2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee

The 2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election
2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee
November 8, 2016
Turnout61.92%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 1,522,925 870,695
Percentage 60.72% 34.72%
County results
Trump:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Clinton:      50–60%      60–70%
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

 Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Tennessee voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

Donald Trump won the election in the Volunteer State with 60.7% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 34.7% of the vote.[1] This is the largest margin of victory for a presidential candidate for either party since 1972 with Richard Nixon, and also the first time since that either party has earned over 60% of the vote in Tennessee.

Tennessee was one of eleven states Bill Clinton won in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost.

Background

Tennessee has not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee since 1996. In 2012, Republican nominee Mitt Romney won the state by a margin of more than twenty points, due to the unpopularity of the Obama administration in the conservative state. Typically Democrats do very well in the urban regions of Memphis and Nashville, while Republicans dominate the rural and suburban areas. Tennessee is considered a safe Republican state. In 2016, it stayed that way with Trump winning the state with 60.7% of the vote.

Primary elections

Democratic primary
Results
Democratic primary results by county.
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton
Tennessee Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 245,930 66.07% 44 7 51
Bernie Sanders 120,800 32.45% 23 0 23
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,025 0.54%
Uncommitted 3,467 0.93% 0 1 1
Total 372,222 100% 67 8 75
Source: The Green Papers

Republican primary
2016 Tennessee Republican primary
March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01)
 
Candidate Donald Trump Ted Cruz Marco Rubio
Home state New York Texas Florida
Delegate count 33 16 9
Popular vote 333,180 211,471 181,274
Percentage 38.94% 24.71% 21.18%
 
Candidate Ben Carson John Kasich
Home state Maryland Ohio
Delegate count 0 0
Popular vote 64,951 45,301
Percentage 7.59% 5.29%
Tennessee results by county
  Donald Trump
  Marco Rubio


Tennessee Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 333,180 38.94% 33 0 33
Ted Cruz 211,471 24.71% 16 0 16
Marco Rubio 181,274 21.18% 9 0 9
Ben Carson 64,951 7.59% 0 0 0
John Kasich 45,301 5.29% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 9,551 1.12% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 2,415 0.28% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 2,350 0.27% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 1,849 0.22% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,256 0.15% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 715 0.08% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 710 0.08% 0 0 0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) 267 0.03% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 253 0.03% 0 0 0
George Pataki (withdrawn) 186 0.02% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 855,729 100.00% 58 0 58
Source: The Green Papers

Polling
See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Tennessee

General election

Predictions
  1. CNN: Solid Trump[2]
  2. Cook Political Report: Solid Trump[3]
  3. Electoral-vote.com: Likely Trump[4]
  4. Los Angeles Times: Solid Trump[5]
  5. NBC: Likely Trump^[6]
  6. RealClearPolitics: Likely Trump[7]
  7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Trump[8]

^Highest rating given

Results
2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Donald Trump 1,522,925 60.72%
Democratic Hillary Clinton 870,695 34.72%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 70,397 2.81%
Green Jill Stein 15,993 0.64%
Independent Evan McMullin (write-in) 11,991 0.48%
Independent Mike Smith 7,276 0.29%
Reform Rocky De La Fuente 4,075 0.16%
Socialist Workers Alyson Kennedy 2,877 0.12%
Independent Write-in 1,798 0.07%
Total votes 2,508,027 100.00%

By congressional district

Trump won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[10]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 76% 20% Phil Roe
2nd 65% 30% Jimmy Duncan
3rd 61% 38% Chuck Fleischmann
4th 68% 27% Scott DesJarlais
5th 38% 56% Jim Cooper
6th 72% 24% Diane Black
7th 67% 28% Marsha Blackburn
8th 66% 31% Stephen Fincher
David Kustoff
9th 20% 77% Steve Cohen

By county
County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Anderson30.16%9,01364.30%19,2125.54%1,65629,881
Bedford22.11%3,39574.80%11,4863.09%47415,355
Benton23.29%1,47474.53%4,7162.18%1386,328
Bledsoe19.23%89777.66%3,6223.11%1454,664
Blount23.18%12,10071.72%37,4435.10%2,66552,208
Bradley18.28%7,07076.99%29,7684.73%1,82838,666
Campbell17.94%2,24878.76%9,8703.30%41412,532
Cannon21.21%1,12775.40%4,0073.39%1805,314
Carroll22.41%2,32774.69%7,7562.90%30110,384
Carter16.38%3,45380.15%16,8983.48%73321,084
Cheatham24.35%3,87870.94%11,2974.70%74915,924
Chester19.10%1,24378.09%5,0812.81%1836,507
Claiborne17.06%1,83280.09%8,6022.85%30610,740
Clay24.21%70773.32%2,1412.47%722,920
Cocke16.34%1,98180.74%9,7912.92%35412,126
Coffee23.75%4,74372.19%14,4174.06%81119,971
Crockett24.14%1,30373.78%3,9822.08%1125,397
Cumberland19.73%5,20277.44%20,4132.83%74526,360
Davidson59.77%148,86433.95%84,5506.29%15,654249,068
Decatur19.47%89478.14%3,5882.40%1104,592
DeKalb22.56%1,56974.35%5,1713.09%2156,955
Dickson25.25%4,72270.77%13,2333.98%74418,699
Dyer21.12%2,81676.33%10,1802.55%34013,336
Fayette30.29%5,87467.31%13,0552.40%46519,394
Fentress15.00%1,10082.34%6,0382.66%1957,333
Franklin26.66%4,37470.30%11,5323.04%49816,404
Gibson26.90%5,25870.53%13,7862.57%50319,547
Giles26.19%2,91771.56%7,9702.24%25011,137
Grainger14.41%1,15482.74%6,6262.85%2288,008
Greene17.88%4,21678.71%18,5623.41%80523,583
Grundy20.97%99976.34%3,6362.69%1284,763
Hamblen19.69%4,07576.63%15,8573.67%76020,692
Hamilton38.84%55,31655.29%78,7335.87%8,359142,408
Hancock14.43%32282.61%1,8432.96%662,231
Hardeman45.13%4,18553.05%4,9191.82%1699,273
Hardin16.30%1,62280.53%8,0123.17%3159,949
Hawkins16.88%3,50780.14%16,6482.98%61920,774
Haywood54.30%3,71144.09%3,0131.61%1106,834
Henderson17.62%1,80079.65%8,1382.73%27910,217
Henry23.66%3,06373.45%9,5082.89%37412,945
Hickman23.35%1,82472.89%5,6953.76%2947,813
Houston27.34%86668.88%2,1823.79%1203,168
Humphreys27.50%1,96768.92%4,9303.58%2567,153
Jackson25.28%1,12972.46%3,2362.26%1014,466
Jefferson18.32%3,49477.47%14,7764.21%80219,072
Johnson15.02%98882.23%5,4102.75%1816,579
Knox34.80%62,87858.53%105,7676.67%12,052180,697
Lake29.29%57768.88%1,3571.83%361,970
Lauderdale37.79%3,05660.39%4,8841.82%1478,087
Lawrence18.01%2,82179.28%12,4202.71%42515,666
Lewis19.26%89077.56%3,5853.18%1474,622
Lincoln19.13%2,55477.90%10,3982.97%39613,348
Loudon21.03%4,91975.29%17,6103.69%86223,391
Macon14.29%1,07283.46%6,2632.25%1697,504
Madison40.52%15,44855.97%21,3353.51%1,33738,120
Marion26.07%2,83270.85%7,6963.07%33410,862
Marshall24.90%2,85271.44%8,1843.66%41911,455
Maury28.38%10,03867.29%23,7994.33%1,53235,369
McMinn18.72%3,51078.33%14,6912.95%55418,755
McNairy18.41%1,84878.11%7,8413.48%34910,038
Meigs19.81%85677.36%3,3422.82%1224,320
Monroe18.64%3,18678.24%13,3743.12%53317,093
Montgomery37.66%21,69956.13%32,3416.21%3,58057,620
Moore16.95%49679.46%2,3253.59%1052,926
Morgan15.72%1,05481.15%5,4413.13%2106,705
Obion19.81%2,42677.77%9,5262.42%29712,249
Overton23.64%1,94573.63%6,0592.73%2258,229
Perry20.91%59775.90%2,1673.19%912,855
Pickett20.50%53677.28%2,0212.22%582,615
Polk19.20%1,25278.17%5,0972.62%1716,520
Putnam25.18%6,85169.83%19,0024.99%1,35927,212
Rhea17.56%1,94278.29%8,6604.16%46011,062
Roane22.32%4,83773.28%15,8804.39%95221,669
Robertson24.48%6,63771.59%19,4103.93%1,06627,113
Rutherford34.17%36,70660.05%64,5155.78%6,215107,436
Scott13.11%93484.85%6,0442.04%1457,123
Sequatchie18.49%1,05377.99%4,4413.51%2005,694
Sevier17.34%6,29778.84%28,6293.82%1,38636,312
Shelby61.95%208,99234.48%116,3443.57%12,047337,383
Smith22.71%1,68973.88%5,4943.40%2537,436
Stewart23.06%1,22272.92%3,8644.02%2135,299
Sullivan20.20%12,57875.43%46,9794.37%2,72162,278
Sumner25.40%18,16170.11%50,1294.50%3,21571,505
Tipton24.64%5,78572.02%16,9103.35%78623,481
Trousdale29.94%94666.55%2,1033.51%1113,160
Unicoi17.54%1,26278.82%5,6713.64%2627,195
Union16.20%1,01280.89%5,0532.91%1826,247
Van Buren22.28%53975.24%1,8202.48%602,419
Warren25.97%3,53570.09%9,5403.95%53713,612
Washington26.18%13,02468.85%34,2524.97%2,47449,750
Wayne12.24%71785.98%5,0361.78%1045,857
Weakley22.75%2,77273.93%9,0083.32%40412,184
White18.78%1,84578.08%7,6713.15%3099,825
Williamson29.18%31,01364.19%68,2126.63%7,046106,271
Wilson25.36%14,38569.46%39,4065.19%2,94356,734

Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican

See also
Elections in Tennessee
Government

References
  1. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2017-07-17. Retrieved 2017-07-26.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  2. Chalian, David (4 November 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  3. "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. 7 November 2016. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  4. "2016 Predicted Electoral Map". Electoral-vote.com. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  5. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 6 November 2016. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  6. Todd, Chuck (7 November 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". NBC News. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  7. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  8. Sabato, Larry (7 November 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  9. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on 2016-12-15. Retrieved 2016-12-15.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  10. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2015-10-16. Retrieved 2015-10-16.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
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