United States Senate election in Arizona, 2018

United States Senate election in Arizona, 2018
November 6, 2018

 
Nominee Martha McSally Kyrsten Sinema Angela Green
Party Republican Democratic Green
Incumbent U.S. Senator

Jeff Flake
Republican

The 2018 United States Senate election in Arizona will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Arizona and replace Senator Jeff Flake, who is not running for re-election. It will be held concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

The candidate filing deadline was May 30, 2018, and the primary election was held on August 28, 2018. Martha McSally won the Republican Party primary, and Kyrsten Sinema won the Democratic Party primary. Green Party candidate Angela Green is also on the ballot. This election could result in Arizona's first female representative in the US Senate. Write-in candidates include Democrat Sheila Bilyeu, Libertarian Party candidate Barry Hess, Republican Robert Kay, and Jonathan Ringham of The Old Republic, among others.[1]

Background

Arizona, located along the United States border with Mexico, has a unique political history. Upon its admission to the Union in 1912, the state was dominated by Democrats who had migrated there from the South, and aside from the landslide victories of Republicans Warren Harding, Calvin Coolidge and Herbert Hoover, the state voted for Democrats until 1952, when Dwight Eisenhower carried it, and began a lengthy streak of Republican victories interrupted only by Bill Clinton's narrow victory in 1996. Since then, the state has remained in the Republican camp, and was won by Donald Trump with a 3.5% margin in 2016.[2]

Incumbent Republican Senator Jeff Flake announced in October 2017 that he would retire at the end of his current term instead of seeking reelection for another term in 2018.[3] Flake had said in March 2017 that he was running for reelection, but was considered vulnerable due to low approval ratings, a tenuous relationship with President Trump, and a primary challenge from former State Senator Kelli Ward.[4][5][6][7]

Republican primary

Candidates

On the ballot

Failed to file

[11]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Martha McSally
Federal officials
United States Senators
U.S. Representatives
State-level officials
Mayors
Individuals
  • Suzanne Klapp, Scottsdale City Councilwoman[44]
Organizations
Kelli Ward
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Local officials
U.S. Military Personnel
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Joe
Arpaio		 Martha
McSally		 Kelli
Ward		 Other Undecided
Data Orbital August 21–22, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 18% 48% 22% 1% 8%
OH Predictive Insights August 14–15, 2018 578 ± 4.1% 13% 47% 27% – 12%
OH Predictive Insights July 23–25, 2018 576 ± 4.1% 15% 35% 27% – 23%
Gravis Marketing June 27 – July 2, 2018 501 ± 4.4% 24% 36% 27% – 14%
Emerson College June 21–22, 2018 305 ± 5.9% 18% 32% 19% 7%[70] 23%
Data Orbital June 19–21, 2018 550 ± 4.2% 17% 38% 23% 2% 21%
Marist College June 17–21, 2018 371 ± 6.7% 21% 30% 28% <1% 21%
OH Predictive Insights June 11–12, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 14% 39% 25% – 22%
Remington (R-McSally) May 23–24, 2018 2,011 ± 2.3% 25% 42% 23% – 10%
Magellan Strategies (R) April 11–12 and 15, 2018 755 ± 3.6% 26% 36% 25% 6% 7%
OH Predictive Insights April 10–11, 2018 302 ± 5.6% 22% 27% 36% – 15%
Data Orbital January 11–15, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 22% 31% 19% – 27%
OH Predictive Insights January 9, 2018 504 ± 4.4% 29% 31% 25% – 15%
WPA Intelligence (R-McSally) November 15–16, 2017 500 ± 4.4% – 38% 36% – 26%
OH Predictive Insights November 9, 2017 323 ± 5.5% – 34% 42% – 24%
Revily (R-Ward) October 28–31, 2017 380 ± 3.0% – 21% 32% 15%[71] 34%

Results

Results by county:
  McSally—60–70%
  McSally—50–60%
  McSally—40–50%
  McSally—<40%
  Arpaio—<40%
Republican primary results[72]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Martha McSally 357,626 54.6
Republican Kelli Ward 180,926 27.6
Republican Joe Arpaio 116,555 17.8
Republican Nicholas N. Glenn (write-in) 121 0.0
Republican William Gonzales (write-in) 70 0.0
Total votes 655,298 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

On the ballot

Not on the ballot

Failed to file

[11]

Withdrew

  • Jim Moss, businessman, activist and former teacher[81][82]

Declined

Endorsements

Deedra Abboud
Organizations
Kyrsten Sinema
Vice Presidents
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide and local politicians
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Deedra
Abboud		 Kyrsten
Sinema		 Other Undecided
Data Orbital June 25–27, 2018 550 ± 4.2% 7% 63% 2% 29%
Emerson College June 21–22, 2018 260 ± 6.2% 8% 51% 12%[139] 30%

Results

Results by county:
  Sinema—80–90%
  Sinema—70–80%
  Sinema—60–70%
Democratic primary results[72]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kyrsten Sinema 404,170 79.25
Democratic Deedra Abboud 105,800 20.75
Total votes 509,970 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Removed

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

Removed

Results

Results by county:
  Green—100%
  No votes
Green primary results[72]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Angela Green (write-in) 389 100.0
Total votes 389 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[143] Tossup September 21, 2018
Inside Elections[144] Tossup September 14, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[145] Tossup September 6, 2018
Daily Kos[146] Tossup September 17, 2018
Fox News[147] Tossup September 22, 2018
CNN[148] Tossup September 19, 2018
RealClearPolitics[149] Tossup September 25, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[150] Lean D October 2, 2018

Endorsements

Martha McSally (R)
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Kyrsten Sinema (D)
Former U.S. Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide and local politicians
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018
Candidate (party) Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Kyrsten Sinema (D) $9,563,041 $6,446,752 $5,379,923
Martha McSally (R) $6,670,460 $2,434,278 $4,236,182
Source: Federal Election Commission[166]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Martha
McSally (R)		 Kyrsten
Sinema (D)		 Angela
Green (G)		 Other Undecided
Change Research (D-Garcia) October 9–10, 2018 783 – 44% 44% – – 11%
YouGov October 2–5, 2018 898 – 44% 47% – 3% 6%
OH Predictive Insights October 1–2, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 47% 41% 4% – 8%
Fox News September 29 – October 2, 2018 716 LV ± 3.5% 45% 47% – 2% 6%
806 RV ± 3.5% 44% 45% – 2% 8%
Vox Populi Polling September 29 – October 1, 2018 702 ± 3.5% 52% 49% – – –
Suffolk University September 27–30, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 42% 45% 2% 0% 11%
Latino Decisions September 10–25, 2018 463 LV – 41% 47% – – 11%
610 RV – 37% 43% – – 17%
Emerson College September 19–21, 2018 650 ± 4.4% 39% 45% – 4% 13%
Marist College September 16–20, 2018 564 LV ± 4.7% 43% 45% 6% <1% 6%
45% 48% – <1% 7%
763 RV ± 4.2% 41% 44% 6% <1% 8%
44% 47% – <1% 9%
CNN/SSRS September 11–15, 2018 761 LV ± 4.3% 43% 50% – 0% 3%
854 RV ± 4.1% 41% 48% – 1% 6%
Ipsos September 5–14, 2018 1,016 ± 4.0% 44% 47% – 4% 5%
TargetSmart (D-ProgressNow AZ) September 8–13, 2018 800 ± 4.0% 46% 51% – 1% 3%
Fox News September 8–11, 2018 710 LV ± 3.5% 44% 47% – 2% 5%
801 RV ± 3.5% 42% 46% – 3% 7%
Gravis Marketing September 5–7, 2018 882 ± 3.3% 49% 48% – – 3%
OH Predictive Insights September 5–6, 2018 597 ± 4.0% 49% 46% – – 6%
Data Orbital September 4–6, 2018 550 ± 4.2% 42% 46% – 2%[167] 9%
OH Predictive Insights July 23–24, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 44% 48% – – 8%
Gravis Marketing June 27 – July 2, 2018 925 ± 3.2% 39% 43% – – 19%
SurveyMonkey/Axios June 11 – July 2, 2018 1,290 ± 4.5% 44% 48% – – 7%
Emerson College June 21–22, 2018 650 ± 4.0% 32% 40% – 9% 20%
YouGov June 19–22, 2018 869 LV ± 3.7% 37% 45% – 7% 10%
998 RV 34% 41% – 8% 14%
Marist College June 17–21, 2018 839 ± 4.5% 38% 49% – 2% 11%
SurveyMonkey/Axios April 2–23, 2018 1,667 ± 4.0% 42% 51% – – 7%
OH Predictive Insights April 10–11, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 42% 48% – – 10%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) March 15–16, 2018 547 ± 4.2% 41% 46% – – 13%
OH Predictive Insights November 9, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 45% 46% – – 9%
Revily (R-Ward) October 28–31, 2017 850 ± 3.4% 29% 33% – – 37%

Results

United States Senate election in Arizona, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Green Angela Green
Republican Martha McSally
Democratic Kyrsten Sinema
Libertarian Barry Hess (write-in)
Republican Robert Kay (write-in)
Democratic Sheila Bilyeu (write-in)
The Old Republic Jonathan Ringham B (write-in)
ATP Edward Davida (write-in)
Independent Jeff Pearce (write-in)
None Michael DeCarlo (write-in)
Majority
Turnout

References

  1. ↑ "2018 General Election". Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  2. ↑
  3. ↑ Feldscher, Kyle (October 24, 2017). "Jeff Flake rips Trump while announcing his retirement in remarkable speech on Senate floor". The Washington Examiner. Washington, D.C. Retrieved October 24, 2017.
  4. 1 2 Kimbel-Sannit, Arren (March 11, 2017). "Flake likely to face challenges from all sides, vows to be ready". Arizona Daily Star. Retrieved March 12, 2017.
  5. ↑ "New Poll Says Flake Is In Deep Trouble In Arizona GOP Primary". The Daily Caller. Retrieved 2017-08-28.
  6. ↑ "Hey, Democrats, Maybe You Should Run Someone Against Jeff Flake". FiveThirtyEight. 2017-07-12. Retrieved 2017-07-20.
  7. ↑ "Trump's Big 2018 Gamble". Bloomberg.com. 2017-07-17. Retrieved 2017-07-20.
  8. ↑ Nelson, Steven (August 28, 2017). "Joe Arpaio may challenge Jeff Flake for Arizona Senate seat: Exclusive". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved August 28, 2017.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Robillard, Kevin (October 25, 2017). "Flake retirement could help GOP save the Senate". Politico. Retrieved October 25, 2017.
  10. ↑ Drucker, David M. "Joe Arpaio running for Senate in Arizona". Washington Examiner. Retrieved 2018-01-09.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Arizona Election Information". apps.arizona.vote. Retrieved 2018-05-31.
  12. ↑ Arizona Rep. McSally tells colleagues she’ll run for Senate, Washington Post, Bob Christie (AP), November 7, 2017. Retrieved November 7, 2017.
  13. ↑ "McSally launches Senate campaign in heated Arizona contest". ABC15 Arizona. Associated Press. January 12, 2018. Retrieved January 12, 2018.
  14. ↑ Min Kim, Seung (October 27, 2016). "Kelli Ward aims to oust Flake in 2018". Politico. Retrieved October 27, 2016.
  15. ↑ Bowman, Bridget (October 27, 2016). "Flake Gets 2018 Primary Challenge". Roll Call. Retrieved October 27, 2016.
  16. 1 2 De Ford, Josh (October 30, 2016). "Ward Eyes Sen. Flake's lack of "War Hero Status" with 2018 Senate launch". Outset. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
  17. 1 2 3 4 "Arizona Election Information". apps.arizona.vote. Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  18. ↑ Roth, R. (September 25, 2017). "Former "Revenge Porn Website" Mastermind Declares Run For Arizona Senate". Arizona Daily Independent. Retrieved October 3, 2017.
  19. ↑ "DIEGEL, CHRISTIAN - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved 2017-12-17.
  20. ↑ "GRIFFIN, MICHELLE MARIE DR PHD - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  21. ↑ "REDD, SHAWN - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  22. ↑ Nowicki, Dan (August 23, 2017). "By Donald Trump standards, Sen. Jeff Flake gets off easy at Phoenix rally". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved August 24, 2017.
  23. ↑ "Arizona Rep. Franks isn't interested in running for Flake's Senate seat". KTAR News. August 31, 2017. Retrieved October 24, 2017.
  24. 1 2 Weaver, Al; Drucker, David M. (October 24, 2017). "Arizona Republicans eye Senate race as Jeff Flake announces exit". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved October 25, 2017.
  25. ↑ Isenstadt, Alex (January 25, 2017). "Mini-Trumps look to replicate electoral success". Politico. Retrieved January 25, 2017.
  26. 1 2 Isenstadt, Alex (July 17, 2017). "White House squeezes Jeff Flake". Politico. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
  27. 1 2 Bradner, Eric (October 25, 2017). "How Jeff Flake's retirement could help Republicans keep his Senate seat". CNN. Retrieved October 25, 2017.
  28. 1 2 Nowicki, Dan; Wingett Sanchez, Yvonne (October 24, 2017). "'Cascading effect': Sen. Jeff Flake's announcement jolts political world, Senate race". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved October 25, 2017.
  29. ↑ "The 5 Most Critical US Senate Elections of 2018". observer.com. 28 December 2017. Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  30. ↑ Isenstadt, Alex (August 17, 2017). "Trump aides worry he hurt hopes of defeating Flake". Politico. Retrieved August 18, 2017.
  31. ↑ Gomez, Henry J. (August 17, 2017). "Donald Trump Just Raised Expectations That He'll Campaign Against Jeff Flake". BuzzFeed News. Retrieved August 18, 2017.
  32. ↑ Nowicki, Dan (October 24, 2017). "Arizona's Jeff Flake announces he will not seek re-election to U.S. Senate". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved October 24, 2017.
  33. ↑ Isenstadt, Alex (October 24, 2017). "Flake announces retirement as he rebukes Trump". Politico. Retrieved October 24, 2017.
  34. ↑ "Former Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer not interested in running for Flake's seat". ktar.com. 26 October 2017. Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  35. ↑ Duda, Jeremy (January 30, 2017). "Gosar eyes primary challenge to Flake". Arizona Capitol Times. Retrieved January 31, 2017.
  36. ↑ "Morning Digest: Christie's 17 percent approval could cause some traffic problems for Jersey GOP". Daily Kos Elections. February 1, 2017. Retrieved February 1, 2017.
  37. ↑ Manchester, Julia (October 25, 2017). "GOP Rep. Gosar rules out bid for Flake's seat". The Hill. Retrieved October 25, 2017.
  38. ↑ Nowicki, Dan (2017-11-29). "President Trump to nominate Arizona State Treasurer @JeffDeWitAZ to be @NASA's chief financial officer. DeWit had been mentioned for months as a possible #AZSEN candidate.pic.twitter.com/HjWWIR92m2". @dannowicki. Retrieved 2017-11-30.
  39. ↑ Mike Pence. "Big night for @MarthaMcSally in Arizona! Martha served our nation with distinction in the @usairforce & she will be a great addition to the US Senate helping enact the @realDonaldTrump agenda. Get out and support Martha in November!". Twitter.
  40. 1 2 "Former Arizona Senator Jon Kyl endorses Martha McSally for US Senate". McSally for Senate. August 2, 2018.
  41. 1 2 Squires, Michael (December 22, 2017). "Majority Leader Mitch McConnell lets slip Rep. Martha McSally's big Senate secret". azcentral.com.
  42. 1 2 Bluestein, Greg (August 24, 2018). "David Perdue aims to shore up embattled Senate candidates". Politically Georgia.
  43. 1 2 "Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich Endorses Martha McSally for US Senate". McSally for Senate. July 30, 2018.
  44. 1 2 3 "WATCH: McSally For Senate Launches Women's Coalition". McSally for Senate. August 18, 2018.
  45. 1 2 Vaughn Hillyard (May 8, 2018). "New: Fmr AZ Gov. Jan Brewer tells NBC she is endorsing U.S. Rep. Martha McSally for the U.S. Senate. Brewer will be a "special guest" alongside McSally at a campaign fundraiser in Glendale on May 18". Twitter.
  46. 1 2 "McSally launches Senate campaign in heated Arizona contest". tucson.com. Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  47. 1 2 "Scottsdale Mayor Jim Lane Endorses Martha McSally for US Senate". McSally for Senate. August 2, 2018.
  48. ↑ McSally For Senate. "Polls are open! I would be honored to have your vote. #AZSen". Twitter.
  49. 1 2 "Maggie's List Proudly Endorses Martha McSally for U.S Senate". Maggie's List. January 12, 2018.
  50. ↑ "Winning For Women Endorses Martha McSally for U.S. Senate in First Round of Candidate Endorsements". winningforwomen.com. 1 February 2018. Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  51. 1 2 Students For Trump. ".@MarthaMcSally keeps Arizona red. Arizonans should vote for her in the primary!". Twitter.
  52. 1 2 "National Border Patrol Council Endorses Martha McSally For US Senate". McSally for Senate. August 8, 2018.
  53. 1 2 "RightNOW announces new endorsements for 2018". RightNOW Women PAC. May 29, 2018.
  54. ↑ "Martha McSally". VIEW PAC.
  55. ↑ Al Weaver (November 1, 2017). "Rand Paul becomes first senator to endorse Kelli Ward in Arizona Senate race". Washington Examiner.
  56. ↑ Wingett Sanchez, Yvonne (July 17, 2018). "Paul Gosar endorses Kelli Ward for Senate, attacks Martha McSally's GOP credentials". azcentral. AZ Republic.
  57. ↑ Dan Nowicki (January 19, 2018). "Immigration hard-liner Steve King endorses Kelli Ward in Arizona's U.S. Senate race". The Arizona Republic.
  58. ↑ "U.S. Rep. Dana Rohrabacher endorses Dr. Kelli Ward for United States Senate". Kelli Ward for US Senate. January 23, 2018.
  59. ↑ "Ward for Senate Releases Growing List of Arizona Endorsements". kelliward.com. Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  60. ↑ "Jessie Jane Duff on Twitter".
  61. ↑ Rosenblatt, Dillon (August 17, 2018). "Kelli Ward Going on Bus Tour With Right-Wing Celebs to Boost Senate Campaign". Phoenix New Times. Archived from the original on August 18, 2018. Retrieved August 20, 2018.
  62. ↑ Sebastian Gorka [@SebGorka] (September 27, 2017). "On it" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  63. ↑ Mallory Shelbourne (August 23, 2017). "Hannity backs Kelli Ward in primary against Flake". The Hill.
  64. ↑ "Tomi Lahren on Twitter". twitter.com. Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  65. ↑ Chris Pandolfo (August 23, 2017). "Mark Levin: It's time to make 'mob boss' McConnell 'heel!'". Conservative Review.
  66. ↑ "Austin Petersen twitter". twitter.com. Retrieved December 20, 2017.
  67. ↑ "CITIZENS FOR TRUMP PROUDLY ENDORSES DR. KELLI WARD FOR U.S. SENATE IN ARIZONA". Citizens For Trump. September 5, 2017. Retrieved January 1, 2018.
  68. ↑ Katie Glueck (October 16, 2017). "Pro-Trump group endorses in key Senate primaries". McClatchy DC Bureau.
  69. ↑ Tim Macy (November 2, 2017). "We Need a Fighter in the US Senate". Gun Owners of America.
  70. ↑ Christian Diegel with 3%, Craig Brittain and Michelle Griffin with 2%, Nicholas Tutora with 0%
  71. ↑ Matt Salmon 9%, Craig Brittain 4%, Nicholas Tutora 2%
  72. 1 2 3 "State of Arizona Official Canvass" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State.
  73. ↑ Nowicki, Dan (April 10, 2017). "Democrat Deedra Abboud announces U.S. Senate bid". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved April 10, 2017.
  74. ↑ Robillard, Kevin (September 28, 2017). "Democratic Rep. Sinema launches Arizona senate bid". Politico. Retrieved September 29, 2017.
  75. ↑ Odom, Christopher (September 21, 2017). "Arizona Pilot Runs 4 Senate". Aero News Network. Retrieved September 25, 2017.
  76. ↑ "JETTE, MATT DR. - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  77. ↑ "About David Ruben for Senate". March 1, 2018.
  78. ↑ Abramson, Alana (July 19, 2017). "'Hang in There.' Muslim Senate Candidate Gets Support From Republican Incumbent". Time. Retrieved July 20, 2017.
  79. ↑ Nowicki, Dan (July 15, 2017). "How much re-election trouble is Sen. Jeff Flake really in?". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved July 16, 2017.
  80. ↑ Kurtz, Josh (November 10, 2016). "Senate map looks difficult for Dems, but Trump factor unknown". E&E News. Retrieved March 27, 2017.
  81. ↑ "Jim Moss is Exiting the Race for Senator Jeff Flake's Seat". Silver Belt. Retrieved 2017-11-09.
  82. ↑ Press, Associated. "Democrat Jim Moss Drops Out Of Arizona US Senate Race". Retrieved 2017-11-09.
  83. ↑ Garcia, Eric (June 19, 2017). "Doctor who Treated Giffords Weighing Run Against Flake". Roll Call. Retrieved June 23, 2017.
  84. 1 2 Nowicki, Dan (June 29, 2017). "Uproar over Senate health bill puts Flake's re-election in focus". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
  85. 1 2 3 Smith, Dylan (September 29, 2017). "Friese ices Senate run after Sinema announcement". Tucson Sentinel. Retrieved September 29, 2017.
  86. ↑ Hansen, Ronald J. (July 20, 2017). "Kirkpatrick joins the list of Democrats running for McSally's congressional seat". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved July 20, 2017.
  87. ↑ Martin, Jonathan; Burns, Alexander (June 23, 2017). "Republican Senator Vital to Health Bill's Passage Won't Support It". The New York Times. Retrieved June 27, 2017.
  88. ↑ Boehm, Jessica (October 5, 2017). "Phoenix Mayor Greg Stanton announces run for Congress". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved October 5, 2017.
  89. ↑ "Candidates". Justice Democrats. Retrieved December 18, 2017.
  90. ↑ "The People For Bernie Sanders". www.facebook.com. February 10, 2018.
  91. ↑ https://www.deedra2018.com/endorsed_by_progressive_democrats_of_america
  92. 1 2 Yvonne Wingett Sanchez (June 28, 2018). "Joe Biden endorses Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema for U.S. Senate". AZCentral.com.
  93. 1 2 "AZ-Sen: Sen. Cory Booker (D. NJ) Helps Kyrsten Sinema (D) Defeat Convicted Felon Joe Arpaio (R)". Daily Kos. January 10, 2018.
  94. 1 2 Catherine Cortez Masto [@CatherineForNV] (September 30, 2017). ".@kyrstensinema grew up homeless. She knows value of hard work. Now, she wants every Arizonan to have a fair shot. I'm proud to support her!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  95. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Who endorses Kyrsten Sinema (D) for U.S. Senate?". Arizona Daily Star.
  96. 1 2 "AZ-Sen: Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D. IL) Wastes No Time Helping Kyrsten Sinema (D) Flip This Seat Blue". Daily Kos. October 26, 2017.
  97. 1 2 "AZ, NV & TX-Sen: Sen. Dick Durbin (D. IL) Helps These Democrats In The West Flip The Senate". Daily Kos. March 29, 2018.
  98. 1 2 Kirsten Gillibrand [@SenGillibrand] (October 6, 2017). "I need Kyrsten in the Senate with me fighting for our values. This is critical: Will you send her your support?" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  99. 1 2 Kamala Harris [@KamalaHarris] (January 9, 2018). "Disgraced sheriff Joe Arpaio, convicted of violating a court order to stop illegally detaining and terrorizing the Latino community, is running for U.S. Senate in Arizona. Donate to kyrstensinema, a champion for all Arizonans:" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  100. 1 2 "AZ-Sen: Sen. Mazie Hirono (D. HI) Helps Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D) Flip This Seat From Red To Blue". Daily Kos. June 12, 2018.
  101. 1 2 "AZ-Sen: Amy Klobuchar (D. MN) Sticks It To Mike Pence By Helping Sinema (D) Beat Arpaio (R)". Daily Kos. May 3, 2018.
  102. 1 2 "AZ-Sen: Sen. Patrick Leahy (D. VT) Helps Kyrsten Sinema (D) Punish The GOP For Their Tax Scam Bill". Daily Kos. December 8, 2017.
  103. 1 2 "AZ & NV-Sen: Sen. Jeff Merkley (D. OR) Helps These Two Women Take Back The U.S. Senate". Daily Kos. December 13, 2017.
  104. 1 2 "AZ-Sen: Sen. Chris Murphy (D. CT) Wastes No Time Helping Kyrsten Sinema (D) Defeat Joe Arpaio (R)". Daily Kos. January 9, 2018.
  105. 1 2 "TX, NV & AZ-Sen: Sen. Patty Murray (D. WA) Helps Democrats Make Big Gains In The West". Daily Kos. December 26, 2017.
  106. 1 2 "AZ-Sen: Sen. Gary Peters (D. MI) Hits Mike Pence By Helping Kyrsten Sinema (D) Defeat Joe Arpaio (R)". Daily Kos. May 5, 2018.
  107. 1 2 "Report: Rep. Kyrsten Sinema to get Schumer's support in 2018 Senate race". KTAR.com. September 11, 2017.
  108. 1 2 "AZ-Sen: Sen. Ron Wyden (D. OR) Helps Kyrsten Sinema (D) Get Ready To Defeat Jeff Flake (R)". Daily Kos. October 17, 2017.
  109. 1 2 Kyrsten Sinema [@KyrstenSinema] (November 6, 2017). "Grateful for your support, @RonBarberAZ" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  110. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Joseph Flaherty (November 6, 2017). "Who's Afraid of Endorsing Kyrsten Sinema?". Phoenix New Times.
  111. 1 2 "AZ-Sen: Rep. Joe Kennedy III (D. MA) Helps Kyrsten Sinema (D) Take Down Racist Joe Arpaio (R)". Daily Kos. February 25, 2018.
  112. 1 2 Kyrsten Sinema [@KyrstenSinema] (November 5, 2017). "Thank you for your support, @TomOHalleran!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  113. ↑ Skabelund, Adrian (June 29, 2018). "Campaign Corner: Mayor Evans endorses Sinema for U.S. Senate". Arizona Daily Sun.
  114. 1 2 Jon Favreau [@jonfavs] (October 24, 2017). "Was Flake's speech brave? Not enough? Too little too late? Who really cares! What matters more is that @kyrstensinema takes his seat" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  115. 1 2 "AZ-Sen: Jason Kander (D. MO) Helps Kyrsten Sinema (D) Prevent Sheriff Joe From Becoming Senator Joe". Daily Kos. March 28, 2018.
  116. 1 2 "Jenny Wilson for UT on Twitter". twitter.com. Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  117. ↑ "Recommended Candidates | AEA Fund". www.vote4schoolsaz.com. AEA Fund for Public Education.
  118. ↑ McLaughlin, Jim; Bean, Bob; Wine, Dean (July 9, 2018). "We are pleased to announce the following endorsements for statewide candidates:". www.facebook.com. Arizona AFL-CIO.
  119. 1 2 "AZBTC endorses six candidates running for federal office - Arizona Building Trades". Arizona Building Trades. April 13, 2018.
  120. 1 2 "Our Candidates - CWA Political". CWA Political.
  121. 1 2 Holly, Jeff; McDermott, Thomas. "Newsletter-May-2018" (PDF). www.smw359.org/. SMW Local 359. p. 6.
  122. 1 2 "NEA Fund - Recommended Candidates". www.neafund.org.
  123. 1 2 McLaughlin, Jim (July 26, 2018). "Proud to stand w/ @kyrstensinema in her bid for US Senate. #AZSen". www.facebook.com. UFCW Local 99.
  124. 1 2 "Arizona - COMPAC Endorsements - UMWA". UMWA. United Mine Workers of America.
  125. ↑ Kimble, Terri; Przybylski, Mary Ann. "Chandler Chamber Voter Score Card 2018". www.chandlerchamber.com. Chandler Chamber of Commerce.
  126. 1 2 Chris Van Hollen (September 29, 2017). "DSCC Endorses Kyrsten Sinema for Senate". DSCC.
  127. 1 2 "Emily's List Endorses Kyrsten Sinema for Arizona Senate". Emily's List. September 29, 2017.
  128. 1 2 Tiffany Muller (October 12, 2017). "End Citizens United Endorses Kyrsten Sinema for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United.
  129. 1 2 "Endorsed Candidates - Equality PAC". Equality PAC.
  130. 1 2 "HRC Endorses Kyrsten Sinema for U.S. Senate". Human Rights Campaign. September 29, 2017.
  131. ↑ "Victory Fund Endorses Congresswoman Kyrsten Sinema in Pivotal U.S. Senate Race". Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund. November 9, 2017.
  132. 1 2 Sittenfeld, Tiernan (April 19, 2018). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Kyrsten Sinema for Senate - League of Conservation Voters". League of Conservation Voters.
  133. 1 2 "AZ-Sen: Jason Kander Refuses To Let Notorious Racist Joe Arpaio (R) Into Another Position Of Power". Daily Kos. January 10, 2018.
  134. 1 2 Ricketts, Laura (February 13, 2018). "LESBIAN SUPER PAC (LPAC) ENDORSES KEY CANDIDATES IN ARIZONA, FLORIDA AND TEXAS - LPAC". LPAC.
  135. ↑ Castillo, Renee (June 27, 2018). "Mesa Chamber Announces 2018 Candidate Endorsements". www.mesachamber.org. Chamber Board of Directors.
  136. 1 2 "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017.
  137. 1 2 Laguens, Dawn; Liggett, Jodi (April 19, 2018). "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Arizona's Kyrsten Sinema for U.S. Senate". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org.
  138. 1 2 "2018 Endorsements". stonewalldemsaz.org.
  139. ↑ Richard Sherzan with 4%, Cheryl Fowler and David Ruben with 3%, Bob Bishop with 2%
  140. ↑ Ricca, Aaron (September 28, 2017). "Libertarians get the word out at Andy Devine Days Rally". The Kingman Daily Miner. Retrieved October 3, 2017.
  141. 1 2 "Primary candidates drop off ballot following petition challenges". Glendale Star.
  142. ↑ "Arizona Green Party (AZGP) - Candidates--2018". Arizona Green Party (AZGP). Retrieved 8 October 2018.
  143. ↑ "2018 Senate Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2018-04-08.
  144. ↑ "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2018-04-08.
  145. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Senate". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2018-04-08.
  146. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  147. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  148. ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  149. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  150. ↑ Silver, Nate (2018-09-11). "Arizona - 2018 Senate Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2018-10-02.
  151. ↑ https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/410721-george-w-bush-mitt-romney-coming-to-arizona-to-boost-martha-mcsally
  152. ↑ Donald J. Trump. "Martha McSally, running in the Arizona Primary for U.S. Senate, was endorsed by rejected Senator Jeff Flake....and turned it down – a first! Now Martha, a great U.S. Military fighter jet pilot and highly respected member of Congress, WINS BIG. Congratulations, and on to November!". Twitter.
  153. ↑ Donald J. Trump. "Martha McSally is an extraordinary woman. She was a very talented fighter jet pilot and is now a highly respected member of Congress. She is Strong on Crime, the Border and our under siege 2nd Amendment. Loves our Military and our Vets. Has my total and complete Endorsement!". Twitter.
  154. ↑ Mike Pence. "Big win for @MarthaMcSally in Arizona! Martha served our nation with distinction in the @usairforce & she will be a great addition to the US Senate helping enact the @realDonaldTrump agenda. Get out and support Martha in November!". Twitter.
  155. ↑ https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/410721-george-w-bush-mitt-romney-coming-to-arizona-to-boost-martha-mcsally
  156. ↑ "Maricopa County Attorney Endorses Martha McSally for United States Senate". McSally for Senate. October 3, 2018.
  157. ↑ "CCAGW PAC Endorses Rep. McSally for U.S. Senate, Three Arizona House Candidates". CCAGW PAC. September 25, 2018.
  158. ↑ Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote:". Twitter.
  159. ↑ {{cite web |url=https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2018/10/01/obama-endorses-senate-candidate-kyrsten-sinema-other-arizona-democrats/1488193002/
  160. ↑ "AZ-Sen: Rep. Conor Lamb (D. PA) Helps Kyrsten Sinema (D) Get Ready To Defeat Martha McSally (R)". Daily Kos. August 29, 2018.
  161. ↑ Grant Woods. ".@KyrstenSinema is a strong and principled leader who will be a great senator for Arizona. As a former Attorney General, I'm proud to endorse Kyrsten because I know that when it comes to keeping our families safe, Kyrsten is tough as nails. #AZsen". Twitter.
  162. ↑ McCubbin III, George (September 8, 2018). "AFGE | AFGE Endorses Arizona's Kyrsten Sinema for U.S. Senate". www.afge.org. American Federation of Government Employees District 12.
  163. ↑ "Endorsements". Arizona AFL-CIO. August 10, 2018.
  164. ↑ "Victory Fund Endorses Congresswoman Kyrsten Sinema in Pivotal U.S. Senate Race". LGBTQ Victory Fund. November 9, 2017.
  165. ↑ https://www.ncpssm.org/pac/candidates-we-endorse-and-support/
  166. ↑ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved April 23, 2018.
  167. ↑ Adam Kokesh (L) with 2%
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