United States Senate election in Delaware, 2018

United States Senate election in Delaware, 2018
November 6, 2018

 
Nominee Tom Carper Rob Arlett Nadine Frost
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Incumbent U.S. Senator

Tom Carper
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Delaware will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Delaware, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

The primary for this U.S. Senate election was held on Thursday, September 6, 2018.[1] The Democratic Party nominated incumbent U.S. Senator Tom Carper and the Republican Party nominated Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Carper is running for re-election to a fourth term.

Background

Three-term Democratic Senator Tom Carper was reelected with 66% of the vote in 2012 against Republican Kevin Wade.

Carper, incumbent U.S. Senator, was challenged in the Democratic primary by Dover activist, Kerri Evelyn Harris. Carper previously had a primary challenge in the 2012 election from businessman Keith Spanarelli. However, Carper defeated Spanarelli by around 70 points. Carper went on in the 2018 Democratic primary to defeat Harris by around 30 points. It was the most competitve Democratic U.S. Senate primary in Delaware in two decades.

The main declared candidates in the Republican primary were Sussex County councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono, with a perennial candidacy from businessman Rocky De La Fuente, who also ran in seven other states.[2] Another candidate withdrew before the primary. Rob Arlett defeated Gene Truono in a landslide.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Tykiem Booker, activist[5]

Declined

Endorsements

Tom Carper
U.S. Vice President
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State executive branch officials
  • Rita Landgraf, former Secretary of Delaware Health and Social Services
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Kerri Evelyn Harris
State legislators
County Councilpersons
City Councilpersons
Political candidates
Individuals
Organizations
Media
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse either candidate

Debates

Delaware newspaper The News Journal hosted a 90-minute debate on August 27, 2018 for the Democratic primary between Tom Carper and Kerri Evelyn Harris at Cab Calloway School of the Arts.[30][55] Republican candidate businessman Gene Truono answered questions from panelists before Carper and Harris debated. Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett was also invited, but declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tom
Carper		 Kerri Evelyn
Harris		 Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 354 ± 5.2% 51% 19% 30%

Results

Results by county:
  Carper—60–70%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Tom Carper (incumbent) 53,633 64.6% -23.3%
Democratic Kerri Evelyn Harris 29,406 35.4% -
Margin of victory 24,227 29.2% -58.7%
Turnout 83,039 25.4%[56] -
Total votes 83,039 100%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Chuck Boyce, businessman[59][60] (endorsed Rob Arlett)

Declined

  • Ken Simpler, State Treasurer (running for re-election)[61]
  • Kevin Wade, businessman and candidate for Senate in 2012 and 2014

Endorsements

Rob Arlett
Former 2018 U.S. Senate election, Delaware candidates
  • Chuck Boyce, businessman
Political candidates
Individuals
Gene Truono
State legislators
Republican Party officials
Political candidates
  • Lee Murphy, actor and Republican candidate for U.S. House of Representatives in Delaware
Individuals
  • Mitch Denham, Delaware Gun Rights
  • John Foltz, 11th District Chairman
  • David Gilefski, Western NCC Region Chairman
  • Shawn Michael Greener, radio host[70]
  • Dick Heller (District of Columbia v. Heller)
  • Mark Keith Robinson, NRA affiliate
  • Maj Toure, Black Guns Matter
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse either candidate

Debates

Councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono had four debates in total. They were normally live streamed on Facebook and uploaded to YouTube. A fifth debate was planned, but Truono withdrew from the debate because he the organizers refused to give him control over what questions could not be asked. Instead organizers held a forum with all the other candidates for the U.S. Senate and other state offices. Five candidates attended that forum.

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Rob
Arlett		 Rocky
De La Fuente		 Gene
Truono		 Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 288 ± 5.8% 19% 7% 15% 60%

Results

Results by county:
  Arlett—70–80%
  Arlett—60–70%
  Arlett—50–60%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Arlett 25,284 66.8%
Republican Gene Truono 10,587 28.0%
Republican Rocky De La Fuente 1,998 5.3%
Margin of victory 14,697 38.8%
Turnout 37,869 19.7%[56]
Total votes 37,869 100%

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Demitri Theodoropoulos, small business owner[73]

Declined

Endorsements

Demitri Theodoropoulos
Individuals
Organizations

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Independents

Not to be confused with the Independent Party of Delaware, which currently has no candidate for the 2018 United States Senate election.

Candidates

  • Barry Eveland (write-in)[75]
  • Todd Farina, ticket company owner (write-in)
  • Matthew Water Stout, write-in presidential candidate in 2016 (write-in)[75][76]

General election

Endorsements

Bold text indicates endorsement was given before the primary.

Tom Carper
U.S. Vice President
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
Other state executive branch officials
State legislators
Political candidates
Individuals
Organizations
Rob Arlett
Former 2018 U.S. Senate election, Delaware candidates
  • Chuck Boyce, businessman
Political candidates
Individuals
Organizations
Demitri Theodoropoulos
Individuals
Organizations
Media
  • Hijacked Radio Podcast
  • The Politics of Courage[85]
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse Tom Carper
  • Tykiem Booker, former candidate
  • Kerri Evelyn Harris, former candidate
  • Justice Democrats
Declined to endorse Rob Arlett

Debates

with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono

On August 20, 2018, the Greater Hockessin Area Development Association (GHADA) hosted a 2-hour debate at the Hockessin Memorial Hall between Democratic candidate Kerri Evelyn Harris and Republican candidate Gene Truono. Tom Carper and Rob Arlett were also invited to the debate, but did not attend. Carper was not present because of the U.S. Senate's extended session due to session ceasing early the Thursday prior because of the death of former Governor and U.S. Senator of Nevada, Paul Laxalt.[86] Arlett declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.[87]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[88] Solid D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[89] Solid D November 14, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[90] Safe D November 15, 2017
Daily Kos[91] Safe D April 9, 2018
Fox News[92] Likely D^ July 9, 2018
CNN[93] Solid D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[94] Safe D June 2018
FiveThirtyEight[95] Solid D September 2018

^Highest rating given

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tom
Carper (D)		 Rob
Arlett (R)		 Nadine
Frost (L)		 Demitri
Theodoropoulos (G)		 Undecided
University of Delaware September 11–17, 2018 728 LV – 61% 24% 3% 3% 9%
908 RV ± 3.7% 60% 22% 5% 2% 12%
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 884 ± 3.3% 47% 39% – – 14%

Results

United States Senate election in Delaware, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Rob Arlett
Democratic Tom Carper (incumbent)
Independent Barry Eveland (write-in) -
Independent Todd Farina (write-in) -
Libertarian Nadine Frost -
Independent Matthew Water Stout (write-in) -
Green Demitri Theodoropoulos
Margin of victory
Turnout
Total votes

See also

References

  1. ↑ "United States Senate election in Delaware, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved December 23, 2017.
  2. 1 2 "California businessman running for US Senate in Delaware--and 7 other states". wdel.com.
  3. ↑ "Kailani Koenig on Twitter". July 24, 2017. Retrieved July 24, 2017.
  4. ↑ "Dover community activist to challenge Tom Carper".
  5. ↑ "BOOKER, TYKIEM - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  6. 1 2 3 "Biden wades into Delaware primary on behalf of Carper". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  7. 1 2 "Tom Carper for Delaware". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  8. 1 2 "RELEASE: Giffords Endorses Tom Carper for Senate in Delaware - Giffords". August 17, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  9. 1 2 "Debra Heffernan on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  10. 1 2 "Matthew Albright on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  11. 1 2 "Tom Carper on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  12. 1 2 "VoteVets on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  13. 1 2 Campaign, Human Rights. "HRC Endorses Sen. Carper & Rep. Blunt Rochester for Re-Election - Human Rights Campaign". Human Rights Campaign. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  14. 1 2 "The News Journal's editorial board endorses Tom Carper in the U.S. Senate primary". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  15. ↑ "A Democrat from Dover is challenging Senator Tom Carper in the September primary".
  16. ↑ "Ilhan Omar on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  17. ↑ "Nina Turner on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  18. ↑ "Go Vote! Rally for Racial and Economic Justice!". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  19. ↑ "Kerri Evelyn Harris on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  20. ↑ "Ayanna Pressley on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  21. ↑ "Kerri Evelyn Harris". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  22. ↑ "Adrienne Bell on Twitter".
  23. ↑ "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Twitter".
  24. ↑ https://www.facebook.com/groups/TeamKerri/permalink/2184782081596554/
  25. ↑ "The Humanist Report🌹 on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  26. ↑ "Kyle Kulinski on Twitter".
  27. ↑ "YouTube: LGBTQ Group Endorses Coporate Dem Over Gay Populist Left Candidate".
  28. ↑ {{cite web|title=Coby Owens on Twitter|url= https://twitter.com/cobyjowens/
  29. ↑ "Opposing view: Why you should vote for Kerri Harris for U.S. Senate". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  30. 1 2 Grim, Ryan (August 11, 2018). "Tom Carper Agrees to Debate Kerri Harris as Reinforcements Arrive for Insurgent Challenger". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  31. ↑ "YouTube: Kerri Evelyn Harris Calls Out Wall St. Democrat".
  32. ↑ "YouTube: Help Kerri Evelyn Harris Win Senate Race!".
  33. ↑ The Young Turks (August 21, 2018). "Cenk Uygur RIPS Into Democratic Senator". Retrieved September 19, 2018 – via YouTube.
  34. ↑ "Winifred on Twitter".
  35. ↑ "Kerri Evelyn Harris on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  36. ↑ "CPD Action on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  37. ↑ "Common Defense #VetsAgainstTrump on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  38. ↑ "Endorsements - Kerri Evelyn Harris - Democrat for US Senate". www.kerrievelynharris.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  39. ↑ "Endorsements - Kerri Evelyn Harris - Democrat for US Senate". www.kerrievelynharris.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  40. ↑ "Democratic Socialists of Delaware". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  41. ↑ "Democracy for America on Twitter".
  42. ↑ "Kerri Evelyn Harris". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  43. ↑ "Harris Endorsed by Justice Democrats". May 22, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  44. ↑ https://twitter.com/nevercarper/status/1037107549999443969?s=21
  45. ↑ "Our Revolution on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  46. ↑ The People for Bernie Sanders [@People4Bernie] (July 17, 2018). ".@KerriHarrisDE is an activist, a community organizer and a veteran of the United States Air Force. She's an incredible movement leader and we're so proud to endorse her campaign for US Senate. Join the political revolution: www.kerrievelynharris.com" (Tweet). Retrieved July 17, 2018 – via Twitter.
  47. ↑ "ProgActNet on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  48. ↑ "Progressive Democrats for Delaware on Twitter".
  49. ↑ "Working Families Party on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  50. ↑ "Kerri Evelyn Harris". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  51. ↑ "Tom Carper and the third way".
  52. ↑ "Delaware Liberal Primary Endorsements  : Delaware Liberal". www.delawareliberal.net. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  53. ↑ Greenwald, Glenn; Grim, Ryan (July 12, 2018). "The Team That Helped Elect Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Has Its Next Mission: Lifting Kerri Harris Over Sen. Tom Carper". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  54. ↑ "YouTube: Kerri Evelyn Harris Calls Out Wall St. Democrat".
  55. ↑ "Watch Democratic U.S. Senate candidates Sen. Tom Carper and Kerri Evelyn Harris debate". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  56. 1 2 "State of Delaware - Department of Elections · Office of the State Election Commissioner". elections.delaware.gov. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  57. ↑ "Sussex Councilman Arlett Announces U.S. Senate Bid". Salisbury, MD: WBOC-TV. April 17, 2018. Retrieved April 17, 2018.
  58. ↑ "TRUONO, EUGENE (GENE) J JR - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  59. ↑ Goss, Scott (March 22, 2017). "Republican U.S. Senate candidate Chuck Boyce dropping out of race". The News Journal. Retrieved March 19, 2018.
  60. ↑ Petree, Rob (April 23, 2018). "Former candidate Chuck Boyce endorses Rob Arlett for U.S. Senate". WXDE.
  61. ↑ "State of Delaware - Department of Elections · New Castle County Office - 2016 Filed Candidates". electionsncc.delaware.gov.
  62. 1 2 {{cite web|title=Rob Arlett for US Senate on Twitter|url=https://twitter.com/robarlett/status/1035652512089616384?s=21
  63. 1 2 "Carter Clark (@carterclarkkkk) • Instagram photos and videos". instagram.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  64. 1 2 "Coach Glanden on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  65. 1 2 "Bobby Halton on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  66. 1 2 "Charlie Kirk on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  67. 1 2 "Rob Arlett Responds To The News That Bobby Knight Will Attend His Rally & Fundraiser". June 8, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  68. 1 2 {{cite web|title=Michael F. McMahon on Twitter|url=https://twitter.com/m_f_mcmahon/status/1031295578305699840?s=21
  69. 1 2 "Frank Ricci on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  70. ↑ "Shawn Michael Greener on Facebook".
  71. ↑ https://twitter.com/nevercarper/status/1037107549999443969?s=21
  72. ↑ "The News Journal editorial board endorses Gene Truono in the Republican Senate primary". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  73. 1 2 "Candidates file for primaries". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  74. 1 2 "alvie. on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  75. 1 2 "Declared Write-In Candidates, November 6, 2018 General Election" (PDF). State of Delaware Department of Elections. Retrieved August 24, 2018.
  76. ↑ "The Green Papers: Delaware 2016 General Election". The Green Papers. Retrieved September 10, 2018.
  77. ↑ "Chris Coons on Facebook".
  78. ↑ "Lisa Blunt Rochester on Twitter".
  79. ↑ "Matthew Bittle on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  80. ↑ "John Carney on Instagram: "Thank you to everyone who came out to the Sussex County Jamboree this weekend! We have a great slate of candidates this year, and I'm…"". Instagram. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  81. ↑ "Laura Sturgeon". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  82. ↑ https://www.ncpssm.org/pac/candidates-we-endorse-and-support/
  83. ↑ "ENDORSEMENTS". Sierra Club.
  84. ↑ https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/politics/2018/09/19/ncco-gop-chair-resigns-blasts-party-and-u-s-senate-candidate-rob-arlett/1357246002/
  85. ↑ "Politics of Courage on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  86. ↑ "**Live from GHADA US Senate candidates debate/forum**".
  87. ↑ "Delaware Senate Candidates Debate Set for August 27".
  88. ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  89. ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  90. ↑ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  91. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  92. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  93. ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  94. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  95. ↑ "Delaware - 2018 Senate Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 25, 2018.
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