2016 United States presidential election in Missouri
The 2016 United States presidential election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Missouri voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.
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| Turnout | 66.56% ( | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Trump: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Clinton: 40–50% 50–60% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Treemap of the popular vote by county
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On March 15, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian parties' respective nominees for president. Voters could choose any one party's primary in which to vote.
Donald Trump won the election in Missouri with 56.4% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 37.9% of the vote.[2] Trump's 18.5-point margin of victory in the state was almost double that of Mitt Romney's from 2012. Clinton carried only four jurisdictions: Boone County, home to Columbia and the University of Missouri; Jackson County, which includes most of Kansas City; St. Louis County; and St. Louis City.
With 37.9% of the vote, Hillary Clinton obtained the lowest percentage as a Democratic presidential nominee in the state since George McGovern's 37.7% in 1972, further cementing the state's drift towards the Republican Party, and away from its long held status as a bellwether state. Missouri was also one of the eleven states that voted for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
County results of the Missouri Democratic presidential primary, 2016.
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Nine candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[3]
- Hillary Clinton
- Henry Hewes
- Rocky De La Fuente
- Bernie Sanders
- Keith Judd
- Willie L. Wilson
- Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
- John Wolfe Jr.
- Jon Adams
| Missouri Democratic primary, March 15, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 310,600 | 49.61% | 36 | 11 | 47 |
| Bernie Sanders | 309,073 | 49.37% | 35 | 0 | 35 |
| Uncommitted | 3,697 | 0.59% | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Henry Hewes | 651 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 437 | 0.07% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jon Adams | 428 | 0.07% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 340 | 0.05% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Willie Wilson | 305 | 0.05% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keith Judd | 284 | 0.05% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Wolfe | 245 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | % | 71 | 13 | 84 | |
| S\Insert paragraphource:The Green Papers | |||||
Republican primary
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3]
- Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
- Ben Carson (withdrawn)
- Chris Christie (withdrawn)
- Ted Cruz
- Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
- Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
- John Kasich
- Rand Paul (withdrawn)
- Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
- Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
- Donald Trump
| Missouri Republican primary, March 15, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 383,631 | 40.84% | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| Ted Cruz | 381,666 | 40.63% | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| John Kasich | 94,857 | 10.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Rubio | 57,244 | 6.09% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 8,233 | 0.88% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 3,361 | 0.36% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 3,225 | 0.34% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 2,148 | 0.23% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 1,777 | 0.19% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,681 | 0.18% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 732 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 615 | 0.07% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jim Lynch (withdrawn) | 100 | 0.01% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 939,270 | 100.00% | 52 | 0 | 52 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
Libertarian primary
The Missouri primary ran on March 15, 2016, alongside those of the Republican, Democratic, and Constitution parties. 40% of the electorate voted to stand uncommitted to any candidate. Austin Petersen, running in his home state, finished second, with 29% of the statewide vote, which was double that of Steve Kerbel from Colorado, who finished third, with 14%. Petersen comfortably won the support of voters in the state's capital, Jefferson City, and its surrounding counties, but was fell heavily behind the uncommitted vote in the state's two largest cities, Kansas City and St. Louis. Kerbel won three counties around Springfield, while Marc Allan Feldman, Cecil Ince, and Rhett Smith all won a sprawl of counties across the state; in most of these counties, however, only a single vote was cast. No votes were cast for Libertarian Party candidates in the northwestern counties of Harrison, Holt, Mercer, and Worth.[4]
| Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, March 15, 2016[4] | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
 |
1,183 | 40.61% |
| Austin Petersen | 854 | 29.32% |
| Steve Kerbel | 401 | 13.77% |
| Marc Allan Feldman | 242 | 8.31% |
| Cecil Ince | 134 | 4.60% |
| Rhett Smith | 99 | 3.40% |
| Total | 2,913 | 100% |
General election
Polling
Predictions
The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Missouri as of Election Day.
- New York Times[5]: Solid Trump
- FiveThirtyEight:[6] Solid Trump
- Los Angeles Times:[7] Leans Trump
- RealClearPolitics:[8] Likely Trump
Results
The statewide election results were as follows. The total vote count was 2,828,266.[9]
| U.S. President and Vice President | Party | Votes | % of Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald J. Trump, Michael R. Pence | Republican | 1,594,511 | 56.772% |
| Hillary Rodham Clinton, Timothy Michael Kaine | Democratic | 1,071,068 | 38.135% |
| Gary Johnson, Bill Weld | Libertarian | 97,359 | 3.466% |
| Jill Stein, Ajamu Baraka | Green | 25,419 | 0.905% |
| Darrell L. Castle, Scott N. Bradley | Constitution | 13,092 | 0.466% |
| Evan McMullin, Nathan Johnson | Write-in | 7,071 | 0.252% |
| Tom Hoefling, Steve Schulin | Write-in | 48 | 0.002% |
| Laurence Kotlikoff, Edward Leamer | Write-in | 28 | 0.001% |
| "Rocky" Roque De La Fuente, Michael Steinberg | Write-in | 6 | 0.000% |
| Marshall Schoenke, James Creighton Mitchell Jr. | Write-in | 3 | 0.000% |
| Matias Mollin, Andy Oliver | Write-in | 0 | 0.0000% |
By county
| Hillary Rodham Clinton
Democratic |
Donald John Trump
Republican |
Various candidates
Other parties |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | % | # | % | # | % | # | # |
| Adair | 34.23% | 3,500 | 58.97% | 6,030 | 6.81% | 696 | 10,226 |
| Andrew | 22.37% | 2,045 | 72.92% | 6,665 | 4.70% | 430 | 9,140 |
| Atchison | 19.82% | 541 | 75.46% | 2,060 | 4.73% | 129 | 2,730 |
| Audrain | 25.54% | 2,570 | 69.39% | 6,981 | 5.07% | 510 | 10,061 |
| Barry | 18.56% | 2,710 | 78.25% | 11,428 | 3.20% | 467 | 14,605 |
| Barton | 13.39% | 795 | 83.50% | 4,959 | 3.12% | 185 | 5,939 |
| Bates | 20.15% | 1,618 | 74.72% | 6,001 | 5.13% | 412 | 8,031 |
| Benton | 21.12% | 2,025 | 75.21% | 7,213 | 3.67% | 352 | 9,590 |
| Bollinger | 12.42% | 705 | 85.04% | 4,827 | 2.54% | 144 | 5,676 |
| Boone | 49.04% | 41,125 | 43.16% | 36,200 | 7.80% | 6,543 | 83,868 |
| Buchanan | 33.69% | 12,013 | 59.79% | 21,320 | 6.52% | 2,326 | 35,659 |
| Butler | 17.59% | 3,036 | 79.09% | 13,650 | 3.32% | 573 | 17,259 |
| Caldwell | 19.43% | 838 | 74.95% | 3,232 | 5.61% | 242 | 4,312 |
| Callaway | 25.99% | 4,989 | 68.03% | 13,057 | 5.98% | 1,147 | 19,193 |
| Camden | 21.18% | 4,768 | 75.26% | 16,944 | 3.56% | 802 | 22,514 |
| Cape Girardeau | 22.93% | 8,492 | 72.94% | 27,017 | 4.13% | 1,529 | 37,038 |
| Carroll | 17.08% | 745 | 79.80% | 3,480 | 3.12% | 136 | 4,361 |
| Carter | 15.30% | 436 | 81.54% | 2,324 | 3.16% | 90 | 2,850 |
| Cass | 29.12% | 14,846 | 64.91% | 33,098 | 5.97% | 3,046 | 50,990 |
| Cedar | 16.08% | 1,011 | 79.85% | 5,021 | 4.07% | 256 | 6,288 |
| Chariton | 22.37% | 888 | 74.33% | 2,950 | 3.30% | 131 | 3,969 |
| Christian | 20.49% | 8,508 | 74.51% | 30,946 | 5.00% | 2,077 | 41,531 |
| Clark | 21.83% | 724 | 74.13% | 2,458 | 4.04% | 134 | 3,316 |
| Clay | 41.12% | 45,304 | 52.17% | 57,476 | 6.71% | 7,396 | 110,176 |
| Clinton | 25.20% | 2,572 | 69.23% | 7,067 | 5.57% | 569 | 10,208 |
| Cole | 29.20% | 10,913 | 65.86% | 24,616 | 4.94% | 1,845 | 37,374 |
| Cooper | 24.19% | 1,932 | 70.42% | 5,624 | 5.38% | 430 | 7,986 |
| Crawford | 18.39% | 1,824 | 77.86% | 7,724 | 3.75% | 372 | 9,920 |
| Dade | 16.12% | 637 | 80.59% | 3,184 | 3.29% | 130 | 3,951 |
| Dallas | 17.07% | 1,272 | 79.10% | 5,895 | 3.84% | 286 | 7,453 |
| Daviess | 19.53% | 730 | 74.02% | 2,767 | 6.45% | 241 | 3,738 |
| DeKalb | 17.94% | 824 | 77.06% | 3,540 | 5.01% | 230 | 4,594 |
| Dent | 14.40% | 978 | 82.46% | 5,600 | 3.14% | 213 | 6,791 |
| Douglas | 14.76% | 984 | 82.30% | 5,486 | 2.94% | 196 | 6,666 |
| Dunklin | 22.31% | 2,360 | 75.87% | 8,026 | 1.82% | 192 | 10,578 |
| Franklin | 24.63% | 12,341 | 70.70% | 35,430 | 4.67% | 2,342 | 50,113 |
| Gasconade | 20.40% | 1,520 | 76.10% | 5,670 | 3.50% | 261 | 7,451 |
| Gentry | 19.88% | 605 | 75.71% | 2,304 | 4.40% | 134 | 3,043 |
| Greene | 33.06% | 42,728 | 60.38% | 78,035 | 6.55% | 8,468 | 129,231 |
| Grundy | 17.62% | 780 | 78.18% | 3,462 | 4.20% | 186 | 4,428 |
| Harrison | 15.56% | 574 | 80.37% | 2,965 | 4.07% | 150 | 3,689 |
| Henry | 23.89% | 2,357 | 71.71% | 7,075 | 4.40% | 434 | 9,866 |
| Hickory | 21.51% | 1,016 | 74.98% | 3,542 | 3.51% | 166 | 4,724 |
| Holt | 14.73% | 347 | 81.78% | 1,926 | 3.48% | 82 | 2,355 |
| Howard | 26.36% | 1,283 | 67.32% | 3,277 | 6.33% | 308 | 4,868 |
| Howell | 16.51% | 2,881 | 79.59% | 13,893 | 3.90% | 681 | 17,455 |
| Iron | 21.86% | 933 | 74.33% | 3,173 | 3.82% | 163 | 4,269 |
| Jackson | 55.70% | 163,723 | 39.0% | 114,777 | 6.05% | 10,481 | 173,275 |
| Jasper | 21.88% | 10,572 | 72.57% | 35,070 | 5.55% | 2,684 | 48,326 |
| Jefferson | 29.71% | 31,568 | 64.98% | 69,036 | 5.30% | 5,634 | 106,238 |
| Johnson | 28.06% | 5,930 | 64.92% | 13,719 | 7.02% | 1,483 | 21,132 |
| Knox | 20.27% | 379 | 75.72% | 1,416 | 4.01% | 75 | 1,870 |
| Laclede | 15.91% | 2,553 | 80.25% | 12,881 | 3.84% | 617 | 16,051 |
| Lafayette | 25.53% | 4,053 | 69.21% | 10,988 | 5.26% | 835 | 15,876 |
| Lawrence | 17.36% | 2,901 | 78.31% | 13,089 | 4.34% | 725 | 16,715 |
| Lewis | 20.96% | 934 | 75.04% | 3,344 | 3.99% | 178 | 4,456 |
| Lincoln | 22.33% | 5,575 | 72.75% | 18,159 | 4.92% | 1,228 | 24,962 |
| Linn | 22.19% | 1,240 | 73.17% | 4,088 | 4.64% | 259 | 5,587 |
| Livingston | 19.70% | 1,265 | 75.99% | 4,879 | 4.31% | 277 | 6,421 |
| Macon | 20.29% | 1,548 | 75.98% | 5,798 | 3.73% | 285 | 7,631 |
| Madison | 18.89% | 1,005 | 77.09% | 4,102 | 4.02% | 214 | 5,321 |
| Maries | 17.64% | 794 | 79.13% | 3,561 | 3.22% | 145 | 4,500 |
| Marion | 23.14% | 2,994 | 72.80% | 9,419 | 4.06% | 525 | 12,938 |
| McDonald | 16.12% | 1,329 | 80.07% | 6,599 | 3.81% | 314 | 8,242 |
| Mercer | 12.38% | 216 | 85.16% | 1,486 | 2.46% | 43 | 1,745 |
| Miller | 15.33% | 1,750 | 81.33% | 9,285 | 3.34% | 381 | 11,416 |
| Mississippi | 28.21% | 1,458 | 69.65% | 3,600 | 2.15% | 111 | 5,169 |
| Moniteau | 18.11% | 1,237 | 78.29% | 5,347 | 3.60% | 246 | 6,830 |
| Monroe | 20.52% | 853 | 76.01% | 3,159 | 3.46% | 144 | 4,156 |
| Montgomery | 20.61% | 1,119 | 76.02% | 4,127 | 3.37% | 183 | 5,429 |
| Morgan | 20.04% | 1,768 | 76.64% | 6,760 | 3.32% | 293 | 8,821 |
| New Madrid | 26.27% | 1,933 | 71.63% | 5,270 | 2.09% | 154 | 7,357 |
| Newton | 18.76% | 4,990 | 77.25% | 20,553 | 4.00% | 1,063 | 26,606 |
| Nodaway | 26.74% | 2,529 | 67.46% | 6,380 | 5.80% | 549 | 9,458 |
| Oregon | 18.53% | 865 | 78.64% | 3,671 | 2.83% | 132 | 4,668 |
| Osage | 14.08% | 998 | 82.60% | 5,856 | 3.33% | 236 | 7,090 |
| Ozark | 16.07% | 724 | 80.78% | 3,639 | 3.15% | 142 | 4,505 |
| Pemiscot | 32.30% | 1,947 | 65.77% | 3,964 | 1.92% | 116 | 6,027 |
| Perry | 17.39% | 1,520 | 79.04% | 6,908 | 3.57% | 312 | 8,740 |
| Pettis | 23.87% | 4,324 | 70.73% | 12,810 | 5.39% | 977 | 18,111 |
| Phelps | 25.69% | 4,766 | 68.50% | 12,709 | 5.81% | 1,078 | 18,553 |
| Pike | 24.46% | 1,806 | 71.44% | 5,274 | 4.09% | 302 | 7,382 |
| Platte | 40.85% | 20,057 | 52.82% | 25,933 | 6.33% | 3,110 | 49,100 |
| Polk | 19.12% | 2,631 | 75.84% | 10,438 | 5.04% | 694 | 13,763 |
| Pulaski | 21.66% | 2,922 | 73.22% | 9,876 | 5.12% | 690 | 13,488 |
| Putnam | 15.05% | 353 | 82.52% | 1,936 | 2.43% | 57 | 2,346 |
| Ralls | 21.61% | 1,138 | 75.37% | 3,969 | 3.02% | 159 | 5,266 |
| Randolph | 22.15% | 2,283 | 73.03% | 7,529 | 4.82% | 497 | 10,309 |
| Ray | 28.43% | 3,090 | 65.36% | 7,104 | 6.21% | 675 | 10,869 |
| Reynolds | 17.77% | 540 | 79.20% | 2,406 | 3.03% | 92 | 3,038 |
| Ripley | 15.03% | 830 | 81.86% | 4,522 | 3.11% | 172 | 5,524 |
| Saline | 30.07% | 2,789 | 64.45% | 5,977 | 5.48% | 508 | 9,274 |
| Schuyler | 18.29% | 354 | 77.74% | 1,505 | 3.98% | 77 | 1,936 |
| Scotland | 18.55% | 365 | 77.49% | 1,525 | 3.96% | 78 | 1,968 |
| Scott | 20.72% | 3,575 | 76.31% | 13,168 | 2.97% | 513 | 17,256 |
| Shannon | 19.88% | 776 | 75.97% | 2,966 | 4.15% | 162 | 3,904 |
| Shelby | 18.62% | 606 | 77.54% | 2,524 | 3.84% | 125 | 3,255 |
| St. Charles | 34.14% | 68,626 | 60.52% | 121,650 | 5.34% | 10,729 | 201,005 |
| St. Clair | 20.22% | 936 | 75.62% | 3,501 | 4.17% | 193 | 4,630 |
| St. Francois | 25.27% | 6,250 | 70.64% | 17,468 | 4.08% | 1,010 | 24,728 |
| St. Louis | 55.69% | 286,704 | 39.32% | 202,434 | 5.00% | 25,720 | 514,858 |
| Ste. Genevieve | 30.02% | 2,542 | 64.90% | 5,496 | 5.09% | 431 | 8,469 |
| Stoddard | 14.11% | 1,876 | 83.36% | 11,079 | 2.53% | 336 | 13,291 |
| Stone | 17.43% | 2,887 | 79.42% | 13,158 | 3.15% | 522 | 16,567 |
| Sullivan | 21.16% | 526 | 75.78% | 1,884 | 3.06% | 76 | 2,486 |
| Taney | 18.60% | 4,373 | 77.72% | 18,276 | 3.68% | 866 | 23,515 |
| Texas | 15.77% | 1,728 | 81.01% | 8,875 | 3.22% | 353 | 10,956 |
| Vernon | 19.85% | 1,707 | 75.97% | 6,533 | 4.17% | 359 | 8,599 |
| Warren | 24.80% | 3,915 | 70.39% | 11,111 | 4.80% | 758 | 15,784 |
| Washington | 20.75% | 1,926 | 75.93% | 7,048 | 3.32% | 308 | 9,282 |
| Wayne | 16.45% | 948 | 80.84% | 4,658 | 2.71% | 156 | 5,762 |
| Webster | 18.98% | 3,177 | 76.69% | 12,840 | 4.34% | 726 | 16,743 |
| Worth | 18.64% | 195 | 77.25% | 808 | 4.11% | 43 | 1,046 |
| Wright | 14.41% | 1,170 | 82.61% | 6,707 | 2.98% | 242 | 8,119 |
| Kansas City | 76.00% | 97,735 | 19.17% | 24,654 | 4.83% | 6,212 | 128,601 |
| St. Louis City | 79.45% | 104,235 | 15.88% | 20,832 | 4.67% | 6,124 | 131,191 |
By congressional district
Trump won 6 of 8 congressional districts.[10]
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 19% | 77% | Lacy Clay |
| 2nd | 53% | 42% | Ann Wagner |
| 3rd | 67% | 28% | Blaine Luetkemeyer |
| 4th | 65% | 29% | Vicky Hartzler |
| 5th | 40% | 55% | Emanuel Cleaver |
| 6th | 63% | 31% | Sam Graves |
| 7th | 70% | 25% | Billy Long |
| 8th | 75% | 21% | Jason Smith |
See also
References
- "Voter Turnout Report - State of Missouri General Election - 2016 General Election" (PDF). Missouri's Secretary of State.
- "Missouri Election Results 2016". The New York Times. Retrieved 2018-07-09.
- http://www.memphisdemocrat.com/notice-of-primary-election/
- "State of Missouri - Election Night Results". Missouri Secretary of State. Government of Missouri. 16 March 2016. Archived from the original on 18 March 2016. Retrieved 16 March 2016.
- Aisch, Gregor; Katz, Josh (2016-09-08). "Missouri - 2016 Election Forecast". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
- Silver, Nate (2016-06-29). "Missouri | 2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
- Lauter, David; Barabak, Mark Z.; Kim, Kyle; Arm; Emamdjomeh. "The race to 270". www.latimes.com. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
- "RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". www.realclearpolitics.com. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
- "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Missouri". uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved 2018-03-28.
- "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". The Cook Political Report.
External links
- RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
- Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
- Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Missouri
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