New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2018
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The 2018 New Hampshire gubernatorial election will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu is eligible to run for re-election to a second term.
Background
Along with Vermont, the state of New Hampshire is one of only two states where governors are elected to two-year terms. Republican Chris Sununu was elected in the 2016 election.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chris Sununu, incumbent Governor[2]
Polling
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Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||
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Results
Results by county:
Sununu—>90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Sununu | 91,025 | 98.3 | |
| Republican | Molly Kelly (write-in) | 577 | 0.6 | |
| Republican | Steve Marchand (write-in) | 160 | 0.2 | |
| Republican | Jiletta Jarvis (write-in) | 90 | 0.0 | |
| Republican | Aaron Day (write-in) | 39 | 0.0 | |
| Scattering | 692 | 0.7 | ||
| Total votes | 92,583 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Molly Kelly, former State Senator[4]
- Steve Marchand, former Mayor of Portsmouth and candidate for Governor in 2016[5]
Declined
- Dan Feltes, State Senator[6]
- Chris Pappas, Executive Councilor (running for NH-01)[7][8]
- Colin Van Ostern, former Executive Councilor and nominee for Governor in 2016 (running for Secretary of State)[9]
- Andru Volinsky, Executive Councilor[10]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Connolly |
Molly Kelly |
Steve Marchand |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | April 26–30, 2018 | 401 | – | – | 21% | 19% | – | 58% |
| TargetPoint/GQR | March 8–15, 2018 | 346 | ± 5.3% | 9% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 58% |
Primary results
Results by county:
Kelly—70–80%
Kelly—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Molly Kelly | 80,598 | 65.5 | |
| Democratic | Steve Marchand | 41,612 | 33.8 | |
| Democratic | Chris Sununu (write-in) | 563 | 0.5 | |
| Democratic | Jiletta Jarvis (write-in) | 17 | 0.0 | |
| Democratic | Aaron Day (write-in) | 8 | 0.0 | |
| Scattering | 167 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 122,965 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Aaron Day, former chair of the Free State Project[11] and independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[12]
- Jilletta Jarvis, former Secretary of the Libertarian Party of New Hampshire and independent candidate for Governor in 2016[13][14]
Primary results
Results by county:
Jarvis—60–70%
Jarvis—50–60%
Jarvis—40–50%
Day—50–60%
Day—40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Jilletta Jarvis | 576 | 51.9 | |
| Libertarian | Aaron Day | 487 | 43.9 | |
| Libertarian | Chris Sununu (write-in) | 21 | 1.9 | |
| Libertarian | Molly Kelly (write-in) | 9 | 0.8 | |
| Libertarian | Steve Marchand (write-in) | 6 | 0.5 | |
| Scattering | 11 | 1.0 | ||
| Total votes | 1,110 | 100.0 | ||
Jarvis had campaigned actively since 2017. She was active on social media and traveled around the state to campaign. Jarvis regularly interacted with voters through live Q&A sessions over Facebook Live. Aaron Day announced his bid for Governor shortly before the filing period began in June of 2018. Day campaigned mostly on social media and purchased Facebook advertisements. On primary day, he sent a "meme truck" - a truck with large screens on it to display political memes - to several polling places across the state. On primary night, Jarvis and Day traded the lead several times before Jarvis began to pull ahead. The results were not declared by the Secretary of State's office until the morning of September 13, 2018, due to several outlying precincts.
On primary day, there were multiple reports of voter suppression and negligence by poll workers when voters attempted to cast a Libertarian ballot. Many voters reported that poll workers refused to give them Libertarian Party ballots. There were also reports of poll workers who encouraged Libertarian voters to vote in the Republican or Democratic primary instead. Many precincts did not adequately display Libertarian ballots alongside Republican and Democratic ballots, and some precincts only offered Libertarian ballots "on request."
The Libertarian Gubernatorial primary has not yet concluded as write-ins and voting issues are being accounted for.
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[15] | Likely R | June 15, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[16] | Lean R | April 6, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Lean R | April 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[18] | Likely R | September 11, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[19] | Likely R | May 31, 2018 |
| Fox News[20][lower-alpha 1] | Lean R | October 9, 2018 |
| Politico[21] | Lean R | October 9, 2018 |
- Notes
- ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Endorsements
| Molly Kelly (D) |
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| Chris Sununu (R) |
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Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Molly Kelly (D) |
Jilletta Jarvis (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Research Group | September 21–26, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 44% | – | 0% | 7% |
| University of New Hampshire | August 2–19, 2018 | 389 | ± 5.0% | 48% | 32% | – | 5% | 16% |
| Suffolk University | April 26–30, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 27% | 4% | – | 21% |
| University of New Hampshire | April 13–22, 2018 | 379 | ± 5.0% | 51% | 24% | 2% | 4% | 20% |
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Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Sununu (incumbent) | |||
| Democratic | Molly Kelly | |||
| Libertarian | Jilletta Jarvis | |||
| Total votes | ||||
References
- ↑ Ramer, Holly (November 9, 2016). "Sununu chosen as N.H. governor". Concord Monitor. Associated Press. Retrieved November 9, 2016.
- ↑ Bookman, Todd (October 4, 2017). "To No One's Surprise, Sununu Confirms He's Running for Re-Election". New Hampshire Public Radio. Retrieved October 5, 2017.
- 1 2 3
- ↑ DiStaso, John (2018-04-05). "NH Primary Source: Molly Kelly to announce gubernatorial decision next week". WMUR. Retrieved 2018-04-06.
- ↑ Tuohy, Dan (April 3, 2017). "Marchand says he's running for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved April 7, 2017.
- ↑ Sexton, Adam (March 11, 2018). "Feltes rules out run for governor". WMUR. Retrieved March 12, 2018.
- ↑ DiStaso, John (July 20, 2017). "Pappas heads north, says it's about the ice cream". WMUR. Retrieved September 27, 2017.
- ↑ DiStaso, John (November 9, 2017). "Democrat Pappas announces candidacy for 1st District US House seat". WMUR-TV. Retrieved November 9, 2017.
- ↑ LANDRIGAN, KEVIN (March 13, 2018). "Van Ostern to challenge Gardner for Secretary of State position". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved July 22, 2018.
- ↑ Solomon, David (September 27, 2017). "Executive Councilor Volinsky won't run for governor in 2018". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved September 27, 2017.
- ↑ "Free State Project Early Movers: FSP Chairman Aaron Day". 12 February 2016. Retrieved 12 September 2018.
- ↑ DiStaso, John (7 June 2018). "NH Primary Source: Libertarian Party of NH may have primary for governor". Retrieved 12 September 2018.
- ↑ DiStaso, John (April 3, 2017). "Updated NH Primary Source". WMUR. Retrieved April 22, 2017.
- ↑ Freeman, Ian (March 25, 2017). "Libertarian Jilletta Jarvis Announces Campaign for NH Governor in 2018!". Free Keene. Retrieved April 22, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
- ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
- ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
- ↑ "2018 Governor Races". Retrieved September 11, 2018.
- ↑ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
- ↑ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.
- ↑ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
- ↑ Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote:". Twitter.
- ↑ Rogers, Josh (June 5, 2018). "Hassan Endorses Kelly For Governor". nhpr.org/. New Hampshire Public Radio.
- ↑ DiStaso, John (May 2, 2018). "NH Primary Source: Shaheen endorses Molly Kelly for governor". WMUR.
- ↑ Staff, Sentinel (April 20, 2018). "Political notebook: Kuster endorses Kelly for governor". SentinelSource.com.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 "Open Letter in Support of Molly Kelly for Governor" (PDF).
- ↑ "Mayor Joyce Craig Endorses Molly Kelly For NH Governor". NH LABOR NEWS. June 14, 2018.
- 1 2 3 4 5 DiStaso, John (April 12, 2018). "NH Primary Source first: Top Democratic state lawmakers endorse Kelly for governor". WMUR.
- ↑ DiStaso, John (July 26, 2018). "NH Primary Source: State Sen. Hennessy shifts support from Marchand to Kelly". WMUR.
- ↑ "Senator Donna Soucy Announces Support For Molly Kelly For NH Governor". NH LABOR NEWS. 6 September 2018.
- ↑ Misha Collins [@mishacollins] (April 13, 2018). "Yes! Molly is on #MishasList too!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ↑ "Sen. Molly Kelly's Commitment To Public Education Earns Support From AFT-NH". NH LABOR NEWS. 7 August 2018.
- ↑ Padellaro, Jeffrey (May 10, 2018). "Teamsters back Kelly in first union endorsement of governor's race". Teamsters Local 633.
- ↑ Tuttle, Megan (June 15, 2018). "NEA-NH Announces Recommendation of Molly Kelly for Governor". NEA-NH.
- ↑ "New Hampshire AFL-CIO Candidate Endorsements | New Hampshire AFL-CIO". nhaflcio.org. New Hampshire AFL-CIO. September 22, 2018.
- ↑ Gulla, Richard (September 26, 2018). "Press release: Molly Kelly for Governor". www.seiu1984.org. SEA/SEIU Local 1984 Board of Directors.
- ↑ Schriock, Stephanie (April 13, 2018). "EMILY's List Endorses Molly Kelly for Governor of New Hampshire". www.emilyslist.org.
- ↑ DiStaso, John (September 25, 2018). "End Citizens United PAC endorses Molly Kelly for governor". WMUR.
- ↑ "Endorsed Candidates - Fight For Reform". Fight For Reform.
- ↑ DiStaso, John (June 22, 2018). "Sununu receives earliest ever NH Police Association endorsement". wmur.com.
- ↑ DiStaso, John (August 6, 2018). "NH Troopers Association endorses Sununu for reelection". wmur.com.
- ↑ "Political notebook: State firefighters union throws weight behind Sununu". The Keene Sentinel. September 27, 2018.
- ↑ Chris Sununu. "It is an honor to receive the endorsement of @NFIB — the nation's leading small business association!". Twitter.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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