United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2018
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi will take place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Republican Roger Wicker is running for reelection to a second full term.
The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018 with a runoff on June 26 if a party's primary fails to produce a majority winner.[1] The race takes place on the same day as the nonpartisan jungle primary for the other U.S. Senate seat in Mississippi, which was vacated by Thad Cochran in the spring of 2018.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Roger Wicker, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
- Richard Boyanton, businessman[3]
Withdrawn
- Chris McDaniel, State Senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[4][5][6][7][8] (running for the Class 2 U.S. Senate seat)[9][10]
Endorsements
| Roger Wicker |
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| Chris McDaniel (withdrawn) |
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Roger Wicker (incumbent) | 127,449 | 82.8 | |
| Republican | Richard Boyanton | 26,519 | 17.2 | |
| Total votes | 153,968 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- David Baria, Mississippi House of Representatives Minority Leader[20]
- Jensen Bohren[21]
- Jerone Garland[22]
- Victor G. Maurice Jr.[22]
- Omeria Scott, State Representative[23]
- Howard Sherman, businessman[24]
Declined
- Jeramey Anderson, State Representative (running for MS-4)[25][26]
- Brandon Presley, Chair of the Mississippi Public Service Commission[27][28]
- Bennie Thompson, U.S. Representative
Endorsements
| Jensen Bohren |
|---|
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| David Baria |
|---|
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Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
David Baria |
Jensen Bohren |
Omeria Scott |
Howard Sherman |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 446 | 7% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 79% |
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Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Initial primary results by county:
Sherman
- Sherman—50–60%
- Sherman—40–50%
- Sherman—<40%
Baria
- Baria—<40%
- Baria—40–50%
- Baria—50–60%
- Baria—60–70%
- Baria—80–90%
Scott
- Scott—<40%
- Scott—40–50%
- Scott—50–60%
- Scott—70–80%
- Scott—80–90%
Garland
- Garland—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Howard Sherman | 27,087 | 32.0 | |
| Democratic | David Baria | 26,341 | 31.1 | |
| Democratic | Omeria Scott | 20,273 | 23.9 | |
| Democratic | Victor G. Maurice Jr. | 4,184 | 4.9 | |
| Democratic | Jerone Garland | 4,107 | 4.8 | |
| Democratic | Jensen Bohren | 2,746 | 3.2 | |
| Total votes | 84,738 | 100.0 | ||
Runoff results
Primary runoff results by county:
Baria
- 80–90%
- 70–80%
- 60–70%
- 50–60%
Sherman
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Baria | 43,402 | 58.7 | |
| Democratic | Howard Sherman | 30,598 | 41.3 | |
| Total votes | 74,000 | 100.0 | ||
Independents and third party candidates
Libertarian Party
Declared
Reform Party
Declared
- Shawn O'Hara, perennial candidate[22]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[37] | Solid R | September 29, 2017 |
| Inside Elections[38] | Solid R | September 29, 2017 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] | Safe R | September 27, 2017 |
| Fox News[40] | Likely R^ | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN[41] | Solid R | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[42] | Safe R | June 2018 |
^Highest rating given
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
| Roger Wicker (R) | $5,349,028 | $3,831,418 | $3,138,044 |
| David Baria (D) | $532,629 | $528,325 | $72,922 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[43] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Roger Wicker (R) |
David Baria (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | September 9–24, 2018 | 985 | ± 4.3% | 43% | 29% | – | 27% |
| Triumph Campaigns | July 30–31, 2018 | 2,100 | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | 3%[44] | 12% |
| Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 31% | – | 21% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Baria | ||||
| Libertarian | Danny Bedwell | ||||
| Reform | Shawn O'Hara | ||||
| Republican | Roger Wicker (incumbent) | ||||
| Majority | |||||
| Turnout | |||||
References
- ↑ "United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
- ↑ "Former President Bush to attend private event in Jackson". Starkville Daily News. June 1, 2017. Retrieved June 5, 2017.
- ↑ "Candidacy form" (PDF). docquery.fec.gov.
- ↑ Pender, Geoff (November 16, 2015). "Some post-Trump political prognostics". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved December 6, 2016.
- ↑ "Precursor to 2018? Coordinated effort by McDaniel, Sojourner, Walters to malign Sen. @RogerWicker". Yall Politics. November 14, 2015. Retrieved December 6, 2016.
- ↑ Harrison, Bobby (July 9, 2017). "Will Tupelo's Wicker face McDaniel challenge in 2018 Senate race?". Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
- ↑ "GOP showdown: McDaniel expected to challenge Wicker for Senate".
- ↑ Swanson, Ian (28 February 2018). "McDaniel makes GOP Senate challenge official in Miss".
- ↑ "McDaniel to Run for Open Mississippi Senate Seat - Chris McDaniel for US Senate". 14 March 2018.
- ↑ "Senator Chris McDaniel". www.facebook.com.
- ↑ "Ex-President George W. Bush Raises Money for Sen. Wicker". U.S. News. June 1, 2017. Retrieved March 4, 2018.
- ↑ "President Donald Trump is backing Sen. Roger Wicker against a Steve Bannon-led challenge by Chris McDaniel". The Sun Herald. October 20, 2017. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
- ↑ Phil Bryant. "I agree with @realDonaldTrump. Sen. Roger Wicker has been instrumental in cutting taxes, eliminating burdensome regulations, creating jobs and strengthening our border. Mississippi needs Sen. Wicker in Washington, and I hope you will join me in voting for him on June 5". Twitter.
- ↑ Greg Snowden. "Every citizen is entitled to their own opinion, of course, but for myself, I stand with President Donald Trump in supporting the re-election of Senator Roger Wicker". Twitter.
- ↑ "Santorum Endorses Wicker".
- ↑ Ulmer, Sarah (December 15, 2017). "Pascagoula Mayor Dane Maxwell: We're going to fight to keep Senator Wicker". Y'all Politics. Retrieved December 15, 2017.
- ↑ "#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018.
If Senator Chris McDaniel chooses to run for U.S. Senate, he will have our support and the support of these state and local leaders, along with many of their grassroots organizations... We are ready to hit the ground running to elect Chris McDaniel.
- ↑ "#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018.
In 2014, the common folks of Mississippi made the very definite statement that we are not being heard and those in power have no intention of hearing us... One person, Chris McDaniel, had the courage to say enough is enough. We almost got it done and common people all over the country recognized what we nearly accomplished. We support Chris McDaniel’s efforts to reestablish governance by the consent of the governed.
- ↑ "#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018.
Year after year, our Senators and Congressmen rank so low on most conservative scorecards. It’s time we elect a Senator who truly represents Mississippi’s conservative constituency.
- ↑ Dovere, Edward-Isaac (February 28, 2018). "Democrat David Baria enters Senate race in Mississippi". POLITICO.
- ↑ "BOHREN, JENSEN MR - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
- 1 2 3 4 "Qualifying list" (PDF). www.sos.ms.gov.
- ↑ "Omeria Scott running for US Senate". WTOK.com. March 1, 2018.
- ↑ Hall, Sam R.; Pender, Geoff (February 28, 2018). "2 Democrats — state lawmaker, Sela Ward's husband — enter #MSSEN race". Clarion Ledger. Retrieved February 28, 2018.
- ↑ "Here are a few Democrats who could make a U.S. Senate run in Mississippi". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved 2017-12-29.
- ↑ "Millennial Democrat enters 4th Congressional District race". sunherald. Retrieved 2017-12-29.
- ↑ Harrison, Bobby (October 19, 2017). "Presley could be hope for Democrats under right circumstances". Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal. Retrieved October 19, 2017.
- ↑ Dovere, Edward-Isaac (January 18, 2018). "Top Democratic recruit passes on Mississippi Senate run". Politico. Retrieved January 18, 2018.
- ↑ "2018 election progressive candidates". JackpineRadicals.com. Jackpine Radicals. November 23, 2017. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Mississippi Candidates Vetted". VoteSTEM.org. Vote STEM. February 5, 2018. Retrieved February 14, 2018.
- ↑ "Sustainable Politician Project". sustainablepoliticianproject.com. Sustainable Politician Project. May 7, 2018. Retrieved May 15, 2018.
- ↑ "Vote For Jensen". Twitter.com. MSDSA. June 3, 2018. Retrieved June 5, 2018.
- ↑ Muller, Tiffany (September 6, 2018). "End Citizens United Endorses Five Reformers for Congress". End Citizens United.
- ↑ "Baria endorsed by Mississippi AFL-CIO". bariaformississippi.com. March 27, 2018. Retrieved May 13, 2018.
- ↑ "Baria gets endorsement from MAE". WTOK. October 9, 2018.
- ↑ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
- ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ↑ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved July 27, 2018.
- ↑ Shawn O'Hara (R) with 2%, Danny Bedwell (L) with 1%
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites
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