2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the six U.S. Representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
November 3, 2020
All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 5 1
Elections in Kentucky
Government

District 1
See also: Kentucky's 1st congressional district

The 1st district takes in Western Kentucky, including Paducah, Hopkinsville, Murray, and Henderson. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 68.6% of the vote.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Comer (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
  • James Rhodes[2]

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic James Rhodes 100.0
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[3] Safe R April 24,2020
Inside Elections[4] Safe R April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Safe R April 23, 2020
Politico[6] Safe R April 19, 2020
Niskanen[7] Safe R April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R April 30, 2020

Results
Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Comer (incumbent)
Democratic James Rhodes
Total votes 100.0

District 2
See also: Kentucky's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses west-central Kentucky, taking in Bowling Green, Owensboro, and Elizabethtown. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent)
Republican Kathleen Free
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Hank Linderman, nominee for Kentucky's 2nd congressional district in 2018[9]

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hank Linderman 100.0
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Safe R April 24,2020
Inside Elections[11] Safe R April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R April 23, 2020
Politico[13] Safe R April 19, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[15] Safe R April 30, 2020

Results
Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent)
Democratic Hank Linderman
Total votes 100.0

District 3
See also: Kentucky's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of the Louisville metropolitan area. The incumbent is Democrat John Yarmuth, who was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Yarmuth (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Mike Craven, activist and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018[17]
  • Waymen Eddings, businessman[17]
  • Rhonda Palazzo, realtor and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018[17]

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Craven
Republican Waymen Eddings
Republican Rhonda Palazzo
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Safe D April 24,2020
Inside Elections[19] Safe D April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D April 23, 2020
Politico[21] Safe D April 19, 2020
Niskanen[22] Safe D April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[23] Safe D April 30, 2020

Results
Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Yarmuth (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 4
See also: Kentucky's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and a small part of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
Declined
  • Kim Moser, state representative[26]

Endorsements
Thomas Massie (R)
US Senators
US Representatives
Statewide Officials
Organizations
Todd McMurtry (R)
US Representatives
Individuals
Organizations

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Thomas
Massie		 Todd
McMurty		 Kim
Moser		 Undecided
WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 1] June 10–11, 2020 411 (LV) ± 4.9% 77% 11% – 12%
WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 2] April 27–28, 2020 407 (LV) ± 4.9% 70% 13% – 17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 3] February 4–6, 2020 300 (V) ± 5.66% 71% 3% – –
WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 4] July 8–9, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 64% – 10% 26%
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Thomas
Massie		 Generic
Republican		 Undecided
WPA Intelligence[lower-alpha 2] July 8–9, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 8% 43%[lower-alpha 3]

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent)
Republican Todd McMurtry
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Shannon Fabert, business consultant[29]
  • Alexandra Owensby, nurse practitioner[29]

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Shannon Fabert
Democratic Alexandra Owensby
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Safe R April 24,2020
Inside Elections[31] Safe R April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] Safe R April 23, 2020
Politico[33] Safe R April 19, 2020
Niskanen[34] Safe R April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[35] Safe R April 30, 2020

Results
Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent)
Democratic TBA
Total votes 100.0

District 5
See also: Kentucky's 5th congressional district

The 5th district, one of the poorest and most rural in the country, is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. Representative[36]
  • Geraldo Serrano, farmer and candidate for Kentucky's 5th congressional district in 2018[36]

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent)
Republican Gerardo Serrano
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
Declined

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matthew Best 100.0
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[38] Safe R April 24,2020
Inside Elections[39] Safe R April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] Safe R April 23, 2020
Politico[41] Safe R April 19, 2020
Niskanen[42] Safe R April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[43] Safe R April 30, 2020

Results
Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent)
Democratic Matthew Best
Total votes 100.0

District 6
See also: Kentucky's 6th congressional district

The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Andy Barr, incumbent U.S. Representative[44]
  • Chuck Eddy, retired salesman[45]
  • Geoff Young, perrenial candidate and an an assistant director[45]

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent)
Republican Chuck Eddy
Republican Geoff Young
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Josh Hicks, attorney and U.S. Marine veteran[46]
  • Daniel Kemph, business analyst and candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2018[45]

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Josh Hicks
Democratic Daniel Kemph
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[47] Likely R April 24,2020
Inside Elections[48] Safe R April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] Likely R April 23, 2020
Politico[50] Likely R April 19, 2020
Niskanen[51] Likely R April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[52] Likely R April 30, 2020

Results
Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent)
Democratic Josh Hicks
Total votes 100.0

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. The Club for Growth is an organization that exclusively endorses Republican candidates
  3. "Would consider another candidate besides Massie" with 36%; "don't know" with 7%
Partisan clients
  1. By the time of this poll's sampling period, the Club for Growth had endorsed Massie's re-election bid
  2. By the time of this poll's sampling period, the Club for Growth had endorsed Massie's re-election bid
  3. Poll sponsored by Massie
  4. The Club for Growth is an organization that exclusively endorses Republican candidates

References
  1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 8, 2019.
  2. Overstreet, Melinda J. (January 10, 2020). "Candidates seek to unseat Riley, Rowland and Givens; 17 file for nine Glasgow council seats". Glasgow Daily Times. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  3. "2020 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  4. "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  5. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 House". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  6. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  7. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  8. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
  9. Swietek, Wes (January 10, 2020). "Minter, Sheldon unopposed in 2020". Bowling Green Daily News. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  10. "2020 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  11. "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 House". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  15. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
  16. Munson, Emilie (January 6, 2020). "Exclusive: Another Republican joins 5th District race". Retrieved January 9, 2020.
  17. "KENTUCKY". Politics 1. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  18. "2020 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  19. "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  20. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 House". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  21. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  22. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  23. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
  24. "Thomas Massie". www.facebook.com.
  25. Bailey, Phillip M.; Sonka, Joe (January 10, 2020). "Attorney in Covington Catholic case challenges Rep. Thomas Massie in GOP primary". Louisville Courier Journal. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  26. Bailey, Phillip M. (July 3, 2019). "National Republicans may be maneuvering to unseat Kentucky's conservative darling, Massie". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 3, 2019.
  27. Bailey, Phillip M. (July 4, 2019). "Rand Paul: Thomas Massie has 'my full support' against GOP primary threat". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved August 13, 2019.
  28. "Thomas Massie (KY-04)". Club for Growth. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
  29. Fair, Julia (January 7, 2020). "This is our best shot at changing things.' NKY Democrat nurse practitioner files to run against Republican Rep. Thomas Massie in 2020". Cincinnati Enquirer. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  30. "2020 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  31. "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  32. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 House". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  33. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  34. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  35. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
  36. Mills, Jarrod (January 11, 2020). "Several races set as election filing deadline passes". Times-Tribune. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  37. Desrochers, Daniel (December 2, 2019). "Rocky Adkins passes on U.S. Senate bid and takes job in Andy Beshear's administration". Lexington Herald Leader.
  38. "2020 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  39. "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  40. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 House". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  41. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  42. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  43. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
  44. "Andy Barr". Facebook. December 16, 2019. Retrieved December 25, 2019.
  45. Greene, Jonathan (January 14, 2020). "ELECTION 2020: Seven running for city commission". Richmond Register. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  46. Schreiner, Bruce (August 1, 2019). "Marine veteran enters race for 6th District seat in Kentucky". Associated Press News. Retrieved August 1, 2019.
  47. "2020 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  48. "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  49. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 House". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  50. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  51. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  52. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.