United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2018
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The 2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey will take place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Jersey. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Menendez is running for reelection to a third term.
The candidate filing deadline was April 2, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018.[1]
Democratic primary
While he never lost support from any major New Jersey officials, after a mistrial was declared in Senator Menendez's corruption trial, party figures across New Jersey lined up with public endorsements of his reelection bid, including the "full support" of Governor Phil Murphy.[2] He formally declared his intention to run for reelection on March 28, 2018, alongside Governor Murphy and Senator Cory Booker.[3]
Candidates
Declared
- Lisa McCormick, activist and candidate for Union County Clerk in 2010[4][5]
- Bob Menendez, incumbent U.S. Senator[6]
Declined
| Democrats who declined to run |
|
|
Results
Results by county:
Menendez—70–80%
Menendez—60–70%
Menendez—50–60%
McCormick—50–60%
McCormick—60–70%
Democratic primary results
| Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Democratic |
Bob Menendez (incumbent) |
262,477 |
62.3 |
|
Democratic |
Lisa McCormick |
158,998 |
37.7 |
| Total votes |
421,475 |
100.0 |
Republican primary
Bob Hugin launched his primary campaign on February 13 in Springfield.[12] He began advertising on television two weeks later, attacking Menendez on the airwaves,[13] and was soon considered the presumptive nominee.[14] His opponent, Brian Goldberg, attempted to connect himself to President Donald Trump and his supporters by inserting the President's abbreviated slogan, "MAGA", into his ballot slogans and aligning himself with other pro-Trump, anti-establishment candidates.[15] Goldberg also attacked Hugin's running mates, urging Republicans to write in the deceased Charlton Heston in primary races where a Republican congressional candidate was running unopposed.[16] Ultimately, Hugin won overwhelmingly with a majority of votes in each of the state's 21 counties.[17]
Candidates
Declined
| Republicans who declined to run |
- Jon Bramnick, Minority Leader of the New Jersey General Assembly[6] (endorsed Hugin)
- Jeffrey Chiesa, former U.S. Senator[11]
- Chris Christie, former Governor[11]
- Jack Ciattarelli, former State Assemblyman and candidate for Governor in 2017[26][27]
- John Crowley, biotechnology executive[28]
- Michael J. Doherty, State Senator[28][29]
- Kim Guadagno, former Lieutenant Governor and nominee for Governor in 2017[10][30]
- Jason Huf, attorney (endorsed Menendez)[31][32]
- Thomas Kean Jr., Minority Leader of the New Jersey Senate and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006[10][33]
- Joe Kyrillos, former State Senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[10]
- Tom MacArthur, U.S. Representative[6] (endorsed Hugin)
- Alison Littell McHose, former State Assemblywoman[11]
- Bill Spadea, radio and TV show host; nominee for NJ-12 in 2004[28]
- Jerry Watson[34]
- Jay Webber, State Assemblyman and former Chairman of the New Jersey Republican State Committee (running for NJ-11)[28][35]
|
Endorsements
| Bob Hugin |
- Governors
- Lieutenant Governors
- U.S. Representatives
- NJ State Legislators
- Jose Arango, former state assemblyman, chairman of the Hudson County Republican Party[40]
- Jon Bramnick, state assemblyman and assembly minority leader[41]
- Anthony Bucco, state senator[42]
- Tony Bucco, state assemblyman[42]
- Michael Patrick Carroll, state assemblyman[43]
- Kristin Corrado, state senator[44]
- BettyLou DeCroce, state assemblywoman
- Tom Kean Jr., state senator and senate Minority Leader[33]
- Nancy Munoz, state assemblywoman[42]
- Steve Oroho, state senator
- Holly Schepisi, state assemblywoman
- Parker Space, state assemblyman
- Harold J. Wirths, state assemblyman
- Sheriffs
- Mayors
- Others
|
Results
Republican primary results
| Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Republican |
Bob Hugin |
168,052 |
75.1 |
|
Republican |
Brian Goldberg |
55,624 |
24.9 |
| Total votes |
223,676 |
100.0 |
Libertarian Party
Endorsements
| Murray Sabrin |
- U.S. Representatives
|
General election
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018 |
| Candidate (party) |
Total receipts |
Total disbursements |
Cash on hand |
| Bob Hugin (R) |
$16,720,776 |
$8,606,770 |
$8,114,006 |
| Bob Menendez (D) |
$6,134,561 |
$1,350,279 |
$6,428,406 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[60] |
Predictions
^Highest rating given
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin
of error |
Bob
Menendez (D) |
Bob
Hugin (R) |
Murray
Sabrin (L) |
Other |
Undecided |
| YouGov |
October 2–5, 2018 |
845 |
– |
49% |
39% |
– |
4% |
8% |
| Quinnipiac University |
September 25 – October 2, 2018 |
1,058 |
± 4.1% |
53% |
42% |
– |
0% |
5% |
| Vox Populi Polling |
September 29 – October 1, 2018 |
794 |
± 3.5% |
52% |
48% |
– |
– |
– |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University |
September 26–30, 2018 |
508 LV |
± 4.3% |
43% |
37% |
– |
1% |
19% |
| 746 RV |
± 3.9% |
37% |
32% |
– |
1% |
29% |
| Stockton University |
September 19–27, 2018 |
531 |
± 4.3% |
45% |
43% |
3% |
5% |
2% |
| Quinnipiac University |
August 15–20, 2018 |
908 |
± 4.6% |
43% |
37% |
– |
2% |
16% |
| Gravis Marketing (L-Sabrin) |
August 14–15, 2018 |
753 |
± 3.6% |
40% |
30% |
7% |
– |
22% |
| Gravis Marketing |
July 6–10, 2018 |
563 |
± 4.1% |
43% |
41% |
– |
– |
16% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University |
May 16–21, 2018 |
856 |
± 3.5% |
28% |
24% |
– |
1% |
46% |
| Monmouth University |
April 6–10, 2018 |
632 |
± 3.9% |
53% |
32% |
– |
7% |
7% |
| Quinnipiac University |
March 8–12, 2018 |
1,052 |
± 4.2% |
49% |
32% |
– |
1% |
15% |
|
Hypothetical polling |
- Kean vs. Andrews
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin
of error |
Rob
Andrews (D) |
Thomas
Kean (R) |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
March 24–25, 2013 |
760 |
± 3.6% |
17% |
33% |
50% |
- Codey vs. Kyrillos
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin
of error |
Richard
Codey (D) |
Joe
Kyrillos (R) |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
March 24–25, 2013 |
760 |
± 3.6% |
34% |
25% |
41% |
|
References
- ↑ "United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
- ↑ "Gov-Elect Murphy breaks silence on Menendez". nj.com. Retrieved January 11, 2018.
- ↑ "After a Year of Turmoil, Menendez Announces He Is Seeking Re-Election". The New York Times. 28 March 2018. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
- ↑ "Lisa McCormick – Fighting back to protect democracy". lisamccormick.org.
- ↑ "DDHQ 2018 Senate Races Ratings – Democratic Seats (Part I)".
- 1 2 3 4 5 Alfaro, Alyana (November 16, 2017). "Torricelli Will Not Primary Menendez in 2018". Observer.com.
- ↑ "Former Obama, Clinton campaign official to face Sen. Bob Menendez in primary".
- ↑ Guild, Blair (December 4, 2017). "Former Clinton campaign staffer explores primary challenge to Sen. Bob Menendez". CBS News. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
- ↑ Hutchins, Ryan (March 2, 2018). "Former Clinton, Obama staffer drops primary challenge against Menendez". Politico New Jersey. Retrieved March 4, 2018.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Kean: Most popular choice for Chris Christie". Conservative Intelligence Briefing. Retrieved November 18, 2014.
- 1 2 3 4 5 Jordan, Bob (April 1, 2015). "What does the future hold for Menendez's Senate seat?". App.com. Retrieved November 26, 2016.
- ↑ "Hugin launches campaign to unseat Menendez". Save Jersey.
- ↑ "Hugin flexes money muscle, preempts Menendez with February TV Spot". Save Jersey.
- ↑ "Menendez could be in for dogfight for Senate seat". ROINJ.
- ↑ "GOP longshots Goldberg, Grossman team up at the Jersey Shore". Save Jersey.
- ↑ "N.J. Senate primary candidate: Write in "Charlton Heston" over GOP's House incumbents (and recruits)". Save Jersey.
- ↑ "2018 Unofficial Primary Results" (PDF). New Jersey Department of State.
- ↑ "Goldberg Readies Second Run for U.S. Senate in 2018 -". savejersey.com. Retrieved 2017-04-26.
- 1 2 "Singh to Run for U.S. Senate". insidernj.com. Retrieved 2018-02-01.
- ↑ "Menendez just got a top-tier Republican challenger in U.S. Senate race".
- ↑ "Federal Election Commission - New Jersey - Senate". Sep 20, 2017.
- ↑ Wildstein, David (February 13, 2018). "Pezzullo backs Hugin". PoliticsDW.com.
- ↑ "CD6 Flashpoint: Pezzullo Declares Challenge to Pallone". Insider NJ. March 4, 2018. Retrieved March 11, 2018.
- ↑ "CONFIRMED: Singh will enter the GOP's NJ-02 primary »". 16 February 2018.
- ↑ Wildstein, David (January 26, 2018). "Ex-Sanders Democrat joins race for GOP Senate nod". PoliticsDW. Retrieved January 27, 2018.
- ↑ Pizarro, Max (November 16, 2017). "Ciattarelli has Not Ruled out Running Against Menendez". Insider NJ.
- ↑ Catalini, Michael (February 13, 2018). "GOP Senate hopeful jabs Menendez, distances self from Trump". AP. Retrieved February 25, 2018.
- 1 2 3 4 Hetrick, Christian (November 17, 2017). "The Republicans Who Could Challenge Menendez". Observer. Retrieved November 22, 2017.
- ↑ Pizarro, Max (January 20, 2018). "Doherty Says He'd Serve Again as Trump's NJ State Director". Insider NJ. Retrieved January 22, 2018.
- ↑ "Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno entering 2017 N.J. governor race".
- ↑ "Notes & Comments - The Law Firm of JASON HUF INTERNATIONAL, pc". www.huflaw.com. Retrieved 2018-03-21.
- ↑ "Israel, the Democrats and why I'm not running for Senate". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 2018-05-23.
- 1 2 "Senate Republican Leader Tom Kean Endorses Bob Hugin For Senate - Insider NJ".
- ↑ "WATSON, JERRY B - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
- ↑ Westhoven, William (February 3, 2018). "Jay Webber says he's 'all-in' for run to replace Frelinghuysen". Daily Record. Retrieved February 3, 2018.
- 1 2 "NJ Senate candidate Bob Hugin doesn't just support abortion, gay rights— he advertises it".
- ↑ "Menendez's Republican challenger: 'I'm offended' by senator's actions".
- ↑ "Bob Hugin Announces GOP Candidacy for the U.S. Senate at Springfield Elks Club".
- ↑ Leonard Lance. "Proud to be part of this morning's announcement in support of my friend Bob Hugin for U.S. Senate. Bob is a Marine Corps veteran & successful businessman who helped bring life-saving cures to market & thousands of jobs to NJ. We need Bob Hugin's leadership in the U.S. Senate". Twitter.
- ↑ "BobHugin on Twitter".
- ↑ "NJ article".
- 1 2 3 4 5 "Bob Hugin Declares his Candidacy for US Senate".
- ↑ https://www.insidernj.com/press-release/bob-hugin-receives-morris-county-gop-endorsements/
- ↑ "BobHugin on Twitter".
- ↑ "BobHugin on Twitter". Twitter.
- ↑ Carlos Rendo. "Bob and I grew up one block from each other in Union City, New Jersey and attended the same high school. I am proud to support this Union City native for the United States Senate!". Twitter.
- ↑ "Another Jersey Democrat Announces Endorsement of Hugin for Senate". Shore News Network. September 13, 2018.
- ↑ Nikita Biryukov (August 27, 2018). "Brick Democratic councilman endorses Hugin". New Jersey Globe.
- ↑ David Wildstein (September 18, 2018). "Democratic mayor backs Hugin". New Jersey Globe.
- ↑ Daniel Nee (September 5, 2018). "Democratic Ocean County Freeholder Candidate Endorses GOP Senate Hopeful". Brick Shorebeat.
- ↑ "Former Democrat Mayor Endorses Hugin". Bob Hugin for Senate. October 10, 2018.
- ↑ "Millennial Democratic Leader Endorses Hugin". Insider NJ. October 4, 2018.
- ↑ "Former Democrat Mayor Endorses Hugin". Bob Hugin for Senate. September 25, 2018.
- ↑ "Bob Hugin is the Republican New Jersey needs". July 31, 2018.
- ↑ "Sabrin to Seek Libertarian Party Nomination for U.S. Senate - Insider NJ". 25 January 2018.
- ↑ "Ron Paul endorses Murray Sabrin for US Senator from NJ". Libertarian Party. July 16, 2018.
- ↑ Biryukov, Nikita (July 17, 2018). "20 years later, Hoffman again running with the Green Party". New Jersey Gloeb. Retrieved August 7, 2018.
- ↑ "USMAN, MUHAMMAD - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
- ↑ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved July 27, 2018.
- ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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