United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa, 2018
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All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||
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Elections in Iowa |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa will be held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. Representatives from the state of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
District 1
Republican Rod Blum, who has represented the district since 2015, was reelected to a second term with 54% of the vote in 2016.
The 1st district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 56% to 43% margin in 2012.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Declared
- Abby Finkenauer, Iowa State Representative[2]
- Thomas Heckroth, former staffer for United States Senator Tom Harkin[3][4]
- George Ramsey III, former military recruiter[4]
- Courtney Rowe, engineer and Bernie Sanders delegate at the 2016 state convention[5]
- Declined
- Jeff Danielson, State Senator[6][7]
- Brent Oleson, Linn County Supervisor[6][8]
- Steve Sodders, former State Senator[9]
- Stacey Walker, Linn County Supervisor[3][8]
Endorsements
Abby Finkenauer |
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|
Thomas Heckroth |
---|
|
Courtney Rowe |
---|
|
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Abby Finkenauer | 29,525 | 66.90 | |
Democratic | Thomas Heckroth | 8,467 | 19.18 | |
Democratic | Courtney Rowe | 3,320 | 7.52 | |
Democratic | George Ramsey | 2,786 | 6.31 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 36 | 0.08 | |
Total votes | 44,134 | 100 |
Republican primary
Incumbent Rod Blum ran for re-election to a third term and was unopposed in the primary.
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rod Blum (incumbent) | 14,581 | 99.00 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 148 | 1.00 | |
Total votes | 14,729 | 100 |
Green Party
Henry Gaff, co-chair of the Iowa Green Party, announced he is running as a Green Party candidate.[13] Gaff is only 18, meaning he will not meet the U.S. Constitution's required minimum age of 25 to be elected to the House of Representatives.[13]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 5, 2018
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Lean D | October 3, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Lean D | September 28, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Lean D | October 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[17] | Lean D | October 5, 2018 |
Fox News[18] | Lean D | September 28, 2018 |
CNN[19] | Lean D | October 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[20] | Lean D | September 28, 2018 |
The New York Times[21] | Lean D | October 5, 2018 |
Politico[22] | Lean D | October 9, 2018 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rod Blum (R) |
Abby Finkenauer (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Polling Company (R-Blum) | October 3–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 44% | 3%[23] | 8% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 18–20, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.6% | 37% | 52% | – | 11% |
Emerson College | September 6–8, 2018 | 250 | ± 6.4% | 38% | 43% | – | 12% |
DCCC (D) | February 13–14, 2018 | — | — | 41% | 47% | – | — |
Public Policy Polling (D) | February 12–13, 2018 | 742 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 43% | – | 15% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Heckroth) | November 2–3, 2017 | 737 | – | 42% | 43% | – | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 6–8, 2017 | 1,093 | ± 3.0% | 40% | 42% | – | 18% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Abby Finkenauer | |||
Republican | Rod Blum (incumbent) | |||
Green | Henry Gaff | |||
Libertarian | Troy Hageman | |||
Total votes |
District 2
Democratic Representative Dave Loebsack, who has represented the district since 2007, was reelected to a sixth term with 54% of the vote in 2016. Loebsack is running for reelection.[24]
The 2nd district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 56% to 43% margin in 2012.[1]
Democratic primary
Incumbent Dave Loebsack ran for re-election to a seventh term in office and was unopposed in the primary.
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dave Loebsack (incumbent) | 42,233 | 99.27 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 309 | 0.73 | |
Total votes | 42,542 | 100 |
Republican primary
Candidates
- Christopher Peters, Republican nominee in 2016[25]
- Failed to make primary ballot
- Declined
- Bobby Kaufmann, State Representative[6]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christopher Peters | 18,025 | 87.78 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 2,510 | 12.22 | |
Total votes | 20,535 | 100 |
Independents
- Daniel Clark[28]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[29] | Solid D | October 3, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Solid D | September 28, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe D | October 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[17] | Safe D | October 5, 2018 |
Fox News[18] | Likely D | September 28, 2018 |
CNN[31] | Solid D | October 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[20] | Likely D | September 28, 2018 |
The New York Times[32] | Solid D | October 5, 2018 |
Politico[22] | Likely D | October 9, 2018 |
Polling
Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dave Loebsack (D) |
Christopher Peters (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing (R-Peters) | September 8–11, 2018 | 425 | ± 4.8% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
43% | 37% | 3%[33] | 17% | ||||
Emerson College | September 6–8, 2018 | 250 | ± 6.4% | 45% | 21% | – | 28% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dave Loebsack (incumbent) | |||
Republican | Christopher Peters | |||
Libertarian | Mark Strauss | |||
Independent | Daniel Clark | |||
Total votes |
District 3
Republican David Young, who has represented the district since 2015, was reelected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016.
The 3rd district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 51% to 47% margin in 2012.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Declared
- Cindy Axne, businesswoman[34][35]
- Pete D'Alessandro, political consultant[36][37][35]
- Eddie Mauro, activist[38][35]
- Failed
- Theresa Greenfield, real estate executive,[39] failed to make the primary ballot. After her campaign manager was fired for forging signatures on nominating papers, she attempted to re-collect the 1,790 signatures necessary to make the ballot, but did not get enough signatures.[40]
- Withdrew
- Austin Frerick, former Treasury Department economist[41][42]
- Paul Knupp, psychiatric rehabilitation practitioner and minister,[43] withdrew from the Democratic primary to join the Green party
- Heather Ryan, nominee for KY-01 in 2008[44][45]
- Anna Ryon, attorney with the Office of Consumer Advocate[46]
- Mike Sherzan, businessman and candidate in 2016[47][48]
- Declined
- John Norris, former chief of staff to Governor Tom Vilsack, former Federal Energy Regulatory Commission member and nominee for IA-04 in 2002 (running for Governor)[48]
Endorsements
Austin Frerick (withdrawn) |
---|
Pete D'Alessandro |
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|
Polling
Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Cindy Axne (D) |
Pete D'Alessandro (D) |
Eddie Mauro (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co. | May 13–16, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 26% | 11% | 27% | — |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Axne | 32,070 | 57.91 | |
Democratic | Eddie J. Mauro | 14,582 | 26.33 | |
Democratic | Pete D'Alessandro | 8,595 | 15.52 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 136 | 0.25 | |
Total votes | 55,383 | 100 |
Republican primary
David Young is running for reelection to a third term in office.
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Young (incumbent) | 21,471 | 98.95 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 228 | 1.05 | |
Total votes | 21,699 | 100 |
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 11, 2018
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Toss-up | October 3, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Toss-up | September 28, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Toss-up | October 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[17] | Toss-up | October 5, 2018 |
Fox News[18] | Toss-up | September 28, 2018 |
CNN[19] | Toss-up | October 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[20] | Toss-up | September 28, 2018 |
The New York Times[21] | Toss-up | October 5, 2018 |
Politico[22] | Toss-up | October 9, 2018 |
Polling
Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Young (R) |
Cindy Axne (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 27–30, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
Emerson College | September 6–8, 2018 | 260 | ± 6.4% | 47% | 31% | 15% |
DCCC (D) | September 4–5, 2018 | 575 | ± 4.1% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
ALG Research (D-Axne) | July 8–12, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Axne | |||
Republican | David Young (incumbent) | |||
Green | Paul Knupp | |||
Libertarian | Bryan Holder | |||
Total votes |
District 4
Republican Representative Steve King, who has represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 5th district from 2003 to 2013, was reelected to an eighth term with 61% of the vote in 2016. King is running for reelection.[57]
The 4th district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 61% to 34% margin, after voting for Mitt Romney with a 53% to 45% margin in 2012.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Declared
- Leann Jacobsen, Spencer City Councilwoman[58]
- John Paschen, physician[59]
- J. D. Scholten, paralegal and former professional baseball player[60]
- Withdrew
- Declined
- Dirk Deam, Iowa State University political science professor[63]
- Chris Hall, State Representative[64]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | J. D. Scholten | 14,514 | 51.22 | |
Democratic | Leann Jacobsen | 9,055 | 31.95 | |
Democratic | John Paschen | 4,741 | 16.73 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 29 | 0.10 | |
Total votes | 28,339 | 100 |
Republican primary
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | 27,743 | 74.69 | |
Republican | Cyndi Hanson | 9,359 | 25.20 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 43 | 0.12 | |
Total votes | 37,145 | 100 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Likely R | October 3, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Likely R | September 28, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Likely R | October 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[17] | Safe R | October 5, 2018 |
Fox News[18] | Likely R | September 28, 2018 |
CNN[19] | Likely R | October 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[20] | Safe R | September 28, 2018 |
The New York Times[21] | Likely R | October 5, 2018 |
Politico[22] | Likely R | October 9, 2018 |
Polling
Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve King (R) |
J.D. Scholten (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expedition Strategies (D-Scholten) | September 5–9, 2018 | 380 | ± 5.0% | 43% | 37% | – |
Emerson College | September 6–8, 2018 | 240 | ± 6.5% | 41% | 31% | 16% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | J. D. Scholten | |||
Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | |||
Libertarian | Charles Aldrich | |||
Total votes |
References
- 1 2 3 4 "Morning Digest: Facing reality, Pat McCrory finally concedes North Carolina governor's race". Daily Kos Elections. December 6, 2016. Retrieved January 18, 2017.
- ↑ Pat Rynard (May 3, 2017). "ABBY FINKENAUER LAUNCHES CONGRESSIONAL BID ON WORKING CLASS MESSAGE". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved May 3, 2017.
- 1 2 "Stacey Walker may run for Congress in IA-01". Bleeding Heartland. June 13, 2017. Retrieved June 13, 2017.
- 1 2 James Q. Lynch (July 10, 2017). "Thomas Heckroth joins field of candidates seeking to unseat U.S. Rep. Rod Blum". Mason City Globe Gazette. Retrieved July 10, 2017.
- ↑ James Q. Lynch (May 30, 2017). "Cedar Rapids engineer Courtney Rowe joins 1st District Democratic race". The Gazette. Retrieved May 31, 2017.
- 1 2 3 "Democrats set to target Blum in IA-01; GOP will go after Loebsack in IA-02". Bleeding Heartland. February 3, 2017. Retrieved February 3, 2017.
- ↑ Steele, Ron (September 21, 2017). "Senator Danielson says he will not run for Congress in 2018". KWWL. Retrieved September 21, 2017.
- 1 2 3 James Q. Lynch (July 17, 2017). "Linn County Supervisor Stacy Walker won't run for U.S. House". Muscatine Journal. Retrieved July 27, 2017.
- ↑ "Steve Sodders rules out running for Congress in IA-01". Bleeding Heartland. April 17, 2017. Retrieved May 3, 2017.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Team Abby is Growing!". Abby Finkenauer for Congress. May 12, 2017. Retrieved May 12, 2017.
- 1 2 3 4 5 "Join Team Heckroth". Thomas Heckroth for Congress. Retrieved July 27, 2017.
- ↑ Almukhtar, Sarah (2018-06-05). "Iowa Primary Election Results". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2018-06-06.
- 1 2 Crippes, Christinia. "Green Party candidate announces 1st District bid". Waterloo Cedar Falls Courier. Retrieved 2017-09-14.
- 1 2 3 "2018 House Race Ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-08-13.
- 1 2 3 4 "House Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2018-08-18.
- 1 2 3 "2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-08-13.
- 1 2 3 4 "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Text "https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2018/office/house" ignored (help);
|access-date=
requires|url=
(help) - 1 2 3 4 "Fox News Midterms 2018 America's Election HQ". Fox News. Retrieved 2018-08-18.
- 1 2 3 "CNN Key Races: Path to House majority comes into focus as a dozen races move toward Democrats". Retrieved 2018-07-30.
- 1 2 3 4 "RealClearPolitics - 2018 Election Maps - Battle for the House 2018". www.realclearpolitics.com. Retrieved 2018-08-18.
- 1 2 3 "Elections 2018: Tracking the House Races to Watch in the 2018 Midterm Elections". Retrieved 2018-08-13.
- 1 2 3 4 "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election". POLITICO. Retrieved 2018-09-07.
- ↑ Troy Hageman (L) with 3%
- ↑ Dolmage, David (August 3, 2017). "Loebsack lays out plan for 2018". Newton Daily News. Retrieved August 3, 2017.
- ↑ Christopher Peters announces run for U.S. Congress, daily-iowan.Com, 2017/07/19.
- ↑ "Ginny Caligiuri announces bid for Congress in Iowa's 2nd District". Des Moines Register.
- ↑ "Iowa Starting Line on Twitter". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- ↑ "danielclarkforcongress.com". danielclarkforcongress.
- ↑ "2018 House Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2018-08-18.
- ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2018-08-18.
- ↑ CNN, Terence Burlij,. "CNN Key Races: Path to House majority comes into focus as a dozen races move toward Democrats". CNN. Retrieved 2018-08-18.
- ↑ Times, The New York. "Tracking the House Races to Watch in the 2018 Midterm Elections". Retrieved 2018-08-18.
- ↑ Daniel Clark (I) with 2%, Mark Strauss (L) with 1%
- ↑ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (June 2, 2017). "Cynthia Axne announces candidacy challenging David Young". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved June 2, 2017.
- 1 2 3 https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/candidates/primarycandidatelist.pdf
- ↑ "Democrat Pete D'Alessando exploring congressional run in Iowa's 3rd District". The Des Moines Register. April 25, 2017. Retrieved August 26, 2017.
- ↑ Pfannenstiel, Brianne; Ufheil, Angela (August 26, 2017). "Democrat Pete D'Alessandro will challenge David Young for Congress". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 27, 2017.
- ↑ Noble, Jason (July 27, 2017). "Eddie Mauro exploring run for Congress in Iowa's 3rd District". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved July 28, 2017.
- ↑ Noble, Jason (July 5, 2017). "Real estate executive Theresa Greenfield joins 3rd District race for Congress". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved July 5, 2017.
- ↑ "Democratic Candidate Theresa Greenfield Fails to Make it on Primary Ballot". whotv.com. 19 March 2018. Retrieved 19 March 2018.
- 1 2 Noble, Jason (August 4, 2017). "Democrat Austin Frerick is running for Congress in Iowa's 3rd". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 8, 2017.
- ↑ "Iowa Congressional Candidate Drops Out of Race". whotv.com. 17 March 2018.
- ↑ "Background on Paul Knupp, another Democratic candidate in IA-03". Bleeding Heartland. June 12, 2017. Retrieved June 13, 2017.
- ↑ "Heather Ryan launches untraditional Democratic campaign in IA-03". Bleeding Heartland. June 7, 2017. Retrieved June 7, 2017.
- ↑ Rynard, Pat (July 5, 2017). "3rd District Candidate Heather Ryan's Disturbing Past Comments, Videos". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved June 7, 2017.
- ↑ "IA-03: Democrat Anna Ryon is thinking about it". Bleeding Heartland. February 1, 2017. Retrieved February 2, 2017.
- ↑ Obradovich, Katie (March 1, 2017). "Democrat Mike Sherzan to run for Congress in Iowa's 3rd District". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved March 1, 2017.
- 1 2 "IA-03: Mike Sherzan is out, Pete D'Alessandro to decide soon". Bleeding Heartland. April 13, 2017. Retrieved June 16, 2017.
- 1 2 3 4 "Who's endorsed the seven Democrats running for Congress in IA-03 - Bleeding Heartland". January 11, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- ↑ "Ben Jacobs on Twitter". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- ↑ "National Nurses United Endorses Cathy Glasson for Governor and Pete D'Alessandro for Congress". National Nurses United. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- ↑ "Pete D'Alessandro". Our Revolution. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- ↑ "Bernie Sanders endorses Pete D'Alessandro in Iowa's 3rd District race". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- ↑ "Bernie's with Pete: Add your name". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- ↑ "The People For Bernie Sanders". www.facebook.com. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- 1 2 "Election Night Reporting". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- ↑ Koss, Emily (June 2, 2017). "Steve King Running for Another Term in Congress". WHO-DT. Retrieved June 2, 2017.
- ↑ Cauthron, Randy M. (August 10, 2017). "'Anybody with a strong vision can win here'". Spencer Daily Reporter. Retrieved August 10, 2017.
- ↑ Cannon, Austin (September 18, 2017). "Ames physician to run for Congress". Ames Tribune. Retrieved September 21, 2017.
- ↑ Noble, Jason (July 25, 2017). "Former Sioux City baseball player J.D. Scholten to run for Congress in Iowa's 4th". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved July 25, 2017.
- ↑ Petroski, William (August 21, 2017). "Dahl to seek Democratic nomination for Iowa's 4th District Congress seat". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 21, 2017.
- ↑ "Kim Weaver withdraws her candidacy in Iowa's 4th District race for Congress". Des Moines Register. Retrieved 2017-08-17.
- ↑ Rynard, Pat (2017-04-26). "Dirk Deam Passes On 4th District, Fred Hubbell Rumors Heat Up". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved 2017-08-17.
- ↑ Hayworth, Bret (May 1, 2017). "Sioux City's Hall mulls run for governor". Sioux City Journal. Retrieved May 12, 2017.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites for first district candidates
- Official campaign websites for second district candidates
- Daniel Clark (G) for Congress
- Dave Loebsack (D) for Congress
- Dr. Christopher Peters (R) for Congress
- Official campaign websites for third district candidates
- Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates