Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2018

Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2018
November 6, 2018

 
Nominee Tom Wolf Scott Wagner
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate John Fetterman Jeff Bartos
Incumbent Governor

Tom Wolf
Democratic

The 2018 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with the election of Pennsylvania's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various local elections. Incumbent Democratic Governor Tom Wolf is running for re-election in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Nominated
Results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Wolf (incumbent) 741,676 100.0
Total votes 741,676 100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Aryanna Berringer (withdrawn)
Kathi Cozzone
Organizations
  • Chester County Democratic Committee
State Representatives
County Commissioners
Former Elected Officials
Madeleine Dean (withdrawn)
State Representatives
Former Elected Officials
John Fetterman
U.S. Senators
Organizations
  • BCTGM Local 6[16]
  • Cambria County Democrats[17]
  • Steel City Stonewall Democrats[18]
  • United Steelworkers District 10[19]
State Representatives
Politicians

Individuals:

Newspapers:

Mike Stack
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
Other Politicians
Declined to endorse

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Aryanna
Berringer		 Kathi
Cozzone		 Madeleine
Dean		 John
Fetterman		 Craig
Lehman		 Mike
Stack		 Undecided
Independence Communications & Campaigns, LLC February 2–4, 2018 467 ± 4.53% 2% 10% 4% 20% 1% 8% 55%

Primary results

Results by county:
  Fetterman—70–80%
  Fetterman—60–70%
  Fetterman—50–60%
  Fetterman—40–50%
  Fetterman—<40%
  Ahmad—40–50%
  Ahmad—<40%
  Cozzone—60–70%
  Cozzone—<40%
  Stack—<40%
Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Fetterman 288,229 38.0
Democratic Nina Ahmad 182,309 23.8
Democratic Kathi Cozzone 142,410 18.6
Democratic Mike Stack (incumbent) 127,259 16.6
Democratic Ray Sosa 27,427 3.6
Total votes 767,634 100.0

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Laura Ellsworth
Individuals
County Commissioners
  • Dan Camp, Beaver County Commissioner[58]
Newspapers
Paul Mango
U.S. Senators
Individuals
  • Glen Meakem, entrepreneur, and former radio host[66]
County Commissioners
  • Jeff Haste, Dauphin County Commissioner[67]
  • Diana Irey Vaughan, Washington County Commissioner[67]
  • Christian Leinbach, Berks County Commissioner[67]
  • Joe Kantz, Snyder County Commissioner[67]
Organizations
Scott Wagner
Federal officials
Governors
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
State Representatives
County Commissioners
  • Chris Reilly, York County Commissioner[72]
Organizations
Mike Turzai (Withdrawn)
State Senators
State Representatives
County Chairs
  • Martha Breene, Venango County GOP Chair

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Laura
Ellsworth		 Paul
Mango		 Scott
Wagner		 Other Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research May 4–8, 2018 545 ± 4.2% 18% 23% 37% 1% 22%
ColdSpark Media (R-Ellsworth) May 2018 – – 17% 24% 28% – 30%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Wagner) April 2–3, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 9% 24% 50% – 17%
Revily (R-American Principles Project) March 13–15, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 4% 18% 20% – 57%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Wagner) September 18–20, 2017 400 ± 4.9% – 16% 45% – 39%
5% 13% 45% – 37%

Results

Results by county:
  Wagner—60–70%
  Wagner—50–60%
  Wagner—40–50%
  Mango—40–50%
  Mango—50–60%
Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Wagner 324,013 44.3
Republican Paul Mango 270,014 36.9
Republican Laura Ellsworth 137,650 18.8
Total votes 731,677 100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Nominated
  • Jeff Bartos, businessman (running with Scott Wagner)[78]

Eliminated in primary

  • Kathy Coder, political activist[79]
  • Diana Irey Vaughan, Washington County Commissioner (running with Paul Mango)[80]
  • Peg Luksik, political activist[81]
Removed from Ballot
Withdrawn
Considered potential
Declined

Endorsements

Jeff Bartos

Results

Results by county:
  Bartos—60–70%
  Bartos—50–60%
  Bartos—40–50%
  Bartos—<40%
  Coder—40–50%
  Coder—<40%
  Vaughan—70–80%
  Vaughan—50–60%
  Vaughan—40–50%
  Luksik—50–60%
  Luksik—<40%
Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Bartos 317,619 46.8
Republican Kathy Coder 147,805 21.8
Republican Diana Irey Vaughan 119,400 17.6
Republican Peg Luksik 93,667 13.8
Total votes 678,491 100.0

Green Party

Governor

Candidates

Nominated

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Nominated
  • Jocolyn Bowser-Bostick

Endorsements

Paul Glover

Libertarian Party

Governor

Candidates

Nominated
  • Ken Krawchuk, technology consultant and nominee for Governor in 1998, 2002, and 2014[95]

Lieutenant Governor

Nominated

  • Kathleen Smith, entrepreneur (Running with Ken Krawchuk)

General election

Candidates

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[101] Likely D October 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[102] Likely D September 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[103] Safe D October 4, 2018
Real Clear Politics[104] Likely D October, 9, 2018
Daily Kos Elections[105] Safe D September 28, 2018
Fox News[106][lower-alpha 1] Likely D October 9, 2018
Politico[107] Likely D October 9, 2018
Notes
  1. ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tom
Wolf (D)		 Scott
Wagner (R)		 Other Undecided
Franklin & Marshall College September 17–23, 2018 204 LV – 52% 30% – 17%
545 RV ± 6.1% 52% 28% 2%[108] 18%
Ipsos September 12–20, 2018 1,080 ± 3.0% 55% 38% 2% 6%
Muhlenberg College September 13–19, 2018 404 ± 5.5% 55% 36% 6%[109] 2%
Rasmussen Reports September 12–13, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 52% 40% 3% 5%
Franklin & Marshall College August 20–26, 2018 222 LV – 52% 35% 1% 12%
511 RV ± 6.1% 51% 32% 5%[110] 14%
Marist College August 12–16, 2018 713 ± 4.2% 54% 40% <1% 6%
Commonwealth Leaders Fund (R) August 13–15, 2018 2,012 ± 3.6% 46% 43% 3% 8%
Suffolk University June 21–25, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 49% 36% 1% 14%
Franklin & Marshall College June 4–10, 2018 472 ± 6.5% 48% 29% 1% 23%
Muhlenberg College April 4–12, 2018 414 ± 5.5% 47% 31% 5% 16%
Franklin & Marshall College March 19–26, 2018 137 ± 6.8% 38% 21% 6% 35%

Results

Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Wolf (incumbent)
Republican Scott Wagner
Libertarian Ken Krawchuk
Green Paul Glover
Total votes

See also

References

  1. 1 2 3 "Pa-Gov: Wolf: 'I am running for re-election in 2018'". PoliticsPA. March 7, 2017. Retrieved June 15, 2017.
  2. 1 2 3 Potter, Chris (November 14, 2017). "Braddock Mayor John Fetterman, cargo shorts and all, is aiming for the suit-and-tie job of Lt. Gov". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Retrieved November 14, 2017.
  3. ↑ Seidman, Andrew (February 26, 2018). "Former Mayor Kenney aide Nina Ahmad to run for lieutenant governor". The Philadelphia Inquirer. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
  4. ↑ Rettew Jr., Bill (August 22, 2017). "Commissioner Kathi Cozzone officially announces run for lieutenant governor". Daily Local News. Retrieved August 30, 2017.
  5. ↑ Venteicher, Wes. "Lieutenant governor candidates split on whether Gov. Wolf should release Stack report". TribLIVE.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  6. ↑ Seidman, Andrew; Couloumbis, Angela (November 21, 2017). "Lt. Gov. Mike Stack, dogged by controversy, announces reelection bid". The Philadelphia Inquirer. Retrieved December 1, 2017.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Englekemier, Paul (November 29, 2017). "Dean Enters Race for Lieutenant Governor". PoliticsPA. Retrieved December 1, 2017.
  8. ↑ Englekemier, Paul (February 22, 2018). "Dean Ends LG Bid, Enters Race for PA-4". PoliticsPA. Retrieved March 8, 2018.
  9. ↑ Murphy, Jan (June 14, 2017). "Lt. Gov. Stack's treatment of staff inspires re-election challenge". PennLive.com. Retrieved August 30, 2017.
  10. ↑ Fitzgerald, Thomas (March 22, 2018). "Aryanna Berringer quits Pa. race for LG, blasts rivals, money in politics". The Philadelphia Inquirer.
  11. ↑ Janesch, Sam (November 22, 2017). "Lancaster County Commissioner Craig Lehman will run for lieutenant governor, wants to be part of 'positive change'". LancasterOnline. Retrieved December 1, 2017.
  12. ↑ Potter, Chris (December 14, 2017). "Grass-roots progressive Aryanna Berringer seeking lieutenant governor post". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Cozzone earns more endorsements in bid to become Pa. Lt. Gov". Delaware County Daily Times. November 10, 2017. Retrieved November 13, 2017.
  14. ↑ Staff, LANCASTERONLINE. "Lancaster County Commissioner Craig Lehman drops out of Pennsylvania lieutenant governor race". Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  15. ↑ "PA-Lt. Gov: BREAKING! Bernie Sanders Endorses Braddock Mayor John Fetterman (D) For Lt. Governor". Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  16. ↑ "John Fetterman". www.facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  17. ↑ "John Fetterman". www.facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  18. ↑ "Twitter". mobile.twitter.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  19. ↑ "John Fetterman". www.facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  20. ↑ Ross Anderson (February 11, 2018). "I fully support this campaign!". Fetterman's Facebook page. Retrieved February 21, 2018.
  21. ↑ "John Fetterman". www.facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  22. ↑ "John Fetterman". www.facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  23. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "John Fetterman". www.facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  24. ↑ "John Fetterman". m.facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  25. ↑ @JohnFetterman (January 26, 2018). "Deeply honored to have the support of fellow mayor and rising star @MaritaGarrett pic.twitter.com/EGPhCY8IgM" (Tweet). Retrieved February 12, 2018 – via Twitter.
  26. ↑ "Twitter". twitter.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  27. ↑ "Commissioner Steven Kline". m.facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  28. ↑ "Twitter". twitter.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  29. ↑ Mayor Marburger. "I am excited to welcome John Fetterman to Bellevue for your consideration..." Facebook.
  30. ↑ McClelland, Erin (November 14, 2017). "I was honored to join Pittsburgh Mayor Bill Peduto to introduce and endorse John Fetterman for Lt. Governor". Facebook. Retrieved November 14, 2017.
  31. ↑ "Eric Papenfuse endorses John Fetterman for Lt. Governor". FOX43. WPMT. January 5, 2018. Retrieved January 24, 2018.
  32. ↑ "Mark Pinsley". m.facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  33. ↑ Venteicher, Wes (December 4, 2017). "Rendell endorses Fetterman for lieutenant governor". Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  34. 1 2 "John Fetterman". www.facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  35. ↑ "Cornell Wilson". m.facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  36. ↑ "For Pa. lieutenant governor: Democrat John Fetterman; Republican Jeff Bartos - Endorsement". Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  37. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 "Endorsements". Stack for Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania. The Committee to Elect Mike Stack. Retrieved January 13, 2018.
  38. 1 2 3 Venteicher, Wes (December 13, 2017). "Senate Minority Leader Jay Costa, other Western Pa. Dems endorse Lt. Gov. Mike Stack". Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  39. 1 2 3 Owens, Dennis (December 13, 2017). "Senators endorse embattled Lt. Gov. Stack for re-election". The Sentinel. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  40. ↑ Potter, Chris (December 12, 2017). "Pittsburgh DSA declines to endorse Fetterman, other Democratic hopefuls vying for its support". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Retrieved December 15, 2017.
  41. ↑ Owens, Dennis (January 11, 2017). "GOP Senator Scott Wagner of York running for governor". ABC 27. Retrieved January 11, 2017.
  42. ↑ Murphy, Jan (January 11, 2017). "Scott Wagner says he's running for election because 'Wolf is a failed governor'". Penn Live. Retrieved January 11, 2017.
  43. ↑ Prose, J. D. (January 11, 2017). "York County Republican state Senator Scott Wagner enters governor's race". The Beaver County Times. Retrieved January 11, 2017.
  44. ↑ "Pittsburgh lawyer becomes latest to enter Pa. gubernatorial race". Penn Live. October 10, 2017. Retrieved October 29, 2017.
  45. ↑ Delano, Jon (January 18, 2018). "Republican Laura Ellsworth Gives GOP Voters Someone Different To Support". KDKA. Retrieved April 21, 2018.
  46. ↑ Engelkemier, Paul (March 27, 2017). "Mango Tells GOP Officials He's Running for Gov". PoliticsPA. Retrieved April 5, 2017.
  47. ↑ Erdley, Debra (February 10, 2018). "Pa. House Speaker Mike Turzai exits GOP governor's race". TribLive. Retrieved February 10, 2018.
  48. ↑ Davies, Dave (November 28, 2016). "Pa. businessman exploring a run for governor". NewsWorks. Retrieved January 11, 2017.
  49. ↑ Levy, Marc (June 7, 2017). "Ex-Energy Exec Enters Pennsylvania's US Senate Race". WESA. Retrieved June 7, 2017.
  50. ↑ Levy, Marc (July 31, 2017). "Via @AP: Republican US Rep. Lou Barletta of Pennsylvania tells GOP brass he's decided to run for the Senate seat held by Democrat Bob Casey". @timelywriter. Retrieved August 1, 2017.
  51. ↑ Press, The Associated. "Lou Barletta to seek Senate seat held by Bob Casey". TribLIVE.com. Retrieved August 1, 2017.
  52. ↑ "Cross Jake Corman's name off the list. He's not running for governor". PennLive.com. March 16, 2017. Retrieved June 15, 2017.
  53. ↑ Engelkemier, Paul (May 19, 2017). "Kelly Out of Governor Race, Considers Senate Run". PoliticsPA. Retrieved May 19, 2017.
  54. ↑ Engelkemier, Paul (May 12, 2017). "Reed Rules Out Governor and Senate Runs in 2018". PoliticsPA. Retrieved May 15, 2017.
  55. ↑ "Letter: Ellsworth good for Pennsylvania". The Sentinel. May 7, 2018.
  56. ↑ "Laura Ellsworth". www.facebook.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  57. ↑ "Letter to the editor: Ellsworth's policies, character stand out". Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. May 10, 2018.
  58. ↑ "Beaver Co. Commissioner switches support, endorses Ellsworth". ellsworth2018.com. May 11, 2018.
  59. ↑ "Laura Ellsworth: Best choice for governor in GOP primary". The Philadelphia Inquirer. May 4, 2018.
  60. ↑ "For Republican primary voters, Laura Ellsworth is the best choice". The Patriot-News. May 4, 2018.
  61. ↑ "Endorsement: Ellsworth for GOP Gov. nomination". The Coatesville Times. May 7, 2018.
  62. ↑ "Endorsement: Ellsworth for GOP Gov. nomination". The Unionville Times. May 7, 2018.
  63. ↑ "TODAY'S EDITORIAL: Ellsworth the smart choice for GOP". The Daily Item. May 13, 2018.
  64. ↑ "Tom Cotton". Paul Mango. Retrieved July 4, 2017.
  65. ↑ "Rick Santorum". Paul Mango. Retrieved March 11, 2018.
  66. ↑ "Glen Meakem". Paul Mango. Retrieved July 4, 2017.
  67. 1 2 3 4 "Exclusive: Mango Announces Endorsement From Four County Commissioners". Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  68. 1 2 3 "Paul Mango is the true pro-life candidate in Tuesday's GOP primary". Penn Live. May 11, 2018. Retrieved June 5, 2018.
  69. ↑ Stevens, Matthew (August 3, 2018). "Trump gives backing to Wagner in governor's race". wjactv.com.
  70. ↑ Mike Pence. "Proud to be in Philadelphia today campaigning for @realScottWagner- the next great governor of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania! Scott will fight for all the hardworking people of Pennsylvanian! Support Scott Wagner & #FixPA!". Twitter.
  71. ↑ Ryan Briggs (July 19, 2017). "Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan to endorse Wagner in gubernatorial race". City & State PA.
  72. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Wagner Announces York County Endorsements". Scott Wagner for Governor. October 3, 2017. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  73. ↑ "Wagner picks up local endorsement for governor". The York Dispatch. June 6, 2017. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  74. 1 2 Murphy, Jan (February 10, 2018). "Pa. Republican Party throws its backing to Scott Wagner, Jeff Bartos for governor/lt. governor". The Patriot-News.
  75. ↑ "LUZERNE GOP ENDORSES WAGNER-BARTOS TICKET". Scott Wagner for Governor. November 28, 2017.
  76. ↑ "ABC PA ANNOUNCES 2018 GUBERNATORIAL ENDORSEMENT". ABC of Pennsylvania. August 3, 2018.
  77. 1 2 Mike Turzai Facebook page
  78. ↑ Navratil, Liz (November 9, 2017). "Wagner, Bartos announce joint campaign for Pa. gov, lt. gov". The Inquirer. Philadelphia Media Network. Retrieved November 10, 2017.
  79. ↑ "12 Hopefuls Announce Bids for Pennsylvania Lieutenant Governor". NBC. March 7, 2018. Retrieved April 30, 2018.
  80. ↑ Venteicher, Wes (February 13, 2018). "Gubernatorial candidate Paul Mango chooses Diana Irey Vaughan as running mate". Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. Retrieved February 14, 2018.
  81. ↑ Meyer, Katie (February 10, 2018). "State GOP endorses Wagner for governor; Turzai bows out". WITF. Retrieved February 11, 2018.
  82. ↑ "GOP field grows to 4 to run for Pa. lieutenant governor". WITF. Associated Press. January 16, 2018. Retrieved January 24, 2018.
  83. ↑ "Gale Removed From LG Primary Ballot". PoliticsPA. March 21, 2018.
  84. 1 2 "GOP Field for Lieutenant Governor Gets New Face; 2 Drop Out". U.S. News & World Report. Associated Press. February 13, 2018. Retrieved February 15, 2018.
  85. ↑ Engelkemier, Paul (December 19, 2017). "Denlinger Enters Race for Lieutenant Governor". PoliticsPA. Retrieved December 19, 2017.
  86. ↑ "Ex-GOP treasurer candidate to run for lieutenant governor". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Associated Press. December 28, 2017. Retrieved December 28, 2017.
  87. ↑ Pytak, Stephen J. (August 12, 2017). "Argall may run for lieutenant governor". Standard-Speaker. Retrieved August 30, 2017.
  88. ↑ Engelkemier, Paul (April 13, 2017). "Trump Surrogate, Apprentice Contestant, Eyes LG Run". PoliticsPA. Retrieved August 30, 2017.
  89. ↑ Engelkemier, Paul (February 28, 2017). "LG: Meuser Plans a Run for Lieutenant Governor". PoliticsPA. Retrieved August 30, 2017.
  90. ↑ Engelkemier, Paul (September 5, 2017). "Meuser Announces Run to Replace Barletta". PoliticsPA. Retrieved September 6, 2017.
  91. ↑ Esack, Steve (March 24, 2017). "Lehigh Valley lawmaker eyeing higher office". The Morning Call. Retrieved August 30, 2017.
  92. ↑ Olson, Laura (September 6, 2017). "Justin Simmons announces primary challenge to Charlie Dent". The Morning Call. Retrieved September 6, 2017.
  93. ↑ "Green Party Endorses Paul Glover for PA Governor". Green Party of the United States. Retrieved April 13, 2018.
  94. ↑ "Patch Adams Endorses Paul Glover". Facebook. Facebook.
  95. ↑ "Ken Krawchuk, Libertarian for Pennsylvania Governor". Retrieved August 27, 2017.
  96. ↑ Owens, Dennis (January 11, 2017). "GOP Senator Scott Wagner of York running for governor". ABC 27. Retrieved January 11, 2017.
  97. ↑ Murphy, Jan (January 11, 2017). "Scott Wagner says he's running for election because 'Wolf is a failed governor'". Penn Live. Retrieved January 11, 2017.
  98. ↑ Prose, J. D. (January 11, 2017). "York County Republican state Senator Scott Wagner enters governor's race". The Beaver County Times. Retrieved January 11, 2017.
  99. ↑ "Ken Krawchuk is the 2018 Libertarian Nominee for Governor of Pennsylvania". Retrieved September 27, 2018.
  100. ↑ "Paul Glover is the 2018 Green Party Nominee for Governor of Pennsylvania". Retrieved September 27, 2018.
  101. ↑ "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  102. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  103. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  104. ↑ "2018 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. August 9, 2018.
  105. ↑ "Elections 2017-18". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 29, 2018.
  106. ↑ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.
  107. ↑ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
  108. ↑ Ken Krawchuk (L) with 1%, Paul Glover (G) with 0%; other with 1%
  109. ↑ Ken Krawchuk (L) with 2%, Paul Glover (G) with 1%, neither/other with 3%
  110. ↑ Ken Krawchuk (L) and Paul Glover (G) with 1%; other with 1%
Debates
Official gubernatorial campaign websites
Official lieutenant gubernatorial campaign websites
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