United States Senate election in Ohio, 2018

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2018

November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)

 
Nominee Sherrod Brown Jim Renacci
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Senator

Sherrod Brown
Democratic


The 2018 United States Senate election in Ohio will take place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown is running for reelection to a third term. He will face Republican nominee U.S. Representative Jim Renacci in the general election.

Brown is the only incumbent Democrat elected to statewide office in Ohio.[1] The candidate filing deadline was February 7, 2018, and the primary election was held on May 8, 2018.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sherrod Brown (incumbent) 605,448 100.0
Total votes 605,448 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Melissa Ackison, businesswoman[6]
  • Don Elijah Eckhart, candidate for the Republican nomination in 2016[7]
  • Mike Gibbons, investment banker[8]
  • Dennis Jones[9]
  • Dan Kiley[10]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Mike Gibbons
U.S. Senators
  • Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (R-KY) and 2016 presidential candidate[25]
Notable Individuals
State Representatives
State Senators
County Commissioners
Organizations
County Parties
Josh Mandel (withdrawn)
U.S. Senators
Individuals
Labor unions
  • CPPA – Cleveland Police Patrolmen's Association[65]
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Melissa
Ackison
Don
Eckhart
Mike
Gibbons
Dan
Kiley
Jim
Renacci
Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University April 24 – May 2, 2018 323 4% 1% 11% 4% 25% 55%
Fallon Research April 4–7, 2018 502 ± 4.4% 3% 2% 7% 1% 21% 65%
OnMessage (R-Renacci) March 20, 2018 3% 3% 8% 3% 36% 47%
SurveyUSA March 16–20, 2018 541 ± 5.7% 5% 5% 10% 1% 21% 58%

Results

Results by county:
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Renacci 360,455 47.39
Republican Mike Gibbons 241,099 31.70
Republican Melissa Ackison 99,368 13.06
Republican Dan Kiley 30,321 3.99
Republican Don Eckhart 29,441 3.87
Total votes 760,684 100.00

General election

Candidates

  • Sherrod Brown (D)
  • Stephen Faris (write-in)[71]
  • Philena Irene Farley (G, write-in)[72]
  • Bruce Jaynes (L)
  • Jim Renacci (R)

Endorsements

Sherrod Brown (D)
U.S. Senators
Others
Labor unions
Organizations
Jim Renacci (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Statewide Office Holders
State Representatives
  • Steve Hambley
U.S. Representatives
Mayors
Notable Individuals
County Parties
Organizations
State Parties
Newspapers

Note: These endorsements are only for the primary, not the general election.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[125] Likely D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[126] Likely D July 6, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[127] Likely D June 13, 2018
Fox News[128] Lean D July 9, 2018
CNN[129] Likely D October 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[130] Likely D June 21, 2018

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Jim
Renacci (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk University October 4–8, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 36% 0%[131] 10%
Baldwin Wallace University September 8 – October 8, 2018 1,017 ± 3.5% 50% 33% 18%
Ipsos September 13–21, 2018 1,074 ± 3.0% 50% 39% 2% 9%
Triton Polling & Research (R) September 18–20, 2018 1,003 ± 3.1% 53% 42% 5%
Marist College September 16–20, 2018 564 LV ± 5.0% 49% 35% 7%[132] 8%
52% 39% 1% 7%
796 RV ± 4.2% 49% 33% 10%[133] 9%
52% 39% 1% 8%
Baldwin Wallace University September 5–15, 2018 1,048 ± 3.6% 49% 32% 19%
Morning Consult September 2–11, 2018 1,592 ± 2.0% 47% 31% 22%
Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio) August 31 – September 4, 2018 822 ± 3.0% 46% 42% 12%
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) June 30 – July 10, 2018 1,485 ± 3.0% 45% 41% 14%
SurveyMonkey/Axios June 11 – July 2, 2018 951 ± 5.0% 52% 44% 4%
Marist College June 17–22, 2018 778 ± 4.4% 51% 38% 1% 10%
Quinnipiac University June 7–12, 2018 1,082 ± 3.7% 51% 34% 1% 12%
Suffolk University June 6–11, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 53% 37% 2% 8%
America First Action (R) May 29–31, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 45% 41% 10%
Fallon Research May 21–25, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 48% 34% 3%[134] 15%
Grassroots Targeting (R-Ohio First) April 2018 1,266 41% 40% 19%
SurveyUSA March 16–20, 2018 1,408 ± 3.5% 52% 38% 11%
Baldwin Wallace University February 28 – March 9, 2018 1,011 ± 3.0% 41% 29% 30%
SurveyMonkey/Axios February 12 – March 5, 2018 1,995 ± 3.6% 50% 45% 5%
Grassroots Targeting (R-Ohio First) February 2018 43% 38% 19%

Results

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Sherrod Brown (incumbent)
Independent Stephen Faris (write-in)
Green Philena Irene Farley (write-in)
Libertarian Bruce Jaynes (write-in)
Republican Jim Renacci
Majority
Turnout

References

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  60. Mike Lee [@MikeLeeforUtah] (1 June 2017). "I am excited to endorse @JoshMandelOhio for U.S. Senate. He is the conservative warrior Ohio needs to lead us to a stronger tomorrow. #ohsen" (Tweet) via Twitter.
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  73. "OH-Sen: Sen. Cory Booker (D. NJ) Helps Sherrod Brown (D) Take Down The GOP For Their Tax Scam Bill". Daily Kos. December 20, 2017.
  74. 1 2 Brodey, Sam (August 4, 2017). "Franken, Klobuchar step up early with 2018 campaign cash for endangered Senate colleagues". MinnPost. Retrieved August 5, 2017.
  75. Mehta, Seema (September 8, 2017). "Sen. Kamala Harris heads to a key presidential battleground state to fundraise for a fellow senator". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved September 10, 2017.
  76. "OH-Sen: Sen. Patty Murray (D. WA) Helps Sherrod Brown (D) Fight Back Against Trump & Mandel (R)". Daily Kos. December 27, 2017.
  77. "MI, IN, WI, MN, OH & PA-Sen: Sen. Gary Peters (D. MI) Helps Senate Dems Win Big In The Midwest". Daily Kos. February 27, 2018.
  78. "OH, WI, PA & MN-Sen: Warren (D. MA) Helps These Dems Continue To Stand Up To Wall Street". Daily Kos. March 9, 2018.
  79. Sherrod Brown. ".@ChrisCoons is right: We can angrily scroll through Twitter or watch TV and be upset about the direction of our country ... or we can knock doors and make phone calls. There's plenty to do. Let's get to work". Twitter.
  80. Sherrod Brown. "Thank you to everyone who joined us at our canvass kick-off and rally in Columbus with @KamalaHarris, @JoyceBeatty, @RichCordray, @BettySutton, @Donnelly4Ohio, and @RobForOhio!". Twitter.
  81. Sherrod Brown. "What a great day on the campaign trail with some very special guests!". Twitter.
  82. Justin Fairfax. "Proud to campaign for great Ohio Senator @SherrodBrown in Cincinnati! Let's take back Congress in 2018! #WeRiseTogether". Twitter.
  83. Perlman, Jason (October 18, 2017). "OHIO AFL-CIO Endorses Sherrod Brown For Re-Election To Senate". Ohio AFL–CIO. Retrieved November 3, 2017.
  84. Rankin, Rich; Johnson, Glenn; Arnold, Jerry; Meadors, Tim; Baumhower, Bruce (October 16, 2017). "United Auto Workers Endorses Sherrod Brown for U.S. Senate | UAW". UAW.
  85. Roberts, Cecile (April 13, 2018). "UMWA endorses Brown for Senate, five U.S. Representatives in Ohio primary - UMWA". UMWA.
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  87. Hagen, Lisa (January 20, 2017). "Major progressive group unveils first 2018 Senate endorsements". The Hill. Retrieved January 29, 2017.
  88. Pathé, Simone (April 13, 2017). "Liberal PAC Makes First Senate Endorsements of 2018". Roll Call. Retrieved April 14, 2017.
  89. Metzger, Ianthe (November 9, 2017). "HRC Endorses Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown for Re-election". Human Rights Campaign. Retrieved November 11, 2017.
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  91. 1 2 "Major Environmental Groups Endorse Sen. Sherrod Brown for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. March 5, 2018.
  92. "LegitPAC - LegitAction". legitaction.com.
  93. Stewart, Brian (August 1, 2017). "MoveOn Endorses Six Senators' Re-Election Bids, Backing 'Health Care Heroes' for Helping Lead Effort to Stop Trumpcare From Becoming Law, Embracing Progressive Policies in Trump Era". MoveOn.org. Retrieved September 10, 2017.
  94. https://www.ncpssm.org/pac/candidates-we-endorse-and-support/
  95. "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017.
  96. Tobias, Andrew J. (June 28, 2018). "Sherrod Brown nabs endorsement from Ohio doctors group". The Plain Dealer. Retrieved July 12, 2018.
  97. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". 16 July 2012.
  98. 1 2 Harrison, Heath (August 21, 2018). "Ohio CPA group backs Brown, Renacci, Faber". Ironton Tribune.
  99. ".@JimRenacci has worked so hard on Tax Reductions, Illegal Immigration, the Border and Crime. I need Jim very badly to help our agenda and to keep MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! He will be a fantastic Senator for the Great State of Ohio, and has my full endorsement!". Twitter. April 24, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2018.
  100. Mike Pence. "Congrats to my friend @JimRenacci on his #OHSen primary win tonight. I was for Jim Renacci before it was cool – back when we served together in the House. @RealDonaldTrump and I are with you & look forward to working with you in the US Senate. #MAGA". Twitter.
  101. Rob Portman. ". @JimRenacci has a track record of success as a job creator and battle-tested conservative leader, and I am proud to endorse him in the race for U.S. Senate". Twitter.
  102. Seth A. Richardson (January 29, 2018). "Rob Portman, Josh Mandel back Jim Renacci in Senate race". The Plain Dealer. Retrieved January 30, 2018.
  103. Mary Taylor. "My friend @JimRenacci is best positioned to advance President @realDonaldTrump's economic agenda. It's time to send career politician Sherrod Brown home, so I'll be voting Renacci on Nov. 6. (even though he once dressed an actress who was supposed to be me up in a cat suit 😂)". Twitter.
  104. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Hancock, Laura (January 19, 2018). "All sitting GOP members of U.S. House from Ohio endorse Jim Renacci". The Plain Dealer. Retrieved January 19, 2018.
  105. "Jim Renacci on Twitter".
  106. "Trump Jr. to campaign in Ohio for Renacci". ABC6OnYourSide.com. September 5, 2018.
  107. Jim Renacci. "Wave of conservative momentum behind our campaign for #OHsen continues. Honored to have earned the Brown County GOP's endorsement for US Senate tonight". Twitter.
  108. Jim Renacci. "Honored to have earned the Cuyahoga County Republican Party's endorsement today for U.S. Senate. Momentum & support from conservatives across Ohio continues to grow behind our campaign to defeat @SherrodBrown. #OHsen". Twitter.
  109. Jim Renacci. "Momentum keeps building for our campaign for Senate. Proud to have the support of Fulton County". Twitter.
  110. "Jim Renacci on Twitter".
  111. Jim Renacci. "Thank you Preble County GOP for the overwhelming support! #OHSEN". Twitter.
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  113. "History". BIPAC Action Fund.
  114. "Ohio Black Republican Association Endorses Renacci for Senate". Renacci for Senate. March 20, 2018.
  115. Andrew J. Tobias (March 20, 2018). "Ohio Right to Life endorses Anthony Gonzalez in Ohio 16th District congressional race, Jim Renacci for Senate". The Plain Dealer.
  116. "Jim Renacci on Twitter".
  117. "NRA Endorses Jim Renacci for U.S. Senate". National Rifle Association. April 10, 2018.
  118. Students for Trump. "Ohio has benefited tremendously under President Trump's policies, but liberal Sherrod Brown has obstructed every step of the way and voted against your big beautiful tax cut. Ohio must elect @JimRenacci in November!". Twitter.
  119. Bergum, Tatiana (July 26, 2018). "Pro-Life Group Endorses Jim Renacci Over Pro-Abortion Sherrod Brown in Ohio Senate Race". LifeNews.com.
  120. "Small Business Endorses Congressman Jim Renacci for the U.S. Senate". NFIB. August 2, 2018.
  121. Jim Renacci. "Proud to be endorsed by Ohioans for Concealed Carry. #OHSen". Twitter.
  122. "Ohio GOP endorses Mike DeWine in governor's race". 9 February 2018.
  123. "Jim Renacci in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate: endorsement editorial".
  124. "Renacci has the advantage in GOP race for US Senate". The Vindicator. April 30, 2018. Retrieved April 30, 2018.
  125. "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 22, 2017.
  126. "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 6, 2018.
  127. "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved June 13, 2018.
  128. "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  129. "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  130. "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  131. Stephen Faris (write-in) with 0%
  132. Bruce Jaynes (L, write-in) with 4%, Philena Farley (G, write-in) with 2%, other with 1%
  133. Bruce Jaynes (L, write-in) with 6%, Philena Farley (G, write-in) with 3%, other with 1%
  134. Philena Farley (G, write-in) 3%
Official campaign websites
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