2020 United States presidential election in Vermont

The 2020 United States presidential election in Vermont is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Vermont voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Vermont has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2020 United States presidential election in Vermont

November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence TBA

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

TBA

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on March 3, 2020. Donald Trump and Bill Weld were among the declared Republican candidates.

Results

Bill Weld's 10% share of the vote was his best performance of any state.

2020 Vermont Republican primary[3]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[4]
Donald Trump 33,984 86.49 17
Bill Weld 3,971 10.11 0
Rocky De La Fuente 341 0.87 0
Write-ins 480 1.22 0
Overvotes 37 0.09 0
Blank votes 478 1.22 0
Total 39,291 100% 17

Results by county

  Trump—80–85%
2020 Vermont Republican primary

(results per county)[5]

County Donald Trump Bill Weld Rocky De La Fuente Write-ins Overvotes Blank votes Total votes cast
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Addison 2,147 85.27 270 10.72 24 0.95 32 1.27 2 0.08 43 1.71 2,518
Bennington 1,996 87.24 217 9.48 18 0.79 20 0.87 1 0.04 36 1.57 2,288
Caledonia 1,821 87.30 181 8.68 18 0.86 27 1.29 7 0.34 32 1.53 2,086
Chittenden 6,660 84.98 881 11.24 73 0.93 111 1.42 9 0.11 103 1.31 7,837
Essex 681 92.65 24 3.27 3 0.41 13 1.77 0 0 14 1.90 735
Franklin 3,307 89.60 264 7.15 34 0.92 42 1.14 0 0 44 1.19 3,691
Grand Isle 633 90.95 43 6.18 4 0.57 6 0.86 0 0 10 1.44 696
Lamoille 1,036 84.36 150 12.21 10 0.81 23 1.87 2 0.16 7 0.57 1,228
Orange 1,391 83.59 215 12.92 15 0.90 19 1.14 2 0.12 22 1.32 1,664
Orleans 1,392 90.04 113 7.31 11 0.71 12 0.78 0 0 18 1.16 1,546
Rutland 5,303 90.63 399 6.82 43 0.73 70 1.20 3 0.05 33 0.56 5,851
Washington 2,875 82.31 486 13.91 46 1.32 30 0.86 6 0.17 50 1.43 3,493
Windham 1,581 82.22 275 14.30 15 0.78 27 1.40 3 0.16 22 1.14 1,923
Windsor 3,161 84.63 453 12.13 27 0.72 48 1.29 2 0.05 44 1.18 3,735
Total 33,984 86.49 3,971 10.11 341 0.87 480 1.22 37 0.09 478 1.22 39,291

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020. Bernie Sanders, one of the two current senators from Vermont and a 2016 Democratic primary candidate, declared his candidacy on February 19, 2019, after speculation he would do so.[6][7] Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, and Elizabeth Warren were among the other major declared candidates.[8][9]

Results

Popular vote share by county
  Sanders—40–50%
  Sanders—50–60%
2020 Vermont Democratic presidential primary[10]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[11]
Bernie Sanders 79,921 50.57 11
Joe Biden 34,669 21.94 5
Elizabeth Warren 19,785 12.52 0
Michael Bloomberg 14,828 9.38 0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 3,709 2.35 0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 1,991 1.26 0
Tulsi Gabbard 1,303 0.82 0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn†) 591 0.37 0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 202 0.13 0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn†) 137 0.09 0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 135 0.09 0
Mark Stewart 110 0.07 0
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 52 0.03 0
Write-ins[lower-alpha 1] 219 0.14 0
Overvotes 57 0.04 0
Blank votes 323 0.20 0
Total 158,032 100% 16

†Candidate withdrew after no-excuse, in-person absentee voting started.

Results by county

2020 Vermont Democratic primary

(results per county)[12]

County Bernie Sanders Joe Biden Elizabeth Warren Michael Bloomberg Pete Buttigieg Amy Klobuchar Tulsi Gabbard Andrew Yang Tom Steyer Deval Patrick Marianne Williamson Mark Stewart Julian Castro Write-ins Overvotes Blank votes Total votes cast
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Addison 5,069 48.61 2,256 21.63 1,581 15.16 974 9.34 227 2.18 117 1.12 67 0.64 34 0.33 15 0.14 7 0.07 6 0.06 11 0.11 5 0.05 17 0.16 7 0.07 35 0.34 10,428
Bennington 3,568 45.10 2,308 29.17 813 10.28 827 10.45 158 2.00 69 0.87 62 0.78 27 0.34 10 0.13 20 0.25 9 0.11 4 0.05 5 0.06 17 0.21 3 0.04 12 0.15 7,912
Caledonia 2,749 50.88 1,182 21.88 656 12.14 501 9.27 121 2.24 56 1.04 59 1.09 33 0.61 5 0.09 10 0.19 6 0.11 4 0.07 1 0.02 5 0.09 7 0.13 8 0.15 5,403
Chittenden 26,465 51.98 9,959 19.56 6,972 13.69 4,647 9.13 1,254 2.46 777 1.53 375 0.74 173 0.34 43 0.08 22 0.04 37 0.07 27 0.05 14 0.03 56 0.11 9 0.02 83 0.16 50,913
Essex 408 43.78 275 29.51 55 5.90 117 12.55 22 2.36 15 1.61 10 1.07 7 0.75 2 0.21 0 0 0 0 2 0.21 0 0 7 0.75 1 0.11 11 1.18 932
Franklin 3,962 50.14 1,919 24.28 527 6.67 1,021 12.92 194 2.46 81 1.03 57 0.72 47 0.59 7 0.09 8 0.10 14 0.18 7 0.09 4 0.05 25 0.32 3 0.04 26 0.33 7,902
Grand Isle 936 46.73 475 23.71 178 8.89 284 14.18 54 2.70 31 1.55 17 0.85 9 0.45 2 0.10 0 0 1 0.05 2 0.10 0 0 3 0.15 2 0.10 9 0.45 2,003
Lamoille 3,146 53.57 1,271 21.64 495 8.43 680 11.58 114 1.94 65 1.11 37 0.63 26 0.44 5 0.09 4 0.07 2 0.03 0 0 2 0.03 9 0.15 1 0.02 16 0.27 5,873
Orange 3,283 52.10 1,342 21.30 885 14.05 451 7.16 134 2.13 85 1.35 60 0.95 20 0.32 8 0.13 6 0.10 4 0.06 2 0.03 2 0.03 5 0.08 3 0.05 11 0.17 6,301
Orleans 1,985 51.53 899 23.34 341 8.85 439 11.40 67 1.74 37 0.96 35 0.91 14 0.36 5 0.13 4 0.10 7 0.18 5 0.13 1 0.03 1 0.03 2 0.05 10 0.26 3,852
Rutland 5,585 46.49 3,275 27.26 979 8.15 1,463 12.18 310 2.58 133 1.11 122 1.02 46 0.38 18 0.15 16 0.13 15 0.12 15 0.12 5 0.04 16 0.13 5 0.04 11 0.09 12,014
Washington 8,668 51.76 3,260 19.47 2,479 14.80 1,347 8.04 467 2.79 178 1.06 134 0.80 66 0.39 17 0.10 9 0.05 23 0.14 16 0.10 9 0.05 19 0.11 6 0.04 49 0.29 16,747
Windham 6,857 55.21 2,316 18.65 1,844 14.85 748 6.02 237 1.91 171 1.38 115 0.93 36 0.29 31 0.25 17 0.14 6 0.05 9 0.07 2 0.02 13 0.10 4 0.03 13 0.10 12,419
Windsor 7,240 47.22 3,932 25.64 1,980 12.91 1,329 8.67 350 2.28 176 1.15 153 1.00 53 0.35 34 0.22 14 0.09 5 0.03 6 0.04 2 0.01 26 0.17 4 0.03 29 0.19 15,333
Total 79,921 50.57 34,669 21.94 19,785 12.52 14,828 9.38 3,709 2.35 1,991 1.26 1,303 0.82 591 0.37 202 0.13 137 0.09 135 0.09 110 0.07 52 0.03 219 0.14 57 0.04 323 0.20 158,032

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe D June 19, 2020
Inside Elections[14] Safe D April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D June 25, 2020
Politico[16] Safe D April 19, 2020
RCP[17] Safe D June 22, 2020
Niskanen[18] Safe D March 24, 2020
CNN[19] Safe D June 25, 2020
JHK Forecasts[20] Safe D June 27, 2020

Polling

Notes

  1. Donald Trump with 83 votes; Blank (written in) with 8 votes; Hillary Clinton with 5 votes; Michael Bennet with 3 votes; Ron Paul, Michelle Obama, John Edwards, Thomas James Torgensen, and Stephen Richardson with 2 votes; 110 other write-ins with 1 vote

See also

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ":: Vermont Election Night Results ::". vtelectionresults.sec.state.vt.us. Retrieved 2020-03-04.
  4. "Vermont Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
  5. "Official Report of the Canvassing Committee" (PDF). Vermont Official State Website. United States and Vermont Statewide Offices. March 3, 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 27, 2020. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
  6. "Bernie Sanders Enters 2020 Presidential Campaign, No Longer An Underdog". NPR. Retrieved February 20, 2019.
  7. Martin, Jonathan; Ember, Sydney (27 December 2018). "For Bernie Sanders, Holding Onto Support May Be Hard in a 2020 Bid". The New York Times.
  8. Taylor, Kate (9 February 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  9. Ma, John Haltiwanger, Joe Perticone, Alexandra. "Joe Biden is running for president in 2020, warning that another term of Trump would tarnish America's soul forever". Business Insider. Retrieved 2019-05-01.
  10. "Vermont Election Official Results". Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
  11. "Vermont Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 3, 2020.
  12. "Official Report of the Canvassing Committee" (PDF). Vermont Official State Website. United States and Vermont Statewide Offices. March 3, 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 27, 2020. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
  13. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  14. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  15. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  16. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  17. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  18. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  19. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  20. "JHK Forecasts » 2020 President". JHK Forecasts. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
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