2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. Representatives from the state of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
November 3, 2020
All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 3 1
Elections in Iowa

District 1
See also: Iowa's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is based in northeastern Iowa, and includes the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. The incumbent is Democrat Abby Finkenauer, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Nominee

Endorsements
Abby Finkenauer
Organizations

Results
Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Abby Finkenauer (incumbent) 72,474 99.3
N/A Write-in 482 0.7
Total votes 72,956 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates
Nominee
Defeated in primary
  • Thomas Hansen, farmer and businessman[12]
Declined

Endorsements
Ashley Hinson
Federal Politicians
Statewide Politicians
Organizations

Results
Republican primary results [17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ashley Hinson 38,552 77.8
Republican Thomas Hansen 10,845 21.9
N/A Write-in 152 0.3
Total votes 49,549 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Tossup April 24,2020
Inside Elections[19] Tilt D April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Tossup April 23, 2020
Politico[21] Tossup April 19, 2020
Niskanen[22] Lean D April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[23] Lean D April 30, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Abby
Finkenauer (D)		 Ashley
Hinson (R)		 Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies/NRCC/Politico[upper-alpha 1] March 3–5, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4% 45% 44% –
Harper Polling (R)[upper-alpha 2] January 11–12, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4% 44%[lower-alpha 2] 40% 15%
40%[lower-alpha 3] 48% –
Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Democrat		 Generic
Republican		 Undecided
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register June 7-10, 2020 – (LV)[lower-alpha 4] <= ± 7.7% 48% 42% –
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 3] March 3–5, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4% 37% 44% –
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register March 2–5, 2020 – (LV)[lower-alpha 5] – 46% 49% –
Harper Polling (R)[upper-alpha 4] January 11–12, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4% 43%[lower-alpha 6] 44% –

Results
Iowa's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Abby Finkenauer (incumbent)
Republican Ashley Hinson
Total votes 100.0

District 2
See also: Iowa's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses southeastern Iowa, and is home to the cities of Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Ottumwa, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The incumbent is Democrat Dave Loebsack, who was re-elected with 54.8% of the vote in 2018;[1] he subsequently announced he would not seek re-election on April 12, 2019.[24]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Nominee
  • Rita Hart, former state senator and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2018[25]
Withdrawn
  • Newman Abuissa, engineer[26]
Declined

Endorsements
Rita Hart
Federal politicians
Statewide politicians
State Senators
  • Joe Bolkcom, State Senator, District 43
  • Chris Brase, former State Senator, District 46
  • Tom Courtney, former State Senator, District 44
  • Bob Dvorsky, former State Senator, District 37
  • Kevin Kinney, State Senator, District 39
  • Jim Lykam, State Senator, District 45
  • Rich Taylor, State Senator, District 42
  • Zach Wahls, State Senator, District 37
State Representatives
Local politicians
Party officials

[39]

Individuals
  • Veronica Tessler, businesswoman[40]
Organizations

Results
Democratic primary results[46]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rita Hart 67,023 99.6
N/A Write-ins 268 0.4
Total votes 67,291 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates
Nominee
Defeated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements
Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Federal politicians
Statewide politicians
Organizations
Bobby Schilling
Federal politicians

Results
Republican primary results[66]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks 23,036 47.6
Republican Bobby Schilling 17,570 36.3
Republican Steven Everly 2,806 5.8
Republican Rick Phillips 2,441 5.1
Republican Tim Borchardt 2,369 4.9
N/A Write-in 161 0.3
Total votes 48,383 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[67] Tossup April 24,2020
Inside Elections[68] Tilt D April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[69] Tossup April 23, 2020
Politico[70] Lean D April 19, 2020
Niskanen[71] Likely D April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[72] Lean D April 30, 2020

Polling
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Democrat		 Generic
Republican		 Undecided
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register June 7-10, 2020 – (LV)[lower-alpha 7] <= ± 7.7% 53% 35% –
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register March 2–5, 2020 – (LV)[lower-alpha 8] – 41% 49% –

Results
Iowa's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rita Hart
Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Total votes 100.0

District 3
See also: Iowa's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompasses southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The incumbent is Democrat Cindy Axne, who flipped the district and was elected with 49.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Nominee

Results
Democratic primary results [74]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cindy Axne (incumbent) 76,681 99.2
N/A Write-ins 623 0.8
Total votes 77,304 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates
Nominee
Defeated in primary
  • Bill Schafer, U.S. Army veteran[76]
Declined

Results
Republican primary results [80]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Young 39,103 69.5
Republican Bill Schafer 16,904 30.1
N/A Write-in 227 0.4
Total votes 56,234 100.0

Third parties

Candidates
  • Bryan Jack Holder (Libertarian)[81]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[82] Tossup April 24,2020
Inside Elections[83] Tossup April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[84] Lean D April 23, 2020
Politico[85] Tossup April 19, 2020
Niskanen[86] Lean D April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[87] Lean D April 30, 2020

Polling
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Democrat		 Generic
Republican		 Undecided
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register June 7-10, 2020 – (LV)[lower-alpha 9] <= ± 7.7% 52% 36% –
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register March 2–5, 2020 – (LV)[lower-alpha 10] – 42% 43% –

Results
Iowa's 3rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cindy Axne (incumbent)
Republican David Young
Libertarian Brian Jack Holder
Total votes 100.0

District 4
See also: Iowa's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The incumbent is Republican Steve King, who was re-elected with 50.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Nominee
Defeated in primary
Declined

Endorsements
Randy Feenstra
State Senators
State Representatives
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Steve King
State Representatives
Individuals
  • Sam Clovis, national co-chair of Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, candidate for State Treasurer of Iowa in 2014[107]

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Steve
King		 Randy
Feenstra		 Steve
Reeder		 Jeremy
Taylor		 Other Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)/American Future Fund[upper-alpha 5] May 16–18, 2020 400 (V) ± 4.9% 39% 41% 1% 4% 3%[upper-alpha 6] –
41%[lower-alpha 11] 48% – – – –
American Viewpoint/Randy Feenstra[upper-alpha 7] May 7–8, 2020 350 (LV) ± 5.2% 39% 36% – – 9%[lower-alpha 12] 10%
American Viewpoint/Feenstra for Congress/Politico[upper-alpha 8] April 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 41% 34% – – 8%[lower-alpha 13] 15%
American Viewpoint/Feenstra for Congress/Politico[upper-alpha 9] January 27–29, 2020 –[lower-alpha 14] – 53% 22% – – – –[lower-alpha 15]
G1 Survey Research October 1–3, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.89% 59% 15% 6% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 16] –
64%[lower-alpha 17] 24% – – – 12%[lower-alpha 18]
64%[lower-alpha 19] – – 19% – 17%[lower-alpha 20]

Results
Republican primary results[108]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Randy Feenstra 37,297 45.5
Republican Steve King (incumbent) 29,362 35.9
Republican Jeremy Taylor 6,417 7.8
Republican Bret Richards 6,136 7.5
Republican Steve Reeder 2,522 3.1
N/A Write-in 176 0.2
Total votes 81,910 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Nominee

Endorsements
J.D. Scholten
Federal politicians
  • Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California and Withdrawn candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination[110]
  • Mike Gravel, Former U.S. Senator from Alaska and withdrawn candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination[111]
Individuals
Organizations

Results
Democratic primary results[115]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic J. D. Scholten 46,354 99.6
N/A Write-in 166 0.4
Total votes 46,520 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[116] Safe R June 2, 2020
Inside Elections[117] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[118] Safe R June 4, 2020
Politico[119] Lean R April 19, 2020
Niskanen[120] Likely R April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[121] Likely R April 30, 2020

Polling
Hypothetical polling
with Steve King and J.D. Scholten
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Steve
King (R)		 J.D.
Scholten (D)		 Undecided
20/20 Insight (D)[upper-alpha 10] January 16–17, 2019 472 (LV) ± 4.5% 39% 44% 17%
with Steve King and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Steve
King (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
20/20 Insight (D)[upper-alpha 10] January 16–17, 2019 472 ± 4.5% 37% 45% 18%
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register June 7-10, 2020 – (LV)[lower-alpha 21] <= ± 7.7% 57% 35% –
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register March 2–5, 2020 – (LV)[lower-alpha 22] – 51% 40% –

Results
Iowa's 4th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Randy Feenstra
Democratic J. D. Scholten
Total votes 100.0

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Standard VI response
  3. Response after pollster addresses respondents with message testing
  4. Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 674
  5. Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 667
  6. Standard VI response
  7. Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 674
  8. Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 667
  9. Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 674
  10. Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 667
  11. If only King and Feenstra were candidates
  12. "Another candidate" with 9%
  13. "Another candidate" with 8%
  14. Not yet released
  15. Not yet released
  16. Bret Richards with 2%
  17. If respondents had to choose between the two candidates for which percentages are listed
  18. "Undecided/don't know/refused" with 12%
  19. If respondents had to choose between the two candidates for which percentages are listed
  20. "Undecided/don't know/refused" with 17%
  21. Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 674
  22. Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 667
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by the NRCC
  2. The Future Leaders Fund is a pro-Republican PAC
  3. This poll was sponsored by the NRCC
  4. The Future Leaders Fund is a pro-Republican PAC
  5. American Future Fund is a PAC supporting Randy Feenstra
  6. Richards with 3%
  7. Poll sponsored by Feenstra's campaign
  8. Poll sponsored by Feenstra's campaign
  9. Poll sponsored by Feenstra's campaign
  10. Poll sponsored by Majority Rules PAC

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  104. Gruber-Miller, Stephen (May 5, 2020). "U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses challenger Randy Feenstra over Rep. Steve King in primary race". Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 10, 2020.
  105. https://siouxcityjournal.com/opinion/editorial/our-opinion-feenstra-represents-best-choice-for-republicans-in-4th-district-u-s-house-primary/article_e89b30a3-289b-5911-b77f-ebff6a685691.html
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  109. Judd, Donald (August 5, 2019). "Iowa native JD Scholten announces second bid to unseat GOP Rep. Steve King". CNN. Retrieved August 5, 2019.
  110. @KamalaHarris (August 6, 2019). "Iowans in #IA04 deserve a leader in the House who will stand against hate in all forms. Glad to see @JDScholten is entering the race — we need more voices like yours as we fight for our America" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  111. @MikeGravel (August 6, 2019). "And the list of 67,000 active donors we compiled will be invaluable in helping Democrats like @MeetMckayla and @JDScholten—we hope to use it to aid progressive candidates as they wrest power from the establishment" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  112. @RealKevinConroy (August 19, 2019). "Iowa stand up and defeat Steve King. You deserve so much better. @JDScholten" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  113. Marianne Williamson (January 29, 2020). Candidates I support in the upcoming election on YouTube
  114. Climate Strike Iowa (May 27, 2020). "🚨🚨ENDORSEMENT ALERT🚨🚨We endorse Kimberly Graham for US Senate and JD Scholten for District 4 representative". Retrieved May 28, 2020 – via Instagram.
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
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