2020 United States presidential election in Alaska
The 2020 United States presidential election in Alaska is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Alaska voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Alaska has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
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By the time that the primary elections were held in Alaska in April 10, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, former Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee on April 8, 2020 after Senator Bernie Sanders dropped out. The Libertarian Party, which received over 5% of the vote in 2016, has nominated Jo Jorgensen.
Primary elections
Canceled Republican primary
On September 21, 2019, the Alaska Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses.[3] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H. W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[4][5]
The state party will still formally conduct the higher meetings in their walking subcaucus-type delegate selection system. The district conventions were held on the four consecutive Saturdays in February 2020 to select delegates to the Alaska State Republican Convention. The state convention will then be held in early April 2020 to select and bind their 29 pledged delegates to the national convention.[6]
Democratic primary
The Alaska Democratic primary was originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 23, due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic, the Alaska Democratic Party canceled in-person voting, but extended mail-in voting to April 10.[7]
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[9] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 10,834 | 55.31 | 8 |
| Bernie Sanders (suspended) | 8,755 | 44.69 | 7 |
| Total | 19,589 | 100 | 15 |
Libertarian nominee
- Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Safe R | June 10, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Safe R | April 3, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe R | June 25, 2020 |
| Politico[13] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| RCP[14] | Likely R | June 22, 2020 |
| Niskanen[15] | Safe R | March 24, 2020 |
| CNN[16] | Safe R | June 25, 2020 |
| JHK Forecasts[17] | Likely R | June 27, 2020 |
Polling
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | Jul 22 – Aug 9, 2019 | 321 | ± 5.5% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
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Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
See also
References
- Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- Cole, Devan (September 23, 2019). "Alaska GOP cancels its 2020 presidential primary in show of support for Trump". CNN. Retrieved September 26, 2019.
- Karni, Annie (September 6, 2019). "GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers". Boston Globe. MSN. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
- Steakin, Will; Karson, Kendall (September 6, 2019). "GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses, Trump challengers outraged". ABC News. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
- "Alaska Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 21, 2020.
- "Rhode Island postpones primaries and Alaska Democrats cancel in-person voting due to coronavirus". CNN. March 23, 2020.
- "Moving Alaska forward: RESULTS OF THE PARTY RUN PRIMARY". alaskademocrats.org. Alaska Democratic Party. Retrieved April 11, 2020.
- "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
- "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
- David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
- "JHK Forecasts » 2020 President". JHK Forecasts. Retrieved 2020-06-27.