United States Senate election in Vermont, 2018
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Vermont will be held November 6, 2018, alongside a gubernatorial election, U.S. House election, and other state and local elections. Incumbent independent Senator Bernie Sanders has announced that he is running for re-election to a third term.[1] The primaries were held on August 14.[2]
Background
Two-term independent Senator Bernie Sanders was reelected with 71% of the vote in 2012. Sanders, a former candidate for president in the 2016 election and one of two independent members of Congress, is a self-described democratic socialist.[3][4]
Sanders has caucused with the Democratic Party since taking office in 2007, and he is the Ranking Member of the Budget Committee. He will be 77 years old in 2018. Sanders ran for the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination. After losing, he announced that he would return to the Senate as an independent,[5] and later stated that he would run for reelection as an independent in 2018.[6]
Independents
Candidates
- Brad Peacock, farmer[7]
- Bernie Sanders, incumbent U.S. Senator (caucuses with Democrats)[6]
Endorsements
| Bernie Sanders |
|---|
|
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bernie Sanders, incumbent U.S. Senator (speculated to reject nomination)[14]
Eliminated in primary
- Folasade Adeluola, activist and Hillary Clinton supporter[15]
Not on ballot
- Jon Svitavsky, homelessness activist[15]
Withdrawn
- Al Giordano, journalist[16]
Results
Results by county:
Sanders—>90%
Sanders—80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bernie Sanders (incumbent) | 63,683 | 91.0% | |
| Democratic | Folasade Adeluola | 3,766 | 5.4% | |
| Democratic | Blank votes | 2,226 | 3.2% | |
| Democratic | Write-ins | 281 | 0.4% | |
| Democratic | Overvotes | 51 | 0.0% | |
| Total votes | 70,007 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lawrence Zupan (nominated by party)
Withdrew nomination
- H. Brooke Paige, former CEO of Remmington News Service
Eliminated in primary
- Rocky De La Fuente, businessman[18]
- Jasdeep Pannu, attorney[19]
- Lawrence Zupan, real estate agent[20]
Did not file
- John MacGovern, former Massachusetts State Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[21]
- Scott Milne, businessman, nominee for Governor in 2014 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2016[21]
Results
Results by county:
Paige—50–60%
Paige—40–50%
Paige—<40%
Zupan—<40%
Zupan—40–50%
Zupan—50–60%
Zupan—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Blank votes | 10,778 | 29.1% | |
| Republican | H. Brooke Paige | 9,805 | 26.5% | |
| Republican | Lawrence Zupan | 9,383 | 25.4% | |
| Republican | Jasdeep Pannu | 4,527 | 12.2% | |
| Republican | Write-ins | 1,394 | 3.8% | |
| Republican | Rocky De La Fuente | 1,057 | 2.9% | |
| Republican | Overvotes | 43 | 0.1% | |
| Total votes | 36,987 | 100.0% | ||
Post-primary
H. Brooke Paige, who also won the Republican nominations for U.S. House, state Attorney General, state Secretary of State, state Treasurer and state Auditor, withdrew from all but the Secretary of State race on August 24 in order to allow the Vermont Republican Party to name replacement candidates.[22] The Vermont Republican Party picked Lawrence Zupan, who came in 2nd place in the primary, to be the Republican nominee.[23]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| CNN[24] | Solid D (Sanders) | July 12, 2018 |
| Fox News[25] | Likely* D (Sanders) | July 9, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[26] | Safe I (Sanders) | June 6, 2018 |
| The Cook Political Report[27] | Solid I (Sanders) | October 11, 2017 |
| Inside Elections[28] | Solid I (Sanders) | September 29, 2017 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] | Safe I (Sanders) | September 27, 2017 |
*Highest rating given
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bernie Sanders (I) |
Lawrence Zupan (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party) | September 23–26, 2018 | 406 | ± 4.9% | 75% | 20% | – |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Bernie Sanders (incumbent) | |||
| Republican | Lawrence Zupan | |||
| Liberty Union | Reid Kane | |||
| Independent | Folasade Adeluola | |||
| Independent | Russell Beste | |||
| Independent | Bruce Busa | |||
| Independent | Edward Gilbert Jr. | |||
| Independent | Brad Peacock | |||
| Independent | Jon Svitavsky | |||
| Total votes | ||||
See also
References
- ↑ Dobbs, Taylor. "Bernie Sanders to Seek Reelection to U.S. Senate". Seven Days. Retrieved 2018-05-22.
- ↑ https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G18/VT
- ↑ Nicholas, Peter (2016-07-26). "Bernie Sanders to Return to Senate as an Independent". Retrieved 2017-11-12.
- 1 2 Thomsen, Jacqueline (2017-10-22). "Sanders to run as an independent in 2018". TheHill. Retrieved 2017-11-12.
- ↑ Madigan, Cherise (January 7, 2018). "Newcomer Brad Peacock launches bid for Senate". The Bennington Banner. Retrieved 2018-05-21.
- ↑ Hagen, Lisa (January 20, 2017). "Major progressive group unveils first 2018 Senate endorsements". The Hill. Retrieved January 29, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Senate Endorsees - JStreet".
- ↑ Stewart, Brian (August 1, 2017). "MoveOn Endorses Six Senators' Re-Election Bids, Backing 'Health Care Heroes' for Helping Lead Effort to Stop Trumpcare From Becoming Law, Embracing Progressive Policies in Trump Era". MoveOn.org. Retrieved September 10, 2017.
- ↑ Nihart, Alison (July 17, 2018). "RAD's First Crop of Endorsed Candidates for 2018". Rights and Democracy. Retrieved July 20, 2018.
- ↑ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
- ↑ "Bernie Sanders". Our Revolution. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
- ↑ "Sanders to run as a Democrat — but not accept nomination". POLITICO. Retrieved 2018-05-22.
- 1 2 Hirschfield, Peter (July 6, 2017). "Little-Known Challengers Seek To Unseat Bernie Sanders In 2018". Vermont Public Radio. Retrieved July 7, 2017.
- ↑ Sainato, Michael (2017-07-07). "Bitter Clinton Supporters Try to Unseat Bernie Sanders in Senate Race". Observer. Retrieved 2018-05-03.
- 1 2 Final Canvass
- ↑ Epp, Henry (August 3, 2018). "Campaign 2018: Rocky De La Fuente Running In Multiple US Senate Primaries, Including Vt". Vermont Public Radio. Retrieved 2018-08-07.
- ↑ McCullum, April (March 23, 2018). "Sen. Bernie Sanders' seat attracts 4 newcomer candidates". Burlington Free Press. Burlington, Vermont. Retrieved 2018-05-03.
- ↑ Galloway, Anne (2018-06-01). "Incumbents in top slots face little competition in 2018 primary". VTDigger. Retrieved 2018-06-02.
- 1 2 Gregg, John P. (April 27, 2017). "Primary Source: Looking at the Sanders Juggernaut". Valley News. Retrieved April 27, 2017.
- ↑ Meyn, Colin (August 24, 2018). "Republicans on the clock after Paige withdraws from five statewide races". VTDigger.
- ↑ Young, Taylor. "Vt. GOP picks candidates for 5 open slots". WCAX-TV. Gray Digital Media. Retrieved 30 August 2018.
- ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites
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