2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana
The 2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana was won by Donald Trump on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.
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| Turnout | 67.79%  | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Parish results Trump: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Clinton: 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Treemap of the popular vote by parish.
On March 5, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, and Republican, parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated weren't able to vote in the primaries.[1]
Primary elections
24 candidates were on the ballot.[2]
Democratic primary
| Louisiana Democratic primary, March 5, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 221,733 | 71.12% | 37 | 7 | 44 |
| Bernie Sanders | 72,276 | 23.18% | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| Steve Burke | 4,785 | 1.53% | |||
| John Wolfe Jr. | 4,512 | 1.45% | |||
| Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 2,550 | 0.82% | |||
| Willie Wilson | 1,423 | 0.46% | |||
| Keith Russell Judd | 1,357 | 0.44% | |||
| Rocky De La Fuente | 1,341 | 0.43% | |||
| Michael Steinberg | 993 | 0.32% | |||
| Henry Hewes | 806 | 0.26% | |||
| Uncommitted | N/A | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Total | 311,776 | 100% | 51 | 8 | 59 |
| Source: The Green Papers, Louisiana Secretary of States | |||||
Republican primary
Republican primary results by parish.
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Four candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:
| Louisiana Republican primary, March 5, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 124,854 | 41.45% | 25 | 0 | 25 |
| Ted Cruz | 113,968 | 37.83% | 18 | 0 | 18 |
| Marco Rubio | 33,813 | 11.22% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 19,359 | 6.43% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 4,544 | 1.51% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 2,145 | 0.71% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 670 | 0.22% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 645 | 0.21% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 401 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 243 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 180 | 0.06% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) | 152 | 0.05% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||
| Total: | 301,241 | 100.00% | 46 | 0 | 46 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
State Convention
On March 24, the State Convention met and reversed the results of the primary, giving Ted Cruz a clear majority.[3] Rubio's five delegates and 2 uncommitted delegates committed to Trump after Kasich and Cruz dropped out of the race.[4][5] This gave Trump the majority of the delegates from the state.
Polling
Predictions
The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Louisiana as of Election Day.
- Los Angeles Times: Strongly Trump[6]
- CNN: Solid Trump[7]
- Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Trump[8]
- NBC: Likely Trump[9]
- RealClearPolitics: Solid Trump[10]
- Fox News: Solid Republican[11]
- ABC: Solid Trump[12]
General Election
By parish
| Parish | Clinton% | Clinton# | Trump% | Trump# | Others% | Others# | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acadia | 20.58% | 5,638 | 77.26% | 21,162 | 2.15% | 589 | 27,389 |
| Allen | 22.78% | 2,106 | 74.28% | 6,867 | 2.94% | 272 | 9,245 |
| Ascension | 30.13% | 16,476 | 66.10% | 36,143 | 3.77% | 2,059 | 54,678 |
| Assumption | 36.05% | 3,931 | 61.57% | 6,714 | 2.38% | 259 | 10,904 |
| Avoyelles | 30.36% | 5,035 | 67.32% | 11,165 | 2.33% | 386 | 16,586 |
| Beauregard | 15.87% | 2,393 | 81.16% | 12,238 | 2.96% | 447 | 15,078 |
| Bienville | 44.67% | 3,129 | 53.62% | 3,756 | 1.71% | 120 | 7,005 |
| Bossier | 25.36% | 12,641 | 71.16% | 35,474 | 3.48% | 1,733 | 49,848 |
| Caddo | 50.55% | 53,483 | 46.32% | 49,006 | 3.13% | 3,315 | 105,804 |
| Calcasieu | 31.39% | 26,296 | 64.68% | 54,191 | 3.94% | 3,298 | 83,785 |
| Caldwell | 16.79% | 788 | 81.46% | 3,822 | 1.75% | 82 | 4,692 |
| Cameron | 08.75% | 323 | 88.19% | 3,256 | 3.06% | 113 | 3,692 |
| Catahoula | 27.22% | 1,322 | 71.64% | 3,479 | 1.13% | 55 | 4,856 |
| Claiborne | 42.31% | 2,717 | 55.83% | 3,585 | 1.85% | 119 | 6,421 |
| Concordia | 36.88% | 3,272 | 61.73% | 5,477 | 1.39% | 123 | 8,872 |
| De Soto | 38.26% | 5,165 | 59.76% | 8,068 | 1.98% | 267 | 13,500 |
| East Baton Rouge | 52.33% | 102,828 | 43.09% | 84,660 | 4.58% | 9,003 | 196,491 |
| East Carroll | 62.54% | 1,838 | 36.03% | 1,059 | 1.43% | 42 | 2,939 |
| East Feliciana | 42.17% | 4,235 | 55.46% | 5,569 | 2.37% | 238 | 10,042 |
| Evangeline | 28.28% | 4,208 | 69.61% | 10,360 | 2.11% | 314 | 14,882 |
| Franklin | 27.35% | 2,506 | 71.10% | 6,514 | 1.55% | 142 | 9,162 |
| Grant | 13.39% | 1,181 | 83.98% | 7,408 | 2.63% | 232 | 8,821 |
| Iberia | 32.96% | 10,698 | 64.41% | 20,903 | 2.63% | 853 | 32,454 |
| Iberville | 51.89% | 8,324 | 45.63% | 7,320 | 2.49% | 399 | 16,043 |
| Jackson | 28.66% | 2,139 | 69.25% | 5,169 | 2.09% | 156 | 7,464 |
| Jefferson | 40.56% | 73,670 | 55.27% | 100,398 | 4.17% | 7,571 | 181,639 |
| Jefferson Davis | 21.57% | 3,080 | 75.47% | 10,775 | 2.96% | 422 | 14,277 |
| Lafayette | 30.99% | 32,726 | 64.58% | 68,195 | 4.43% | 4,682 | 105,603 |
| Lafourche | 20.23% | 8,423 | 76.74% | 31,959 | 3.03% | 1,263 | 41,645 |
| LaSalle | 09.21% | 605 | 88.84% | 5,836 | 1.95% | 128 | 6,569 |
| Lincoln | 38.07% | 7,107 | 57.64% | 10,761 | 4.29% | 801 | 18,669 |
| Livingston | 12.04% | 6,950 | 84.57% | 48,824 | 3.39% | 1,956 | 57,730 |
| Madison | 57.99% | 2,744 | 40.72% | 1,927 | 1.29% | 61 | 4,732 |
| Morehouse | 43.49% | 5,155 | 54.86% | 6,502 | 1.65% | 195 | 11,852 |
| Natchitoches | 42.98% | 7,144 | 53.96% | 8,968 | 3.06% | 509 | 16,621 |
| Orleans | 80.81% | 133,996 | 14.65% | 24,292 | 4.54% | 7,524 | 165,812 |
| Ouachita | 35.91% | 24,428 | 61.36% | 41,734 | 2.73% | 1,855 | 68,017 |
| Plaquemines | 31.66% | 3,347 | 65.26% | 6,900 | 3.08% | 326 | 10,573 |
| Pointe Coupee | 40.51% | 4,764 | 57.72% | 6,789 | 1.77% | 208 | 11,761 |
| Rapides | 32.23% | 18,322 | 64.77% | 36,816 | 3.00% | 1,706 | 56,844 |
| Red River | 43.83% | 1,938 | 54.07% | 2,391 | 2.10% | 93 | 4,422 |
| Richland | 32.90% | 3,157 | 65.51% | 6,287 | 1.59% | 153 | 9,597 |
| Sabine | 17.40% | 1,703 | 80.50% | 7,879 | 2.09% | 205 | 9,787 |
| St. Bernard | 31.36% | 4,960 | 64.73% | 10,237 | 3.91% | 618 | 15,815 |
| St. Charles | 32.68% | 8,559 | 63.46% | 16,621 | 3.86% | 1,012 | 26,192 |
| St. Helena | 56.22% | 3,353 | 41.87% | 2,497 | 1.91% | 114 | 5,964 |
| St. James | 53.11% | 6,418 | 45.15% | 5,456 | 1.75% | 211 | 12,085 |
| St. John the Baptist | 61.04% | 12,661 | 36.49% | 7,569 | 2.47% | 513 | 20,743 |
| St. Landry | 43.05% | 17,209 | 54.96% | 21,971 | 1.99% | 797 | 39,977 |
| St. Martin | 32.10% | 8,266 | 65.53% | 16,873 | 2.37% | 611 | 25,750 |
| St. Mary | 35.19% | 8,050 | 62.77% | 14,359 | 2.05% | 468 | 22,877 |
| St. Tammany | 22.28% | 27,717 | 73.09% | 90,915 | 4.63% | 5,760 | 124,392 |
| Tangipahoa | 32.20% | 16,878 | 64.79% | 33,959 | 3.01% | 1,579 | 52,416 |
| Tensas | 52.28% | 1,332 | 46.39% | 1,182 | 1.33% | 34 | 2,548 |
| Terrebonne | 24.30% | 10,665 | 72.68% | 31,902 | 3.03% | 1,329 | 43,896 |
| Union | 24.70% | 2,691 | 73.18% | 7,972 | 2.12% | 231 | 10,894 |
| Vermilion | 18.95% | 4,857 | 78.27% | 20,063 | 2.78% | 712 | 25,632 |
| Vernon | 16.02% | 2,665 | 80.99% | 13,471 | 2.99% | 497 | 16,633 |
| Washington | 30.56% | 5,692 | 67.40% | 12,556 | 2.04% | 380 | 18,628 |
| Webster | 34.50% | 6,260 | 63.61% | 11,542 | 1.89% | 343 | 18,145 |
| West Baton Rouge | 42.35% | 5,383 | 54.49% | 6,927 | 3.16% | 402 | 12,712 |
| West Carroll | 15.02% | 715 | 83.42% | 3,970 | 1.55% | 74 | 4,759 |
| West Feliciana | 38.77% | 2,248 | 58.46% | 3,390 | 2.78% | 161 | 5,799 |
| Winn | 25.80% | 1,644 | 72.32% | 4,608 | 1.88% | 120 | 6,372 |
By congressional district
Trump won 5 of the 6 congressional districts in Louisiana.
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 69% | 27% | Steve Scalise |
| 2nd | 22% | 75% | Cedric Richmond |
| 3rd | 67% | 29% | Clay Higgins |
| 4th | 61% | 37% | Mike Johnson |
| 5th | 64% | 34% | Ralph Abraham |
| 6th | 65% | 31% | Garret Graves |
Analysis
Donald Trump won the election in Louisiana with 58.1% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 38.4% of the vote.[13] Of the 2,029,032 total votes cast, Trump had 1,178,638 while Clinton had 780,154 votes.[14] All of Louisiana's parishes voted for the same party they voted for in 2012 and 2008. As a result, this marked the first time since 1992 that East Baton Rouge Parish backed the losing candidate of the election, and the first time since 1948 East Baton Rouge voted Democratic three elections in a row.
Louisiana was one of eleven states that voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.
See also
| Elections in Louisiana |
|---|
 |
|
Presidential Elections
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
|
|
State elections by year
Gubernatorial
Lieutenant gubernatorial Attorney General |
 |
References
- Hatfield, Mycah (2016-01-24). "Closed elections for presidential primaries in Louisiana - KATC.com | Continuous News Coverage | Acadiana-Lafayette". KATC.com. Archived from the original on 2016-11-15. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "Twenty-Four Presidential Candidates Qualify for Louisiana Presidential Primaries | Ballot Access News". Ballot-access.org. 2015-12-04. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- Epstein, Reid J. (2016-03-24). "Ted Cruz Gains in Louisiana After Loss There to Donald Trump". WSJ.com. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- Katiana Krawchenko (2016-05-04). "Louisiana's five Rubio delegates back Trump, call for Rubio as VP". CBS News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "BREAKING: Trump Gains Seven More Delegates From Louisiana After Rubio Delegates Finally Switch". The Hayride. 2016-05-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "Louisiana Election Results 2016". The New York Times. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "2016 Presidential General Election Results".
External links
- RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
- Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
- Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Louisiana
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