United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2018

United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2018
November 6, 2018

 
Martin Heinrich, official portrait, 113th Congress.jpg
Nominee Martin Heinrich Mick Rich Gary Johnson
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Incumbent U.S. Senator

Martin Heinrich
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Mexico, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich is running for reelection to a second term.[1] His opponents are Republican nominee Mick Rich, a businessman, and Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, a two-term Republican Governor of New Mexico.

The candidate filing deadline was March 13, 2018, and the Republican and Democratic primary elections were held June 5, 2018.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Martin Heinrich (incumbent) 151,473 100
Total votes 151,473 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Mick Rich, businessman[4]

Declined

Results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mick Rich 67,028 100
Total votes 67,028 100

Libertarian primary

On July 30, 2018, nominee Aubrey Dunn withdrew from the race. On August 4, former governor Gary Johnson was formally nominated by the Libertarian Party of New Mexico as Dunn's replacement.[8] Johnson accepted his party's nomination on August 13.[9]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew nomination

Results

Libertarian primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Aubrey Dunn 619 100
Total votes 619 100

General election

Debates

Endorsements

Martin Heinrich (D)
U.S. Senators
Organizations
Mick Rich (R)
Governors
Organizations
Gary Johnson (L)
Governors
U.S. Senators
Statewide officials
Local officeholders
Journalists
Newspapers
Organizations
  • Libertarian Youth Caucus[28]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[29] Solid D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[30] Solid D July 6, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe D September 6, 2018
Fox News[32] Likely D^ July 9, 2018
CNN[33] Solid D September 7, 2018
RealClearPolitics[34] Safe D September 10, 2018

^Highest rating given

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Martin
Heinrich (D)		 Mick
Rich (R)		 Gary
Johnson (L)		 Undecided
NSON Opinion Strategy (L) September 20–24, 2018 932 – 36% 10% 28% 26%
In Lux Research (L-Elect Liberty PAC) September 16–17, 2018 900 – 38% 10% 28% 24%
Research & Polling, Inc. September 7–13, 2018 966 ± 3.1% 47% 26% 16% –
In Lux Research (L-Elect Liberty PAC) August 2018 900 – 38% 13% 28% 21%
Emerson College August 17–18, 2018 500 ± 4.6% 39% 11% 21% 30%
GQR Research (D-TMI) August 2–5, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 48% 33% 17% 2%
GBA Strategies (D-Heinrich) August 1–5, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 47% 29% 22% –
The Tarrance Group (R-Rich) July 31 – August 2, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 44% 30% 20% 6%
NSON Opinion Strategy (L) July 2018 500 – 39% 25% 23% 12%

Results

United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Martin Heinrich (incumbent)
Libertarian Gary Johnson
Republican Mick Rich
Majority
Turnout

References

  1. 1 2 Coleman, Michael (November 10, 2016). "Who wants to be New Mexico's next governor?". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  2. ↑ "United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  3. 1 2 3 "New Mexico Election Results". New Mexico Secretary of State. June 6, 2018.
  4. ↑ Lee, Morgan (April 19, 2017). "New Mexico construction contractor announces US Senate bid". KOB. Retrieved April 19, 2017.
  5. ↑ "Libertarian Party gets a boost in NM". nmpoliticalreport.com. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
  6. ↑ Keithley, Tim (November 23, 2016). "Turkey talk: Political drama on the horizon in 2018". Ruidoso News. Retrieved November 23, 2016.
  7. ↑ "New Mexico Governor Rules Out Senate Run". U.S. News & World Report. 18 January 2018. Retrieved 15 March 2018.
  8. ↑ "Libertarian Party courts Gary Johnson for Senate run". Associated Press. Associated Press.
  9. ↑ Boyd, Dan (August 14, 2018). "Gary Johnson makes it official: He's running for U.S. Senate". Albuquerque Journal.
  10. ↑ "Libertarian Party courts Gary Johnson for Senate run". Associated Press. Associated Press.
  11. ↑ McLaughlin, Jill. "Aubrey Dunn withdraws from U.S. Senate race". Los Alamos Monitor. Los Alamos Monitor. Retrieved 30 July 2018.
  12. ↑ @TeamHeinrich (August 17, 2018). "Speaking of independent voices in the Senate, here's @SenAngusKing on why we need Martin's. #nmpol #nmsen" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  13. ↑ Tiffany Muller (July 6, 2017). "End Citizens United Endorses Senator Martin Heinrich for Re-election". End Citizens United.
  14. ↑ "2018 Senate Endorsees - JStreet".
  15. 1 2 "National Environmental Groups Endorse Martin Heinrich For U.S. Senate". Martin Heinrich for Senate. April 22, 2018.
  16. ↑ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". sierraclub.org. 16 July 2012. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
  17. ↑ @MickRich4Senate (September 6, 2018). "With Gov. Susana Martinez at the Carlsbad Mayor's Energy Summit. #NMpol #NMsen #Carlsbad #oil&gas" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  18. ↑ "Associated Builders and Contractors Endorses Mick Rich for U.S. Senate". Mick Rich for U.S. Senate. June 29, 2017.
  19. ↑ "National Right To Life Committee Endorses Mick Rich". Mick Rich for U.S. Senate. July 31, 2018.
  20. ↑ "Bill Weld". Facebook. Retrieved 24 August 2018.
  21. ↑ "Sen. Rand Paul Backs Libertarian Senate Candidate". The Associated Press. August 28, 2018. Retrieved August 28, 2018.
  22. ↑ "Aubrey Dunn". Las Cruces Sun News. Retrieved August 24, 2018.
  23. ↑ "Endorsements". Gary Johnson Official Campaign Site. Retrieved August 31, 2018.
  24. ↑ @Mark4Gov (August 28, 2018). "Thank you @RandPaul for supporting the very best candidate for senate in New Mexico, @GovGaryJohnson!!#principlesoverparty#riseofthelibertarians#endtwopartyrule" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  25. ↑ Welch, Matt (August 31, 2018). "Eric Brakey, Republican Senate Candidate in Maine, Endorses Gary Johnson". Reason. Retrieved August 31, 2018.
  26. ↑ @nickgillespie (August 14, 2018). "Very excited at this news about @GovGaryJohnson running as @LPNational candidate for Senate in NM! Stand by for more @MattWelch coverage reason.com/blog/2018/08/14/its-happening-gary-johnson-running-for-s … @GovBillWeld" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  27. ↑ https://www.ocregister.com/2018/08/17/the-senate-could-use-more-libertarians-like-gary-johnson/
  28. ↑ https://www.facebook.com/LYCaucus/posts/2251222821764174?__xts__%5B0%5D=68.ARDi628ETLyOpTcW4kIb0HznfDKTd6vfu2rOq6EnQ1AzhYUkVn8o_4ffrC2caUDWW-zxoihe0HZtp3wslnB4sZ7tVjC8D-SMPWspcVbyapkdUNIi1ad6Nl1DXHCABHLfcC00l2fD0r4-9ZxTicmdLYbEFh74lUAHRJiILN-OHnOdX1SDBkQoTg&__tn__=C-R
  29. ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 10, 2018.
  30. ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 10, 2018.
  31. ↑ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 10, 2018.
  32. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved September 10, 2018.
  33. ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved September 10, 2018.
  34. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved September 10, 2018.
Official campaign websites
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