United States Senate special election in Mississippi, 2018

United States Senate special election in Mississippi, 2018
November 6, 2018

Incumbent U.S. Senator

Cindy Hyde-Smith
Republican

The 2018 United States Senate special election in Mississippi will take place November 6, 2018, to elect a United States Senator from Mississippi. The election is being held to fill the seat vacated by Senator Thad Cochran when he resigned from the Senate, effective April 1, 2018, due to health concerns.[1] Republican Governor Phil Bryant appointed Cindy Hyde-Smith to fill the vacancy created by Sen. Cochran's resignation.[2] Hyde-Smith is seeking election to serve the balance of Cochran's term, which expires in January 2021.[3]

On November 6, a nonpartisan jungle primary will take place on the same day as the regularly scheduled U.S. Senate election for the seat currently held by Roger Wicker. Party affiliations are not printed on the ballot.[4] If no candidate gains 50% of the votes, a runoff special election between the top two candidates will be held three weeks later on November 27, 2018.

Candidates

  • Note: Special elections in Mississippi are nonpartisan. The parties below identify which party label each candidate would have run under if given the option.

Republican Party

Declared

Declined

Democratic Party

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Primary election

Endorsements

Cindy Hyde-Smith
U.S. Executive Branch officals
U.S. Senators
  • Trent Lott, former U.S. Senate Majority Leader and U.S. Senator from Mississippi (1989-2007)
  • Thad Cochran, former U.S. Senator from Mississippi (1978-2018)
  • Roger Wicker, Mississippi
U.S. Representatives
U.S. Governors
Statewide officials
Political operatives
  • Henry Barbour, Republican National Committeeman for Mississippi
  • Jeanne Luckey, Republican National Committeewoman for Mississippi[23]
Organizations
Chris McDaniel
U.S. Representatives
Political operatives
  • Tommy Barnett, treasurer of Remember Mississippi super PAC[30]
  • Laura Van Overschelde, Chair of the Mississippi Tea Party[31]
  • Grant Sowell, Chair of the Tupelo Tea Party[32]
Other individuals
Mike Espy
US Senators
U.S. Representatives
U.S. Governors
Mayors
Individuals
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 12, 2018
Candidate Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Cindy Hyde-Smith $1,654,032 $264,232 $1,389,799
Mike Espy $408,236 $126,760 $281,476
Chris McDaniel $327,263 $171,208 $156,054
Source: Federal Election Commission[41]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Espy		 Cindy
Hyde-Smith		 Chris
McDaniel		 Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey September 9–24, 2018 985 ± 4.3% 25% 24% 19% 4%[42] 27%
Neighborhood Research Corporation (Courageous Conservatives PAC) August 22–23 and 27–30, 2018 304 ± 5.0% 28% 27% 18% – 27%
The Mellman Group (Espy) August 1–7, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 27% 29% 17% – –
Triumph Campaigns July 30–31, 2018 2,100 ± 3.5% 27% 41% 15% 1%[43] 16%
GS Strategy Group (U.S. Chamber of Commerce) May 1–3, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 22% 30% 17% 4%[44] –
Triumph Campaigns April 10–11, 2018 1,000 ± 3.0% 33% 33% 13% 6%[45] 15%
Chism Strategies (Espy) March 27, 2018 603 ± 4.0% 34% 27% 21% – 18%

Results

Nonpartisan primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Nonpartisan Tobey Bartee
Nonpartisan Mike Espy
Nonpartisan Cindy Hyde-Smith
Nonpartisan Chris McDaniel
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[46] Lean R October 12, 2018
Inside Elections[47] Solid R October 12, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Likely R October 11, 2018
Fox News[49] Lean R October 10, 2018
CNN[50] Solid R October 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[51] Likely R October 12, 2018

^Highest rating given

Polling

with Espy and Hyde-Smith
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Espy		 Cindy
Hyde-Smith		 Undecided
The Mellman Group (Espy) August 1–7, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 41% 38% –
Triumph Campaigns July 30–31, 2018 2,100 ± 3.5% 34% 48% 18%
Mason-Dixon April 12–14, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 34% 46% 20%
Triumph Campaigns April 10–11, 2018 1,000 ± 3.0% 36% 42% 23%
with Espy and McDaniel
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Espy		 Chris
McDaniel		 Undecided
The Mellman Group (Espy) August 1–7, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 27% –
Triumph Campaigns July 30–31, 2018 2,100 ± 3.5% 41% 26% 33%
Mason-Dixon April 12–14, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 42% 40% 18%
Triumph Campaigns April 10–11, 2018 1,000 ± 3.0% 43% 24% 33%

See also

References

  1. ↑ Jacobs, Ben (March 5, 2018). "Mississippi Senator Thad Cochran announces he is stepping down". the Guardian. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
  2. ↑ CNN, Eric Bradner, Kaitlan Collins and Ashley Killough,. "Governor picks Cindy Hyde-Smith to replace Cochran".
  3. ↑ https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2018/05/08/u-s-chamber-poll-cindy-hyde-smith-leads-mike-espy-chris-mcdaniel/590942002/
  4. ↑ Rakich, Nathaniel (2018-03-06). "How Things Could Go Wrong For Republicans In Mississippi's New Senate Race". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2018-04-28.
  5. ↑ "Who will get the Golden Ticket for US Senate from Phil Bryant? - Yall Politics". yallpolitics.com.
  6. ↑ "McDaniel to Run for Open Mississippi Senate Seat - Chris McDaniel for US Senate". March 14, 2018.
  7. ↑ "Senator Chris McDaniel". www.facebook.com.
  8. ↑ "Bryant not interested in Cochran seat despite urging from Trump, McConnell".
  9. ↑ @Andy_Taggart (March 18, 2018). "I have a lot of confidence in @PhilBryantMS to make a wise choice on current @SenThadCochran vacancy. But I also intend to hold open whatever options are needed to fend off @senatormcdaniel, including a run against him" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  10. ↑ "Shelton leaves special US Senate race". wtok.com. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
  11. ↑ Carroll, Liz (April 23, 2018). "Chris McDaniel, Tobey Bartee qualify to run for U.S. Senate seat". wjtv.com. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
  12. ↑ Pender, Geoff (March 5, 2018). "Espy announces run for Cochran Senate seat". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved March 6, 2018.
  13. ↑ JOURNAL, CALEB BEDILLION DAILY. "Shelton stokes questions about possible Senate run".
  14. ↑ "Tupelo Mayor Jason Shelton announces run for U.S. Senate special election in Mississippi". clarionledger.com. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
  15. ↑ "Democratic Mayor Jason Shelton drops out of Senate race". clarionledger.com. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
  16. ↑ "Here are a few Democrats who could make a U.S. Senate run in Mississippi". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved December 29, 2017.
  17. ↑ "Millennial Democrat enters 4th Congressional District race". sunherald. Retrieved December 29, 2017.
  18. ↑ "Cochran resigns effective April 1". POLITICO. Retrieved March 8, 2018.
  19. ↑ Bedillion, Caleb (March 29, 2018). "Lee County Democratic Party leader mulls Senate run". Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal. Retrieved March 29, 2018.
  20. ↑ Donald J. Trump. ".@cindyhydesmith has helped me put America First! She's strong on the Wall, is helping me create Jobs, loves our Vets and fights for our conservative judges..." Twitter.
  21. ↑ Donald J. Trump. "...Cindy has voted for our Agenda in the Senate 100% of the time and has my complete and total Endorsement. We need Cindy to win in Mississippi!". Twitter.
  22. ↑ "Haley Barbour weighs in on special election". MSNBC. September 14, 2018.
  23. ↑ "Cindy Hyde-Smith, United States Congress". cindyhydesmith.com.
  24. ↑ Kamisar, Ben (April 13, 2018). "Chamber of Commerce makes play in Mississippi Senate race for Hyde-Smith". The Hill.
  25. ↑ "REALTORS® Political Action Committee (RPAC) Endorses Hyde-Smith for U.S. Senate". Yall Politics. April 25, 2018. Retrieved April 25, 2018.
  26. ↑ Cindy Hyde-Smith. "Honored to have the endorsement of @MSManufacturers! Both America and our state need strong business environments, and I am working with President @realDonaldTrump to end regulations that harm economic growth! #cindy2018". Twitter.
  27. ↑ "NRA Endorses Hyde-Smith for U.S. Senate". National Rifle Association. August 13, 2018.
  28. ↑ Carter, Courtney (September 10, 2018). "National Right to Life endorses Hyde-Smith for Senate". Yall Politics.
  29. ↑ McLaughlin, Seth. "Ron Paul endorses Chris McDaniel in Mississippi Senate race". Washington Times. Retrieved 22 September 2018.
  30. ↑ "#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018. If Senator Chris McDaniel chooses to run for U.S. Senate, he will have our support and the support of these state and local leaders, along with many of their grassroots organizations... We are ready to hit the ground running to elect Chris McDaniel.
  31. ↑ "#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018. In 2014, the common folks of Mississippi made the very definite statement that we are not being heard and those in power have no intention of hearing us... One person, Chris McDaniel, had the courage to say enough is enough. We almost got it done and common people all over the country recognized what we nearly accomplished. We support Chris McDaniel’s efforts to reestablish governance by the consent of the governed.
  32. ↑ "#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018. Year after year, our Senators and Congressmen rank so low on most conservative scorecards. It’s time we elect a Senator who truly represents Mississippi’s conservative constituency.
  33. ↑ Fischer, Bryan [@BryanJFischer] (March 14, 2018). "Chris McDaniel decides to run for open Senate seat in MS. Excellent move. First one out of the gate. Puts the establishment on its heels playing catch-up. If the GOP is smart, will rally to his banner. Are they that smart?" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  34. ↑ "American Family Radio's Bryan Fischer Endorses Chris McDaniel for United States Senate". mcdaniel2018.com. June 10, 2018. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
  35. ↑ "Sen. Chris McDaniel on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved 3 July 2018.
  36. ↑ "U.S. Senate Candidate Mike Espy Receives Backing of New Jersey Sen. Cory". yallpolitics.com. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
  37. ↑ http://www.jacksonfreepress.com/news/2018/sep/20/deval-patrick-join-mike-espy-hattiesburg-saturday/. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  38. ↑ {{cite web|=https://www.wtva.com/content/news/Los-Angeles-Mayor-Eric-Garcetti-Endorses-Mike-Espy-for-US-Senate--495373851.html/}]
  39. ↑ [html//www.clarionledger.com/story/opinion/columnists/2018/09/19/wesley-k-clark-endorses-mike-espy-u-s-senate-seat/1358451002/ html//www.clarionledger.com/story/opinion/columnists/2018/09/19/wesley-k-clark-endorses-mike-espy-u-s-senate-seat/1358451002/] Check |url= value (help). Missing or empty |title= (help)
  40. ↑ "Mike Espy - U.S. Senate, Mississippi". Democracy for America. Retrieved October 13, 2018.
  41. ↑ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved October 12, 2018.
  42. ↑ Tobey Bartee 4%
  43. ↑ Tobey Bartee 1%
  44. ↑ Jason Shelton* 4%. *Withdrawn.
  45. ↑ Jason Shelton* 6%. *Withdrawn.
  46. ↑ "2018 Senate Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2018-04-08.
  47. ↑ "Senate Ratings Inside Elections". insideelections.com.
  48. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Senate". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2018-04-08.
  49. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  50. ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  51. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
Official campaign websites
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.