2020 United States Senate election in Georgia

The 2020 United States Senate election in Georgia will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Georgia, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2020 United States Senate election in Georgia

November 3, 2020
 
Nominee David Perdue Jon Ossoff
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

David Perdue
Republican


The primary elections were held on June 9, 2020, with a potential runoff set for August 11. The incumbent is Republican David Perdue, who was elected in 2014 and is running for a second term in the Class II seat. The Democratic nominee is Jon Ossoff, a media executive and previous nominee for the 2017 Georgia 6th CD Special Election.

Since Georgia's other U.S. Senator, Johnny Isakson, announced his resignation in 2019, a concurrent special election for the Class III seat will also take place. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the regular or special election, the top two finishers will advance to a runoff election, to be held on January 5, 2021.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

Declined

  • Derrick Grayson, activist and U.S. Senate candidate in 2014 and 2016.[5] He is running in Georgia's special U.S. Senate election.

Results

Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Perdue (incumbent) 992,105 100.00%
Total votes 992,105 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Jon Ossoff, investigative journalist, media executive, and nominee for Georgia's 6th congressional district in 2017[7][8]

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Sarah Riggs
Amico
Jon
Ossoff
Teresa
Tomlinson
Other Undecided
Landmark Communications June 1, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 9% 42% 14% 7%[lower-alpha 1] 28%
Cygnal (R) May 28–30, 2020 510 (LV) ± 4.3% 8% 49% 16% 4%[lower-alpha 2] 24%
The Progress Campaign (D) May 6–15, 2020 1,162 (LV) 9% 46% 29% 16%[lower-alpha 3]
The Progress Campaign (D) March 12–21, 2020 913 (RV) ± 4.6% 18% 34% 21% 27%[lower-alpha 4]
University of Georgia March 4–14, 2020 807 (LV) ± 3.4% 15% 31% 16% 39%

Head-to-head polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jon
Ossoff
Teresa
Tomlinson
Undecided
Cygnal (R) May 28–30, 2020 510 (LV) ± 4.34% 58% 24% 18%

Endorsements

Jon Ossoff
Federal officials
State officials
County officials
Local Officials
Organizations
Individuals
Teresa Tomlinson
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Sarah Riggs Amico
Labor unions
Organizations
  • DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare[48]

Results

Almost four times as many Georgia voters participated in the 2020 Democratic Senate primary as in the 2016 Democratic Senate primary, when only 310,053 votes were cast.[49]

Democratic primary results[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jon Ossoff 624,142 52.81%
Democratic Teresa Tomlinson 186,673 15.79%
Democratic Sarah Riggs Amico 139,120 11.77%
Democratic Maya Dillard-Smith 104,593 8.85%
Democratic James Knox 49,301 4.17%
Democratic Marckeith DeJesus 45,783 3.87%
Democratic Tricia Carpenter McCracken 32,350 2.74%
Total votes 1,181,962 100.00%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

  • Shane T. Hazel, former U.S. Marine, podcaster, candidate for GA-07 in 2018[51]

Independents

Declared

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[57] Lean R June 18, 2020
Inside Elections[58] Likely R April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[59] Likely R April 30, 2020
Daily Kos[60] Lean R June 4, 2020
Politico[61] Lean R April 19, 2020
RCP[62] Lean R June 25, 2020
Niskanen[63] Lean R April 28, 2020

Endorsements

Jon Ossoff (D)
Federal officials
State officials
County officials
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 5]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Jon
Ossoff (D)
Other /
Undecided
Fox News June 20–23, 2020 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 42% 13%[lower-alpha 6]
Public Policy Polling (D) June 12–13, 2020 661 (V) ± 3.4% 44% 45% 11%[lower-alpha 7]
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 47% 7%[lower-alpha 8]
The Progress Campaign (D) May 6–15, 2020 2,893 (LV) ± 2.0% 42% 42% 16%
BK Strategies/Republican State Leadership Committee[upper-alpha 1] May 11–13, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 41%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 41% 15%[lower-alpha 9]
Cygnal/David Ralston[upper-alpha 2] April 25–27, 2020 591 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 39% 16%
The Progress Campaign (D) March 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 39% 40% 20%
Hypothetical polling
with Teresa Tomlinson
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 5]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Teresa
Tomlinson (D)
Other /
Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ±3.1% 45% 44% 10%[lower-alpha 10]
The Progress Campaign (D) May 6–15, 2020 2,893 (LV) ± 2% 41% 40% 19%
The Progress Campaign (D) March 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 40% 39% 21%
with Sarah Riggs Amico
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 5]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Sarah Riggs
Amico (D)
Other /
Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ±3.1% 45% 42% 13%[lower-alpha 11]
with Stacey Abrams
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 5]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Other /
Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D) March 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 41% 46% 12%
with Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 5]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Generic
Democrat
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA November 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 40% 37% 23%
University of Georgia October 28–30, 2019 1,028 (RV) 35.1% 21.1% 43.8%
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 5]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other /
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[upper-alpha 3] March 17–19, 2019 603 ± 4.0% 40% 42% 18%

Results

United States Senate election in Georgia, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican David Perdue (incumbent)
Democratic Jon Ossoff
Libertarian Shane T. Hazel
Independent Allen Buckley
Independent Tom Jones
Independent Clifton Kilby
Independent Valencia Stovall
Total votes 100.0%

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by a Republican-supporting organisation
  2. Poll conducted for the Speaker of Georgia's House Republican caucus
  3. Poll sponsored by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
Voter samples and additional candidates
  1. "Another candidate" with 7.2%
  2. Knox with 1.5%; DeJesus and Smith with 1%; McCracken with 0.3%
  3. Listed as "other/undecided"
  4. Includes undecided
  5. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  6. Undecided with 8%; "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  7. Not sure with 11%
  8. "Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 3%
  9. "Undecided" with 8%; Hazel (L) with 7%
  10. "Someone else" with 6%; Undecided with 4%
  11. "Someone else" with 8%; Undecided with 5%

References

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  70. "Yesterday I was proud to congratulate my friend Jon @ossoff on being nominee who will defeat David Perdue. Jon, along with @ReverendWarnock, puts 2 Sen seats in play. GA reg and turnout (despite obstacles) numbers show we're a battleground. Control of Sen runs through us". Twitter.
  71. "Alright Jon @ossoff...Let's get this done!!!". Twitter.
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  75. "Congratulations, Jon! We are ready to work our @ossoff to ensure victory in November". Twitter.
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  81. "Today I was proud to endorse Jon @ossoff for the U.S. Senate. Defeating David Perdue, one of the staunchest enablers of the failed Trump presidency, is among the highest priorities of every Georgia Democrat". Twitter.
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