Oregon gubernatorial election, 2018

Oregon gubernatorial election, 2018
November 6, 2018

 
Nominee Kate Brown Knute Buehler
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent Governor

Kate Brown
Democratic

The 2018 Oregon gubernatorial election will take place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect the Governor of Oregon. The person elected will serve a full four-year term, after the 2016 special election, where Governor Kate Brown was elected to serve the last two years of a four-year term.[1]

Incumbent Democratic Governor Kate Brown is running for a full term. The Republican Party nominated Knute Buehler to run against Brown; the Independent Party of Oregon nominated Patrick Starnes.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Kate Brown
U.S. Senators
Organizations

Results

Results by county:
  Brown—80–90%
  Brown—70–80%
  Brown—60–70%
  Brown—50–60%
  Brown—40–50%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kate Brown (incumbent) 324,541 81.9
Democratic Ed Jones 33,464 8.4
Democratic Candace Neville 29,110 7.4
Democratic Write-ins 8,912 2.3
Total votes 396,027 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Bruce Cuff, real estate broker and candidate for governor in 2014 and 2016 (endorsed Greg Wooldridge)[3][17]

Declined

Endorsements

Knute Buehler
U.S. Senators
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Greg Wooldridge
State legislators
Organizations

Debates

Host
network		 Date Link(s) Participants
Knute
Buehler		 Sam
Carpenter		 Greg
Wooldridge
KXL-FM May 11, 2018 [41] Invited Invited Invited

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Knute
Buehler		 Sam
Carpenter		 Lori
Chavez-DeRemer		 Greg
Wooldridge		 Other Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D) May 3–6, 2018 438 ± 4.7% 33% 25% – 8% – 33%
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) April 19–22, 2018 1,013 ± 3.1% 39% 24% – 12% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 20%
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) March 19–25, 2018 628 – 23% 23% – 4% – 50%
iCitizen September 13–28, 2017 168 ± 3.9% 28% – 8% 31% 6% 26%

Results

Results by county:
  Buehler—60–70%
  Buehler—50–60%
  Buehler—40–50%
  Buehler—<40%
  Carpenter—<40%
  Carpenter—40–50%
  Carpenter—50–60%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Knute Buehler 144,103 45.9
Republican Sam Carpenter 90,572 28.8
Republican Greg C. Wooldridge 63,049 20.1
Republican Bruce Cuff 4,857 1.5
Republican Jeff Smith 4,691 1.5
Republican David Stauffer 2,096 0.7
Republican Write-ins 1,701 0.5
Republican Jonathan Edwards III 861 0.3
Republican Keenan Bohach 787 0.3
Republican Brett Hyland 755 0.2
Republican Jack W. Tacy 512 0.2
Total votes 313,984 100

Independent primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Skye Allen[3]
  • Dan Pistoresi[3]
  • Patrick Starnes[3]

Results

Independent primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Write-ins 13,497 56.8
Independent Patrick Starnes 6,030 25.4
Independent Skye J. Allen 2,405 10.6
Independent Dan Pistoresi 1,846 7.8
Total votes 23,778 100.0

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[42] Lean D September 14, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[43] Lean D September 14, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] Lean D September 5, 2018
Real Clear Politics[45] Tossup September 26, 2018
Daily Kos[46] Likely D September 5, 2018
Fox News[47][lower-alpha 2] Likely D September 14, 2018
Politico[48] Lean D October 9, 2018
Governing[49] Lean D September 14, 2018

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Kate
Brown (D)		 Knute
Buehler (R)		 Other Undecided
Riley Research Associates September 24 – October 7, 2018 356 ± 5.0% 49% 45% 6%[50] –
Clout Research (R) September 20–23, 2018 679 ± 3.8% 42% 41% – –
Hoffman Research Group September 12–13, 2018 680 ± 3.8% 46% 36% 6%[51] 12%
Causeway Solutions (R-No Supermajorities PAC) September 6–11, 2018 2,831 ± 2.0% 41% 43% – –
Clout Research (R) July 30–31, 2018 559 ± 4.1% 42% 43% – 15%
Gravis Marketing July 16–17, 2018 770 ± 3.5% 45% 45% – 10%
Triton Polling & Research (R-Carpenter) March 19–25, 2018 2,067 ± 2.2% 41% 46% – 14%
DHM Research January 25–31, 2018 604 ± 4.0% 46% 29% – 25%
Zogby Analytics November 10–12, 2017 508 ± 4.4% 39% 36% – 25%
iCitizen September 13–28, 2017 645 ± 3.9% 41% 40% 11% 8%

Results

Oregon gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kate Brown (incumbent)
Republican Knute Buehler
Independent Patrick Starnes
Libertarian Nick Chen
Constitution Aaron Auer
Total votes

Notes

  1. ↑ Bruce Cuff and Jeff Smith with 3%
  2. ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

References

  1. ↑ KOIN 6 News Staff (November 8, 2016). "Kate Brown wins 2-year term as Oregon governor". KOIN 6 News. Retrieved November 15, 2016.
  2. ↑ Borrud, Hillary (September 25, 2017). "Kate Brown announces she will seek re-election". The Oregonian. Retrieved September 26, 2017.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Radnovich, Connor (March 7, 2018). "17 people running for Oregon governor, the most crowded field in two decades". Statesman Journal. Retrieved March 8, 2018.
  4. ↑ Warner, Gary A. (August 7, 2017). "Political parties rev up for 2018 election". The Bulletin. Retrieved August 19, 2017.
  5. ↑ Riley, John (November 14, 2017). "Victory Fund endorses Rich Madeleno for governor". Metro Weekly. Retrieved February 7, 2018.
  6. ↑ Lee, Steve (October 5, 2017). "HRC endorses Oregon Gov. Kate Brown for re-election". LGBT Weekly. Retrieved October 14, 2017.
  7. ↑ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Oregon Governor Brown for Re-Election". Go Local PDX. October 5, 2017. Retrieved October 14, 2017.
  8. ↑ "Oregon AFL-CIO Endorses Kate Brown for Governor". Oregon AFL-CIO. September 9, 2017. Retrieved October 14, 2017.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Warner, Gary A. (October 9, 2017). "Capitol roundup: Oregon House seats up for grabs". The Bulletin. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  10. ↑ "Planned Parenthood Backs Oregon Governor's Election Bid". Oregon Patch. October 25, 2017. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  11. 1 2 3 Warner, Gary A. (August 3, 2017). "Bend's Buehler running for governor". The Bulletin. Retrieved August 3, 2017.
  12. ↑ Achen, Paris (August 31, 2017). "A pro-Trump alternative in the governor's race?". Portland Tribune. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  13. ↑ "Bend businessman Sam Carpenter declares bid for governor". KTVZ. October 25, 2017. Retrieved October 28, 2017.
  14. ↑ Achen, Paris (October 25, 2017). "Bend businessman Sam Carpenter to run for governor". East Oregonian. Retrieved October 28, 2017.
  15. ↑ "Oregon Secretary Of State". secure.sos.state.or.us. Retrieved 2018-02-18.
  16. ↑ Hubbard, Saul (February 3, 2018). "Portland political conservative makes late entry into Oregon gubernatorial race". The Register-Guard.
  17. ↑ Withycombe, Claire (April 26, 2018). "GOP gubernatorial candidate drops out of race". Portland Tribune.
  18. ↑ Jaquiss, Nigel (June 26, 2017). "First Potential GOP Challenger For Gov. Kate Brown Surfaces". Willamette Week. Retrieved July 9, 2017.
  19. ↑ Borrud, Hillary (October 10, 2017). "Republican Lori Chavez-DeRemer will not run for Oregon governor in 2018". The Oregonian. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  20. 1 2 Achen, Paris (October 31, 2017). "Social conservatives seek governor's candidate". Portland Tribune. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  21. ↑ "House Minority Leader Mike McLane Rules Out Run for Governor in 2018". wweek.com. September 6, 2017.
  22. ↑ Lehman, Chris (November 8, 2016). "Oregon Elects Kate Brown As Governor". Oregon Public Broadcasting. Retrieved November 15, 2016.
  23. ↑ Skelley, Geoffrey; Kondik, Kyle (April 20, 2017). "Competitive races abound as GOP plays defense in many open seats". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 6, 2017.
  24. ↑ Borrud, Hillary (August 23, 2017). "Secretary of State Dennis Richardson announces he will not run for governor". The Oregonian. Retrieved August 24, 2017.
  25. ↑ Warner, Gary A. (September 19, 2017). "Governor candidates at the Pendleton Round-Up". The Bulletin. Retrieved September 24, 2017.
  26. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Lawmakers Endorse Knute Buehler". Knute Buehler for Governor.
  27. ↑ "Letter: Hansell supports Buehler in GOP race". East Oregonian. April 27, 2018.
  28. ↑ Esquivel, Sal (August 8, 2017). "Esquivel: Knute Buehler is the Leader Oregon Needs". Oregon Catalyst. Retrieved November 6, 2017.
  29. ↑ "I'm proud to endorse fellow Roseburg native, friend and colleague Knute Buehler for Governor. He'll bring the..." Twitter. October 7, 2017.
  30. ↑ E. Werner Reschke. "I support Dr. Knute Buehler for Governor". Twitter.
  31. ↑ Warner, Gary A. (August 14, 2017). "Where were you in '82?". The Bulletin. Retrieved August 19, 2017.
  32. ↑ Borrud, Hillary (August 16, 2017). "Phil Knight contributes $500,000 to Republican gubernatorial candidate Knute Buehler". The Oregonian. Retrieved August 19, 2017.
  33. ↑ "NFIB Oregon PAC Endorses Knute Buehler for Governor". NFIB. August 13, 2018.
  34. ↑ "Editorial: Vote Buehler in Republican primary". The Bulletin. April 23, 2018.
  35. ↑ "WW's May 2018 Endorsements for Oregon Statewide Office". Willamette Week. April 25, 2018.
  36. ↑ "For governor: Brown, Buehler". The Register-Guard. April 28, 2018. Retrieved May 4, 2018.
  37. ↑ "Oregon needs experience, decisive leadership to improve: Editorial endorsements". The Oregonian. April 29, 2018. Retrieved May 4, 2018.
  38. ↑ "Our opinion: Vote for Buehler in GOP governor primary". Portland Tribune. May 7, 2018. Retrieved May 11, 2018.
  39. ↑ "Bill Post endorses Capt. Greg Wooldridge for governor". Wooldridge For Governor. April 18, 2018.
  40. ↑ "ENDORSEMENT: Right to Life endorses Wooldridge". Wooldridge For Governor. March 8, 2018.
  41. ↑ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5WFU27n266k
  42. ↑ "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  43. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  44. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  45. ↑ "RealClearPolitics - 2018 Election Maps - 2018 Governor Races". Retrieved August 3, 2018.
  46. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  47. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 22, 2018.
  48. ↑ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
  49. ↑ "Tracking the 2018 Governors Races". Retrieved July 22, 2018.
  50. ↑ Patrick Starnes (I) with 4%, Nick Chen (L) with 2%, Aaron Aauer (C) with 1%
  51. ↑ Patrick Starnes (I) with 4%, Aaron Auer (C) and Nick Chen (L) with 1%
Official campaign websites
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.