with Obama's 57-41 victory in 2012. Clinton suffered her strongest swings against her in traditionally Democratic Northern New York along the Saint Lawrence River, becoming the first Democrat to lose Franklin County and St. Lawrence County since Michael Dukakis in 1988. Trump won St. Lawrence County 51-42, where Obama had won 57-41, and Franklin County 48-43, where Obama had won 62-36. Clinton barely held onto neighboring Clinton County 47-45, which Obama had also won 62-36.

The only upstate county where Clinton won by a stronger margin than Obama had in 2012 was the liberal Democratic stronghold of Tompkins County, home to the college town of Ithaca where Cornell University is located. Clinton and Obama both received 68% in the county, but Trump's unpopularity with young people and students led him to fall to only 24% of the vote compared with 28% for Romney.

Hillary Clinton's landslide statewide win was powered by an overwhelmingly lopsided victory in the massively populated five boroughs of New York City, the largest city in the United States, despite Donald Trump's longtime popular cultural association with the city. In New York City, Hillary Clinton received 2,164,575 votes (79.0% of the vote) compared with only 494,549 votes (18.0% of the vote) for Donald Trump. This represented a slight fall from Barack Obama's historic 81.2% in the city in 2012, and the borough of Staten Island flipped from Obama to Trump, however Trump’s percentage was virtually unchanged from Romney's 17.8%, and with huge victories in four boroughs Clinton's 60.9% victory margin over Trump was a slight decrease from Obama's record 63.4% margin over Romney, making Clinton's win the second-widest victory margin for a presidential candidate in New York City history.

Trump's birthplace borough of Queens gave Clinton over 75% of the vote and less than 22% to Trump. In Manhattan, home to Trump Tower, Trump's famous landmark residence, Clinton received nearly 87% while Trump received less than 10% of the vote, the worst performance ever for a major party presidential candidate in Manhattan. This made Trump's home borough one of only 3 counties in the state where Trump did worse than Mitt Romney had in 2012.

In the populous suburbs around New York City, Hillary Clinton won overall, although with the sole exception of her county of residence, there were strong swings against her compared with President Obama's performance. The downstate suburban counties around the city were historically Republican bastions, until Hillary's husband Bill Clinton made dramatic suburban gains for Democrats in the 1990s and easily swept every suburban New York county in his 1996 re-election campaign. North of the city, Clinton significantly further improved on Barack Obama's landslide margin in wealthy Westchester County, where the Clintons own their primary residence in Chappaqua, New York. Clinton won Westchester County 65-31 compared with Obama's 62-37 victory over Mitt Romney. Conversely, Trump made major gains on Long Island. Clinton won Nassau County by only a slightly reduced 6-point margin rather than the 8-point margin by which Obama had won it. However Suffolk County swung heavily to Trump, from a 51-47 win for Obama to a 51-45 win for Trump, the first time a Republican won Suffolk County since Bill Clinton narrowly lost it to George H.W. Bush by 1.5% in 1992.

While heavily Democratic New York City had secured consistent Democratic landslides in New York State for 3 decades, since 1992 every Democratic presidential candidate would have still carried New York State even without the massive Democratic vote margins provided by the 5 boroughs, albeit by substantially closer margins. In 2012, Obama won New York State outside of New York City with 54.03% of the vote compared with Mitt Romney's 44.54%. With Donald Trump having made major gains over Romney's performance across Upstate New York and improving overall in suburban downstate, Hillary Clinton was heavily dependent on New York City for her victory, receiving 2,191,869 votes to Trump's 467,254 votes, a citywide margin of 1,724,416 votes. However although just barely, Clinton did manage to continue the Democratic winning streak in New York State outside of New York City. Removing the 5 boroughs of New York City from the result, Clinton received 2,355,349 votes while Trump received 2,347,092 votes, meaning Clinton would have won New York State without the city by 8,257 votes, a margin of 0.17% out of all statewide votes cast outside of the city.

See also

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Both of the major party 1988 election candidates George H. W. Bush and Michael Dukakis were born in Massachusetts, and Bush was a Texas resident at the time of the election

References

  1. ↑ "2016 Presidential General Election Results". U.S. Election Atlas. Retrieved 6 Dec 2016.
  2. ↑ "The Green Papers Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions". The Green Papers. 2016. Retrieved January 27, 2016.
  3. 1 2 "Candidate Petition List". 21 May 2016. Retrieved 22 May 2016.
  4. ↑ http://www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2016/09/gary-johnsons-votes-wont-be-aggregated-in-new-york-105521
  5. ↑ https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/download/law/OfficialPresidentialWrite-Ins2016.pdf
  6. ↑ https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/03/nyregion/new-york-today-other-presidential-candidates.html?_r=0
  7. ↑ https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2012/General/President_07292013.pdf
  8. ↑ https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2016/General/2016President.pdf
  9. ↑ US Elections Atlas
  10. ↑ https://www.cookpolitical.com/introducing-2017-cook-political-report-partisan-voter-index
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