2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky
The 2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Kentucky voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kentucky has 8 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
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Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the state's primary elections were postponed until June 23, 2020. By that time, incumbent President Donald Trump of the Republican Party and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democratic Party had already clinched enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees of their respective parties.
Primary elections
The primary elections were originally scheduled for May 19, 2020. On March 16, they were moved to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[3]
Republican primary
Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary. The state has 46 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[4]
Democratic primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[5] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 34,751 | 57.1% | 27 |
| Uncommitted | 11,755 | 19.3% | |
| Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) | 7,054 | 11.6% | |
| Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 1,609 | 2.6% | |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 1,273 | 2.1% | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 1,132 | 1.9% | |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 975 | 1.6% | |
| Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) | 973 | 1.6% | |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 580 | 1.0% | |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 536 | 0.9% | |
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 221 | 0.4% | |
| Total | 100.00% | 54 |
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | June 19, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | April 3, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | June 25, 2020 |
| Politico[9] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| RCP[10] | Safe R | June 22, 2020 |
| Niskanen[11] | Safe R | March 24, 2020 |
| CNN[12] | Safe R | June 25, 2020 |
| JHK Forecasts[13] | Safe R | June 27, 2020 |
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
| 270 to Win | June 13, 2020 – June 15, 2020 | June 18, 2020 | 37.0% | 57.0% | 6% | Trump + 20.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight | Until June 15, 2020 | June 24, 2020 | 38.9% | 55.9% | 5.2% | Trump + 17.0 |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs/Data for Progress | Jun 13-15, 2020 | 898 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 37% | 5%[lower-alpha 3] | 1% |
| RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits[lower-alpha 4] | May 21-24, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 53% | 36% | 6%[lower-alpha 5] | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 14-15, 2020 | 1,104 (V) | – | 55% | 39% | 5%[lower-alpha 6] | 2% |
| Fabrizio Ward/AARP | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 53% | 41% | – | 4% |
| Gravis Marketing | Jun 11–12, 2019 | 741 | ± 3.6% | 57% | 37% | – | 6% |
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Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
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See also
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "someone else" with 5%
- U.S. Term Limits is a PAC supporting candidates who support term limits in Congress.
- "Some other candidate" with 6%
- "Someone else" with 5%
References
- Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- "Kentucky secretary of state says primary postponed". CNN. March 16, 2020.
- "Kentucky Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
- "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
- "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
- David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
- "JHK Forecasts » 2020 President". JHK Forecasts. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
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