Georgia gubernatorial election, 2018

Georgia gubernatorial election, 2018

November 6, 2018

 
Nominee Brian Kemp Stacey Abrams
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor

Nathan Deal
Republican


The 2018 Georgia gubernatorial election will take place on November 6, 2018 concurrently with other statewide and local elections to elect the next Governor of the U.S. state of Georgia. Incumbent Republican Governor Nathan Deal is term-limited and thus cannot seek reelection to a third consecutive term. The primary elections were held on May 22, 2018 and a primary runoff was held on July 24, 2018 between Republican candidates Casey Cagle and Brian Kemp. The Democratic nominee is Stacey Abrams, and the Republican nominee is Brian Kemp.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in runoff

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Casey Cagle
Governors
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
State Representatives
Individuals
Organizations
Hunter Hill
U.S. Senators
State Representatives
U.S. Reps
Clay Tippins
State Representatives
Michael Williams
Individuals

First round

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle
Hunter
Hill
Brian
Kemp
Clay
Tippins
Michael
Williams
Other Undecided
Opinion Savvy May 15–16, 2018 515 ± 4.3% 31% 14% 20% 12% 5% 4% 15%
SurveyUSA May 10–15, 2018 558 ± 5.1% 35% 10% 17% 8% 3% 27%
University of Georgia April 19–26, 2018 507 ± 4.4% 41% 9% 10% 4% 3% 1%[38] 33%
Meeting Street Research (R-Citizens for Georgia’s Future) March 1 and 3–4, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 38% 10% 10% 3% 2% 3%[39] 35%
Clarion Research (R-Hill) March 2–3, 2018 547 ± 4.5% 48% 21% 15% 8% 7%
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 27% 11% 13% 12% 5% 1%[40] 31%
Meeting Street Research (R-Citizens for Georgia’s Future) February 6–7, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 31% 7% 12% 5% 2% 3% 40%
The Wickers Group (R-Kemp) October 21–24, 2017 400 ± 4.5% 34% 1% 13% 0% 1% 48%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone October 16–17, 2017 800 ± 3.5% 35% 9% 7% 1% 4% 44%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Cagle) September 28 – October 1, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 41% 4% 12% 2% 3% 39%

Results

Initial primary results by county:
  Cagle—50–60%
  Cagle—40–50%
  Cagle—<40%
  Kemp—<40%
  Kemp—40–50%
  Hill—<40%
  Tie
Republican primary results[41][42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Casey Cagle 236,987 38.95
Republican Brian Kemp 155,189 25.51
Republican Hunter Hill 111,464 18.32
Republican Clay Tippins 74,182 12.19
Republican Michael Williams 29,619 4.87
Republican Eddie Hayes 939 0.15
Total votes 608,380 100

Runoff

Casey Cagle and Brian Kemp advanced to a runoff on July 24 since neither candidate amassed over 50% of the vote in the May 22 primary. [43] On July 18, President Trump tweeted his support for Kemp, and Vice President Pence traveled to Georgia to campaign with him on July 20.[44]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle
Brian
Kemp
Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R) July 21–22, 2018 1,177 ± 2.7% 41% 59% 0%
SurveyUSA July 15–19, 2018 688 ± 4.7% 34% 40% 26%
Opinion Savvy July 17–18, 2018 466 ± 4.5% 37% 55% 8%
University of Georgia July 5–12, 2018 769 ± 3.5% 41% 44% 15%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Kemp) June 26–28, 2018 500 ± 4.0% 45% 45%
Cygnal June 26–27, 2018 812 ± 3.4% 44% 43% 14%
Rosetta Stone June 7, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 48% 41% 12%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Cagle) May 29–31, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 52% 42% 5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Kemp) May 29–31, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 46% 45% 9%

Debates

Results

Brian Kemp easily won the runoff by nearly 40 points despite the latest polls having him up by no more than 18. Cagle won only two counties, Monroe and Stephens.[45]

Republican primary runoff results[46]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Kemp 408,595 69.45
Republican Casey Cagle 179,712 30.55
Total votes 588,307 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Stacey Abrams
Federal politicians
Statewide and local politicians
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Websites and newspapers
Stacey Evans
Federal politicians
Statewide Politicians
State Legislators
Local politicians

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Stacey
Abrams
Stacey
Evans
Undecided
Opinion Savvy May 15–16, 2018 522 ± 4.3% 58% 19% 23%
SurveyUSA May 10–15, 2018 475 ± 6.2% 43% 24% 33%
20-20 Insight (D-Evans) May 9–15, 2018 433 ± 5.4% 42% 34% 25%
University of Georgia April 12–18, 2018 473 ± 4.5% 33% 15% 52%
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 29% 17% 54%

Results

Primary results by county:
  Abrams—80–90%
  Abrams—70–80%
  Abrams—60–70%
  Abrams—50–60%
  Evans—50–60%
  Evans—60–70%
Democratic primary results[99]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Stacey Abrams 424,305 76.44
Democratic Stacey Evans 130,784 23.56
Total votes 555,089 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[103] Tossup September 28, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[104] Tilt R September 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[105] Tossup October 4, 2018
RealClearPolitics[106] Tossup October 2, 2018
Daily Kos[107] Lean R September 17, 2018
Fox News[108][lower-alpha 1] Tossup October 10, 2018
Politico[109] Tossup October 9, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Endorsements

Stacey Abrams (D)
Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
Federal politicians
Statewide and local politicians
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Websites and newspapers
Brian Kemp (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S Representatives
State politicians
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Ted
Metz (L)
Other Undecided
University of Georgia September 30 – October 9, 2018 1,232 ± 2.8% 48% 46% 2% 4%
SurveyUSA October 3–8, 2018 655 ± 4.9% 47% 45% 2% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D-Georgia Engaged) October 5–6, 2018 729 ± 3.0% 46% 46% 7%
Landmark Communications October 1, 2018 964 ± 3.2% 48% 46% 2% 3%
SurveyMonkey September 9–24, 2018 1,955 ± 3.0% 43% 43% 14%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Abrams) September 17–20, 2018 603 ± 4.1% 42% 48% 3% 7%
University of Georgia August 26 – September 4, 2018 1,020 ± 3.1% 45% 45% 2% 8%
Gravis Marketing July 27–29, 2018 650 ± 3.8% 44% 46% 10%
SurveyUSA July 15–19, 2018 1,199 ± 4.3% 46% 44% 10%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Abrams) May 23–25, 2018 601 ± 4.0% 40% 49%
Mason-Dixon February 20–23, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 37% 40% 23%

Results

Georgia gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Brian Kemp
Democratic Stacey Abrams
Libertarian Ted Metz
Independent Larry Odom
Majority
Turnout

References

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  65. 1 2 Tom Spigolon (August 25, 2017). "Douglas congressman endorses Abrams in 2018 governor's race". MDJOnline.com.
  66. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 "Support for Stacey | Stacey Abrams for Governor". Stacey Abrams for Governor.
  67. 1 2 Gillum, Andrew [@AndrewGillum] (May 22, 2018). "Tomorrow, all across America, little girls who look like mine will wake up to a country where they can be anything, including a Governor. Congratulations to my dear friend @staceyabrams! What a victory. Onto November!" (Tweet). Retrieved May 24, 2018 via Twitter.
  68. Stacey Abrams. "Today, @HillaryClinton endorsed our people-powered campaign to move Georgia forward. Thank you, Hillary Clinton, for your support and for helping us get out the vote before Tuesday's election. United, we will win tomorrow – and turn Georgia blue in November". Twitter.
  69. 1 2 "GA-Gov: Wendy Davis (D. TX) Endorses Stacey Abrams (D) For Governor". Daily Kos. August 3, 2017.
  70. 1 2 "GA-Gov: Former Obama Senior Advisor Valerie Jarrett Goes All In For Stacey Abrams' (D) Campaign". Daily Kos. March 30, 2018.
  71. 1 2 Jason Kander [@JasonKander] (June 5, 2017). "My friend @staceyabrams is one of the smartest people I've ever met and I'm so excited to support her bid to be Georgia's next Governor" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  72. 1 2 Greg Bluestein (August 21, 2017). "Civil rights icon backs Abrams in Georgia governor race". AJC.com.
  73. 1 2 "My friend Nina Turner, former Ohio State Senator, is here to tell you why she's on #TeamAbrams:". Stacey Abrams. July 13, 2017.
  74. 1 2 Kelley, Everett (February 21, 2018). "AFGE | AFGE District 5 Endorses Stacey Abrams for Georgia Governor". www.afge.org. American Federation of Government Employees.
  75. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Stacey Abrams [@StaceyAbrams] (September 6, 2017). "Honored to have the support of @BldgTrdsUnions, @IBEW613ATLANTA, IUOE Local 926, @RWDSU SE Council – unions building GA's future #LaborWorks" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  76. 1 2 Chapman, Sid (March 7, 2018). "Educators endorse Stacey Abrams for Georgia's next governor". t.e2ma.net.
  77. 1 2 Greg Bluestein (October 20, 2017). "Georgia 2018: Prominent labor group endorses Abrams after 'fervent' meeting". MyAJC.com.
  78. 1 2 Stacey Abrams [@StaceyAbrams] (October 20, 2017). "Proud to be endorsed by @AFLCIOGeorgia! Together, we can build a brighter, stronger state where working families can thrive. #gapol" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  79. 1 2 District Council 77 (July 28, 2017). "IUPAT Endorses Gubernatorial Candidates in Illinois and Georgia". IUPAT.
  80. 1 2 Edgar Fields (August 2, 2017). "SRWDSU Endorses Stacy[sic] Abrams for GA Governor". RWDSU.
  81. 1 2 Gabby Giffords (November 9, 2017). "GIFFORDS ENDORSES STACEY ABRAMS FOR GOVERNOR OF GEORGIA". GiffordsPAC.
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  83. 1 2 "EMILY'S LIST ENDORSES STACEY ABRAMS FOR GOVERNOR OF GEORGIA". Emily's List. June 3, 2017.
  84. 1 2 "Higher Heights for America enthusiastically endorses Stacey Abrams to become the next governor of Georgia". Higher Heights for America.
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  86. 1 2 "Why is Mijente Mobilizing Latinxs for Stacey Abrams? – Gente for Abrams". 165.227.67.224.
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  89. 1 2 Turner, Nina (March 5, 2018). "Our Revolution Endorses in Georgia and Oklahoma Governors Races". ourrevolution.com/. Our Revolution.
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  91. 1 2 "WFP Endorses Stacey Abrams for Governor of Georgia". Working Families Party National PAC. November 21, 2017.
  92. 1 2 Kelly Macias (October 4, 2017). "Daily Kos endorses Stacey Abrams, who would be Georgia's—and America's—first black woman governor". Daily Kos.
  93. Bluestein, Greg (March 2, 2018). "Georgia 2018: Cleland endorses Evans in gov race". politics.myajc.
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  110. "Former President Jimmy Carter endorses Stacey Abrams in Georgia Governor's race". 11Alive News. WXIA-TV. August 14, 2018.
  111. Mandel, Eric (August 1, 2018). "Stacey Abrams lands her own presidential endorsement in Georgia governor's race". www.bizjournals.com. Atlanta Business Chronicle.
  112. "Joe Biden endorses Stacey Abrams for Georgia governor". The Associated Press. CBS News. June 20, 2018.
  113. NDRC. "SPOTTED: AG @EricHolder with a history-making gubernatorial nominee who understands why fighting for fair redistricting means fighting for the people! Georgia, @staceyabrams will have the power to veto rigged maps as governor and has committed to rejecting any gerrymandered map!". Twitter.
  114. Stacey Abrams. "Today, @HillaryClinton endorsed our people-powered campaign to move Georgia forward. Thank you, Hillary Clinton, for your support and for helping us get out the vote before Tuesday's election. United, we will win tomorrow – and turn Georgia blue in November". Twitter.
  115. Doug Jones. "Congrats @staceyabrams—can't wait to see you and all the Georgia Dems on Thursday! Georgia is going to make history!". Twitter.
  116. Hank Johnson. "Great to see .@staceyabrams @GoIUPAT District Council 77 in Decatur this weekend. She's inspiring & will be an outstanding governor. #StaceyAbrams #DekalbDems #NewtonDems #GwinnettDems #RockdaleDems". Twitter.
  117. Stacey Abrams. "@elizabethforma: "As #GAGov, Stacey will continue to fight alongside working people to create an economy that works not just for some, but for everyone." Georgia is ready—but we need all hands on deck to get it done". Twitter.
  118. Kirsten Gillibrand. "I was so fired up to make calls for @StaceyAbrams today in Georgia!". Twitter.
  119. Tom Perriello. "GA-Gov race = test case on whether some white Christians are rejecting Trump's GOP. Unifier @staceyabrams speaks powerfully of her faith vs Kemp who embraces unChristian rhetoric of hate and division. Recent shifts at Southern Baptist Covention may prove prophetic". Twitter.
  120. {{cite weblurl=https://staceyabrams.com/press-releases/release-senator-max-cleland-endorses-stacey-abrams-governor-georgia/}}
  121. Joe Kennedy. "Proud to stand with @StaceyAbrams for #GAGov. Stacey is a fearless voice for the powerless, a dedicated public servant, and a unifying force for good. Make a plan to get to the polls, and get involved here!". Twitter.
  122. Seth Moulton. "I am proud to endorse a new group of @serve_america candidates who will put public service before personal gain. They are ready to bring a new generation of leadership to Washington and to state capitals across the country! I hope you will join me in supporting their campaigns". Twitter.
  123. Jason Carter. "Congratulations to @staceyabrams --I'm excited to work for you and vote for you, and call you my Governor!". Twitter.
  124. Williams, Dave (June 13, 2018). "Roy Barnes endorses Stacey Abrams for governor". www.bizjournals.com. Atlanta Business Chronicle.
  125. Hanney, Adrianne (July 16, 2018). "Stacey Abrams picks up Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms' endorsement". WXIA. 11alive.com.
  126. Ayanna Pressley. "You can't poll transformation but you can feel the ground shifting beneath our feet. Georgia, I can't wait to call @staceyabrams your Governor". Twitter.
  127. 1 2 3 4 Stacey Abrams. "Last week, I was honored to attend an event hosted by my friend, @JohnLegend (w/ the brilliant @KELLYROWLAND, @kendrick38, @TheCarlWeathers & iconic Olympian/activist @DrJohnCarlos). Proud to have their support in the fight for a govt. that hears our voices & reflects our values". Twitter.
  128. Joshua DuBois. "The type of leader Georgia needs. @staceyabrams". Twitter.
  129. Justin Fairfax. "Georgia is going BLUE in 2018! @TerryMcAuliffe & I headlined an event for dear friend & the next Governor of Georgia @staceyabrams! #TeamAbrams #WeRiseTogether". Twitter.
  130. John Hickenlooper. "Fired up for @staceyabrams! #gapol". Twitter.
  131. Tish James. "And the next Governor of Georgia, @staceyabrams". Twitter.
  132. John Legend. "I'm proud to be in Atlanta to support @StaceyAbrams in her race for Governor of Georgia". Twitter.
  133. Tom Perez. "No matter who wins tonight's GOP #gagov runoff, Georgia voters know that there's only one candidate on the ballot who is going to fight for them and her name is @staceyabrams. #ElectBlackWomen". Twitter.
  134. Holland Taylor. "I am so thrilled by Stacey Abrams' climb to a high level where we can all see her, welcome her, & cheer her on from wherever we are! Georgia-- how exciting to have a new extraordinary leader in your midst!". Twitter.
  135. Jussie Smollett. "Georgia folks, I'm here to tell y'all, @staceyabrams is worth your vote. Don't make excuses in November". Twitter.
  136. Kenny Leon. "@staceyabrams for Ga Governor!! I'm in NY working on @AmericanSonPlay for broadway but I have applied for my absentee ballot. No excuses..vote vote vote". Twitter.
  137. Kara Swisher. "Look it's me and @hilaryr with the next Governor of Georgia @staceyabrams. You can listen to a podcast we did with her almost a year ago on Recode Decode". Twitter.
  138. Kandi Burruss. "Yesterday was a great day around so many inspiring women coming together to help make history & change Georgia for the better!". Twitter.
  139. Monica. "The energy, love & respect in the room yesterday was powerful !! @staceyabrams we support you !! You can see the joy in our faces! Change is coming ..." Twitter.
  140. Tara Strong. "#FightBack#VoteBlue. As usual, Republicans turn to cheating. Why? They're racist, misogynist cheaters. That's it. #JusticeForVoters vote @staceyabrams". Twitter.
  141. "Candidates - Black Economic Alliance". Black Economic Alliance. August 13, 2018.
  142. Jim Dean (June 3, 2017). "Stacey Abrams Launches Campaign for Georgia Governor with Nationwide Grassroots Support". Democracy for America.
  143. Morrow, Nick (June 15, 2018). "HRC Endorses Stacey Abrams for Georgia Governor | Human Rights Campaign". Human Rights Campaign. Human Rights Campaign.
  144. Donald Trump. "Congratulations to Brian Kemp on your very big win in Georgia last night. Wow, 69-30, those are big numbers. Now go win against the open border, crime loving opponent that the Democrats have given you. She is weak on Vets, the Military and the 2nd Amendment. Win!". Twitter.
  145. Mike Pence. "Secretary of State @BrianKempGA is a strong supporter of the #MAGA Agenda - jobs, public safety & 2nd amendment- and Brian Kemp will be a great Governor for Georgia! He has my full endorsement. Look forward to campaigning with him this Saturday in Macon! More details to come..." Twitter.
  146. "Mike Pence to headline rally for Brian Kemp". www.gainesvilletimes.com.
  147. "Randy Evans on Twitter".
  148. David Perdue. ".@BrianKempGA has my full support, and I'm going to do all I can to help him get elected as our next Governor, and keep Georgia headed in the right direction". Twitter.
  149. Johnny Isakson. "I congratulate Brian Kemp on a hard-fought victory, and I look forward to supporting him and the entire GOP ticket in November". Twitter.
  150. Newt Gingrich. "I endorse Brian Kemp for Governor of Georgia.Brian is proven conservative leader with plans to track and deport criminal illegals, dismantle gangs, and reform Georgia's education system so students come first.He is ready to put his private sector experience to work for Georgians". Twitter.
  151. Brian Kemp. "BREAKING: Congressman @JodyHice Endorses Kemp for Governor". Twitter.
  152. 1 2 Bluestein, Greg (August 25, 2017). "Georgia 2018: Hudgens, Dooley and Barr back Kemp in gov race". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved August 25, 2017.
  153. Karen Handel. "Congratulations to Brian Kemp on his nomination for Governor. It's time to begin to unite our party and work toward victory in November. #gapol". Twitter.
  154. Barry Loudermilk. "Congratulations @BrianKempGA on your victory tonight! Looking forward to working with you as our next Governor - to keep Georgia moving forward!". Twitter.
  155. Buddy Carter. "Glad to have @BrianKempGA in Savannah today. I'm proud to support him for our next #GAGov!". Twitter.
  156. Nathan Deal. "Together, we'll continue to keep our state the best place in the country to live, work and raise a family. This November, join me in electing Brian the 83rd governor of Georgia. (2/2)". Twitter.
  157. https://twitter.com/CaseyCagle/status/1021928349025951744. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  158. Elliot, Richard (July 17, 2018). "Former rival endorses Brian Kemp for governor".
  159. "Kemp endorsed by Dooleys, Clay Tippins rival as runoff enters final days".
  160. "Georgia Rep. David Clark To Lead Veterans For Kemp Coalition". Ammoland.com. June 7, 2018.
  161. Brian Kemp. "Proud to be endorsed by Commissioner @nancy_jester - who has a record of backing law enforcement and fighting for government transparency. Together, we will put hardworking Georgians first! #gapol #tcot #gafirst". Twitter.
  162. "Jan Jones on Twitter".
  163. Kemp for Governor (September 27, 2017). "Susan Holmes Backs Brian Kemp" via YouTube.
  164. "REP. WES CANTRELL: BRIAN KEMP IS THE TRUSTED CANDIDATE FOR SCHOOL CHOICE ADVOCATES". June 28, 2018.
  165. "REP. SAM TEASLEY: BRIAN KEMP IS A CONSERVATIVE CHAMPION". June 28, 2018.
  166. "MEDIA ADVISORY: KEMP TO ROLL-OUT PLAN TO STOP AND DISMANTLE GANGS WITH COBB DA VIC REYNOLDS". April 9, 2018.
  167. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 "Georgia Mayors, Council Members Back Kemp for Governor". July 19, 2017.
  168. 1 2 3 4 5 "KEMP RACKS UP 25 ENDORSEMENTS AT GMA". June 28, 2018.
  169. "Brian Kemp". www.facebook.com.
  170. "Georgia Hunting and Fishing Federation". www.facebook.com.
  171. McCord, Susan (September 5, 2018). "National pro-business group endorses Kemp for Georgia governor". The Augusta Chronicle.
  172. "NRA Endorses Kemp for Georgia Governor". NRA-ILA. September 21, 2018.
  173. "Erick Erickson on Twitter".
  174. "Georgia 2018: Hudgens, Dooley and Barr back Kemp in gov race".
  175. https://twitter.com/ralphreed/status/1021934286893666304. Retrieved 25 July 2018. Missing or empty |title= (help)
Official campaign websites
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