2020 United States presidential election in Missouri
The 2020 United States presidential election in Missouri is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Missouri voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
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Donald Trump secured the Republican nomination on March 17, 2020, defeating longshot candidate Bill Weld. Former Vice President Joe Biden became the Democratic Party's presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020. A number of Libertarian candidates declared as well, including New Hampshire State Representative Max Abramson, Adam Kokesh, Vermin Supreme and former Libertarian National Committee vice-chair Arvin Vohra.[3][4][5]
Primary elections
Democratic primary
Results
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 400,347 | 60.10 | 44 |
| Bernie Sanders | 230,374 | 34.59 | 24 |
| Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | 9,866 | 1.48 | 0 |
| Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 8,156 | 1.22 | 0 |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 4,887 | 0.73 | 0 |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 3,309 | 0.50 | 0 |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 2,682 | 0.40 | 0 |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 953 | 0.14 | 0 |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 651 | 0.10 | 0 |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 584 | 0.09 | 0 |
| Bill Haas | 392 | 0.06 | 0 |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 206 | 0.03 | 0 |
| Velma Steinman | 191 | 0.03 | 0 |
| Leonard J. Steinman II | 175 | 0.03 | 0 |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 170 | 0.03 | 0 |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 159 | 0.02 | 0 |
| Steve Burke | 122 | 0.02 | 0 |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 103 | 0.02 | 0 |
| Henry Hewes | 94 | 0.01 | 0 |
| Robby Wells | 79 | 0.01 | 0 |
| Roque De La Fuente III | 66 | 0.01 | 0 |
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 52 | 0.01 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 2,494 | 0.37 | 0 |
| Total | 666,112 | 100 | 68 |
Republican primary
Results
| Candidate | Votes | % | Estimated delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 301,600 | 96.8% | 54 |
| Uncommitted | 4,176 | 1.4% | |
| Bill Weld | 2,148 | 0.7% | |
| Joe Walsh (withdrawn) | 2,002 | 0.6% | |
| Bob Ely | 847 | 0.3% | |
| Matthew John Matern | 607 | 0.2% | |
| Total | 311,793 | 100% | 54 |
Libertarian primary
County results of the Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, 2020.
Jacob Hornberger
Uncommitted
Tie
No votes
Results
| Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, March 10, 2020[8] | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
| Jacob Hornberger | 1,683 | 74.6% |
| Uncommitted | 573 | 25.4% |
| Total | 2,256 | 100% |
Green primary
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Howie Hawkins | |||
| Green | Dario Hunter | |||
| Green | David Rolde | |||
| Total votes | 100% | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Safe R | June 19, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Safe R | April 3, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe R | June 25, 2020 |
| Politico[13] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| RCP[14] | Lean R | June 22, 2020 |
| Niskanen[15] | Safe R | March 24, 2020 |
| CNN[16] | Safe R | June 25, 2020 |
| JHK Forecasts[17] | Safe R | June 27, 2020 |
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
| 270 to Win | May 26, 2020 – June 11, 2020 | June 13, 2020 | 43.5% | 49.5% | 7.0% | Trump + 6.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight | Until June 11, 2020 | June 24, 2020 | 44.0% | 48.4% | 7.6% | Trump + 4.4 |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Jun 10-11, 2020 | 1,152 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 43% | – | 6% |
| We Ask America | May 26-27, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 48% | 44% | 3%[lower-alpha 3] | 5% |
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Feb 26-27, 2020 | 1,050 (LV) | – | 53% | 42% | – | 5% |
| American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri[upper-alpha 1] | Jan 20–22, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 50% | 43% | – | 7% |
| Remington Research Group | Sep 18–19, 2019 | 1,046 | ± 3.0% | 53% | 42% | – | 5% |
| Remington Research Group | Apr 10–11, 2019 | 955 | ± 3.3% | 51% | 43% | – | 6% |
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Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
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See also
Notes
- Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Someone else" with 3%
References
- Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- Sullivan, Max (July 28, 2019). "Seabrook's Abramson seeks Libertarian presidential nomination". The Portsmouth Herald. Retrieved November 27, 2019.
- Limitone, Julia (June 18, 2019). "Presidential candidate vows to abolish federal government on day 1, then resign". Fox Business. Retrieved November 27, 2019.
- Clark, Bob (November 12, 2019). "Libertarians Offer Voters Nothing New". Olean Times Herald. Retrieved November 27, 2019.
- "State of Missouri - Presidential Primary Election, March 10, 2020". Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
- "Missouri Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
- "Joe Biden, Donald Trump win Missouri Presidential Preferential Primary". KMBC. March 10, 2020. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
- "Candidate List — March 2020 Presidential Preference Primary". Retrieved December 18, 2019.
- "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
- David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
- "JHK Forecasts » 2020 President". JHK Forecasts. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
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