Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2018

Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2018

November 6, 2018

 
Nominee Scott Walker Tony Evers Phil Anderson
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Running mate Rebecca Kleefisch Mandela Barnes Patrick Baird

Incumbent Governor

Scott Walker
Republican


The 2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election will take place on November 6, 2018, to determine the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Wisconsin. It will occur concurrently with the election of Wisconsin's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker is running for a third term. Democrat and incumbent Wisconsin Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers became the Democratic nominee after the August 14 primary, winning amongst a crowded field of Democrats. Chair of the Wisconsin Libertarian Party Phil Anderson will also be challenging the election, running on the Libertarian ticket.

Republican primary

Governor

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • Robert Meyer, businessman and candidate for Mayor of Sun Prairie in 2007[4]

Endorsements

Scott Walker

Results

Republican primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Walker (incumbent) 417,619 91.6
Republican Robert Meyer 38,347 8.4
Total votes 455,966 100%

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rebecca Kleefisch (incumbent) 407,420 99.73%
Total votes

Democratic primary

Governor

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Tony Evers
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
  • Steve Kagen, Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District (former)[59]
  • Dave Obey, Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District (former)
State officials
State legislators
  • Mark Miller, State Senator[59]
  • John Lehman, former State Senator[59]
  • Sondy Pope, State Representative[59]
  • Bob Turner, former State Representative[59]
  • Spencer Black, former State Representative[59]
  • Mandy Wright, former State Representative[59]
  • Fred Clark, former State Representative[59]
  • Calvin Potter, former State Senator[59]
County elected officials
  • Scott McDonnell, Dane County Clerk[59]
  • Nancy Nusbaum, former Brown County Executive[59]
  • Rick Phelps, former Dane County Executive[59]
Municipal elected officials
Unions
Former 2018 gubernatorial candidates
Other Individuals
  • Ada Deer, former Assistant Secretary of the Interior[59]
  • Mark Bradley, former UW Regent[59]
  • Chuck Pruitt, former UW Regent[59]
  • Jose Vasquez, former UW Regent[59]
Matt Flynn
State elected officials
County elected officials
Municipal elected officials
Appointed officials
Citizens
Former 2018 gubernatorial candidates
  • Michele Doolan, businesswoman
  • Bob Harlow, candidate for CA-18 in 2016
  • Nick De Leon, pastor and Green Party candidate[66]
Mike McCabe
Former 2018 gubernatorial candidates
  • Mike Crute, liberal talk radio broadcaster
  • Jeff Rumbaugh, disability worker at UW-Waisman Center Community TIES and activist
2018 Congressional Candidates
  • Tim Canova-Candidate for Florida's 23rd Congressional District (Independent)
2018 Wisconsin Legislative Candidates
  • John Rocco Calabrese-Candidate for Wisconsin's 29th Assembly District (Democrat)
2016 Congressional Candidates
  • Sarah Lloyd-Candidate for Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District (Democrat)
Mahlon Mitchell
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Local officials
Unions
Kelda Roys
U.S. Senators
National organizations
Former 2018 gubernatorial candidates
State legislators
County elected officials[75]
  • Richard Kilmer, Dane County board supervisor
  • Heidi Wegleitner, Dane County board supervisor
  • Kelly Danner, Dane County board supervisor
  • Andy Olsen, Dane County board supervisor (former)
  • Thomas Nelson, Outagamie County Executive
  • Cathy Thompson, Outagamie County board supervisor
  • Travis Tysson, Outagamie County board supervisor
  • Stephanie Spellman, Winnebago County board supervisor
  • Alexandra Nugent, Sheboygan County board supervisor
  • Jack Gackstatter, Rock County Clerk of Circuit Court
State Newspapers
  • The Wisconsin Gazette
Celebrities
Dana Wachs (withdrew)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tony
Evers
Matt
Flynn
Andy
Gronik*
Mike
McCabe
Mahlon
Mitchell
Josh
Pade
Kelda
Roys
Paul
Soglin
Kathleen
Vinehout
Dana
Wachs*
Other Undecided
Emerson College July 26–28, 2018 282 ± 6.3% 30% 5% 5% 5% 7% 5% 10% 33%
Marist College July 15–19, 2018 466 ± 5.3% 25% 3% 2% 7% 3% 1% 3% 6% 7% 2% <1% 41%
Marquette University July 11–15, 2018 305 ± 6.6% 31% 5% 3% 6% 0% 3% 4% 6% 0% 38%
Marquette University June 13–17, 2018 278 ± 6.4% 25% 7% 4% 7% 4% 1% 2% 7% 5% 2% 1% 34%
FM3 Research (D-Soglin) March 16–19, 2018 601 ± 4.0% 30% 6% 2% 4% 6% 3% 17% 12% 3% 16%
Marquette University February 25 – March 1, 2018 318 ± 7.1% 18% 7% 3% 6% 4% 0% 9% 5% 4% 1% 44%
Public Policy Polling (D-Evers) January 8–10, 2018 747 ± 3.6% 29% 5% 2% 5% 5% 2% 10% 11% 4% 28%

An asterisk (*) denotes that a candidate withdrew before the primary but remains on the ballot.

Results

Democratic primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tony Evers 224,502 41.8
Democratic Mahlon Mitchell 88,077 16.4
Democratic Kelda Roys 68,952 12.8
Democratic Kathleen Vinehout 43,975 8.2
Democratic Mike McCabe 39,745 7.4
Democratic Matt Flynn 31,539 5.9
Democratic Paul Soglin 28,128 5.2
Democratic Josh Pade 1,929 0.4
Democratic Others 10,872 2
Total votes 537,719 100%

Lieutenant Governor

Declared

Results

Democratic primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mandela Barnes 326,051 68
Democratic Kurt Kober 153,698 32
Total votes 479,749 100

Libertarian convention

Governor

Nominee

Endorsements

Phil Anderson
State Governors
Musicians and artists

Lieutenant Governor

Nominee

  • Patrick Baird, U.S. Navy veteran[85]

Green Party primary

Candidates

Withdrew

  • Nick De Leon, pastor (endorsed Matt Flynn)[66]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[86] Tossup September 14, 2018
Inside Elections[87] Tossup September 14, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[88] Tossup September 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[89] Tossup September 19, 2018
Daily Kos[90] Tossup September 17, 2018
Fox News[91][lower-alpha 1] Lean D October 10, 2018
Politico[92] Tossup October 9, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Scott
Walker (R)
Tony
Evers (D)
Phil
Anderson (L)
Other Undecided
Marquette University October 3–7, 2018 799 LV ± 3.9% 47% 46% 5% 1%
1,000 RV ± 3.6% 47% 43% 7% 2%
Marist College September 30 – October 3, 2018 571 LV ± 4.8% 42% 50% 3% 2%[93] 3%
43% 53% 1% 3%
781 RV ± 4.1% 42% 49% 3% 3%[94] 4%
43% 52% 1% 3%
Ipsos September 14–24, 2018 1,109 ± 3.0% 43% 50% 3% 4%
Marquette University September 12–16, 2018 614 LV ± 4.4% 44% 49% 6% 1%
800 RV ± 4.0% 43% 47% 7% 2%
Public Policy Polling (D-High Ground Action Fund) September 4–5, 2018 726 ± 4.0% 45% 49% 6%
Suffolk University August 18–24, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 44% 46% 2% 1%[95] 7%
Marquette University August 15–19, 2018 601 LV ± 4.5% 46% 46% 6% 2%
800 RV ± 4.0% 46% 44% 7% 3%
Public Policy Polling August 15–16, 2018 596 ± 4.0% 44% 49% 7%
Emerson College July 26–28, 2018 632 ± 4.2% 41% 48% 5% 7%
Marist College July 15–19, 2018 906 ± 3.8% 41% 54% <1% 5%
Marquette University June 13–17, 2018 800 ± 4.0% 48% 44% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D-Evers) May 9–10, 2018 644 ± 3.9% 45% 49% 6%

Results

Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Walker (incumbent)
Democratic Tony Evers
Libertarian Phil Anderson
Green Michael White
Independent Maggie Turnbull
Independent Robbie Hoffman (write-in)
Other Arnie Enz
Majority
Total votes

See also

References

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  5. Donald J. Trump. "Scott Walker of Wisconsin is a tremendous Governor who has done incredible things for that Great State. He has my complete & total Endorsement! He brought the amazing Foxconn to Wisconsin with its 15,000 Jobs-and so much more. Vote for Scott on Tuesday in the Republican Primary!". Twitter.
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  93. Michael White (G) with 2%, other with <1%
  94. Michael White (G) with 3%, other with <1%
  95. Arnie Enz (WP) with 1%, Maggie Turnbull (I) and Michael White (G) with 0%
Official campaign websites
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