Alaska gubernatorial election, 2018

Alaska gubernatorial election, 2018
November 6, 2018

 
Nominee Bill Walker Mike Dunleavy Mark Begich
Party Independent Republican Democratic
Running mate Byron Mallott Kevin Meyer Debra Call
Incumbent Governor

Bill Walker
Independent

The 2018 Alaska gubernatorial election will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Alaska. Incumbent Governor Bill Walker is running for reelection to a second term again as an Independent candidate. In the primaries for recognized political parties, candidates for Governor and Lieutenant Governor run separately. The winners of each respective primary for Governor and Lieutenant Governor then become a joint ticket in the general election for their political party.

Independent candidates for Governor and Lieutenant Governor may form a ticket that will appear on the general election ballot, provided that both candidates on the ticket collect enough valid petition signatures, as mandated by the Alaska Division of Elections.

Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination. In October 2017 the AKDP sued for the right to allow non-Democrats to compete for and win the Democratic nomination, which was ultimately decided in their favor in April 2018.[1] This move was widely thought to benefit incumbent Gov. Bill Walker, to foreclose the possibility of a Democratic nominee splitting the vote with Walker against a Republican nominee. However, with the entry of former Senator Mark Begich into the race, Walker withdrew from the Democratic primary and forged ahead with a fully independent bid for reelection.[2]

Governor

Declared

  • Mark Begich (Democratic), former U.S. Senator[3][4]
  • William S. "Billy" Toien (Libertarian), Libertarian candidate for Alaska Governor in 2010[5]

Polling

Endorsements

Mark Begich (D)
Statewide and local politicians
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Results by State House district:
  Begich—80–90%
  Begich—70–80%
  Begich—60–70%
Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Begich 33,451 85.3
Libertarian William Toien 5,790 14.8
Total votes 39,241 100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Declared

  • Debra Call (Democratic), Cook Inlet Tribal Council Board of Directors Representative[12][13]

Withdrawn

Results

Results by State House district:
  Call—80–90%
  Call—70–80%
  Call—60–70%
Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debra Call 34,291 100.0
Total votes 34,291 100.0

Republican primary

Governor

Nominated

Eliminated in primary[15]

  • Dorian Colbry
  • Thomas A. "Tom" Gordon[5]
  • Gerald Heikes, perennial candidate
  • Merica Hlatcu
  • Michael Sheldon
  • Mead Treadwell, former Lieutenant Governor[16]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Mike Dunleavy
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Dunleavy		 Scott
Hawkins		 Mead
Treadwell		 Other Undecided
Dittman Research (R-Dunleavy for Alaska) June 5–7, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 46% 7% 19% 3% 25%

Results

Results by State House district:
  Dunleavy—80–90%
  Dunleavy—70–80%
  Dunleavy—60–70%
  Dunleavy—50–60%
  Dunleavy—40–50%
  Dunleavy—30–40%
  Treadwell—40–50%
Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Dunleavy 43,802 61.5
Republican Mead Treadwell 22,780 32.0
Republican Michael Sheldon 1,640 2.3
Republican Merica Hlatcu 1,064 1.5
Republican Thomas Gordon 884 1.4
Republican Gerald Heikes 499 0.7
Republican Darin Colbry 416 0.6
Total votes 71,195 100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Declared

Declined

Results

Results by State House district:
  Meyer—50–60%
  Meyer—40–50%
  Meyer—30–40%
  Meyer—<30%
  Grunwald—40–50%
  Grunwald—30–40%
  Grunwald—<30%
  Stevens—50–60%
  Stevens—<30%
  Jackson—<30%
Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Meyer 23,838 35.8
Republican Edie Grunwald 18,097 27.1
Republican Gary Stevens 8,123 12.2
Republican Lynn Gattis 6,156 10.4
Republican Sharon Jackson 5,394 8.1
Republican Stephen Wright 4,321 6.5
Total votes 66,671 100.0

Independents

Governor

Declared

Lieutenant Governor

Declared

Endorsements

Walker/Mallott
Organizations

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[51] Lean R October 5, 2018
Inside Elections[52] Tilt R September 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] Likely R October 11, 2018
Daily Kos[54] Likely R October 5, 2018
Fox News[55][lower-alpha 1] Tossup October 9, 2018
Politico[56] Lean R October 9, 2018

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Bill
Walker (I)		 Mike
Dunleavy (R)		 Mark
Begich (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) October 11–12, 2018 645 – 24% 43% 23% – 9%
Alaska Survey Research October 1–6, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 27% 47% 23% – 4%
Alaska Survey Research September 21–25, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 23% 44% 29% – 4%
Harstad Strategic Research August 13–16, 2018 602 ± 4.0% 26% 36% 24% 2% 12%
Patinkin Research Strategies (I-Walker) June 22–28, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 28% 36% 22% – 15%
Harstad Strategic Research (D) June 21–26, 2018 602 ± 4.0% 28% 32% 28% – 12%
Alaska Survey Research June 15–21, 2018 654 ± 3.8% 23% 38% 33% – 6%

Results

Alaska gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Independent Bill Walker (incumbent)
Republican Mike Dunleavy
Libertarian Billy Toien
Democratic Mark Begich
Majority
Turnout

Notes

  1. ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

References

  1. ↑ Hertz, Nathaniel (April 4, 2018). "Independents can run in party primaries, Alaska Supreme Court says, opening door for Gov. Walker". Anchorage Daily News.
  2. ↑ Bohrer, Becky (June 2, 2018). "Former Sen. Begich to challenge Walker for Alaska governor". Associated Press.
  3. ↑ Herz, Nathaniel (April 30, 2016). "Fear of a Begich bid for governor looms large over Alaska GOP convention". Alaska Dispatch News. Retrieved July 19, 2016.
  4. 1 2 3 Herz, Nathaniel (May 28, 2017). "As some drop hints about running for Alaska governor in 2018, Walker remains a wild card". Alaska Dispatch News. Retrieved May 29, 2017.
  5. 1 2 "2018 Primary Candidate List". Alaska Division Of Elections. Retrieved June 2, 2018.
  6. ↑ Buxton, Matt (June 28, 2018). "Former Alaska Gov. Tony Knowles endorses Begich in race for governor | The Midnight Sun". The Midnight Sun.
  7. ↑ Walker, Rhiannon (September 18, 2018). "Former First Lady Bella Hammond endorses Begich". webcenter11.com.
  8. ↑ Cler, Jessica (July 27, 2018). "Planned Parenthood Votes Endorses Mark Begich for Governor of Alaska". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Votes Northwest and Hawaii.
  9. ↑ "Alaskans Together for Equality Endorses Mark Begich for Governor". Alaskans Together For Equality. August 24, 2018.
  10. ↑ Chris Klint (September 5, 2018). "APD's union backs Begich for governor". KTVA.
  11. 1 2 3 4 Election results
  12. 1 2 3 "Alaska lieutenant governor candidate says she is running with Begich in Democratic primary". Anchorage Daily News. 2018-06-01. Retrieved 2018-06-01.
  13. 1 2 Mauer, Richard (June 8, 2018). "Blatchford drops out of race for lieutenant governor". KTUU News. Retrieved June 9, 2018.
  14. ↑ "Dunleavy jumps back in governors race". Must Read Alaska. 2017-12-21. Retrieved 2017-12-21.
  15. ↑ Alaska Republican Party (August 21, 2018). "State of Alaska Official Ballot" (PDF). www.elections.alaska.gov/. Alaska Division of Elections.
  16. ↑ http://www.ktva.com/story/38328900/mead-treadwell-launches-gubernatorial-bid. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  17. ↑ "Breaking: Hawkins files for governor; focus will be on economy, dividends, crime - Must Read Alaska". Must Read Alaska. 2017-09-21. Retrieved 2017-09-25.
  18. ↑ DeMarban, Alex (July 2, 2018). "Republican Scott Hawkins withdraws from Alaska governor's race, citing entry of Treadwell". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved August 10, 2018.
  19. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Reynolds, Casey (February 1, 2017). "Game Theory: The One Question That Could Decide Who Alaska's Next Governor Will Be". The Midnight Sun. Retrieved February 2, 2017.
  20. ↑ Reynolds, Casey (February 17, 2017). "Friday in the Sun!!! (February 17)". The Midnight Sun. Retrieved February 24, 2017.
  21. ↑ "Letter of Intent Form". aws.state.ak.us. Retrieved 2017-09-12.
  22. ↑ Buxton, Matt (June 16, 2016). "Former Anchorage Mayor Dan Sullivan withdraws from U.S. Senate race". Fairbanks Daily News-Miner. Retrieved July 19, 2016.
  23. ↑ Mike Dunleavy for Governor. "Thrilled to have the endorsement of my colleague, Senator MacKinnon. Thank you Anna for your support!". Facebook.
  24. ↑ Kitchenman, Andrew (July 18, 2018). "Parnell endorses Dunleavy for governor". ktoo.org.
  25. ↑ Suzanne Downing (May 16, 2018). "Dunleavy signs three as state campaign co-chairs". Must Read Alaska.
  26. ↑ Suzanne Downing (March 5, 2018). "Dunleavy gets a big endorsement from …". Must Read Alaska.
  27. ↑ Mike Dunleavy for Governor. "Many of us live in Alaska for the unmatched sporting opportunities. I'm proud to earn the endorsement of the Sportsmen's Conservation Alliance, which works to preserve Alaska's fishing, hunting and trapping outdoor heritage traditions". Facebook.
  28. ↑ Mike Dunleavy for Governor. "The Alaska Outdoor Council works tirelessly for the preservation of outdoor pursuits in Alaska, and conservation of the habitats upon which they depend. I am proud to receive their endorsement in the primary". Facebook.
  29. ↑ Kortnie Horazdovsky (October 8, 2018). "State public safety union endorses Dunleavy, Anchorage officers endorse Begich". KTUU.com.
  30. ↑ "NRA Endorses Mike Dunleavy for Governor" (PDF). Alaskans for Dunleavy. September 26, 2018.
  31. ↑ Mike Chennault 3%
  32. 1 2 Mike Chennault 4%
  33. ↑ "Lynn Gattis files for lieutenant governor - Must Read Alaska". Must Read Alaska. 2017-08-04. Retrieved 2017-09-05.
  34. ↑ Hickman, Matt (21 September 2017). "Grunwald, mother of murdered Palmer teen, joins race for Lt. Governor". Alaska Frontiersman. Retrieved December 9, 2017.
  35. ↑ Downing, Suzanne (April 12, 2018). "GOP Sharon Jackson files for lieutenant governor". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
  36. ↑ Maguire, Sean (September 7, 2017). "State Senator Kevin Meyer files to be candidate for Lt. Governor, no running mate in mind". KTUU-TV. Retrieved September 8, 2017.
  37. ↑ Desroches, Kayla (August 1, 2017). "State Sen. Gary Stevens files to run for lieutenant governor". Alaska Public Media. Retrieved September 8, 2017.
  38. ↑ Brooks, James (August 2, 2017). "Kodiak senator is first to seek lieutenant governor's office". Juneau Empire. Retrieved September 8, 2017.
  39. ↑ https://www.adn.com/opinions/2018/03/15/they-are-running-on-principle-just-ask-them/. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  40. ↑ Manning, Phillip (July 19, 2017). "Senator David Wilson files for lieutenant governor race". Alaska Public Media. Retrieved September 5, 2017.
  41. ↑ Manning, Phillip (July 20, 2017). "Senator David Wilson says he's not running for Lt. Governor, he filed by accident". Alaska Public Media. Retrieved September 5, 2017.
  42. ↑ Baird, Austin (July 20, 2017). "Freshman senator launches bid for lieutenant governor, scraps campaign a day later". KTUU-TV. Retrieved September 5, 2017.
  43. ↑ "Heads and Tails: Campaigns, fundraisers, gaffes, and galas - Must Read Alaska". Must Read Alaska. 2017-08-08. Retrieved 2017-09-05.
  44. 1 2 Press, Associated (May 6, 2018). "Gov. Walker to enter Democratic primary in re-election bid". Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  45. ↑ Juneau, Andrew Kitchenman, Alaska Public Media & KTOO -. "Yes, independents can run in Democratic primary, says Alaska Supreme Court". Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  46. ↑ Klint, Chris (June 1, 2018). "Walker won't run in Democratic primary". KTVA. Retrieved June 2, 2018.
  47. ↑ Maguire, Sean. "Lieutenant Governor Byron Mallott files letter of intent for re-election". Retrieved 2017-09-05.
  48. ↑ "Centrist Project endorses Gov. Bill Walker (I-AK)". Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  49. ↑ Zak, Annie. "Alaska AFL-CIO endorses Gov. Walker for re-election". Anchorage Daily News.
  50. ↑ Zak, Annie. "NEA-Alaska endorses Walker for re-election". Anchorage Daily News.
  51. ↑ "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  52. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  53. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  54. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  55. ↑ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.
  56. ↑ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
Official gubernatorial campaign websites
Official lieutenant gubernatorial campaign websites
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