Tennessee Democratic primary, 2016

Tennessee Democratic primary, 2016
March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01)

 
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 44 23
Popular vote 245,930 120,800
Percentage 66.07% 32.45%
Election results by county
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

The 2016 Tennessee Democratic primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Tennessee as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in ten other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in eleven states including their own Tennessee primary.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton
66.1%		 Bernie Sanders
32.5%		 Others / Uncommitted
1.5%
SurveyMonkey[1]

Margin of error: ?
Sample size: 533

 February 22–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton
54%		 Bernie Sanders
37%		 Others / Undecided
9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[2]

Margin of error: ± 3.8
Sample size: 405

 February 22–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton
60%		 Bernie Sanders
34%		 Other
6%
Public Policy Polling[3]

Margin of error: ± 4.4
Sample size: 500

 February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%		 Bernie Sanders
32%
Vanderbilt/PSRA

Margin of error: 6.7%
Sample size: 346

 November 11–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton
48%		 Bernie Sanders
28%		 Martin O'Malley
3%		 Undecided 10%, Other 5%, Wouldn't Vote 4%
MTSU[4]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 603

 October 25–27, 2015 Hillary Clinton
44%		 Bernie Sanders 16% Don't know 25%

Results

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 75

Tennessee Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 245,930 66.07% 44 7 51
Bernie Sanders 120,800 32.45% 23 0 23
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,025 0.54%
Uncommitted 3,467 0.93% 0 1 1
Total 372,222 100% 67 8 75
Source: The Green Papers

Results by county

County[5] Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Anderson54.7%2,32843.4%1,845
Bedford67.8%1,20829.3%523
Benton63.5%56032.5%287
Bledsoe60.7%39832.8%215
Blount53.1%2,73645.8%2,362
Bradley55.2%1,64443.7%1,302
Campbell66.7%65630.7%302
Cannon64.5%43932.0%218
Carroll67.6%72128.8%307
Carter47.6%77451.0%828
Cheatham56.2%1,06542.2%801
Chester69.0%34228.8%143
Claiborne61.7%54435.4%312
Clay70.9%27027.0%103
Cocke55.6%43643.3%361
Coffee62.5%1,50334.6%831
Crockett78.5%42419.1%103
Cumberland57.8%1,31239.1%888
Davidson65.3%43,69133.8%22,620
Decatur67.5%33026.8%131
DeKalb69.1%64130.9%286
Dickson67.1%1,49731.2%696
Dyer71.5%82226.5%304
Fayette84.1%2,00315.2%362
Fentress63.2%35234.3%191
Franklin64.8%1,59033.0%809
Gibson76.8%1,54921.2%427
Giles73.2%91525.2%315
Grainger61.1%28325.2%164
Greene53.4%1,07944.2%892
Grundy64.8%44529.7%204
Hamblen56.5%95140.5%682
Hamilton64.4%15,59834.7%8,411
Hancock53.7%8044.3%66
Hardeman87.7%1,72111.5%225
Hardin70.7%59127.4%229
Hawkins58.7%90638.0%587
Haywood88.6%1,19710.6%143
Henderson68.9%44329.7%191
Henry66.2%95730.0%434
Hickman60.9%54336.2%323
Houston67.1%32029.6%141
Humphreys67.7%73730.5%332
Jackson65.3%40731.5%196
Jefferson54.2%73543.6%592
Johnson51.6%24546.9%223
Knox51.0%13,13747.9%12,334
Lake77.8%18619.7%47
Lauderdale82.9%1,03515.5%194
Lawrence53.6%1,33235.9%893
Lewis49.2%23248.3%228
Lincoln67.3%72830.3%328
Loudon60.5%1,02637.6%638
Macon65.2%34332.1%169
Madison80.7%4,35118.5%999
Marion62.0%1,04633.0%559
Marshall67.4%83830.9%384
Maury63.6%2,36635.1%1,305
McMinn60.8%1,02736.6%619
McNairy74.5%71923.7%229
Meigs66.3%35430.3%162
Monroe63.6%1,23230.8%596
Montgomery65.2%5,55533.2%2,833
Moore65.1%20929.0%93
Morgan58.7%35637.1%225
Obion65.3%76029.7%345
Overton59.1%88531.9%477
Perry65.0%21532.6%108
Pickett75.6%21422.6%64
Polk47.9%75735.2%557
Putnam51.9%1,91645.9%1,692
Rhea57.6%50337.9%331
Roane60.1%1,45437.9%916
Robertson68.5%1,91829.5%827
Rutherford57.2%8,24341.7%6,016
Scott58.3%27338.5%180
Sequatchie56.1%27342.3%206
Sevier49.4%1,25948.6%1,241
Shelby80.1%66,46519.3%15,985
Smith70.6%65427.3%253
Stewart66.0%52730.6%244
Sullivan54.1%2,65343.9%2,153
Sumner64.3%4,22534.4%2,262
Tipton71.1%1,45428.1%574
Trousdale72.5%32125.5%113
Unicoi46.0%24451.3%272
Union60.1%31637.3%196
Van Buren67.6%24226.8%96
Warren64.3%1,31832.7%671
Washington45.8%2,44453.1%2,833
Wayne63.0%20834.2%113
Weakley63.2%86033.2%452
White60.6%68835.3%401
Williamson60.3%6,05539.0%3,911
Wilson64.1%3,87334.8%2,102
Total66.1%245,30432.4%120,333

Analysis

Clinton swept Tennessee, winning the primary in a 34-point-routing over Bernie Sanders. The intensity of her victory in the primary was delivered by African American voters, who comprised 32% of the electorate and backed Clinton over Sanders by a margin of 89-10. Clinton also won the white vote 57-42. Clinton swept all income levels and educational attainment levels in Tennessee. And though Sanders won the youth vote, Clinton won among voters over the age of 45 by a margin of 78-21.

Her strong support among African American voters handed Clinton an 82-18 showing in the Memphis area. She also won in Nashville 66-33, in Central Tennessee 66-35, and in Eastern Tennessee which is whiter and considered to be an extension of Appalachia by a margin of 58-42.[6]

References

  1. ↑ "Trump's Lead Looks Steady in Run-Up to Super Tuesday". Retrieved 2016-03-01.
  2. ↑ "Polls: Trump, Clinton Ahead in Super Tuesday States".
  3. ↑ "Subject: Clinton leads in 10 of 12 Early March Primaries; Benefits From Overwhelming Black Support" (PDF).
  4. ↑ "Carson leads the presidential field in Tennessee, but many still unsure, and more oppose than favor other top candidates". mtsupoll.org.
  5. ↑ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
  6. ↑ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-10-18.
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