2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. Representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

November 3, 2020

All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 0

District 1

The 1st district is based in southeastern New Hampshire, and includes Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent is Democrat Chris Pappas, who was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Endorsements
Chris Pappas
Federal officials
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Pappas (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Matt Mayberry, U.S. Air Force veteran and former Dover city councilor[7]
  • Matt Mowers, former executive director of the New Hampshire Republican Party and former U.S. State Department staffer
Withdrawn
  • William Fowler, state representative (endorsed Mowers)[8]
Declined

Endorsements

Matt Mowers
Federal officials
Local Politicians
  • Bruce Breton, Windham Selectman [12]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Mayberry
Republican Matt Mowers
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Lean D April 24,2020
Inside Elections[14] Likely D April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Lean D April 23, 2020
Politico[16] Lean D April 19, 2020
Niskanen[17] Safe D April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[18] Lean D April 30, 2020

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Saint Anselm College Jun 13-16, 2020 567 (RV) ± 4.1% 48% 42% 2% 8%
Saint Anselm College Apr 23-27, 2020 442 (RV) ± 4.7% 49% 43% 1% 6%

Results

New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Pappas (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Libertarian Zachary Dumont
Total votes 100.0

District 2

The 2nd district encompasses western and northern New Hampshire, and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent is Democrat Ann McLane Kuster, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lynne Blankenbeker
Republican Eli Clemmer
Republican Steve Negron
Total votes 100.0

Endorsements

Ann McLane Kuster (D)
Local officials
Organizations
Lynne Blankenbeker (R)
Organizations

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[29] Safe D April 24,2020
Inside Elections[30] Safe D April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Likely D April 23, 2020
Politico[32] Lean D April 19, 2020
Niskanen[33] Safe D April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[34] Safe D April 30, 2020

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Saint Anselm College Jun 13-16, 2020 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 44% 3% 9%
Saint Anselm College Apr 23-27, 2020 378 (RV) ± 5% 47% 41% 5% 7%

Results

New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Libertarian Andrew Olding
Total votes 100.0

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  2. https://twitter.com/Maggie_Hassan/status/1270449176896290816
  3. https://twitter.com/JeanneShaheen/status/1270389725317210112
  4. Sittenfeld, Tiernan (June 5, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of 2020 Environmental Majority Makers". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  5. Imse, Elliot (November 26, 2019). "Victory Fund Endorses 39 LGBTQ Candidates for 2019 and 2020". Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  6. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  7. DiStaso, John (December 5, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Republican Matt Mayberry says he'll run for 1st District US House seat". WMUR 9. Retrieved December 9, 2019.
  8. DiStaso, John (April 9, 2020). "NH Primary Source: Fowler ends US House campaign, endorses Mowers". WMUR. WMUR9.
  9. DiStaso, John (January 17, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Eddie Edwards is being urged to run again for US House". WMUR. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  10. DiStaso, John (June 12, 2020). "Trump gives 'Complete and Total Endorsement' to former appointee Mowers in 1st US House District". WMUR.
  11. https://www.wmur.com/article/us-house-republican-leader-kevin-mccarthy-endorses-matt-mowers-in-1st-congressional-district-race/32724552#. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  12. https://www.wmur.com/article/nh-primary-source-trump-loyalist-longtime-conservative-leader-breton-endorses-mowers-for-congress/32693276. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  13. "2020 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  14. "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  15. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 House". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  16. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  17. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  18. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
  19. "Home - Annie Kuster for Congress". www.kusterforcongress.com.
  20. Steinhauser, Paul (October 10, 2019). "On the trail: Blankenbeker launches 2020 congressional bid, Gabbard accuses Dems of election rigging". Retrieved October 28, 2019.
  21. "Clemmer For NH". Clemmer For NH. Retrieved February 19, 2020.
  22. "Berlin 1-14-20". The Berlin Sun. Retrieved February 19, 2020.
  23. Sexton, Adam [@AdamSextonWMUR] (March 24, 2019). "Right now on CloseUp @WMUR9: @SteveNegronNH declares his candidacy for #NH02 in 2020, seeking rematch vs @AnnMcLaneKuster #nhpolitics #WMUR" (Tweet). Retrieved March 24, 2019 via Twitter.
  24. Merica, Dan (May 13, 2020). "Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements". CNN. Retrieved May 14, 2020.
  25. "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC.
  26. "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
  27. "2020 Candidates". Maggie's List. Retrieved February 27, 2020.
  28. "Lynne Blankenbeker (NH-2)". War Veterans Fund. Retrieved February 27, 2020.
  29. "2020 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  30. "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  31. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 House". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  32. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  33. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  34. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
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