United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota, 2018

United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota, At-large district, 2018
November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)

 
Nominee Dusty Johnson Tim Bjorkman
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Representative At-large

Kristi Noem
Republican

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota will be held on November 6, to elect the U.S. Representative from South Dakota's at-large congressional district, who will represent the state of South Dakota in the 115th United States Congress.

Incumbent Republican U.S. Representative Kristi Noem will not run for a fifth term and will instead run for Governor of South Dakota.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Dusty
Johnson		 Shantel
Krebs		 Neal
Tapio		 Undecided
Mason-Dixon May 21–23, 2018 625 ± 4.5% 41% 23% 13% 23%

Primary results

Results by county:
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dusty Johnson 47,032 46.8
Republican Shantel Krebs 29,442 29.3
Republican Neal Tapio 23,980 24.0
Total votes 100,454 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Tim Bjorkman, former circuit court judge[8]

Failed to file

  • Chris Martian, former IT professional[9]

Declined

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • George Hendrickson, former police officer[16][17]

Independents

Candidates

Declined

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid R June 1, 2018
The Rothenberg Political Report[21] Solid R June 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R June 6, 2018

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Dusty
Johnson (R)		 Tim
Bjorkman (D)		 Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Johnson) August 1–3 & 5, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 54% 33% 10%
Public Policy Polling (D-Bjorkman) July 19–20, 2018 641 ± 3.9% 43% 33% 14%

Results

South Dakota's at-large congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tim Bjorkman
Republican Dusty Johnson
Libertarian George Hendrickson
Independent Ron Wieczorek
Total votes

See also

References

  1. 1 2 Ellis, Jonathan (November 14, 2016). "Noem announces historic bid for governor". Argus Leader. Retrieved November 15, 2016.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Pathé, Simone (November 15, 2016). "Who Could Run for Kristi Noem's At-Large Seat?". Roll Call. Retrieved November 15, 2016.
  3. ↑ Ferguson, Dana (January 29, 2018). "Former Trump state campaign director Neal Tapio announces bid for U.S. House". Argus Leader.
  4. ↑ Gonzales, Nathan L. (December 12, 2016). "How Tomi Lahren Could Get Elected to Congress". Roll Call. Retrieved December 15, 2016.
  5. ↑ Powers, Pat (May 20, 2017). "Man files Tennessee based Statement of Candidacy to run as Republican in South Dakota Congressional race?". South Dakota War College. Retrieved May 25, 2017.
  6. ↑ Heidelberger, Cory (May 22, 2017). "SD Republican Among First Ten Bernie-Bloomer "Brand New Congress" Candidates to File". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved May 25, 2017.
  7. ↑ Dockendorf, Randy (March 31, 2017). "Michels Says He Won't Run For Governor". Yankton Daily Press & Dakotan. Retrieved March 31, 2017.
  8. ↑ "Democratic Candidate Tim Bjorkman Kicks Off Congressional Campaign".
  9. ↑ Leischner, Mike (April 11, 2017). "Rapid City Democrat emerges as US House candidate". KELO. Retrieved April 14, 2017.
  10. 1 2 3 Hendershot, Evan (July 7, 2017). "Democratic town hall meeting sets the stage for possible campaign announcement". Mitchell Daily Republic. Retrieved August 6, 2017.
  11. 1 2 Lawrence, Tom (November 22, 2016). "The 2018 campaign is underway". Black Hills Pioneer. Retrieved November 24, 2016.
  12. ↑ Raposa, Megan (February 23, 2017). "Herseth Sandlin: 'I am done seeking political office'". Argus Leader. Retrieved April 1, 2017.
  13. 1 2 Anderson, Patrick (December 19, 2016). "Huether dumps Dems amid speculation of statewide run". Argus Leader. Retrieved April 1, 2017.
  14. ↑ Ferguson, Dana (April 12, 2017). "SD Dems' director exits for 'statewide' campaign". Argus Leader. Retrieved April 13, 2017.
  15. ↑ Ferguson, Dana (May 30, 2017). "Democrats, Sutton enter South Dakota governor race". Argus Leader. Retrieved May 31, 2017.
  16. ↑ Ferguson, Dana (July 15, 2017). "Medical cannabis advocate, former police officer enters U.S. House race". Argus Leader. Retrieved July 16, 2017.
  17. ↑ https://www.lp.org/2018-candidates/#participants-list-1
  18. ↑ Sneve, Joe (March 7, 2017). "Huether moves hint at 2018 run". Argus Leader. Retrieved April 1, 2017.
  19. ↑ Ferguson, Danielle; Sneve, Joe (June 22, 2017). "Mayor Mike Huether not seeking U.S. House seat". Argus Leader. Retrieved July 1, 2017.
  20. ↑ "House Maps". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2018-06-07.
  21. ↑ "South Dakota | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2018-06-07.
  22. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2018-06-07.
Official campaign websites
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