New Jersey Democratic primary, 2016

New Jersey Democratic primary, 2016
June 7, 2016 (2016-06-07)

 
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 79 47
Popular vote 566,247[1] 328,058
Percentage 63.32% 36.68%
Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

The 2016 New Jersey Democratic primary was held on June 7 in the U.S. state of New Jersey as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Democratic Party's primaries in California, Montana, New Mexico and South Dakota were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own New Jersey primary. Additionally, the Democratic Party held North Dakota caucuses the same day.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date 1st 2nd Other
Official Primary results June 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton
63.3%		 Bernie Sanders
36.7%
CBS/YouGov[2]

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 586

 May 31 –
June 3, 2016		 Hillary Clinton
61%		 Bernie Sanders
34%		 Others / Undecided
5%
American Research Group[3]

Margin of error: ± -%
Sample size: 400

 May 31 –
June 2, 2016		 Hillary Clinton
60%		 Bernie Sanders
37%		 Others / Undecided
3%
Quinnipiac[4]

Margin of error: ± 3.7%
Sample size: 696

 May 10-16, 2016 Hillary Clinton
54%		 Bernie Sanders
40%		 Others / Undecided
6%
Monmouth University[5]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 301

 May 1-3, 2016 Hillary Clinton
60%		 Bernie Sanders
32%		 Others / Undecided
8%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll[6]

Margin of error: ± 6.3%
Sample Size: 292

 April 1-8, 2016 Hillary Clinton
51%		 Bernie Sanders
42%		 Others / Undecided
7%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll[7]

Margin of error: ± 6.2%
Sample Size: 304

 February 6–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton
55%		 Bernie Sanders
32%		 Others / Undecided
13%
Polls in 2015
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll[8]

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample Size: 304

 November 30 – December 6, 2015 Hillary Clinton
60%		 Bernie Sanders
19%		 Martin O'Malley 1% Other 3%, Don't know 17%
Farleigh Dickenson University[9]

Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample Size: 830

 November 9–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton
64%		 Bernie Sanders
27%		 Martin O'Malley 2% DK/Refused 3%, Wouldn't Vote 3%, Other 1%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll[10]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 367

 October 3–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton
49%		 Bernie Sanders
19%		 Joe Biden
10%		 Other 3%, Don't know 20%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[11]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 345

 June 15–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton
63%		 Bernie Sanders
15%		 Martin O'Malley
3%		 Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, DK/Refused 14%
Fairleigh Dickinson University

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 323

 April 13–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton
62%		 Another Democratic candidate 9%, Don't know 27%, Refused 1%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 539

 April 9–14, 2015 Hillary Clinton
63%		 Elizabeth Warren
12%		 Joe Biden
10%		 Bernie Sanders 3%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Don't know 7%
Joe Biden
36%		 Elizabeth Warren
28%		 Bernie Sanders
6%		 Martin O'Malley 3%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Don't know 21%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: ?

 January 15–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton
65%		 Elizabeth Warren
11%		 Joe Biden
7%		 Bernie Sanders 3%, Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Don't know 11%
Polls in 2014
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Rutgers-Eagleton

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 280

 December 3–10, 2014 Hillary Clinton
54%		 Elizabeth Warren
6%		 Cory Booker
2%		 Joe Biden 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Other 3%, Don't know 34%
Rutgers-Eagleton

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 331

 July 28 – August 5, 2014 Hillary Clinton
59%		 Joe Biden
3%		 Elizabeth Warren
3%		 Cory Booker 2%, Other 4%, Don't know 30%
Polls in 2013
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Fairleigh Dickinson University

Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 337

 August 21–27, 2013 Hillary Clinton
63%		 Joe Biden
10%		 Andrew Cuomo
6%		 Elizabeth Warren 4%, Other 4%, Undecided 13%
Kean University

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample size: 420

 April 25–29, 2013 Hillary Clinton
67%		 Joe Biden
13%		 Andrew Cuomo
8%		 Martin O'Malley 2%, Other 4%, Undecided 6%

Results

New Jersey Democratic primary, June 7, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 566,247 63.32% 79 12 91
Bernie Sanders 328,058 36.68% 47 2 49
Uncommitted N/A 0 0 0
Total 894,305 100% 126 16 142
Source: The Green Papers, New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State

Results by county

Hillary Clinton won every county except for Sussex and Warren.

County[12] Clinton % Sanders % Totals Turnout Margin
Atlantic13,55660.62%8,80539.38% 22,361
Bergen57,31963.47%32,99436.53% 90,313
Burlington33,16663.02%19,46136.98% 52,627
Camden44,40062.27%26,90537.73% 71,305
Cape May3,96954.83%3,26945.17% 7,238
Cumberland6,89464.18%3,84735.82% 10,741
Essex77,83673.07%28,67926.93% 105,915
Gloucester18,01156.12%14,08243.88% 32,093
Hudson50,87566.34%25,81533.66% 76,690
Hunterdon5,79451.93%5,36248.07% 11,156
Mercer29,65066.00%15,27634.00% 44,926
Middlesex48,20261.01%30,80038.99% 79,002
Monmouth30,96758.07%22,36041.93% 53,327
Morris24,28558.32%17,35541.68% 41,640
Ocean19,66354.49%16,42445.51% 36,087
Passaic29,99767.63%14,35632.37% 44,353
Salem2,82156.46%2,17543.54% 4,996
Somerset19,83861.56%12,38538.44% 32,223
Sussex3,98642.91%5,30357.09% 9,289
Union41,60568.82%18,85331.18% 60,458
Warren3,41349.00%3,55251.00% 6,965
Total566,24763.32%328,05836.68% 894,305

Analysis

With its coalition of African Americans, Hispanic/Latinos, and college-educated, affluent Caucasian progressive/liberal professionals, New Jersey was seen as a state Clinton would win in the final batch of primaries on June 7. Having won the state eight years earlier against Barack Obama, Clinton managed a 26-point-routing against Bernie Sanders in 2016 despite the Sanders campaign's efforts in the state. She carried all counties in the Garden State but two, winning large victories in the cities of Newark, Trenton, and Atlantic City.

Following her commanding wins in New Jersey and California, Clinton was crowned the presumptive Democratic nominee despite Sanders's refusal to drop out until July.

References

  1. ↑ New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State
  2. ↑ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Jersey". CBS. Retrieved June 6, 2016.
  3. ↑ "New Jersey 2016 Primary Forecasts". ARG. Retrieved June 7, 2016.
  4. ↑ "IT'S BLUE JERSEY AS CLINTON OR SANDERS TOP TRUMP, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; CLINTON TOPS SANDERS AMONG DEMOCRATS" (PDF). Quinnipiac. Retrieved May 19, 2016.
  5. ↑ "NEW JERSEY: CLINTON HOLDS HUGE PRIMARY EDGE" (PDF). Monmouth. Retrieved May 4, 2016.
  6. ↑ "OVER HALF OF NJ REPUBLICANS CHOOSE TRUMP; CLINTON STILL LEADS BUT LOSING GROUND AGAINST SANDERS". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved 2016-04-18.
  7. ↑ "TRUMP, CLINTON CONTINUE TO HOLD COMMANDING LEADS IN NEW JERSEY; RUBIO A DISTANT SECOND IN GOP RACE". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved 2016-02-24.
  8. ↑ "CHRISTIE'S JOB APPROVAL HITS NEW LOW, RATINGS ACROSS THE BOARD CONTINUE TO SLIP; TRUMP STILL LEADS 2016 GOP FIELD IN NEW JERSEY, CHRISTIE RECLAIMS SECOND". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved 2016-02-25.
  9. ↑ "151117". View2.fdu.edu. 2015-11-17. Retrieved 2016-01-23.
  10. ↑ "Trump Still Leads Gop Field In New Jersey, Christie Falls Well Behind; Voters To Christie: End Campaign | Center For Public Interest Polling". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. 2015-10-15. Retrieved 2016-01-23.
  11. ↑ "2016 Candidates Polarize NJ Voters :: Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind Poll". Publicmind.fdu.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  12. ↑ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
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