United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2018

United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2018
November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)

 
Nominee Elizabeth Warren Geoff Diehl Shiva Ayyadurai
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Incumbent U.S. Senator

Elizabeth Warren
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts will take place November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren is running for reelection to a second term.

The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on September 4, 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Endorsements

Elizabeth Warren
State officials
Organizations

Results

Results by county:
  Warren—>90%
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Elizabeth Warren (incumbent) 591,038 98.1
n/a All others 11,558 1.9
Total votes 602,596 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Eliminated at convention

Declined

Endorsements

Geoff Diehl
Governors
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Beth Lindstrom
Governors
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers
John Kingston
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Geoff
Diehl		 John
Kingston		 Beth
Lindstrom		 Other Undecided
MassINC June 22–25, 2018 399 ± 4.9% 26% 12% 15% 5% 41%

Results

Massachusetts United States Senate Republican primary results by municipality, 2018
Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Geoff Diehl 144,043 55.2
Republican John Kingston 69,636 26.7
Republican Beth Lindstrom 46,693 17.9
n/a All others 798 0.3
Total votes 261,170 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declined

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Eliminated (unable to get 10,000 signatures to be on ballot)

Declined

Endorsements

Shiva Ayyadurai
Individuals
Organizations

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[97] Solid D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[98] Solid D September 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[99] Safe D September 27, 2017
Fox News[100] Likely D^ July 9, 2018
CNN[101] Solid D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[102] Safe D May 26, 2018

^Highest rating they assert

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Geoff
Diehl (R)		 Shiva
Ayyadurai (I)		 Other Undecided
UMass Lowell October 1–7, 2018 485 LV ± 5.6% 56% 31% 8% 3% 2%
791 RV ± 4.4% 56% 28% 9% 4% 1%
MassINC September 17–21, 2018 506 ± 4.4% 56% 30% 5% 1% 6%
Suffolk University September 13–17, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 24% 6% – 16%
Suffolk University June 8–12, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 55% 33% – – 11%
MassINC May 22–26, 2018 501 ± 4.4% 54% 19% 8% 1% 15%
MassINC March 16–18, 2018 504 ± 4.4% 55% 20% 9% 1% 13%
MassINC November 9–12, 2017 503 ± 4.4% 58% 32% – 3% 7%
MassINC June 19–22, 2017 504 ± 4.4% 60% 29% – 1% 8%

Results

United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Elizabeth Warren (incumbent)
Republican Geoff Diehl
Independent Shiva Ayyadurai
n/a All others
Majority
Turnout

References

  1. ↑ "United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  2. ↑ Hagan, Lisa (January 6, 2017). "Warren says she will run for reelection". The Hill. Retrieved January 7, 2017.
  3. ↑ McGrane, Victoria (January 6, 2017). "Warren announces she's running for re-election". The Boston Globe. Retrieved January 11, 2017.
  4. ↑ "Kingston Hits Elizabeth Warren Over Ties To Ousted New York Attorney General - NewBostonPost". newbostonpost.com. Retrieved 29 August 2018.
  5. ↑ "2018 Council-endorsed Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
  6. ↑ Hagen, Lisa (January 20, 2017). "Major progressive group unveils first 2018 Senate endorsements". The Hill. Retrieved January 29, 2017.
  7. ↑ "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  8. ↑ Tiffany Muller (July 26, 2017). "End Citizens United Endorses Senator Elizabeth Warren for Re-election". End Citizens United.
  9. ↑ "2018 Senate Endorsees - JStreet".
  10. ↑ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Elizabeth Warren". League of Conservation Voters. April 23, 2018.
  11. ↑ "LegitPAC - LegitAction". legitaction.com.
  12. ↑ Stewart, Brian (August 1, 2017). "MoveOn Endorses Six Senators' Re-Election Bids, Backing 'Health Care Heroes' for Helping Lead Effort to Stop Trumpcare From Becoming Law, Embracing Progressive Policies in Trump Era". MoveOn.org. Retrieved September 10, 2017.
  13. ↑ "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
  14. ↑ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
  15. 1 2
  16. ↑ O'Sullivan, Jim (August 2, 2017). "Trump backer Geoff Diehl launches bid to unseat Elizabeth Warren". The Boston Globe. Retrieved August 2, 2017.
  17. ↑ O'Sullivan, Jim (August 21, 2017). "GOP's Beth Lindstrom to launch challenge to Elizabeth Warren in 2018". The Boston Globe. Retrieved August 21, 2017.
  18. ↑ "Kingston formally launches US Senate bid for Republican nomination - The Boston Globe".
  19. ↑ "MITCHELL, DARIUS - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  20. ↑ "WELLMAN, HEIDI M - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  21. ↑ Murphy, Matt (April 12, 2017). "Weighing another run, Gomez sees Warren as beatable". WWLP. Retrieved April 14, 2017.
  22. ↑ Phillips, Frank (January 10, 2017). "GOP businessman may challenge Elizabeth Warren for re-election". The Boston Globe. Retrieved January 12, 2017.
  23. ↑ Phillips, Frank (March 13, 2017). "Businessman Rick Green decides against US Senate bid". The Boston Globe. Retrieved March 15, 2017.
  24. ↑ Firozi, Paulina (August 16, 2016). "Curt Schilling considers challenging Elizabeth Warren". The Hill. Retrieved August 16, 2016.
  25. ↑ "Libertarian Bill Weld will head up a fund-raising event . . . for the GOP - The Boston Globe".
  26. 1 2 Cassidy, Chris (January 7, 2017). "Liz Warren running into wrath of Donald Trump". Boston Herald. Retrieved January 11, 2017.
  27. ↑ Dumcius, Gintautas (September 8, 2018). "Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker says he backs GOP's November ticket, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren's opponent". masslive.com.
  28. ↑ Young, Shannon (May 10, 2018). "Maine Gov. Paul LePage to campaign for US Senate candidate Geoff Diehl". masslive.com.
  29. ↑ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter".
  30. ↑ "Clark Endorses Diehl". Diehl for Senate. August 23, 2018.
  31. ↑ "Cole endorses Diehl". Diehl for Senate. August 24, 2018.
  32. ↑ Richard, Barry (September 12, 2018). "AREA POLITICIANS NEED TO BE TRUTHFUL ABOUT WARREN [OPINION]". wbsm.com.
  33. ↑ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter".
  34. ↑ Sullivan, Mark (March 26, 2018). "Campaign Notebook: Central Mass. Republicans pick sides in bid to oust Sen. Elizabeth Warren". telegram.com.
  35. ↑ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter". Twitter.
  36. ↑ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter". Twitter.
  37. ↑ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter". Twitter.
  38. ↑ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter". Twitter.
  39. ↑ Geoff Diehl. "Stoneham Selectwoman Caroline Colarusso endorses Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate!". Facebook.
  40. 1 2 "POLITICAL NOTEBOOK: Housing issue gets spotlight at Dem forum". The Framingham Tab. August 26, 2018.
  41. ↑ "Diehl Endorsed by Sheriff Cummings". CapeCod.com. July 25, 2018.
  42. ↑ Geoff Diehl. "Thrilled to have the endorsement of Weymouth @MayorBobHedlund! Remember to vote Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate on Tuesday, September 4. #TheRealDiehl #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop". Twitter.
  43. ↑ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter". Twitter.
  44. 1 2 "Diehl Wins Taunton Endorsements". Diehl for Senate. August 23, 2018.
  45. ↑ Geoff Diehl. "Melrose Alderman Monica Medeiros endorses Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate!". Facebook.
  46. ↑ Geoff Diehl. "Thank you to #Hanson Board of Selectman Chair Ken Mitchell for your endorsement. Together we will put our communities and all of #MassachusettsFirst! #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop". Twitter.
  47. ↑ Battenfeld, Joe (August 15, 2018). "Herman Cain reappears in support of Diehl's 'long shot' bid [+audio]". Boston Herald.
  48. ↑ Howie Carr. "Good morning everyone! Big day today. Don't forget to vote for Geoff Diehl. @DiehlForSenate". Twitter.
  49. 1 2 "DIEHL WINS BIG ENDORSEMENT". Diehl for Senate. April 11, 2018.
  50. ↑ "DIEHL WINS BIG ENDORSEMENT: Malone Endorses Diehl". Diehl for Senate. August 31, 2018.
  51. ↑ "Captain Dave Endorses Diehl for Senate". Diehl for Senate. August 28, 2018.
  52. ↑ "McNamara Endorses Diehl". Diehl for Senate. July 11, 2018.
  53. ↑ "STEPHEN MOORE TO HEADLINE EVENT FOR DIEHL". Diehl for Senate. July 26, 2018.
  54. ↑ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter".
  55. ↑ Stout, Matt (March 28, 2018). "Sean Spicer is coming to town — to raise money for a Warren opponent". Boston Globe.
  56. ↑ https://news.wgbh.org/2018/04/28/politics-government/gop-endorses-baker-gov-diehl-us-senate-pro-trump-lively-makes-ballot
  57. ↑ "DIEHL WINS BIG ENDORSEMENT". Diehl for Senate. August 27, 2018.
  58. 1 2 "Everett Police Patrolman's Association Endorse Diehl for U.S. Senate". GoLocalWorcester. August 27, 2018.
  59. ↑
  60. ↑
  61. ↑ Geoff Diehl. "BREAKING: I am proud to have earned the endorsement of the @NRA - National Rifle Association of America ahead of our Tuesday Primary. I'll always stand with law-abiding gun owners to protect our #2A #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop". Twitter.
  62. ↑ "Editorial endorsement: Geoff Diehl a strong challenge for Liz Warren". Boston Herald. August 20, 2018.
  63. ↑ "Libertarian Bill Weld will head up a fund-raising event . . . for the GOP - The Boston Globe". Retrieved 29 August 2018.
  64. ↑ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
  65. ↑ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
  66. ↑ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
  67. ↑ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
  68. ↑ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
  69. ↑ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
  70. ↑ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
  71. ↑ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
  72. ↑ "Rep. Jay Barrows endorses Beth Lindstrom for U.S. Senate". Beth Lindstrom For US Senate. June 28, 2018.
  73. ↑ Beth Lindstrom for U.S. Senate. "Latest endorsement: "She's been actively getting to know people in the state personally - learning which issues matter most to them, what is working well, and what changes are needed." -Representative Steve Howitt #masen #mapoli #bospoli". Facebook.
  74. ↑ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
  75. ↑ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
  76. ↑ "Mayor Mark Hawke endorses Beth Lindstrom for U.S. Senate". Beth Lindstrom For US Senate. July 19, 2018.
  77. ↑ Beth Lindstrom. "THonored to receive the endorsement of #Peabody City Councilor-at-Large Anne Manning-Martin! #masen #mapoli #bospoli". Twitter.
  78. ↑ "Maggie's List Proudly Endorses Beth Lindstrom for U.S Senate". Maggie's List. March 14, 2018. Retrieved March 21, 2018.
  79. ↑ "Beth Lindstrom". VIEW PAC.
  80. ↑ "RightNOW Women PAC Endorses Beth Lindstrom". Beth Lindstrom For US Senate. January 3, 2018.
  81. ↑ Beth Lindstrom. "Today, I was formally endorsed by the New England Police Benevolent Association. The NEPBA represents close to 4,000 Law Enforcement Professionals in Massachusetts. #masen #mapoli". Twitter.
  82. ↑ "Endorsement: Beth Lindstrom is clear GOP choice for Senate". The Boston Globe. August 23, 2018.
  83. ↑ "EDITORIAL: Lindstrom is best hope for GOP in senate race". The Lowell Sun. August 29, 2018.
  84. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "John Kingston". www.facebook.com.
  85. ↑ "John Kingston on Twitter".
  86. ↑ "John Kingston on Twitter".
  87. ↑ "John Kingston". www.facebook.com.
  88. ↑ "John Kingston on Twitter".
  89. ↑ Guckert, Josh (October 5, 2016). "Poll: William Weld Nearly Tied with Elizabeth Warren in 2018 Senate Race". The Libertarian Republic. Retrieved December 23, 2016.
  90. ↑ Buell, Spencer (November 11, 2017). "Shiva Ayyadurai Is Running for Senate as an Independent". Boston Magazine. Retrieved November 13, 2017.
  91. ↑ "WATERS, ALLEN - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  92. ↑ "DEVINE, JOHN - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  93. ↑ Koczela, Steve (January 16, 2018). "Gomez leaves GOP, eyes independent bid against Warren". CommonWealth Magazine. Retrieved January 17, 2018.
  94. ↑ "Fake Indian, Meet Real Indian". 3 December 2017.
  95. ↑ "Dr Shiva Ayyadurai on the Hypocrisy of the Establishment Elites". YouTube. December 30, 2017. Retrieved December 30, 2017.
  96. ↑ "lowell sun editorial board - Google Search". www.google.com. Retrieved 29 August 2018.
  97. ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  98. ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  99. ↑ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  100. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  101. ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  102. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
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