Florida gubernatorial election, 2018

Florida gubernatorial election, 2018

November 6, 2018

 
Nominee Ron DeSantis Andrew Gillum
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jeanette Núñez Chris King

Incumbent Governor

Rick Scott
Republican


The 2018 Florida gubernatorial election will be held on November 6, 2018, alongside a U.S. Senate election, U.S. House elections, and other state and local elections. Incumbent two-term Republican Governor Rick Scott is term-limited. Florida elects its governor and lieutenant governor on a joint ticket.

The candidate filing deadline for this gubernatorial race was on June 22, 2018, with primary elections being held on August 28, 2018. Florida uses a closed primary process, in which the selection of each party's candidates for a general election is limited to registered members of that party.[1] Ron DeSantis won the Republican primary, and Andrew Gillum won the Democratic primary.

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
State Senators
State Representatives
Local officials
Territorial officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Adam Putnam
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State Senators
State Representatives
Sheriffs
Organizations
Newspapers
Jack Latvala (withdrawn)
U.S. Representatives
Bob White
U.S. Representatives

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Corcoran
Ron
DeSantis
Jack
Latvala
Adam
Putnam
Bob
White
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing August 21–25, 2018 579 ± 4.1% 39% 27% 6% 4%[68] 23%
St. Pete Polls August 22–23, 2018 2,141 ± 2.1% 56% 33% 3% 8%
Gravis Marketing August 21–22, 2018 321 ± 5.5% 39% 24% 6% 4%[68] 26%
Florida Atlantic University August 16–20, 2018 222 ± 6.5% 32% 31% 2% 13%[69] 22%
Saint Leo University August 10–16, 2018 172 41% 52% 5%
SurveyUSA August 10–13, 2018 558 ± 5.2% 40% 38% 2% 5%[70] 16%
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis) August 5–7, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 50% 30%
Mason-Dixon July 23–25, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 41% 29% 0% 2%[71] 28%
Florida Atlantic University July 20–21, 2018 262 ± 6.0% 36% 27% 3% 12%[72] 23%
Clearview Research July 14–19, 2018 700 ± 4.0% 38% 39% 23%
St. Pete Polls July 16–17, 2018 1,709 ± 2.4% 50% 30% 4% 17%
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 905 ± 3.3% 35% 29% 4% 4%[73] 25%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R) July 8–12, 2018 349 ± 5.2% 42% 30% 27%
Remington (R-Tenth Amendment Project) July 2–5, 2018 2,826 ± 1.8% 43% 26% 25%
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis) July 2, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 47% 28% 25%
Marist College June 17–21, 2018 326 ± 6.7% 21% 38% 3% 39%
Fox News June 15–19, 2018 901 ± 3.0% 17% 32% 3% 5%[74] 39%
Gravis Marketing May 31 – June 15, 2018 543 ± 4.2% 4% 19% 29% 5% 43%
Cherry Communications June 7–9, 2018 501 ± 5.3% 15% 32% 5% 48%
Saint Leo University May 25–31, 2018 175 13% 35% 9% 44%
Florida Atlantic University May 4–7, 2018 371 ± 5.0% 16% 15% 3% 24%[75] 43%
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis) April 19–23, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 7% 30% 23% 40%
30% 26% 44%
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 3% 19% 0% 17% 0% 60%
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis) March 12–15, 2018 600 <6% 21% 19%
28% 23%
Saint Leo University February 18–24, 2018 175 7% 14% 3% 15% 5% 9%[76] 46%
Gravis Marketing February 1–18, 2018 3% 16% 0% 18% 2% 61%
Mason-Dixon January 29 – February 1, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 7% 23% 27% 43%
Remington December 30–31, 2017 1,423 ± 2.6% 3% 28% 25% 44%
Gravis Marketing December 19–24, 2017 2% 12% 2% 23% 1% 60%
Saint Leo University November 19–24, 2017 166 2% 5% 2% 15% 4% 10%[77] 63%
Cherry Communications September 17–24, 2017 256 1% 9% 2% 26% 3% 59%
Saint Leo University September 10–16, 2017 173 4% 7% 2% 20% 2% 11%[78] 44%
Florida Atlantic University August 24–26, 2017 304 ± 6.5% 10% 9% 2% 27% 53%

Results

Results by county:
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron DeSantis 913,679 56.5%
Republican Adam H. Putnam 591,449 36.6%
Republican Bob White 32,580 2.0%
Republican Timothy M. Devine 21,320 1.3%
Republican Bob Langford 19,771 1.2%
Republican Bruce Nathan 14,487 0.9%
Republican Don Baldauf 13,125 0.8%
Republican John Joseph Mercadante 11,602 0.7%
Total votes 1,618,013 100.0%

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Andrew Gillum
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Other individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Gwen Graham
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Other individuals
Organizations
Newspaper editorial boards
Jeff Greene
Newspapers
Chris King
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal officials
Organizations
Philip Levine
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal officials
Other individuals
Newspaper Editorial Boards

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Andrew
Gillum
Gwen
Graham
Jeff
Greene
Chris
King
Philip
Levine
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls August 25–26, 2018 2,342 ± 2.0% 25% 32% 11% 2% 22% 4% 5%
Gravis Marketing August 21–25, 2018 531 ± 4.3% 16% 26% 19% 5% 18% 17%
Gravis Marketing August 21–22, 2018 308 ± 5.6% 15% 26% 19% 5% 18% 17%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) August 19–21, 2018 669 ± 3.8% 18% 25% 13% 2% 26% 15%
Florida Atlantic University August 16–20, 2018 280 ± 6.3% 11% 29% 11% 10% 17% 3% 19%
Change Research (D-Gillum) August 18–19, 2018 1,178 33% 22% 10% 22%
St. Pete Polls August 18–19, 2018 2,202 ± 2.1% 21% 27% 15% 3% 25% 4% 6%
Saint Leo University August 10–16, 2018 188 15% 31% 17% 5% 22% 4%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) August 11–14, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 15% 24% 13% 3% 27% 18%
SurveyUSA August 10–13, 2018 631 ± 5.2% 11% 22% 16% 3% 22% 2%[241] 24%
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine) August 5–6, 2018 572 13% 26% 16% 4% 22% 19%
ALG Research (D-Graham) July 29 – August 2, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 10% 33% 13% 3% 17% 23%
St. Pete Polls July 30–31, 2018 1,652 ± 2.4% 12% 29% 23% 3% 19% 4% 9%
Mason-Dixon July 23–25, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 10% 27% 12% 7% 18% 1%[242] 25%
Florida Atlantic University July 20–21, 2018 271 ± 5.9% 7% 20% 14% 9% 16% 3% 31%
Associated Industries of Florida July 16–18, 2018 800 12% 24% 13% 4% 16%
Frederick Polls July 2018 506 15% 28% 23% 7% 27%
St. Pete Polls July 14–15, 2018 1,314 ± 2.7% 10% 22% 22% 3% 19% 1%[243] 25%
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 1,540 ± 2.5% 10% 27% 18% 17% 27%
Marist College June 17–21, 2018 344 ± 6.5% 8% 17% 4% 3% 19% 1% 47%
RABA Research June 15–16, 2018 660 ± 3.8% 8% 26% 3% 15% 27% 21%
Gravis Marketing May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 29% 24% 3% 17% 27%
Let's Preserve the American Dream June 6–9, 2018 800 ± 3.1% 11% 21% 3% 4% 24% 37%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) June 3–5, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 11% 16% 4% 6% 32% 31%
Saint Leo University May 25–31, 2018 195 10% 14% 6% 14% 9% 47%
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine) May 21–22, 2018 583 12% 20% 6% 30% 33%
Change Research (D-Gillum) May 8–11, 2018 1,107 ± 3.0% 13% 13% 3% 20% 52%
Florida Atlantic University May 4–7, 2018 372 ± 3.0% 6% 15% 10% 16% 11%[244] 42%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) April 10–11, 2018 491 8% 23% 4% 29% 36%
Public Policy Polling March 23–25, 2018 613 8% 19% 5% 22% 46%
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 11% 9% 2% 2% 13% 64%
Saint Leo University February 18–24, 2018 190 10% 17% 5% 7% 8% 3% 50%
Gravis Marketing February 1–18, 2018 9% 12% 1% 2% 12% 63%
Mason-Dixon January 29 – February 1, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 10% 20% 4% 17% 49%
Gravis Marketing December 19–24, 2017 12% 18% 2% 3% 6% 60%

Results

Results by county:
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andrew Gillum 517,417 34.3%
Democratic Gwen Graham 472,735 31.3%
Democratic Philip Levine 306,450 20.3%
Democratic Jeff Greene 151,935 10.1%
Democratic Chris King 37,464 2.5%
Democratic John Wetherbee 14,355 1.0%
Democratic Alex "Lundy" Lundmark 8,628 0.6%
Total votes 1,508,984 100.0%

Other parties and independents

Reform Party (declared candidates)

  • Darcy Richardson, author, 2012 Democratic candidate for president, 1988 US Senate candidate, 1980 Pennsylvania Auditor general candidate[245]

Libertarian Party (withdrawn candidates)

  • Riquet Caballero, banker, Afro-Cuban activist, and former member of the Black Affairs Advisory Board of Miami-Dade County. Ended campaign to run for State House District 108[246]
  • Randy Wiseman, former Republican chair of the Lake County School Board, Republican candidate for the state house in 2004 and candidate for Mayor of Mount Dora in 2013[247]

Constitution Party (withdrawn candidates)

Independents

Declared

  • Ryan Christopher Foley
  • Kyle "KC" Gibson
  • Bruce Stanley

Declined

Endorsements

Darcy Richardson (Reform Party)
  • Nancy Argenziano, former Florida State Senator and Public Service Commissioner[253]
  • Randy Wiseman, former Republican Chair of the Lake County School Board[254]
John Morgan (declined)

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[256] Tossup October 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[257] Tilt D October 12, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[258] Tossup October 11, 2018
Real Clear Politics[259] Tossup October 12, 2018
Daily Kos[260] Tossup October 12, 2018
Fox News[261][lower-alpha 1] Tossup October 12, 2018
Politico[262] Tossup October 12, 2018

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Andrew
Gillum (D)
Other Undecided
Florida Southern College October 1–5, 2018 476 ± 4.5% 44% 47% 5% 4%
St. Pete Polls September 29–30, 2018 2,313 ± 2.0% 45% 47% 2%[lower-alpha 2] 6%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) September 28–30, 2018 779 ± 3.5% 44% 48% 8%
Strategic Research Associates September 17–30, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 43% 44% 12%
Mason-Dixon September 24–27, 2018 815 ± 3.5% 44% 45% 3% 8%
Quinnipiac University September 22–24, 2018 888 ± 4.0% 45% 54% 0% 2%
Cherry Communications September 19–24, 2018 622 ± 4.4% 42% 48% 2%[lower-alpha 2] 6%
Marist College September 16–20, 2018 600 LV ± 4.7% 43% 48% 1% 7%
829 RV ± 4.0% 41% 49% 1% 10%
University of North Florida September 17–19, 2018 605 43% 47% <1% 10%
Florida Atlantic University September 13–16, 2018 850 ± 3.3% 39% 41% 5% 15%
Ipsos September 5–12, 2018 1,000 ± 4.0% 44% 50% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 10–11, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 42% 48% 2% 8%
SurveyUSA September 7–9, 2018 634 ± 5.3% 43% 47% 1% 9%
Cherry Communications September 6–9, 2018 514 ± 4.0% 43% 47% 2% 8%
St. Pete Polls September 5–6, 2018 2,240 ± 2.1% 47% 48% 5%
Quinnipiac University August 30 – September 3, 2018 785 ± 4.3% 47% 50% 0% 3%
Gravis Marketing August 29–30, 2018 1,225 ± 2.8% 45% 47% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) August 29–30, 2018 743 ± 4.0% 43% 48% 9%
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 39% 36% 25%
Gravis Marketing May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 35% 38% 27%
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 29% 33% 37%
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
  2. 1 2 Darcy Richardson (Reform)

Results

Florida gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron DeSantis/Jeanette Nuñez
Democratic Andrew Gillum/Chris King
Reform Darcy G. Richardson/Nancy Argenziano
Independent Ryan Christopher Foley/John Tutton Jr.
Independent Kyle "KC" Gibson/Ellen Wilds
Independent Bruce Stanley/Ryan Howard McJury
Total votes 100.0%

See also

References

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  69. Bruce Nathan 4%, Don Baldauf 3%, Timothy Devine 2%, someone else 4.5%
  70. Timothy Devine with 2%; Don Baldauf, Bob Langford, and Bruce Nathan with 1%; John Joseph Mercadante with 0%
  71. Bruce Nathan with 2%, Don Baldouf, Timothy Levine, Bob Langford, and John Joseph Mercadante with 0%
  72. Bruce Nathan with 3%, Ellen Wilds with 2%, Timothy Devine and Armando Rivas with 1%, someone else with 5%
  73. Armando Rivas with 4%
  74. Tim Devine, Ellen Wilds, Armando Rivas, and Bruce Nathan with 1%; Raphael Herman, Issak Almaleh, Joseph Mercadante, Frederick Dee Buntin, and Don Baldauf with <0.5%; Usha Jain with 0%; other with 1%
  75. David Adams 8%, Tim Devine 5%, Bruce Nathan 2%, Don Baldauf 1%, someone else 8%
  76. Bruce Nathan 2%, Angel Luis Rivera 2%, someone else 5%
  77. Jackie Siegel 2%, Ron Bergeron 1%, Angel Luis Rivera 1%, Daniel Zutler 1%, someone else 5%
  78. Daniel Zutler 3%, Jackie Siegel 2%, Ron Bergeron 1%, Bruce Nathan 1%, Angel Luis Rivera 1%, Usha Jain 0%, someone else 3%
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