United States Senate special election in Minnesota, 2018

United States Senate special election in Minnesota, 2018
November 6, 2018

 
Nominee Tina Smith Karin Housley Sarah Wellington
Party DFL Republican LMN
Incumbent U.S. Senator

Tina Smith
DFL

The 2018 United States Senate special election in Minnesota will take place November 6, 2018, to elect a United States Senator from Minnesota to fill Senator Al Franken's term expiring on January 3, 2021. On December 7, 2017, Franken announced his resignation, effective January 2, 2018. His successor, Tina Smith, was appointed by Governor Mark Dayton on December 13, 2017, and is running in the special election. This election will coincide with a regularly scheduled U.S. Senate election for the seat currently held by Amy Klobuchar, U.S. House elections, a gubernatorial election, State House elections, and other elections.

The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on August 14, 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Richard Painter
Local and statewide politicians
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Results by county:
Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Tina Smith (incumbent) 433,705 76.06%
DFL Richard Painter 78,193 13.71%
DFL Ali Chehem Ali 18,897 3.31%
DFL Gregg Iverson 17,825 3.13%
DFL Nick Leonard 16,529 2.90%
DFL Christopher L. Seymore Sr. 5,041 0.88%
Total votes 570,190 100%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • Bob Anderson, businessman[14]
  • Nikolay Nikolayevich Bey[3]

Declined

Results

Results by county:
Republican Party of Minnesota primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Karin Housley 186,384 61.95%
Republican Bob Anderson 107,102 35.60%
Republican Nikolay Nikolayevich Bey 7,355 2.45%
Total votes 300,861 100%

Minor parties and independents

Candidates

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[27] Lean D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[28] Likely D April 9, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] Likely D April 5, 2018
Fox News[30] Likely D^ July 9, 2018
CNN[31] Likely D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[32] Lean D August 13, 2018

^Highest rating given

Endorsements

Karin Housley (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State Legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Tina Smith (D)
Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide and local politicians
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and news websites

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tina
Smith (D)		 Karin
Housley (R)		 Sarah
Wellington (LMN)		 Other Undecided
Change Research October 12–13, 2018 1,413 – 46% 43% 5% 2%[81] 2%
Marist College September 30 – October 4, 2018 637 LV ± 4.9% 54% 38% – <1% 7%
860 RV ± 4.2% 52% 39% – <1% 9%
Mason-Dixon September 10–12, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 44% 37% 2% 2%[82] 15%
SurveyUSA September 6–8, 2018 574 ± 4.9% 48% 39% – 2% 11%
Suffolk University August 17–20, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 44% 37% 2% 0%[83] 18%
Emerson College August 8–11, 2018 500 ± 4.6% 32% 28% – – 41%
Marist College July 15–19, 2018 876 ± 4.0% 49% 35% – 1% 15%
BK Strategies (R) June 24–25, 2018 1,574 ± 2.5% 48% 39% – – 13%

Results

United States Senate special election in Minnesota, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
DFL Tina Smith (incumbent)
Republican Karin Housley
Independent Jerry Trooien
LMN Sarah Wellington
Majority
Total votes

See also

References

  1. ↑ "United States Senate special election in Minnesota, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  2. ↑ Domonoske, Camila (December 13, 2017). "Minnesota Lt. Gov. Tina Smith Will Replace Al Franken in U.S. Senate". NPR. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
  3. 1 2 3 4 "Candidate Filings". candidates.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved 2018-06-08.
  4. ↑ Magan, Christopher (February 5, 2018). "Fellow Democrat Nick Leonard to challenge Tina Smith for Senate seat". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved February 6, 2018.
  5. ↑ Keen, Judy (April 30, 2018). "Richard Painter exits GOP, launches bid against DFL Sen. Tina Smith". Star Tribune. Retrieved May 1, 2018.
  6. ↑ Coolican, J. Patrick (December 13, 2017). "Rep. Keith Ellison won't run for U.S. Senate in '18". Star Tribune. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Pathé, Simone (December 6, 2017). "What Happens to Franken's Seat If He Resigns?". Roll Call. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
  8. 1 2 3 Bakst, Brian (December 8, 2017). "Senate vacancy creates opportunity, complications galore". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
  9. 1 2 3 4 Allen, Jonathan (December 7, 2017). "Franken exit could be game-changer for control of Senate". NBC News. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  10. ↑ Potter, Kyle (December 14, 2017). "Minnesota Democrats aim to clear Smith's path for 2018 bid". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  11. ↑ "Former Gov. Arne Carlson Endorses Painter's Democratic Senate Run". CBS Minnesota. May 7, 2018.
  12. ↑ "I contributed to the fight for our democracy by donating to the Richard Painter campaign! #PeopleForPainter #CountryOverParty". Twitter. Rosie O'Donnell. April 28, 2018.
  13. ↑ Orrick, Dave (December 19, 2017). "Washington County Republican Karin Housley wants Al Franken's Senate seat". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved December 19, 2017.
  14. ↑ Pugmire, Tim (January 17, 2018). "Second GOP candidate seeks to unseat Smith". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
  15. ↑ Carney, Jordain (January 2, 2018). "Bachmann considering running for Franken's seat". The Hill.
  16. 1 2 3 Pugmire, Tim (December 7, 2017). "As Dayton weighs Franken replacement, who may run in 2018?". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  17. ↑ Potter, Kyle. "NEW: Former Sen. Norm Coleman says on his personal Facebook he won't run for Franken's #mnsen seat in 2018pic.twitter.com/dktnkRzoMs".
  18. ↑ "Emmer will seek re-election in 6th Congressional District". ABC Newspapers. January 18, 2018.
  19. ↑ Potter, Kyle (December 21, 2017). "Tim Pawlenty eyes return to national stage — but in a new GOP era". Twin Cities Pioneer Press.
  20. ↑ "Pawlenty opts against senate run on Fox News".
  21. 1 2 3 Coolican, J. Patrick (December 9, 2017). "Minnesota's 2018 special Senate election for Al Franken's seat sets up seismic political shift". Star Tribune. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
  22. 1 2 "Minnesota Republicans are chattering about who will run for Franken's Senate seat in 2018". December 8, 2017.
  23. ↑ McCullough, Kevin. "Should @realMikeLindell step forward as the next Senator of Minnesota?". Twitter.
  24. ↑ McCullough, Kevin. "Will @RealMikeLindell run for U.S. Senate from Minnesota?". Twitter.
  25. ↑ Coolican, J. Patrick (April 16, 2018). "Controversial developer Jerry Trooien running for U.S. Senate as independent". Star Tribune. Retrieved June 12, 2018.
  26. ↑ Golden, Erin (June 16, 2018). "Legal pot advocates join Minnesota races for state, federal offices". Star Tribune. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  27. ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 23, 2018.
  28. ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  29. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Ratings Changes". www.centerforpolitics.org.
  30. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  31. ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  32. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  33. ↑ Donald J. Trump. "Just made my second stop in Minnesota for a MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN rally. We need to elect @KarinHousley to the U.S. Senate, and we need the strong leadership of @TomEmmer, @Jason2CD, @JimHagedornMN and @PeteStauber in the U.S. House!". Twitter.
  34. ↑ [rudyboschwitz karin housley "Karin Housley for U.S. Senate announces grassroots team"] Check |url= value (help). 22 May 2018. Retrieved 22 August 2018.
  35. ↑ "Former Sen. Norm Coleman Endorses Karin Housley For Franken's Seat". 8 February 2018. Retrieved 3 April 2018.
  36. ↑ "Iowa Senator Ernst Campaigning In Minnesota For Housley". Voice of Alexandria.
  37. ↑ "David Perdue aims to shore up embattled Senate candidates". 24 August 2018. Retrieved 24 August 2018.
  38. ↑ "Karin Housley for U.S. Senate". www.facebook.com. Retrieved 3 April 2018.
  39. ↑ "Karin Housley for U.S. Senate". housleyforsenate.com. Retrieved 24 August 2018.
  40. 1 2 "Karin Housley on Twitter". Retrieved 3 April 2018.
  41. ↑ Phil Housley. "My wife @KarinHousley will make a great US Senator!". Twitter.
  42. ↑ "Karin Housley endorsed for U.S. Senate by MCCL Federal PAC, NRL PAC, SBA List". Minnesota Citizens Concerned for Life. March 27, 2018.
  43. ↑ "National Right to Life endorses Karin Housley in Minnesota's Senate Special Election". National Right to Life News Today. March 27, 2018.
  44. ↑ "Newberger, Housley win GOP endorsement for Senate races". FOX 9. June 1, 2018.
  45. ↑ "Susan B. Anthony List Endorses Karin Housley for U.S. Senate in MN Special Election". Susan B. Anthony List. March 27, 2018.
  46. ↑ Karin Housley. "I am so pleased to have the endorsement of @maggieslist1—joining so many other conservative women across the country running for office to fight for the communities we love. #mnsen". Twitter.
  47. ↑ Karin Housley. "Police Officers Federation of Minneapolis endorses Karin Housley". Facebook.
  48. ↑ "Minnesota Fraternal Order of Police endorses Karin Housley for U.S. Senate". housleyforsenate.com. September 13, 2018.
  49. 1 2 "Karin Housley endorsed by National Cattlemen's Beef Association". housleyforsenate.com. September 20, 2018.
  50. ↑ "U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses Karin Housley". housleyforsenate.com.
  51. ↑ Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote:". Twitter.
  52. ↑ "MN-Sen: Walter Mondale Helps Both Minnesota's Senators Keep Up The Resistance Against Trump". Daily Kos. April 19, 2018.
  53. ↑ "MN, PA & MT-Sen: Dick Durbin (D. IL) Helps These Democrats Fight Back Against Trump's Agenda". Daily Kos. May 31, 2018.
  54. ↑ "MN-Sen: Sen. Kamala Harris (D. CA) Gives Tina Smith (D) A Boost To Win Her Special Election". Daily Kos. June 25, 2018.
  55. ↑ "MN-Sen: Sen. Maggie Hassan (D. NH) Helps Tina Smith (D) Get Ready To Defeat Michelle Bachmann (R)". Daily Kos. January 18, 2018.
  56. ↑ Jones sent out an email to supporters soliciting donations to Smith.
  57. ↑ "MN-Sen: Amy Klobuchar (D) Helps Tina "The Velvet Hammer" Smith (D) Get Ready For Victory". Daily Kos. March 6, 2018.
  58. ↑ "MI & MN-Sen: Jeff Merkley (D. OR) Helps His Stabenow (D) & Smith (D) Keep Up The Resistance". Daily Kos. June 26, 2018.
  59. ↑ "MI, IN, WI, MN, OH & PA-Sen: Sen. Gary Peters (D. MI) Helps Senate Dems Win Big In The Midwest". Daily Kos. February 28, 2018.
  60. ↑ "MN-Sen: Sen. Brian Schatz (D. HI) Helps Fellow Progressive Tina Smith (D) Win Her Special Election". Daily Kos. March 11, 2018.
  61. ↑ "OH, WI, PA & MN-Sen: Warren (D. MA) Helps These Dems Continue To Stand Up To Wall Street". Daily Kos. March 9, 2018.
  62. ↑ Catherine Cortez Mastro. ".@TinaSmithMN has one of the toughest Senate races. I was on the ground recently with @amyklobuchar & @CecileRichards fighting for Tina". Twitter.
  63. 1 2 Robillard, Kevin; Severns, Maggie (December 13, 2017). "Minnesota governor names Lt. Gov. Tina Smith as Franken replacement". Politico. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
  64. 1 2 3 4 Brodey, Sam (December 14, 2017). "Why Minnesota's Democratic House delegation unanimously supports Tina Smith for Senate in 2018". MinnPost. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  65. ↑ Peggy Flanagan. "I've always had fight & fury in me but I've got it like never before and I'm so thankful we have leaders like Tina in DC right now. I'm standing here running for Lt. Governor because of Tina Smith. Because of the path she cleared. I'm grateful for her friendship & her mentorship". Twitter.
  66. ↑ Munt, Jennifer (December 13, 2017). "AFSCME Backs Tina Smith for U.S. Senate". AFSCME Council 5.
  67. ↑ "Our Candidates - CWA Political". CWA Political.
  68. ↑ "State and federal endorsements". Education Minnesota.
  69. ↑ "Minnesota AFL-CIO makes first round of 2018 political endorsements | Minnesota AFL-CIO". www.mnaflcio.org. March 6, 2018.
  70. ↑ "SEIU Endorse Tina Smith, Angie Craig, Keith Ellison and Betty McCollum". seiumn.org. March 9, 2018.
  71. ↑ "USW Lauds Appointment of Tina Smith to U.S. Senate". United Steelworkers. Smith has indicated that she will also run in the November 2018 election to fill the remaining two years of the term, and the USW has promised to provide strong support to her campaign.
  72. ↑ "2018 Council-endorsed Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
  73. ↑ "Emily's List endorses Tina Smith for U.S. Senate in Minnesota". Emily's List. January 4, 2018.
  74. ↑ Griffin, Chad (March 28, 2018). "HRC Endorses Tina Smith for U.S. Senate in Minnesota | Human Rights Campaign". Human Rights Campaign.
  75. ↑ Auster, Craig (April 10, 2018). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Tina Smith for Senate". League of Conservation Voters.
  76. ↑ Davis, Don (June 1, 2018). "Minnesota Democrats endorse Smith, Klobuchar". Duluth News Tribune.
  77. ↑ "NARAL Pro-Choice America PAC Endorses Tina Smith for Senate in Minnesota - NARAL Pro-Choice America". NARAL Pro-Choice America. March 8, 2018.
  78. ↑ https://www.ncpssm.org/pac/candidates-we-endorse-and-support/
  79. ↑ Curtis, Kevin (June 1, 2018). "NRDC Action Fund : NRDC Action Fund endorses Sen. Tina Smith". www.nrdcactionfund.org.
  80. ↑ "Our View / Endorsement: It's Smith in crowded Senate primary". News Tribune Editorial Board. Duluth News Tribune. July 25, 2018.
  81. ↑ Jerry Trooien (I) with 2%
  82. ↑ Jerry Trooien (I) with 2%
  83. ↑ Jerry Trooien (I) with 0%
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