Illinois Democratic primary, 2016

Illinois Democratic primary, 2016

March 15, 2016 (2016-03-15)

 
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 79 77
Popular vote 1,039,555 999,494
Percentage 50.56% 48.61%

Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

The 2016 Illinois Democratic primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, the Democratic Party held primaries in Florida, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio, while the Republican Party held primaries in the same five states, including their own Illinois primary, plus the Northern Mariana Islands.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date 1st 2nd Other
Primary results March 15, 2016 Hillary Clinton
50.6%
Bernie Sanders
48.6%
Others
0.8%
McKeon & Associates[1]

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 428

March 12, 2016 Hillary Clinton
31%
Bernie Sanders
30%
Others / Undecided 39%
Public Policy Polling[2]

Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample size: 627

March 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton
48%
Bernie Sanders
45%
Others / Undecided 7%
CBS News/YouGov[3]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 756

March 9–11, 2016 Bernie Sanders
48%
Hillary Clinton
46%
Others / Undecided 6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[4]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 529

March 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
45%
Others / Undecided 4%
We Ask America[5]

Margin of error: ± 3.11%
Sample size: 994

March 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton
62%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Others / Undecided 13%
Chicago Tribune[6]

Margin of error: ±4.1%
Sample size: 600

March 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton
67%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Others / Undecided 8%
We Ask America[7]

Margin of error: ± 3.0
Sample size: 1,116

February 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Others / Undecided 15%
The Simon Poll/SIU[8]

Margin of error: ± 5.6
Sample size: 306

February 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Others / Undecided 17%
The Illinois Observer[9]

Margin of error: ± 4.23
Sample size: 560

February 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Others / Undecided 18%
McKeon & Associates[10]

Margin of error: ± 3.9
Sample size: 846

February 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton
36%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Others / Undecided 39%
Public Policy Polling[11]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 409

July 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton
60%
Bernie Sanders
23%
Others / Undecided 17%

Results

Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary Results – 2016
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Delegates
Democratic Hillary Rodham Clinton 1,039,055 50.56% 79
Democratic Bernard Sanders 999,494 48.61% 77
Democratic Willie Wilson 6,565 0.32% 0
Democratic Martin Joseph O'Malley 6,197 0.30% 0
Democratic Lawrence Cohen 2,407 0.12% 0
Democratic Rocky De La Fuente 1,802 0.09% 0
Democratic Others 27 0.00% 0
Totals 2,056,047 100.00% 156
Voter turnout %

Results by county

County Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Adams50.78%1,78447.08%1,654
Alexander59.97%77033.80%434
Bond44.94%71953.44%855
Boone41.11%1,95858.30%2,777
Brown49.23%16048.00%156
Bureau44.44%1,52354.27%1,860
Calhoun44.92%44750.65%504
Carroll48.75%62550.08%642
Cass46.93%50450.19%539
Champaign33.24%10,72166.48%21,440
Christian46.86%1,40151.14%1,529
Clark44.75%56252.87664
Clay44.89%37852.14%439
Clinton41.14%90857.54%1,270
Coles39.96%1,71458.92%2,527
Cook53.66%633,30045.49%536,805
Crawford49.96%60947.99%585
Cumberland39.57%36456.30%518
Dekalb33.10%4,14666.50%8,330
De Witt45.32%56153.31%660
Douglas42.27%48456.16%643
DuPage47.32%59,79852.35%66,163
Edgar47.40%44649.73%468
Edwards48.15%14349.83%148
Effingham40.35%86858.02%1,248
Fayette47.90%61650.00%643
Ford39.08%28859.43%438
Franklin42.13%2,17953.79%2,782
Fulton45.15%2,15353.26%2,540
Gallatin40.35%53150.38%663
Greene46.90%50749.49%535
Grundy39.44%2,05359.67%3,106
Hamilton42.83%41849.69%485
Hancock56.39%63141.82%468
Hardin40.40%16255.36%222
Henderson52.07%33945.47%296
Henry50.65%2,15948.44%2,065
Iroquois37.47%54460.67%881
Jackson37.40%2,84262.03%4,713
Jasper40.54%32853.65%434
Jefferson47.15%1,67849.93%1,777
Jersey43.59%85754.48%1,071
Jo Daviess51.44%1,32047.78%1,226
Johnson45.13%36152.50%420
Kane43.41%23,50556.21%30,234
Kankakee45.67%4,90253.67%5,761
Kendall41.54%5,61158.04%7,841
Knox47.27%2,95751.50%3,222
Lake52.68%50,27146.97%44,823
LaSalle43.47%5,27955.55%6,746
Lawrence46.85%41748.43%431
Lee39.46%1,29559.75%1,961
Livingston43.47%83255.07%1,054
Logan42.79%73956.40%974
McDonough41.43%1,05457.82%1,471
McHenry38.82%13,22160.78%20,702
McLean37.11%7,72662.48%13,008
Macon53.86%5,95845.15%4,995
Macoupin43.10%2,78354.78%3,537
Madison44.04%15,57255.04%19,463
Marion47.65%1,63049.93%1,708
Marshall49.01%56950.47%586
Mason49.10%68048.88%677
Massac51.38%54946.81%492
Menard44.37%39854.74%491
Mercer51.27%49646.61%860
Monroe44.21%1,43854.66%1,778
Montgomery48.28%1,25049.32%1,277
Morgan41.54%93657.17%1,288
Moultrie44.27%46753.65%566
Ogle40.17%2,64259.20%2,642
Peoria52.14%11,47347.31%10,409
Perry46.82%85550.99%931
Piatt43.01%78855.51%1,017
Pike50.92%49746.21%451
Pope37.20%10960.07%176
Pulaski61.70%38534.78%217
Putnam46.71%45551.75%504
Randolph44.59%1,31452.77%1,555
Richland43.75%44853.81%551
Rock Island51.62%10,24047.11%9,345
St. Clair59.95%24,21839.21%15,838
Saline45.95%1,05450.48%1,158
Sangamon46.91%9,29552.57%10,416
Schuyler54.36%36843.43%294
Scott46.58%15050.00%161
Shelby44.09%78352.98%941
Stark47.13%19751.44%215
Stephenson49.00%1,98949.99%2,029
Tazewell44.71%5,90554.46%7,192
Union43.23%92154.23%1,153
Vermilion51.23%3,04847.13%2,803
Wabash49.72%35648.18%345
Warren49.02%72650.03%741
Washington39.67%40957.71%595
Wayne41.27%31954.20%419
White48.96%56546.01%531
Whiteside47.95%2,90051.41%3,109
Will47.06%42,79952.42%47,674
Williamson42.23%2,98555.30%3,909
Winnebago47.11%15,09752.37%16,784
Woodford43.80%1,27955.48%1,620
Total50.56%1,039,55548.61%999,494

Source:[12]

Analysis

Bernie Sanders was able to hold frontrunner Hillary Clinton to a narrow 2-point margin in her birth-state of Illinois, by winning with voters under the age of 45 (70%-30%) who made up 39% of the electorate and white voters (57-42) who made up 58% of the electorate. He also won men, 53-45. According to exit polls, Sanders narrowly won the Hispanic/Latino vote 50-49. However, Clinton won with African American voters (70-30), women (55-45), and older voters (63-36), especially senior citizens (70-29), thus narrowly carrying the state in which she was born.

According to exit polls, Clinton won among voters who made less than $50k a year, with Sanders winning more affluent voters.

As became a trend in the Democratic primary race, Hillary Clinton won Democrats (57-42) but Sanders won self-identified Independents (69-30).

Clinton performed well in Chicago where the electorate is more diverse (she won 54-46) and in the Cook Suburbs (she won 53-46). Sanders performed well in the Collar Counties (he won 52-47) in the north (he won 53-46) and in the central/south part of the state which is whiter and more rural (he won 54-45).[13]

References

  1. "ANALYSIS: 2016 Illinois Democratic Primary" (PDF).
  2. "Midwestern States a Toss Up Tuesday" (PDF).
  3. "Poll: Trump and Kasich neck-and-neck in Ohio; Trump leads in Florida".
  4. "Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio".
  5. "Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary March 8".
  6. "Clinton holds commanding lead over Sanders in Illinois". Retrieved 2016-03-08.
  7. "Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary".
  8. "Simon Poll: Clinton, Trump Lead in Illinois" (PDF).
  9. "Poll: Clinton Lead in Illinois Over Sanders Slips".
  10. "Poll: Bernie Sanders Gaining On Hillary Clinton In Illinois".
  11. "Kirk Unpopular, Trails Duckworth" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved 2015-07-29.
  12. http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
  13. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-09-25.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.