United States Senate election in Maine, 2018
| |||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||
|
Elections in Maine | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
|
||||
The 2018 United States Senate election in Maine will be held November 6, 2018, alongside a gubernatorial election, U.S. House elections, and other state and local elections. Incumbent Independent Senator Angus King is seeking reelection to a second term.
The primary election was held on June 12, 2018.[1]
This election will be conducted with ranked choice voting, as opposed to a simple plurality, after Maine voters passed a citizen referendum approving the change in 2016.[2] An advisory opinion by the Maine Supreme Judicial Court holding that ranked choice voting would be unconstitutional, though only affecting state office elections, led state legislators to delay its implementation,[3][4][5] but backers of a "people's veto" were successful in collecting signatures to suspend this law and force a successful June referendum vote to repeal it. Ranked choice voting was used in the primary elections on June 12 and will be in the general election.[6]
Background
A part of New England, Maine was once a bastion of the Republican Party, and was one of two states to vote against Franklin Roosevelt all four times he ran for president. Lyndon Johnson won the state in 1964, and Hubert Humphrey carried it in 1968 before the state reverted to form and reestablished a GOP voting streak that lasted until the 1990s. With the GOP progressively becoming more culturally conservative, the state began moving toward the Democrats, and Bill Clinton carried it in 1992. Clinton's win established a Democratic winning streak that lasted until Donald Trump won an electoral vote from the state's second congressional district in 2016 despite losing the rest of the state.[7]
The state has a tradition of electing various independent candidates to high office, such as Angus King, who served as governor of the state from 1995 to 2003. In 2012, King's decision to run for the Senate seat being vacated by Republican Olympia Snowe dramatized the battle for the Senate, as he left open whether he would caucus with the Republicans or the Democrats.[8] He eventually decided to caucus with the Democrats and has established a center-left voting record.[9]
Independents
King said his reelection plans would not be affected by treatment for prostate cancer, which he announced he had on June 22, 2015.[10]
Candidates
Declared
- Angus King, incumbent U.S. Senator[11]
Republican primary
On January 12, 2015, Maine Governor Paul LePage made a statement on Howie Carr's radio program that he might run for U.S. Senate against King, citing King's switching his endorsement in the 2014 gubernatorial election from independent candidate Eliot Cutler to Democratic candidate Mike Michaud as a "horrible thing to do".[12] The next day, LePage said his comment was a joke,[11] though on an August 25, 2015 appearance on Carr's program, he said he was "very strongly" considering running, citing King's caucusing with Senate Democrats.[13] LePage also criticized King for his involvement in the Maine wind energy industry, saying King "ripped us off by $104 million during his eight years as governor – he ripped us off, royally, and I can’t wait until 2018 because I’m thinking that’s the guy I'm going after." A spokesman for King dismissed LePage's criticism.[14]
On May 10, 2016, LePage announced at a town hall meeting in Oakland that he would run against King unless he was hired by the Donald Trump administration.[15] On May 10, 2017, LePage decided not to run; his spokesman said he preferred to focus on being governor.[16] On July 20, 2017, LePage again said he "might" challenge King.[17] Trump personally encouraged LePage to run and offered his endorsement.[18] LePage did not file to run by the March 15, 2018 deadline.[19][20]
Eric Brakey's campaign successfully contested 258 signatures to Max Linn's petitions to appear on the primary ballot, which meant that Linn had 10 fewer signatures than the 2,000 needed to be on the ballot. Maine Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap then declared Linn ineligible to be a candidate, although it was too late to remove Linn's name from the ballot. Voters were informed of Linn's status when they voted, and any votes cast for him were counted as blanks.[21] Nevertheless, Linn's campaign was active on Twitter and placed campaign signs along roads in Maine. Linn signs were also seen in New Hampshire, including in Dover. Dover city officials said they would remove the signs upon request if Linn's campaign did not remove them, because Linn is not a candidate in a New Hampshire election and because the signs were placed improperly.[22] Linn appealed the decision to disqualify him to U.S. District Court in Portland, but Judge Nancy Torresen rejected Linn's request for an injunction to bar Dunlap from informing voters he is ineligible. Linn subsequently announced he would run against U.S. Senator Susan Collins in the 2020 Republican primary election.[23]
Candidates
On the ballot
Declared ineligible
Declined
- Mark Holbrook, clinical psychologist and nominee for ME-01 in 2016 (running for ME-01)[26]
- Paul LePage, Governor[27]
Endorsements
Eric Brakey |
---|
|
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eric Brakey | 59,853 | 58.9 | |
Republican | Blank ballots | 41,732 | 41.1 | |
Total votes | 101,585 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
The Democratic primary race initially included both teacher Zak Ringelstein and homebuilder Benjamin Pollard, but Pollard withdrew to run as an Independent two days after Ringelstein announced a list of 16 endorsements from Democratic state legislators.[35] Ringelstein is the only major-party candidate for Senate to be a dues-paying member of the Democratic Socialists of America.[36]
Candidates
Declared
- Zak Ringelstein, teacher and founder of UClass[37]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Cynthia Dill, former state Senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[39]
- Diane Russell, former state Representative (ran for Governor)[40]
Endorsements
Zak Ringelstein |
---|
|
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Zak Ringelstein | 89,841 | 67.7 | |
Democratic | Blank ballots | 42,955 | 32.3 | |
Total votes | 132,795 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Failed to make ballot
General election
Candidates
- Angus King, incumbent (I)
- Eric Brakey, state Senator (R)
- Zak Ringelstein, teacher and founder of UClass (D)
Endorsements
Angus King (I) |
---|
|
Eric Brakey (R) |
---|
|
Zak Ringelstein (D) |
---|
|
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[83] | Safe I | September 28, 2018 |
Inside Elections[84] | Safe I | September 29, 2017 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[85] | Safe I | April 5, 2018 |
Fox News[86] | Likely I^ | July 9, 2018 |
CNN[87] | Solid I | July 12, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[88] | Safe I | June 2018 |
^Highest rating given
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
RCV round |
Angus King (I) |
Eric Brakey (R) |
Zak Ringelstein (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Self-Made Insights (R-Brakey) | September 27–30, 2018 | 750 | ± 3.4% | Round 1 | 47% | 36% | 8% | – |
Suffolk University | August 2–6, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Round 1 | 52% | 25% | 9% | 15% |
Round 2[89] | 58% | 27% | – | 15% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Independent | Angus King (incumbent) | ||||
Republican | Eric Brakey | ||||
Democratic | Zak Ringelstein | ||||
Majority | |||||
Turnout |
See also
References
- ↑ "United States Senate election in Maine, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved 2017-12-23.
- ↑ "Maine became the first state in the country Tuesday to pass ranked choice voting". Boston Globe. 10 November 2016. Retrieved 17 November 2016.
- ↑ "Maine Supreme Judicial Court rules ranked-choice voting unconstitutional". Bangor Daily News. May 23, 2017. Retrieved May 23, 2016.
- ↑ "Voter-approved ranked-choice voting stays in effect as repeal bills fail". Portland Press Herald. June 28, 2017. Retrieved July 10, 2017.
- ↑ TEGNA. "Ranked choice voting delayed until 2021".
- ↑ "Ranked-choice voters submit signatures for 'people's veto' ballot initiative". 2 February 2018.
- ↑ "Maine Presidential Election Voting History".
- ↑ Weisman, Jonathan (May 6, 2012). "Senate Control Could Hinge on Angus King of Maine" – via www.nytimes.com.
- ↑ "Angus King".
- ↑ Brogan, Beth (June 22, 2015). "Sen. Angus King to have surgery for prostate cancer". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved June 22, 2015.
- 1 2 "LePage says comment about Senate run a joke". WMTW-TV. January 13, 2015. Retrieved June 22, 2015.
- ↑ Miller, Kevin (January 12, 2015). "LePage says he's considering Senate run against King". WMTW-TV. Retrieved June 22, 2015.
- ↑ Thistle, Scott (August 25, 2015). "LePage tells Howie Carr he may challenge Angus King in 2018". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved August 25, 2015.
- ↑ Graham, Gillian (April 13, 2016). "LePage giving 'very serious thought' to challenging King for Senate seat". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved April 15, 2016.
- ↑ "Gov. LePage says he'll take on Angus King". WGME-TV. May 11, 2016. Retrieved May 11, 2016.
- ↑ Cousins, Christopher (May 10, 2017). "LePage won't oppose Angus King for U.S. Senate in 2018". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved May 10, 2017.
- ↑ Kaczynski, Andrew. "Maine Gov. Paul LePage says he might change his mind and run for Senate". CNN.
- ↑ Dawsey, Josh (December 6, 2017). "Trump wants LePage to challenge King in U.S. Senate race in Maine". Washington Post. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
- ↑ "All Upcoming Deadlines - Maine Ethics Commission". www.maine.gov.
- ↑ "Search results - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
- 1 2 Collins, Steve (February 1, 2018). "Bar Harbor financial planner jumps into race to challenge King". Kennebec Journal. Retrieved February 3, 2018.
- ↑ Miller, Kevin (May 31, 2018). "Disqualified in Maine, Max Linn now has campaign signs in New Hampshire". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved June 3, 2018.
- ↑ Thistle, Scott (June 8, 2018). "Federal judge rejects Max Linn's effort to run in Maine Republican primary". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved June 8, 2018.
- ↑ Shepherd, Michael (April 3, 2017). "GOP state senator Eric Brakey kicks off underdog 2018 bid to unseat Angus King". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved April 25, 2017.
- ↑ Thistle, Scott (April 24, 2018). "More bogus petition signatures end Republican Max Linn's run for U.S. Senate". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved April 25, 2018.
- ↑ Collins, Steve (September 5, 2017). "Holbrook says he looked at running for U.S. Senate but will stay in U.S. House race". Sun Journal. Retrieved September 5, 2017.
- ↑ https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2017/05/11/paul-lepage-won-run-for-senate/iKRK06Yvv7PHSpPcqfcJ5J/story.html
- ↑ "Huge endorsement today from Ted Cruz, he knows that Eric Brakey for U.S. Senate is the only candidate in this election that will stand up for individual liberties and personal freedom". July 30, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ↑ "Rand Paul backs libertarian-leaning Republican Eric Brakey for U.S. Senate". Retrieved May 2, 2017.
- ↑ "LePage Endorses Brakey's U.S. Senate Run". June 9, 2018. Retrieved June 11, 2018.
- ↑ RonPaulLibertyReport (April 12, 2017). "Liberty In Maine - With US Senate Candidate Eric Brakey" – via YouTube.
- ↑ "Former Maine GOP chair endorses Brakey for U.S. Senate". themainewire.com. September 7, 2017.
- ↑ "Austin Petersen on Facebook". Facebook. July 12, 2017. Retrieved July 12, 2017.
- ↑ Clay, Henry. "Interview With GOP Senate Candidate Eric Brakey". www.ceccpointnews.com.
- ↑ Collins, Steve. "Benjamin Pollard quits Democrats, plans independent bid for U.S. Senate". Portland Press Herald. Portland Press Herald. Retrieved 8 March 2018.
- ↑ Peoples, Steve (2018-07-21). "Democratic socialism, with Kaniela Ing in the mix, surges in the age of Trump". Honolulu Star Advertiser. Retrieved 2018-07-22.
- ↑ "Educator Ringelstein declares candidacy for U.S. Senate seat". WGME. October 6, 2017. Retrieved October 29, 2017.
- ↑ "Pollard quits Democrats, plans independent bid for U.S. Senate seat - Lewiston Sun Journal". March 2, 2018.
- ↑ Griffiths, Shawn M. (January 13, 2017). "Diane Russell Considers 2018 US Senate Run". IVN News. Retrieved January 14, 2017.
- ↑ "Former Portland state Rep. Diane Russell joins governor's race". August 10, 2017.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 "Ringelstein for Maine - Endorsements".
- ↑ Emerson, Anthony [@AnthonyEmerso14] (September 7, 2018). "Former gubernatorial candidate @BetsySweetMaine endorsed @RingelsteinME at an event last evening. Ringelstein called her "one of [his] political heroes." #mepolitics" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ↑ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c994dGWgVbQ
- ↑ 2018 U.S. Senate and House Candidates, January 22, 2018
- ↑ https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/maine/articles/2018-08-17/democratic-socialists-of-america-endorses-ringelstein
- ↑ Press Release: Southern Maine DSA Endorses Zak Ringelstein in June primary for US Senate, March 27, 2018
- ↑ "Local Berniecrats ME on Twitter".
- ↑ Indivisible Lincoln County Endorsement, May 31, 2018
- ↑ Political Revolution Endorsement, June 9, 2018
- ↑ Zak Ringelstein Our Endorsement, June 23, 2018
- ↑ "Brunswick resident seeks Libertarian Party nomination". The Times Record. August 8, 2017. Retrieved August 15, 2017.
- 1 2 Acquisto, Alex (August 17, 2018). "Mitchell, Cohen decry "dysfunctional Congress" at Angus King event". Bangor Daily News.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 "Independents, Democrats, Republicans Agree: King is Leader Maine Needs". July 27, 2018.
- ↑ End Citizens United endorses Angus King for U.S. Senate, July 7, 2017
- ↑ "King Civil Rights Record Secures Support of EqualityMaine" (Press release). Angusformaine.com. September 7, 2018.
- ↑ "Human Rights Campaign Calls King: 'Lifelong Fighter for Civil Rights'". Angus for Maine. June 29, 2018.
- ↑ "2018 Senate Endorsees - JStreet".
- ↑ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Angus King for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. July 2, 2018.
- ↑ "King Campaign Announces Endorsement of the Maine Education Association". Angus for Maine. June 25, 2018.
- ↑ https://www.ncpssm.org/pac/candidates-we-endorse-and-support/
- ↑ "List of Endorsements: 2018 Election". Planned Parenthood. June 26, 2018.
- ↑ "Maine Firefighters Endorse Senator King: "Angus King has stood with us every step of the way."". Angus for Maine. June 27, 2018.
- ↑ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
- ↑ "Rand Paul backs libertarian-leaning Republican Eric Brakey for U.S. Senate". Retrieved May 2, 2017.
- ↑ Maine College Republicans [@MaineCR] (July 30, 2018). "Huge endorsement today from @tedcruz, he knows that @SenatorBrakey is the only candidate in this election that will stand up for individual liberties and personal freedom #mepolitics" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ↑ "LePage Endorses Brakey's U.S. Senate Run". June 9, 2018. Retrieved June 11, 2018.
- ↑ RonPaulLibertyReport (April 12, 2017). "Liberty In Maine - With US Senate Candidate Eric Brakey" – via YouTube.
- ↑ "Former Maine GOP chair endorses Brakey for U.S. Senate". themainewire.com. September 7, 2017.
- ↑ "Austin Petersen on Facebook". Facebook. July 12, 2017. Retrieved July 12, 2017.
- ↑ Bleiberg, Jake (September 13, 2018). "Donald Trump Jr. coming to Maine to support Brakey". Bangor Daily News.
- ↑ Clay, Henry. "Interview With GOP Senate Candidate Eric Brakey". www.ceccpointnews.com.
- ↑ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c994dGWgVbQ
- ↑ https://www.facebook.com/RingelsteinForSenate/photos/a.1698942523480414/2209223105785684/?type=3&theater
- ↑ Helms, Andrew (October 10, 2018). "Meet the Couple Making Propaganda for a New Generation of Socialist Politicians". The Ringer.
- ↑ Brand New Congress on Facebook
- ↑ 2018 U.S. Senate and House Candidates, January 22, 2018
- ↑ Democratic Socialists of America [@DemSocialists] (August 16, 2018). "DSA is proud to announce national endorsements for 13 incredible candidates running for local, state, and federal office" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ↑ Press Release: Southern Maine DSA Endorses Zak Ringelstein in June primary for US Senate, March 27, 2018
- ↑ "Local Berniecrats ME on Twitter".
- ↑ Indivisible Lincoln County Endorsement, May 31, 2018
- ↑ Political Revolution Endorsement, June 9, 2018
- ↑ Zak Ringelstein Our Endorsement, June 23, 2018
- ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 23, 2018.
- ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ↑ In the actual election, no second round of vote tabulating would be needed if a candidate won 50% of the vote in the first round.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites