2016 United States presidential election in Georgia

The 2016 United States presidential election in Georgia was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Georgia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting Republican Party nominee Donald Trump against Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton.

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election
2016 United States presidential election in Georgia
November 8, 2016
Turnout76.53%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 16 0
Popular vote 2,089,104 1,877,963
Percentage 50.44% 45.35%
County results
Trump:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Clinton:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

 Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Georgia voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican respective presidential nominees for president. Trump won the Georgia Republican primary by a wide margin, and Clinton captured an easy victory in the Georgia Democratic primary. The Green Party presidential primary happened on June 4.

In the general election, Republican nominee Donald Trump won Georgia by 5.1%, a lower margin compared to Mitt Romney's 7.82% in 2012, but also from John McCain's 5.20% in 2008. Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton received 45.35% of the vote, making this a state where she performed slightly worse than Barack Obama's 45.83% in 2012.[1] Nevertheless, Trump's reduced margin of victory also made Georgia one of eleven states (plus the District of Columbia) to vote more Democratic in 2016 than in 2012.[2] The Atlanta metropolitan area shifted strongly Democratic compared to the previous presidential election, with Hillary Clinton becoming the first Democrat to win Henry County since 1980, and the first Democrat to win Gwinnett County and Cobb County since 1976, when Georgia native Jimmy Carter won all of the state's counties. The state of Georgia has been won by the Republican nominee in every election since 1996.

Background
Further information: United States presidential election § Procedure

The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with former Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[3][4] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[5] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50% for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[6][7] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for Barack Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[8]

Following his second term, President Obama was not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either.[9] With Obama and Biden's terms expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate was asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.

Primary elections

Democratic primary
Results of the Democratic primary by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

Four candidates appeared on the ballot:

 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Georgia
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 545,674 71.30% 73 11 84
Bernie Sanders 215,797 28.20% 29 0 29
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,129 0.28%
Michael Steinberg 1,766 0.23%
Uncommitted N/A 0 4 4
Total 765,366 100% 102 15 117
Source: The Green Papers

Republican primary
2016 Georgia Republican primary
March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01)
 
Candidate Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz
Home state New York Florida Texas
Delegate count 42 16 18
 
Candidate Ben Carson John Kasich
Home state Maryland Ohio
Delegate count 0 0
Georgia results by county
  Donald Trump
  Marco Rubio

The 76 Republican delegates from Georgia were allocated in this way. There were 42 delegates allocated by congressional district; if a candidate received a majority of votes or they were the only candidate to receive at least 20% of the vote in a congressional district, they would receive the districts 3 delegates. If not, the candidate who won the plurality of the vote in a congressional district would receive 2 delegates and the second-place finisher in the district would receive 1 delegate. There were also 34 at-large delegates; if a candidate got a majority of the vote or they were the only candidate to get the mandatory threshold to receive any delegates (begins at 20%, if no one gets at least 20%, then 15%, if no one gets 15%, then 10%), they would get all of the state's at-large delegates. If not, the delegates would be allocated proportionally among the candidates receiving at least the mandatory threshold.[10]

Georgia Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 502,994 38.81% 42 0 42
Marco Rubio 316,836 24.45% 16 0 16
Ted Cruz 305,847 23.60% 18 0 18
Ben Carson 80,723 6.23% 0 0 0
John Kasich 72,508 5.59% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 7,686 0.59% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 2,910 0.22% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 2,625 0.20% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,486 0.11% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 1,146 0.09% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 539 0.04% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 428 0.03% 0 0 0
George Pataki (withdrawn) 236 0.02% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 1,295,964 100.00% 76 0 76
Source: The Green Papers

Green convention

On June 4, the Georgia Green Party held its state convention and presidential preference vote.[11]

Georgia Green Party Convention, June 4, 2016.
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Jill Stein - - 3
William Kreml - - 1
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry - - -
Kent Mesplay - - -
Darryl Cherney - - -
Total - - 4

General election

Predictions
  1. ABC News: Tossup[12]
  2. CNN: Leans Trump[13]
  3. Cook Political Report: Leans Trump[14]
  4. Electoral-vote.com: Leans Trump[15]
  5. Los Angeles Times: Leans Trump[16]
  6. NBC: Tossup[17]
  7. RealClearPolitics: Tossup[18]
  8. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Trump[19]

Polling
See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Georgia

Statewide results
2016 United States presidential election in Georgia
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 2,089,104 50.44% 16
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 1,877,963 45.35% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson William Weld 125,306 3.03% 0
Independent (write-in votes) Evan McMullin Nathan Johnson 13,017 0.31% 0
Others / Write-In Votes
-
-
 36,057 0.87% 0
Totals 4,141,447 100.00% 16
Source: David Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

By county
County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Appling20.47%1,43478.43%5,4941.10%777,005
Atkinson26.70%69771.95%1,8781.34%352,610
Bacon15.13%60883.70%3,3641.17%474,019
Baker45.14%65053.82%7751.04%151,440
Baldwin49.55%7,97047.85%7,6972.60%41916,086
Banks9.84%68488.26%6,1341.90%1326,950
Barrow22.82%6,58073.21%21,1083.96%1,14328,831
Bartow20.89%8,21276.10%29,9113.01%1,18339,306
Ben Hill35.42%2,10163.04%3,7391.53%915,931
Berrien15.90%1,04782.35%5,4221.75%1156,584
Bibb59.07%36,78738.61%24,0432.32%1,44762,277
Bleckley22.27%1,10175.24%3,7192.49%1234,943
Brantley9.84%61988.48%5,5671.68%1066,292
Brooks40.01%2,52858.58%3,7011.41%896,318
Bryan26.61%4,01469.80%10,5293.59%54215,085
Bulloch36.68%9,26159.79%15,0973.53%89025,248
Burke50.59%4,73148.03%4,4911.38%1299,351
Butts27.08%2,56670.88%6,7172.05%1949,477
Calhoun58.22%1,17940.99%8300.79%162,025
Camden31.43%5,93065.24%12,3103.33%62918,869
Candler27.27%1,02670.79%2,6641.94%733,763
Carroll28.43%12,46468.50%30,0293.07%1,34643,839
Catoosa17.98%4,77178.69%20,8763.32%88126,528
Charlton25.04%1,00473.61%2,9511.35%544,009
Chatham55.87%62,29040.98%45,6883.14%3,503111,481
Chattahoochee42.73%59454.03%7513.24%451,390
Chattooga19.55%1,61378.31%6,4622.14%1778,252
Cherokee22.75%25,23172.73%80,6494.52%5,015110,895
Clarke66.77%29,60328.68%12,7174.55%2,01944,339
Clay54.84%69744.53%5660.63%81,271
Clayton84.55%78,22013.67%12,6451.78%1,64792,512
Clinch28.03%68670.58%1,7271.39%342,447
Cobb48.89%160,12146.69%152,9124.42%14,466327,499
Coffee29.42%4,09468.90%9,5881.67%23313,915
Colquitt25.46%3,46372.77%9,8981.76%24013,601
Columbia29.40%18,88767.07%43,0853.53%2,27064,242
Cook29.02%1,75369.13%4,1761.85%1126,041
Coweta27.03%16,58369.33%42,5333.64%2,23561,351
Crawford27.53%1,42170.42%3,6352.05%1065,162
Crisp37.77%2,83760.56%4,5491.68%1267,512
Dade15.46%96580.92%5,0513.62%2266,242
Dawson12.37%1,44884.59%9,9003.04%35611,704
Decatur40.16%4,12458.62%6,0201.23%12610,270
DeKalb80.44%251,37016.47%51,4683.09%9,666312,504
Dodge26.28%1,83971.75%5,0211.97%1386,998
Dooly48.51%1,87250.56%1,9510.93%363,859
Dougherty68.53%23,31130.08%10,2321.40%47534,018
Douglas54.00%31,00543.22%24,8172.78%1,59457,416
Early45.31%2,16853.33%2,5521.36%654,785
Echols13.27%15685.63%1,0071.11%131,176
Effingham20.73%4,85376.37%17,8742.90%67923,406
Elbert31.86%2,53966.40%5,2921.74%1397,970
Emanuel31.04%2,43568.01%5,3350.96%757,845
Evans31.37%1,13066.74%2,4041.89%683,602
Fannin16.33%1,92381.79%9,6321.89%22211,777
Fayette38.53%23,28457.99%35,0483.48%2,10360,435
Floyd26.66%9,15970.19%24,1143.16%1,08434,357
Forsyth24.09%23,46271.71%69,8514.20%4,09197,404
Franklin14.67%1,24383.24%7,0542.09%1778,474
Fulton68.99%297,05127.35%117,7833.66%15,765430,599
Gilmer15.43%1,96582.27%10,4772.30%29312,735
Glascock9.93%13888.85%1,2351.22%171,390
Glynn34.52%11,77563.06%21,5122.42%82534,112
Gordon16.85%3,18180.47%15,1912.69%50718,879
Grady32.75%3,01365.79%6,0531.47%1359,201
Greene36.19%3,19962.10%5,4901.71%1518,840
Gwinnett51.02%166,15345.14%146,9893.84%12,494325,636
Habersham15.39%2,48381.75%13,1902.86%46116,134
Hall23.04%16,18073.67%51,7333.29%2,30770,220
Hancock75.45%2,70123.55%8431.01%363,580
Haralson13.03%1,47584.64%9,5852.33%26411,324
Harris24.91%4,08672.78%11,9362.31%37916,401
Hart25.64%2,58572.28%7,2862.07%20910,080
Heard17.67%74380.12%3,3702.21%934,206
Henry50.93%50,05746.52%45,7242.55%2,50598,286
Houston37.75%22,55359.30%35,4302.95%1,76159,744
Irwin24.31%89174.11%2,7161.58%583,665
Jackson16.57%4,49180.36%21,7843.08%83427,109
Jasper25.64%1,54472.39%4,3601.98%1196,023
Jeff Davis17.70%90180.61%4,1041.69%865,091
Jefferson54.95%3,82144.05%3,0631.01%706,954
Jenkins36.80%1,12362.09%1,8951.11%343,052
Johnson30.85%1,13668.41%2,5190.73%273,682
Jones31.62%3,96166.30%8,3052.08%26012,526
Lamar29.92%2,27068.42%5,1901.66%1267,586
Lanier28.15%80669.30%1,9842.55%732,863
Laurens34.67%6,75263.72%12,4111.61%31319,476
Lee22.46%3,17075.42%10,6462.12%29914,115
Liberty59.29%9,55638.06%6,1342.65%42716,117
Lincoln31.03%1,27367.26%2,7591.71%704,102
Long33.03%1,36063.78%2,6263.18%1314,117
Lowndes40.03%15,06457.50%21,6352.47%92937,628
Lumpkin18.00%2,22077.99%9,6194.01%49512,334
Macon63.10%2,70535.92%1,5400.98%424,287
Madison20.29%2,42576.97%9,2012.74%32811,954
Marion38.11%1,21360.35%1,9211.54%493,183
McDuffie39.91%3,69958.61%5,4321.48%1379,268
McIntosh39.01%2,30359.07%3,4871.91%1135,903
Meriwether41.39%3,80456.82%5,2221.80%1659,191
Miller24.49%62374.33%1,8911.18%302,544
Mitchell44.41%3,49354.41%4,2791.18%937,865
Monroe28.15%3,57169.61%8,8322.24%28412,687
Montgomery23.78%84774.96%2,6701.26%453,562
Morgan28.21%2,66369.48%6,5592.31%2189,440
Murray14.49%1,80083.23%10,3412.28%28312,424
Muscogee58.04%39,85139.29%26,9762.67%1,83168,658
Newton50.09%21,94347.74%20,9132.16%94743,803
Oconee28.00%5,58167.36%13,4254.64%92519,931
Oglethorpe27.51%1,83169.50%4,6252.99%1996,655
Paulding27.88%18,02569.09%44,6623.02%1,95464,641
Peach47.56%5,10050.48%5,4131.97%21110,724
Pickens14.15%1,97983.32%11,6512.53%35413,984
Pierce12.37%90386.35%6,3021.27%937,298
Pike14.28%1,24083.84%7,2781.88%1638,681
Polk20.23%2,86777.73%11,0142.04%28914,170
Pulaski30.68%1,10467.71%2,4371.61%583,599
Putnam29.12%2,75869.09%6,5441.79%1709,472
Quitman44.16%46155.08%5750.77%81,044
Rabun18.16%1,44479.08%6,2872.75%2197,950
Randolph55.16%1,59843.87%1,2710.97%282,897
Richmond65.01%48,81432.58%24,4612.41%1,81175,086
Rockdale61.76%23,25535.79%13,4782.45%92337,656
Schley21.01%40177.11%1,4721.89%361,909
Screven40.36%2,30057.99%3,3051.65%945,699
Seminole33.19%1,18965.47%2,3451.34%483,582
Spalding36.55%9,35761.12%15,6462.33%59725,600
Stephens18.81%1,83778.70%7,6862.49%2439,766
Stewart59.46%1,22239.17%8051.36%282,055
Sumter50.30%5,52048.08%5,2761.62%17810,974
Talbot61.71%2,00236.87%1,1961.42%463,244
Taliaferro60.76%54538.91%3490.33%3897
Tattnall24.41%1,68174.01%5,0961.58%1096,886
Taylor38.06%1,29660.62%2,0641.32%453,405
Telfair34.60%1,31364.56%2,4500.84%323,795
Terrell54.22%2,26744.82%1,8740.96%404,181
Thomas38.12%7,14259.92%11,2281.96%36818,738
Tift30.67%4,34767.61%9,5841.72%24414,175
Toombs25.66%2,33872.60%6,6151.73%1589,111
Towns17.96%1,21079.88%5,3832.17%1466,739
Treutlen31.89%86266.93%1,8091.18%322,703
Troup37.32%9,71360.52%15,7502.16%56126,024
Turner36.71%1,24661.73%2,0951.56%533,394
Twiggs48.59%1,97150.17%2,0351.23%504,056
Union16.30%1,96381.80%9,8521.90%22912,044
Upson31.78%3,47566.69%7,2921.53%16710,934
Walker17.59%4,21579.10%18,9503.30%79123,956
Walton20.49%8,29276.91%31,1252.61%1,05540,472
Ware28.29%3,44070.01%8,5131.69%20612,159
Warren56.32%1,31442.48%9911.20%282,333
Washington49.72%4,20049.12%4,1491.16%988,447
Wayne19.65%2,04178.50%8,1531.85%19210,386
Webster42.38%47356.45%6301.16%131,116
Wheeler30.73%64667.60%1,4211.67%352,102
White14.21%1,67482.84%9,7612.95%34811,783
Whitfield26.11%7,93770.85%21,5373.04%92430,398
Wilcox28.66%85270.50%2,0960.84%252,973
Wilkes41.28%1,84857.45%2,5721.27%574,477
Wilkinson44.27%1,89454.53%2,3331.19%514,278
Worth24.40%2,02074.30%6,1521.30%1088,280

By congressional district

Trump won 10 of 14 congressional districts.[20]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 56% 41% Buddy Carter
2nd 43% 55% Sanford Bishop
3rd 64% 33% Lynn Westmoreland
Drew Ferguson
4th 22% 75% Hank Johnson
5th 12% 85% John Lewis
6th 48% 47% Tom Price
7th 51% 45% Rob Woodall
8th 63% 34% Austin Scott
9th 78% 19% Doug Collins
10th 61% 36% Jody Hice
11th 60% 35% Barry Loudermilk
12th 57% 41% Rick W. Allen
13th 27% 71% David Scott
14th 75% 22% Tom Graves

Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican

Counties that swung from Republican to Democratic

See also
Elections in Georgia

References
  1. "Georgia Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  2. "2016 Presidential General Election Data - National". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections. Retrieved May 11, 2019.
  3. "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Archived from the original on 2012-04-02. Retrieved January 30, 2009.
  4. "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  5. "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  6. "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015.
  7. Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
  8. Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
  9. "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015.
  10. "Georgia Republican Delegation 2016". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved 2017-02-25.
  11. "An Open Letter to Greens in Georgia: Ballot Access can be had in 2016". Georgia Green Party. April 16, 2016. Retrieved April 26, 2016.
  12. "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". ABC News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  13. Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  14. "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  15. "2016 Predicted Electoral Map". Electoral-vote.com. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  16. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  17. Todd, Chuck (November 7, 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". NBC News. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  18. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  19. Sabato, Larry (November 7, 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
  20. "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project". www.swingstateproject.com. Retrieved April 6, 2018.
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