United States Senate election in Maryland, 2018

United States Senate election in Maryland, 2018
November 6, 2018

 
Nominee Ben Cardin Tony Campbell Neal Simon
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Incumbent U.S. Senator

Ben Cardin
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Maryland will take place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maryland. Democratic incumbent Ben Cardin is running for reelection to a third term. The primary election for the Senate race was held on June 26, 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Ben Cardin
Organizations
Chelsea Manning
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ben
Cardin		 Chelsea
Manning		 Other Undecided
Goucher College February 12–18, 2018 409 ± 4.8% 61% 17% 3% 19%

Results

Democratic primary results(a)
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ben Cardin (incumbent) 450,890 80.4
Democratic Chelsea Manning 32,201 5.7
Democratic Jerome Segal 18,774 3.3
Democratic Debbie Wilson 17,741 3.2
Democratic Marcia H. Morgan 15,047 2.7
Democratic Lih Young 9,273 1.7
Democratic Richard Vaughn 8,844 1.6
Democratic Erik Jetmir 7,707 1.4
Total votes 560,477 100.0

(a) Source: Maryland State Board of Elections

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Tony Campbell,[2] of Baltimore County,[6] political science faculty member at Towson University[20]
  • Chris Chaffee,[2] candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[21]
  • Evan M. Cronhardt,[2] of Anne Arundel County
  • Nnabu Eze,[2] of Baltimore County,[6] Green nominee for MD-03 in 2016[22]
  • John Graziani, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 and candidate for MD-04 in 2014[2]
  • Christina J. Grigorian, attorney[2]
  • Albert Howard[2]
  • Bill Krehnbrink, perennial candidate[2]
  • Gerald I. Smith, Jr., conspiracy theorist,[2] of Cecil County[6]
  • Blaine Taylor, perennial candidate,[2] of Baltimore County[6]
  • Brian Charles Vaeth, perennial candidate[2]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Tony Campbell
State legislators[25]
Individuals
Sam Faddis (withdrew)
State Senators
Individuals

Results

Republican primary results(a)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tony Campbell 49,428 29.2
Republican Chris Chaffee 40,869 24.2
Republican Christina J. Grigorian 29,532 17.5
Republican John Graziani 14,844 8.8
Republican Blaine Taylor 8,485 5.0
Republican Gerald I. Smith, Jr. 7,200 4.3
Republican Brian Vaeth 5,194 3.1
Republican Evan M. Cronhardt 4,213 2.5
Republican Bill Krehnbrink 3,430 2.0
Republican Nnabu Eze 3,258 1.9
Republican Albert Howard 2,594 1.5
Total votes 169,047 100.0

(a) Source: Maryland State Board of Elections

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Candidates

Endorsements

Ben Cardin (D)
Organizations
Tony Campbell (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State Senators[41]
State Delegates
Individuals
Organizations
Neal Simon (I)
Organizations
Individuals

Debates

On October 7, 2018 Cardin, independent candidate Neal Simon, and Republican candidate Tony Campbell participated in the sole televised debate of the campaign.[50][51][52]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[53] Solid D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[54] Solid D November 14, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Safe D November 15, 2017
Fox News[56] Likely D^ July 9, 2018
CNN[57] Solid D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[58] Safe D June 2018

^Highest rating given

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ben
Cardin (D)		 Tony
Campbell (R)		 Neal
Simon (I)		 Other Undecided
Goucher College September 11–16, 2018 472 ± 4.5% 56% 17% 8% 1%[59] 14%

Results

United States Senate election in Maryland, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Tony Campbell
Democratic Ben Cardin (incumbent)
Independent Neal Simon
Libertarian Arvin Vohra
Majority
Turnout

References

  1. ↑ "United States Senate election in Maryland, 2018". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "2018 Candidate Listing". 2018 Gubernatorial Election. Maryland Board of Elections. June 15, 2018. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 "Candidates (criteria: 2018+Senate+Maryland)". Campaign finance data. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  4. ↑ Jouvenal, Justin; Portnoy, Jenna (January 13, 2018). "Chelsea Manning files to run for U.S. Senate in Maryland". The Washington Post. Katherine Shaver contributed. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  5. ↑ "Chelsea Manning officially files for US Senate race". The Seattle Times. Associated Press. January 18, 2018. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Divilio, Daniel (February 22, 2018). "Candidate filing last call Feb. 27 (Pt. 2: Filing)". Kent County News. Chestertown, Maryland. p. A15. Retrieved June 27, 2018 – via Newspapers.com (Publisher Extra).
  7. 1 2 "Somebody's already using the 'E' word". Community. The Enterprise. St. Mary's County, Maryland. June 28, 2017. p. A8. Retrieved June 27, 2018 – via Newspapers.com (Publisher Extra).
  8. ↑ Delaney, John (July 28, 2017). "John Delaney: Why I'm Running for President".
  9. ↑ Siegel, Rachel; Wiggins, Ovetta (2017-10-05). "Former Maryland congresswoman Donna Edwards to run for county executive". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved 2017-12-14.
  10. 1 2 3 Shurberg, Jonathan (June 7, 2016). "2018: Whither Ben Cardin?". Maryland Scramble.
  11. ↑ "AFSCME Maryland Council 3 2018 Primary Guide".
  12. ↑ "Afro 2018 endorsement guide".
  13. ↑ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Ben Cardin for Reelection". League of Conservation Voters. May 30, 2018.
  14. ↑ "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
  15. ↑ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
  16. ↑ ContraPointsLive (24 March 2018). "Discussion with Chelsea Manning" – via YouTube.
  17. ↑ The Jimmy Dore Show (15 January 2018). "Chelsea Manning Announces Senate Run - Democrats Smear Her" – via YouTube.
  18. ↑ Secular Talk (15 January 2018). "Chelsea Manning Is Running For Senate, Smug Neoliberals Smear Her" – via YouTube. That's awesome," says Kyle Kulinski of Manning's bid for U.S. Senate. "That's awesome." Summarizing her campaign video, he says: "The government is screwing you. That's the essence of the message.
  19. ↑ "Linda Sarsour endorses Chelsea Manning for U.S. Senate". The Washington Times. 16 January 2018.
  20. ↑ "Faculty" (PDF). Faculty Resources. Towson University. October 31, 2016. Political Science. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  21. ↑ "2016 Candidate Listing". Maryland State Board of Elections. April 26, 2016. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  22. ↑ "2016 Candidate Listing". Maryland State Boad of Elections. April 26, 2016. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  23. ↑ Murphy, Jack (May 31, 2017). "Former CIA Officer Sam Faddis running for Senate in Maryland". SOFREP. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
  24. ↑ Fritze, John (July 14, 2017). "Ben Cardin raises nearly $1M for 2018 reelection". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
  25. ↑ "Twenty One State Senators and Delegates". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018.
  26. ↑ "Ellen Sauerbrey Endorsement". Campbell 4 Maryland. May 16, 2018.
  27. ↑ "Campbell4Maryland". www.facebook.com.
  28. ↑ "Former RNC Chairman and Maryland Lieutenant Governor Michael Steele Endorses Tony Campbell". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018.
  29. 1 2 3 "I Stand With Sam". Sam Faddis For US Senate.
  30. ↑ Pyeatt, Jill (July 4, 2017). "Arvin Vohra, Vice Chairman of Libertarian Party, Announces Run for U S Senate". Independent Political Report. Retrieved January 13, 2018.
  31. ↑ "Shlikas will fix it!". Shlikas for Senate. Retrieved December 20, 2017.
  32. ↑ "Sen. Ben Cardin may get independent challenger backed by Centrist Project".
  33. ↑ Fritze, John (February 6, 2018). "An independent candidate for Senate in Maryland says 'it's about change,' as the incumbent files for re-election". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved February 11, 2018.
  34. ↑ "AFSCME Maryland Council 3 2018 Primary Guide".
  35. ↑ "Afro 2018 endorsement guide".
  36. ↑ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Ben Cardin for Reelection". League of Conservation Voters. May 30, 2018.
  37. ↑ https://www.ncpssm.org/pac/candidates-we-endorse-and-support/
  38. ↑ "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017.
  39. ↑ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
  40. ↑ Campbell4Maryland. "Tony Campbell has obtained the enthusiastic support of Dr. Ben Carson!". www.facebook.com.
  41. ↑ "Twenty One State Senators and Delegates". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018.
  42. ↑ "Ellen Sauerbrey Endorsement". Campbell 4 Maryland. May 16, 2018.
  43. ↑ "Campbell4Maryland". www.facebook.com.
  44. ↑ "Former RNC Chairman and Maryland Lieutenant Governor Michael Steele Endorses Tony Campbell". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018.
  45. ↑ "NRA-PVF". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018.
  46. ↑ "Campbell4Maryland". www.facebook.com.
  47. 1 2 "Campbell Releases New Endorsements". Red Maryland. September 27, 2018.
  48. ↑ "FRC Action PAC Announces Endorsement of Dr. Tony Campbell for U.S. Senate". FRC Action. September 18, 2018.
  49. ↑ "Statewide independents roll out national slate". EDWARD-ISAAC DOVERE. February 27, 2018.
  50. ↑ "Cardin defends record in first Maryland debate for U.S. Senate". Washington Post. Retrieved 2018-10-08.
  51. ↑ Dresser, Michael. "U.S. Senate challengers fault Cardin in debate for not solving problems". baltimoresun.com. Retrieved 2018-10-08.
  52. ↑ https://www.c-span.org/video/?452639-1/maryland-senate-debate
  53. ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  54. ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  55. ↑ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  56. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  57. ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  58. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  59. ↑ Arvin Vohra (L) with 1%
Official campaign websites
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