2020 United States presidential election in Kansas

The 2020 United States presidential election in Kansas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Kansas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kansas has 6 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Kansas
November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence TBA
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

 Elected President

TBA

Elections in Kansas

By the time that the primary elections were held in Kansas, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020.

Primary elections

Canceled Republican primary
Further information: 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries § Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries

On September 7, 2019, the Kansas Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses.[3] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[4][5] At its state convention held between January 31 and February 1, 2020, the state party voted to formally bind all 39 of its national pledged delegates to Trump.[6][7]

Democratic primary

The Kansas Democratic primary was conducted entirely by mail. Votes were counted on May 2, 2020. Joe Biden was declared the winner.[8]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Kansas Democratic presidential primary[edit]
2020 Kansas Democratic presidential primary[9][10]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 110,041 76.85% 29
Bernie Sanders (suspended) 33,142 23.15% 10
Total 143,183 100.00% 39

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Safe R June 19, 2020
Inside Elections[12] Safe R April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R June 25, 2020
Politico[14] Safe R April 19, 2020
RCP[15] Safe R June 22, 2020
Niskanen[16] Safe R March 24, 2020
CNN[17] Safe R June 25, 2020
JHK Forecasts[18] Safe R June 27, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 1] Margin
270 to Win May 30, 2020 – June 1, 2020 June 2, 2020 40.0% 52.0% 8.0% Trump + 12.0
FiveThirtyEight Until June 1, 2020 June 23, 2020 42.0% 51.3% 6.7% Trump + 9.3

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 30 – Jun 1, 2020 699 (RV) ± 4.2% 52% 40% 6%[lower-alpha 3] 2%
The Progress Campaign (D) Apr 15–22, 2020 1,632 (LV) ± 4.7% 51% 41% – 8%
Public Policy Polling March 10–11, 2020 1,567 (V) – 52% 40% – 8%
DFM Research Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 600 (A) ±4% 51% 43% 3%[lower-alpha 4] 3%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Other Undecided
DFM Research Jan 30-Feb 6, 2020 600 (A) ±4% 50% 43% 2%[lower-alpha 5] 4%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D) Feb 17, 2020 572 (RV) ± 5.2% 51% 40% 10%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 10–11, 2020 1,567 (V) – 52% 40% – 7%
The Progress Campaign (D) Feb 17, 2020 572 (RV) ± 5.2% 63% 26% – 11%
DFM Research Jan 30–Feb 6, 2020 600 (A) ±4% 53% 43% 2%[lower-alpha 6] 1%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D) Feb 17, 2020 572 (RV) ± 5.2% 63% 32% – 5%
DFM Research Jan 30-Feb 6, 2020 600 (A) ±4% 53% 41% 3%[lower-alpha 7] 3%

Notes
  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Someone else" with 6%
  4. "Someone else" with 3%
  5. "Someone else" with 2%
  6. "Someone else" with 2%
  7. "Someone else" with 3%
Partisan clients

    See also

    References
    1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
    2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
    3. Kinnard, Meg (September 7, 2019). "Nevada, SC, Kansas GOP drop presidential nomination votes". AP NEWS.
    4. Karni, Annie (September 6, 2019). "GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers". Boston Globe. MSN. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
    5. Steakin, Will; Karson, Kendall (September 6, 2019). "GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses, Trump challengers outraged". ABC News. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
    6. "Kansas GOP won't hold a caucus in 2020". KAKE. September 6, 2019.
    7. "Kansas Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
    8. Hanna, John (3 May 2020). "Joe Biden Wins Kansas Primary Conducted Exclusively By Mail". HuffPost. Retrieved 3 May 2020.
    9. "View Kansas' 2020 primary results". www.cnn.com. CNN. Retrieved May 3, 2020.
    10. "KSDEMS: 2020 Primary Results.xlsx". Google Docs. Kansas Democratic Party. Retrieved May 3, 2020.
    11. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
    12. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
    13. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
    14. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
    15. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
    16. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
    17. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
    18. "JHK Forecasts » 2020 President". JHK Forecasts. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
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