Nevada gubernatorial election, 2018

Nevada gubernatorial election, 2018

November 6, 2018

 
Nominee Adam Laxalt Steve Sisolak Jared Lord
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian

Incumbent Governor

Brian Sandoval
Republican


The 2018 Nevada gubernatorial election will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Nevada. The incumbent Governor, Republican Brian Sandoval, is not eligible to run for reelection due to term limits established by the Nevada Constitution. Nevada is one of eight states that prohibits its Governors from serving more than two consecutive terms for life.

The candidate filing deadline was March 16, 2018 and the primary election was held on June 12, 2018.[1] The Republican nominee is Adam Laxalt and the Democratic nominee is Steve Sisolak.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Adam Laxalt
Declined to endorse

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Laxalt
Dan
Schwartz
Jared
Fisher
Undecided
The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 55% 4% 2% 38%
WPA Intelligence (R) August 6–8, 2017 302 ± 5.7% 64% 5% 31%
Doug Schoen (D) July 7–20, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 34% 30% 35%

Results

Results by county:
Republican primary results[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adam Laxalt 101,651 71.5
Republican Dan Schwartz 12,919 9.1
Republican Jared Fisher 6,696 4.7
Republican Stephanie Carlisle 6,401 4.5
Republican None of These Candidates 6,136 4.3
Republican William Boyd 6,028 4.2
Republican Stan Lusak 1,011 0.7
Republican Frederick Conquest 766 0.5
Republican Edward Dundas 576 0.4
Total votes 141,884 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Steve Sisolak
Federal politicians
  • Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017)[52][53]
  • Hillary Clinton, U.S. Senator from New York (2001–2009), 67th United States Secretary of State (2009–2013) and 2016 Democratic nominee for President
  • Eric Holder, 82nd United States Attorney General (2009–2015)[54][55]
  • Harry Reid, U.S. Senator from Nevada (1987–2017) and Senate Majority Leader (2007–2015)[56]
  • Dina Titus, U.S. Representative from Nevada (3rd district: 2009–2011 and 1st district: 2013–present)[57][58]
State legislators
City politicians
Chris Giunchigliani
Federal politicians
  • Hillary Clinton, U.S. Senator from New York (2001–2009), 67th United States Secretary of State (2009–2013) and 2016 Democratic nominee for President[64]
State legislators
Local officials
  • David Bobzien, Reno City Councilmember (At-Large)[65]
  • Jenny Brekhus, Reno City Councilmember (Ward 1)[65]
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Giunchigliani
Steve
Sisolak
None of
these
Other Undecided
Benenson Strategy Group (D-Women Vote!) May 21–23, 2018 608 ± 4.0% 35% 38% 11% 2% 13%
The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 16% 44% 40%
Expedition Strategies (D-Giunchigliani) March 17–19, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 31% 27% 18% 23%

Results

Democratic primary results by county:
Democratic primary results[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Sisolak 72,749 50.0
Democratic Christina Giunchigliani 56,511 38.9
Democratic None of These Candidates 5,069 3.5
Democratic John Bonaventura 4,351 3.0
Democratic Henry Thorns 2,761 1.9
Democratic David Jones 2,511 1.7
Democratic Asheesh Dewan 1,468 1.0
Total votes 145,420 100.0

Independents

Declared

Endorsements

Ryan Bundy

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[78] Tossup September 28, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[79] Tilt D September 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[80] Tossup September 20, 2018
Real Clear Politics[81] Tossup October, 9, 2018
Daily Kos[82] Tossup September 28, 2018
Fox News[83][lower-alpha 1] Tossup October 9, 2018
Politico[84] Tossup October 9, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Adam
Laxalt (R)
Steve
Sisolak (D)
Jared
Lord (L)
None of
these
Other Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 8–10, 2018 642 ± 4.0% 46% 45% 8%
Marist College September 30 – October 3, 2018 574 LV ± 5.5% 44% 40% 8% 2% <1% 6%
46% 45% 3% <1% 6%
780 RV ± 4.5% 41% 40% 8% 2% <1% 8%
44% 45% 4% <1% 7%
CNN/SSRS September 25–29, 2018 693 LV ± 4.6% 41% 45% 5% 7% 0% 1%
851 RV ± 4.1% 38% 41% 5% 12% 1% 2%
Ipsos September 7–17, 2018 1,039 ± 4.0% 43% 40% 5% 12%
Gravis Marketing September 11–12, 2018 700 ± 3.7% 38% 50% 8%
Suffolk University September 5–10, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 35% 37% 5% 2% 5%[85] 15%
Suffolk University July 24–29, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 42% 41% 1% 4% 4%[86] 7%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Laxalt) July 21–24, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 40% 3% 4%[87] 8%
Gravis Marketing June 23–26, 2018 630 ± 3.9% 43% 41% 17%
The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 37% 43% 20%
TargetSmart (D-Giunchigliani) January 3–7, 2018 1,103 ± 4.4% 37% 34% 29%
Remington (R-Laxalt) May 23–24, 2017 1,021 ± 3.1% 46% 37% 17%

Results

Nevada gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Adam Laxalt
Democratic Steve Sisolak
None of These Candidates None of These Candidates
Independent American Russell Best
Libertarian Jared Lord
Independent Ryan Bundy
Majority
Turnout

See also

References

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  23. Donald J. Trump. "I strongly endorse Adam Laxalt for Governor of Nevada. Adam is smart, works hard, and knows how to win. He will be a great Governor. Also, will fight hard to lower your taxes and is tough on crime!". Twitter.
  24. Mike Pence. "GREAT to be in Nevada supporting Attorney General @AdamLaxalt for Governor! Adam served our nation in uniform and he's serving his state with distinction as AG. He's a strong supporter of law enforcement and our vets and he will be a terrific governor!". Twitter.
  25. Adam Paul Laxalt. "Thank you, Vice President @mike_pence, for coming to Nevada today to support our campaign and talk about the importance of this race! #NVGOV". Twitter.
  26. Adam Paul Laxalt. "It was an honor to have @Gov_Martinez on the campaign trail with us today. Thank you, Governor! #nvgov". Twitter.
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  32. 1 2 Victor Joecks. "Oscar Goodman and Bob Cashell, former mayors of Las Vegas, Reno endorse @AdamLaxalt". Twitter.
  33. "Bipartisan Majority of Mayors Endorse Adam Laxalt for Governor". Laxalt for Nevada. August 6, 2018.
  34. "16 Nevada Sheriffs Endorse Adam Laxalt for Governor". Laxalt for Nevada. November 17, 2017.
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  36. "Laxalt endorsed by Nevada Veterans Association". The Complete Nevadan. April 27, 2018.
  37. "Small Business PAC Endorses Laxalt for Governor". NFIB. September 5, 2018.
  38. Las Vegas Chamber. "The Las Vegas Chamber is endorsing @AdamLaxalt as the next Governor of Nevada. This endorsement is based on his views & commitment on several priority principles of the Chamber, including less regulatory burden on businesses & more efficiency in government". Twitter.
  39. "EDITORIAL: Adam Laxalt is the clear choice for governor". Las Vegas Review-Journal. October 12, 2018.
  40. https://twitter.com/AmericanLedger/status/1041010735172804609
  41. 1 2 Nevada Primary Election Results
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  49. Rindels, Michelle (July 24, 2017). "State Sen. Tick Segerblom says he's jumping into Clark County Commission race". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved August 3, 2017.
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  53. https://www.reviewjournal.com/news/politics-and-government/nevada/sisolak-ex-u-s-attorney-general-talk-criminal-justice-reform/
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  58. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZLudXtIzDZc
  59. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/17/us/politics/bloomberg-president-2020-democrat.html
  60. https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/nevada-leaders-speak-out-as-trump-administration-moves-to-phase-out-daca-protections-for-young-immigrants
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  64. 1 2 3 4 5 "Fundraiser For Chris G at Cathexes in Reno". Facebook. February 16, 2018.
  65. "Fundraiser for Chris G". Facebook. February 22, 2018.
  66. "Teamsters Joint Council 42 Political Endorsements". Teamsters JC 42.
  67. McAllister, Rusty (April 20, 2018). "Nevada State AFL-CIO Statewide Endorsements" (PDF). Nevada State AFL-CIO.
  68. Murillo Jr., Ruben (January 22, 2018). "Educators Across Nevada Endorse Teacher Chris Giunchigliani for Governor" (PDF). Nevada State Education Association.
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  73. "WFP Endorsement: Chris G. for governor of Nevada". April 3, 2018.
  74. "Ryan Bundy plans to run for Nevada governor as independent". Las Vegas Review-Journal. March 8, 2018. Retrieved March 9, 2018.
  75. Adam Laxalt loses endorsement after condemning Dennis Hof
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  82. "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.
  83. "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
  84. Ryan Bundy (I) with 4%, Russell Best (IA) with 1%
  85. Ryan Bundy (I) and Russell Best (AI) with 2%
  86. Russell Best (AI) with 4%
Official campaign websites
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