2020 Washington gubernatorial election

2020 Washington gubernatorial election
	November 3, 2020
	November 3, 2020
Incumbent Governor; Jay Inslee; Democratic	;

The 2020 Washington gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of Washington, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The top-two primary is scheduled for August 4.

Washington does not have gubernatorial term limits; incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Inslee is eligible to run for a third term.[1] Inslee initially launched a campaign for President of the United States in the 2020 election. When he dropped out of that race in August 2019, he announced he would seek a third term.[2] Several other Democratic political figures considered entering the race if Inslee did not run, but no Democrats have challenged him.[3] Jay Inslee is the first governor to seek a third term since 1972.

Background

Washington has not had a Republican governor since John Spellman left office in 1985, the longest streak of Democratic-party leadership of any state in the country and the third longest streak of one-party leadership after South Dakota, which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey L. Wollman left office in 1979, and Utah, which has not had a Democratic governor since Scott M. Matheson left office nine days prior to Spellman in 1985.[4][5][6] Incumbent Governor Jay Inslee, who previously served in the U.S. House, was first elected to the governorship in the 2012 election and won reelection in 2016.

When Inslee announced his candidacy for President, several political figures expressed interest in running for Governor if Inslee won the Democratic primaries. These included Attorney General Bob Ferguson, Commissioner of Public Lands Hilary Franz and King County executive Dow Constantine.[7] They stated they would only run if Inslee was not, avoiding a primary challenge.[8][9] So far, Jay Inslee is the sole major Democratic candidate.

Several Republican politicians have announced their own campaigns to challenge Inslee, including businessman Anton Sakharov, Republic police chief Loren Culp, and state senator Phil Fortunato.[10][11]

Democratic candidates

Declared

Jay Inslee, incumbent Governor of Washington and former candidate for President of the United States in 2020[12]

Declined

Dow Constantine, King County executive[13][14]
Bob Ferguson, Washington Attorney General (running for reelection)[9][14]
Hilary Franz, Washington Commissioner of Public Lands (running for reelection)[8][14]

Republican candidates

Declared

Loren Culp, police chief of the city of Republic, Washington, and U.S. Army veteran[10]
Tim Eyman, activist, initiative promoter[15]
Phil Fortunato, state senator[11]
Joshua Freed, former mayor of Bothell[16]
Raul Garcia, emergency physician[17]
Nate Herzog, former Lake Forest Park city councilman[18]
Anton Sakharov, program manager[19]

Declined

Bill Bryant, former Seattle Port Commissioner and nominee for Governor of Washington in 2016[20]
Bruce Dammeier, Pierce County executive[21]
Doug Ericksen, state senator[22]
Drew C. MacEwen, state representative[23]
Dori Monson, radio personality[24]
Dave Reichert, former U.S. Representative for Washington's 8th congressional district[25]
Drew Stokesbary, state representative[21]
J.T. Wilcox, minority leader of the Washington House of Representatives[21]

Other candidates

Green Party

Declared

Liz Hallock, attorney[26][27]

Independents

Declared

Cregan Newhouse, City of Seattle Consumer Protection Division acting manager and former public television director[28]

Withdrew

Asa Palagi, Army officer and businessman[29][30]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[31]	Safe D	April 3, 2020
Inside Elections[32]	Safe D	April 23, 2020
Sabato[33]	Safe D	January 16, 2020
Politico[34]	Safe D	April 19, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Jay Inslee (D)	Tim Eyman (R)	Loren Culp (R)	Phil Fotunato (R)	Joshua Freed (R)	Anton Sakharov (R)	Raul Garcia (R)	Other / Undecided
SurveyUSA/KING 5 News	May 16-19, 2020	650 (A)	± 5.6%	50%	8%	4%	6%	6%	1%	2%	23%
SurveyUSA/KING 5 News	January 26–28, 2020	1,103 (RV)	± 3.9%	39%	11%	5%	4%	4%	3%	-	34%
Crosscut/Elway	December 26–29, 2019	405 (RV)	± 5%	46%	7% (listed as Independent)	4%	4%	5%	-	-	34%

Among Democrats

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Jay Inslee (D)	Tim Eyman (R)	Loren Culp (R)	Phil Fotunato (R)	Joshua Freed (R)	Anton Sakharov (R)	Other / Undecided
SurveyUSA/KING 5 News Poll	January 26–28, 2020	452 (RV)	–	73%	4%	1%	0%	0%	0%	22%

Among Republican voters

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Jay Inslee (D)	Tim Eyman (R)	Loren Culp (R)	Phil Fotunato (R)	Joshua Freed (R)	Anton Sakharov (R)	Other / Undecided
SurveyUSA/KING 5 News Poll	January 26–28, 2020	287 (RV)	–	4%	11%	13%	11%	11%	6%	44%

Among independent voters

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Jay Inslee (D)	Tim Eyman (R)	Loren Culp (R)	Phil Fotunato (R)	Joshua Freed (R)	Anton Sakharov (R)	Other / Undecided
SurveyUSA/KING 5 News Poll	January 26–28, 2020	298 (RV)	–	27%	22%	5%	4%	2%	2%	37%

Hypothetical polling

with Bryant, Constantine and Ferguson

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Bill Bryant (R)	Bob Ferguson (D)	Dow Constantine (D)	Hillary Franz (D)	Other / Undecided
Chism Strategies	March 8-10, 2019	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46.3%	24.6%	6.2%	1.8%	21.1%

Head-to-head Polling

with Jay Inslee and Loren Culp

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Jay Inslee (D)	Loren Culp (R)	Other / Undecided
SurveyUSA	May 16–19, 2020	530 (LV)	± 5.4%	56%	31%	13%

with Jay Inslee and Phil Fortunato

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Jay Inslee (D)	Phil Fortunato (R)	Other / Undecided
SurveyUSA	May 16–19, 2020	530 (LV)	± 5.4%	56%	34%	10%

with Jay Inslee and Joshua Freed

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Jay Inslee (D)	Joshua Freed (R)	Other / Undecided
SurveyUSA	May 16–19, 2020	530 (LV)	± 5.4%	57%	30%	13%

with Jay Inslee and Tim Eyman

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Jay Inslee (D)	Tim Eyman (R)	Other / Undecided
SurveyUSA	May 16–19, 2020	530 (LV)	± 5.4%	60%	31%	9%

Results

Primary election

A top-two primary will take place on August 4. All candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation and the top two will advance to the general election in November.

2016 Washington gubernatorial election[35]
Party		Candidate	%
	Democratic	Jay Inslee (incumbent)
	Democratic	Omari Tahir Garrett
	Democratic	Don L. Rivers
	Democratic	Gene Hart
	Socialist Workers	Henry Clay Dennison
	Republican	Loren Culp
	Republican	Tim Eyman
	Republican	Phil Fortunato
	Republican	Joshua Freed
	Republican	Raul Garcia
	Republican	Nate Herzog
	Republican	Anton Sakharov
	Green	Liz Hallock
	Independent	Thor Amundson
	Independent	Cregan M. Newhouse
	Independent	Dylan B. Nails
Total votes			100.00%

Notes

Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

References

Merica, Dan (March 1, 2019). "Washington Gov. Jay Inslee announces 2020 presidential bid". Retrieved March 1, 2019.
CNN, Dan Merica and Paul LeBlanc (August 22, 2019). "Washington Gov. Jay Inslee drops out of presidential race". CNN. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
Gutman, David (August 22, 2019). "With Inslee running again for governor, leading Washington state Democrats put their ambitions on hold". The Seattle Times. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
Wood, Benjamin (July 19, 2019). "achary Moses, a Democratic candidate for governor, wants to break up Republican control of Utah and build a space port". Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
Scott, Dylan (November 7, 2018). "Kristi Noem elected first woman governor of South Dakota". Vox. Retrieved August 26, 2019.
Camden, Jim (January 16, 2018). "John Spellman, Washington's last Republican governor, dies". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved August 23, 2019.
"King County Executive Dow Constantine not ruling out run for governor". KING 5 News. Retrieved February 25, 2019.
Axelrod, Tal (August 22, 2019). "Inslee to announce bid for third term as Washington governor: report". The Hill. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
Smay, Ian (August 22, 2019). "Bob Ferguson announces decision to run for another term as Washington Attorney General". KING 5 News. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
Robinson, Erin (July 26, 2019). "Republic police chief announces run for governor". KXLY. Retrieved August 2, 2019.
"GOP State Senator Phil Fortunato gears up for governor run". The Seattle Times. August 5, 2019. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
@JayInslee (August 22, 2019). "That's why, today, I'm announcing my intention to run for a third term as Washington's governor. Join me" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
"King County Executive Dow Constantine not ruling out run for governor". KING. Retrieved February 25, 2019.
Gutman, David (August 22, 2019). "With Inslee running again for governor, leading Washington state Democrats put their ambitions on hold". The Seattle Times. Retrieved August 23, 2019.
Brunner, Jim (February 13, 2020). "Tim Eyman says he'll run for governor as Republican, not independent". The Seattle Times. Retrieved February 15, 2020.
Brunner, Jim (September 6, 2019). "Former Bothell Mayor Joshua Freed to run for governor, citing homelessness crisis". The Seattle Times. Retrieved September 6, 2019.
Garcia, Raul (May 15, 2020). "Raul Garcia for WA State Governor". Raul Garcia. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
Drew, James (May 15, 2020). "Heres who's running statewide in the Aug. 4 primary election (and in a hot congressional race)". The News Tribune. Retrieved May 19, 2020.
Brunner, Jim (September 1, 2019). "As Washington state Republicans struggle to field 2020 candidates, Reichert eyes run for governor". Seattle Times. Retrieved September 3, 2019.
Brunner, Jim (June 24, 2019). "Who will Washington's next governor be? Uncertainty over Inslee creates pileup of politicians, domino effects down ballot". The Seattle Times. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
"With Jay Inslee running for president, here's who might lead WA next". Crosscut.com. Retrieved April 6, 2019.
"As Governor Inslee eyes White House, who could take his place in 2020?". Q13 FOX News. March 1, 2019. Retrieved March 1, 2019.
Radio, iFiberone News. "2018 CANDIDATE CONVERSATION - DREW MacEWEN". iFIBER ONE News Radio. Retrieved October 21, 2018.
"Dori: Why I might just run for governor after all". Retrieved October 1, 2019.
Connelly, Joel (September 3, 2019). "Former U.S. Rep. Dave Reichert says he won't run for Washington governor -- yet again". Seattle Post-Intelligencer. Retrieved September 3, 2019.
"Liz Hallock – A New Deal for Washington". Retrieved January 23, 2020.
Talamo, Lex (February 17, 2020). "Liz Hallock running for Washington governor as a Green Party candidate". Yakima Herald-Republic. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
https://www.cregannewhouse.com/. Missing or empty |title= (help)
"Asa Palagi, 2020".
"Independent Candidate Asa Palagi Withdraws From Washington State's Gubernatorial Race and Slams Government Shutdowns - Press Release - Digital Journal". www.digitaljournal.com. Retrieved June 24, 2020.
"2020 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
"Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". Inside Elections. Retrieved November 8, 2019.
"Crystal Ball". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 18, 2019.
"We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Poltico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
"November 8, 2016 General Election Results". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2016.

This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[key-35] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[1] Merica, Dan (March 1, 2019). "Washington Gov. Jay Inslee announces 2020 presidential bid". Retrieved March 1, 2019.

[2] CNN, Dan Merica and Paul LeBlanc (August 22, 2019). "Washington Gov. Jay Inslee drops out of presidential race". CNN. Retrieved August 22, 2019.

[3] Gutman, David (August 22, 2019). "With Inslee running again for governor, leading Washington state Democrats put their ambitions on hold". The Seattle Times. Retrieved August 22, 2019.

[UT-4] Wood, Benjamin (July 19, 2019). "achary Moses, a Democratic candidate for governor, wants to break up Republican control of Utah and build a space port". Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved August 29, 2019.

[SD-5] Scott, Dylan (November 7, 2018). "Kristi Noem elected first woman governor of South Dakota". Vox. Retrieved August 26, 2019.

[6] Camden, Jim (January 16, 2018). "John Spellman, Washington's last Republican governor, dies". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved August 23, 2019.

[:0-7] "King County Executive Dow Constantine not ruling out run for governor". KING 5 News. Retrieved February 25, 2019.

[inslee_bid-8] Axelrod, Tal (August 22, 2019). "Inslee to announce bid for third term as Washington governor: report". The Hill. Retrieved August 22, 2019.

[ferg_run-9] Smay, Ian (August 22, 2019). "Bob Ferguson announces decision to run for another term as Washington Attorney General". KING 5 News. Retrieved August 22, 2019.

[chief_run-10] Robinson, Erin (July 26, 2019). "Republic police chief announces run for governor". KXLY. Retrieved August 2, 2019.

[fort_gear-11] "GOP State Senator Phil Fortunato gears up for governor run". The Seattle Times. August 5, 2019. Retrieved August 6, 2019.

[12] @JayInslee (August 22, 2019). "That's why, today, I'm announcing my intention to run for a third term as Washington's governor. Join me" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[13] "King County Executive Dow Constantine not ruling out run for governor". KING. Retrieved February 25, 2019.

[Ambitions-14] Gutman, David (August 22, 2019). "With Inslee running again for governor, leading Washington state Democrats put their ambitions on hold". The Seattle Times. Retrieved August 23, 2019.

[15] Brunner, Jim (February 13, 2020). "Tim Eyman says he'll run for governor as Republican, not independent". The Seattle Times. Retrieved February 15, 2020.

[16] Brunner, Jim (September 6, 2019). "Former Bothell Mayor Joshua Freed to run for governor, citing homelessness crisis". The Seattle Times. Retrieved September 6, 2019.

[17] Garcia, Raul (May 15, 2020). "Raul Garcia for WA State Governor". Raul Garcia. Retrieved May 15, 2020.

[18] Drew, James (May 15, 2020). "Heres who's running statewide in the Aug. 4 primary election (and in a hot congressional race)". The News Tribune. Retrieved May 19, 2020.

[WArep1-19] Brunner, Jim (September 1, 2019). "As Washington state Republicans struggle to field 2020 candidates, Reichert eyes run for governor". Seattle Times. Retrieved September 3, 2019.

[20] Brunner, Jim (June 24, 2019). "Who will Washington's next governor be? Uncertainty over Inslee creates pileup of politicians, domino effects down ballot". The Seattle Times. Retrieved June 25, 2019.

[:5-21] "With Jay Inslee running for president, here's who might lead WA next". Crosscut.com. Retrieved April 6, 2019.

[:4-22] "As Governor Inslee eyes White House, who could take his place in 2020?". Q13 FOX News. March 1, 2019. Retrieved March 1, 2019.

[23] Radio, iFiberone News. "2018 CANDIDATE CONVERSATION - DREW MacEWEN". iFIBER ONE News Radio. Retrieved October 21, 2018.

[24] "Dori: Why I might just run for governor after all". Retrieved October 1, 2019.

[25] Connelly, Joel (September 3, 2019). "Former U.S. Rep. Dave Reichert says he won't run for Washington governor -- yet again". Seattle Post-Intelligencer. Retrieved September 3, 2019.

[26] "Liz Hallock – A New Deal for Washington". Retrieved January 23, 2020.

[27] Talamo, Lex (February 17, 2020). "Liz Hallock running for Washington governor as a Green Party candidate". Yakima Herald-Republic. Retrieved February 20, 2020.

[28] ttps://www.cregannewhouse.com/. Missing or empty |title= (help)

[29] "Asa Palagi, 2020".

[30] "Independent Candidate Asa Palagi Withdraws From Washington State's Gubernatorial Race and Slams Government Shutdowns - Press Release - Digital Journal". www.digitaljournal.com. Retrieved June 24, 2020.

[31] "2020 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2019.

[32] "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". Inside Elections. Retrieved November 8, 2019.

[33] "Crystal Ball". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 18, 2019.

[34] "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Poltico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.

[genresults-36] "November 8, 2016 General Election Results". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2016.

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