Louisiana Democratic primary, 2016

Louisiana Democratic primary, 2016

March 5, 2016 (2016-03-05)

 
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 37 14
Popular vote 221,733 72,276
Percentage 71.12% 23.18%

Election results by parish.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

The 2016 Louisiana Democratic primary took place on March 5 in the U.S. state of Louisiana as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, Democratic primaries were held in Kansas and in Nebraska, while the Republican Party held primaries in four states, including their own Louisiana primary.

Clinton won every parish in the state except for Cameron and LaSalle Parishes.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Certified Primary results March 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton
71.1%
Bernie Sanders
23.2%
Others
5.7%
Magellan Strategies[1]

Margin of error: ± 3.3%
Sample size: 865

March 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
14%
Others / Undecided
25%
Public Policy Polling[2]

Margin of error: ± 4.4
Sample size: 500

February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton
60%
Bernie Sanders
29%
WWL-TV-Clarus[3]

Margin of error: ?
Sample size: ?

September 20–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton
57%
Joe Biden
22%
Bernie
Sanders
7%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%

Results

Clinton dominated in Louisiana winning all but two of the states parishes. Clinton was declared the winner in Louisiana right when the polls closed.

Louisiana Democratic primary, March 5, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 221,733 71.12% 37 7 44
Bernie Sanders 72,276 23.18% 14 0 14
Steve Burke 4,785 1.53%
John Wolfe, Jr. 4,512 1.45%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,550 0.82%
Willie Wilson 1,423 0.46%
Keith Russell Judd 1,357 0.44%
Rocky De La Fuente 1,341 0.43%
Michael A. Steinberg 993 0.32%
Henry Hewes 806 0.26%
Uncommitted N/A 0 1 1
Total 311,776 100% 51 8 59
Source: The Green Papers, Louisiana Secretary of States

Results by parish

Parish[4] Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Acadia53.7%1,86231.4%1,087
Allen55.1%53630.6%297
Ascension71.1%4,22123.3%1,384
Assumption71.4%1,13919.5%312
Avoyelles64.0%1,18124.7%455
Beauregard53.5%67930.8%391
Bienville76.9%1,05616.2%222
Bossier66.5%2,91927.0%1,187
Caddo79.8%16,66616.8%3,513
Calcasieu65.7%6,59426.2%2,625
Caldwell56.4%25026.9%119
Cameron37.4%12340.1%132
Catahoula60.6%43127.3%194
Claiborne76.3%76815.7%158
Concordia76.7%1,83013.8%329
DeSoto77.1%1,50816.3%318
East Baton Rouge78.4%32,96019.0%7,970
East Carroll88.0%5088.1%47
East Feliciana77.6%1,84714.6%347
Evangeline63.1%1,31923.8%498
Franklin65.5%65022.0%218
Grant48.6%36732.7%247
Iberia66.4%2,17124.7%806
Iberville69.6%3,69919.6%1,042
Jackson65.9%82721.3%267
Jefferson67.7%17,58127.1%7,024
Jefferson Davis56.0%73831.7%418
Lafayette59.7%5,92035.5%3,523
Lafourche50.5%2,51236.0%1,789
LaSalle30.2%13640.8%184
Lincoln75.3%1,69219.4%436
Livingston45.4%1,63338.7%1,392
Madison82.3%72211.2%98
Morehouse78.8%1,51315.5%298
Natchitoches68.1%2,54522.6%846
Orleans74.7%40,60124.1%13,086
Ouachita78.6%8,99515.8%1,803
Plaquemines71.6%67422.7%214
Pointe Coupee76.7%1,68016.1%352
Rapides71.3%4,72221.9%1,451
Red River75.3%53016.6%117
Richland76.1%69614.8%135
Sabine49.8%38733.3%259
St. Bernard62.3%1,05731.1%527
St. Charles69.2%2,24524.2%787
St. Helena83.8%1,40711.1%186
St. James82.2%2,11412.6%324
St. John the Baptist84.8%3,81812.5%564
St. Landry74.1%4,60619.1%1,184
St. Martin66.5%1,86924.6%690
St. Mary72.93%1,99619.55%535
St. Tammany57.2%5,99636.3%3,800
Tangipahoa65.7%4,26725.5%1,656
Tensas82.8%49210.3%61
Terrebonne66.7%2,64725.8%1,023
Union68.7%82218.1%217
Vermilion54.0%1,00234.9%648
Vernon49.5%61035.8%441
Washington69.3%1,66321.4%513
Webster74.8%1,87817.4%436
West Baton Rouge73.4%2,17819.9%589
West Carroll49.0%17131.5%110
West Feliciana80.1%90214.7%166
Winn63.5%48825.1%193
Total71.1%221,61523.2%72,240

Analysis

A state Hillary Clinton lost solidly to Barack Obama in 2008, she progressed to victory in 2016. With its heavily African American population, Hillary Clinton solidly defeated Bernie Sanders in Louisiana. The electorate in Louisiana was expected to be about half African American, as it was about 48% African American in 2008. Clinton won overwhelmingly in the major cities of New Orleans, Baton Rouge, Lafayette, and Shreveport, all with significant minority populations. Clinton also did well in the areas north of New Orleans and east of Baton Rouge in the 1st Congressional District, which is among the most conservative in Louisiana and the South at large. She also performed well in rural counties in Central Louisiana and those along the Louisiana-Texas border that are majority white as she had likewise done eight years prior.

After his narrow defeat in the primaries as whole, the Sanders campaign reported that Hillary Clinton had notched wins in southern states including Louisiana because Bernie Sanders did not compete with her, although this claim was widely debunked.[9]

References

  1. "LOUISIANA PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY SURVEY TOPLINE RESULTS" (PDF).
  2. "Subject: Clinton leads in 10 of 12 Early March Primaries; Benefits From Overwhelming Black Support" (PDF).
  3. "WWL-TV/Advocate poll: Carson the favorite of state's Republicans". Retrieved 2015-10-16.
  4. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
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