2020 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

The 2020 United States Senate election in Massachusetts will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2020 United States Senate election in Massachusetts
November 3, 2020
 
Nominee TBD TBD
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Ed Markey
Democratic
Elections in Massachusetts

In the September 1 primaries, U.S. Representative Joe Kennedy III is challenging incumbent Senator Ed Markey for the Democratic nomination and Shiva Ayyadurai and Kevin O'Connor are competing for the Republican nomination.

Democratic primary

The state primary election will take place on September 1, 2020.[1]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements
Joe Kennedy III
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide politicians
State legislators
Local politicians
Labor unions,
Ed Markey
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide politicians
State officials
Local officials
  • Tom Bernard, Mayor of North Adams[49]
  • Nicole LaChapelle, Mayor of Easthampton[49]
  • Paul A. Brodeur, Mayor of Melrose, former State Representative[44]
  • David Narkewicz, Mayor of Northampton[45]
  • Paul Heroux, Mayor of Attleboro [50]
  • Stephen DiNatale, Mayor of Fitchburg [50]
  • Scott Galvin, Mayor of Woburn [50]
  • Linda Tyer, Mayor of Pittsfield[49]
  • William Sapelli, Mayor of Agawam[51]
  • Roxann Wedgegartner, Mayor of Greenfield[51]
  • John Vieau, Mayor of Chicopee[51]
  • Thomas M. McGee, Mayor of Lynn [52]
  • Tom Koch, Mayor of Quincy [52]
  • Donna Holaday, Mayor of Newburyport [50]
  • Joseph Petty, Mayor of Worcestor [50]
  • Robert Sullivan, Mayor of Brockton [50]
  • Joseph Curtatone, Mayor of Somerville [50]
  • Dan Rivera, Mayor of Lawrence [50]
  • James Fiorentini, Mayor of Haverhill [50]
  • Breanna Lungo-Koehn, Mayor of Medford [50]
  • Brian Arrigo, Mayor of Revere [50]
  • Gary Christenson, Mayor of Brockton [50]
  • Marty Walsh, Mayor of Boston [50]
  • Rachael Rollins, District Attorney of Suffolk County[53]
  • Annissa Essaibi George, Boston City Councilor [54]
  • Alanna Mallon, Cambridge City Councilor[55]
  • Dennis Carlone, Cambridge City Councilor[55]
  • Patricia Nolan, Cambridge City Councilor[55]
  • Jivan Sobrinho-Wheeler, Cambridge City Councilor[55]
  • Quinton Zondervan, Cambridge City Councilor[55]
  • Sheila Gilmour, Greenfield City Councilor[56]
  • Doug Mayo, Greenfield City Councilor[57]
  • Elizabeth Fisk, Greenfield DTC Chair [57]
  • Dani Letourneau-Therrien, Greenfield Fmr. City Councilor and Fmr. DTC Chair [57]
  • Adrienne Nunez, Greenfield Fmr. School Committee member [57]
  • Glenn Johnson, Greenfield City Councilor [57]
  • Gina-Louise Sciarra, Northampton City Councilor [51]
  • William Dwight, Northampton City Councilor [51]
  • Karen Foster, Northampton City Councilor [51]
  • John Thorpe, Northampton City Councilor [51]
  • Rachel Maiore, Northampton City Councilor [51]
  • Owen Zaret, Easthampton City Councilor [51]
  • Tom Peake, Easthampton City Councilor [51]
  • Evan Ross, Amherst Town Councilor [51]
  • Sean Curren, Springfield City Councilor [58]
  • Melvin Edwards, Springfield City Councilor [58]
  • Malo Brown, Springfield City Councilor [58]
  • Jesse Lederman, Springfield City Councilor [58]
  • Tim Allen, Springfield City Councilor [58]
  • Shirley Edgerton, Pittsfield Community Activist [51]
  • Katherine Yon, Pittsfield School Committee member [51]
  • Sherwood Guernsey, Williamstown Fmr. State Representative[51]
  • Daniel E. Bosley, North Adams Fmr. State Representative[51]
Individuals
Unions
Organizations

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ed
Markey		 Maura
Healey		 Shannon
Liss-Riordan		 Joe
Kennedy III		 Seth
Moulton		 Steve
Pemberton		 Allen
Waters		 Other Undecided
Emerson College May 5–6, 2020 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% – – 58% – – – – 0%
University of Massachusetts Lowell April 27 – May 1, 2020 531 (LV) ± 7.8% 42% – – 44% – – – 4%[lower-alpha 2] 10%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ February 26–28, 2020 465 (LV) ± 4.4% 36% – – 42% – – – 1%[lower-alpha 3] 21%
UMass Amherst/WCVB February 18–24, 2020 400 (LV) ± 5.9% 43% – – 40% – – – 4% 13%
UMass Lowell/YouGov February 12–19, 2020 450 ± 6.1% 34% – – 35% – – – – 23%
Oct 14, 2019 Pemberton withdraws from the race
Sep 21, 2019 Kennedy announces his candidacy
Suffolk University/Boston Globe September 3–5, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 28% – – 42% – – – – 29%
26% – <1% 35% – 1% 0% – 36%
Change Research August 23–25, 2019 808 ± 3.5% 25% – 5% 42% – 7% – – –
Jul 23, 2019 Pemberton announces his candidacy
Suffolk University June 5–9, 2019 370 ± 5.1% 44% – 5% – – 5% – – 45%
YouGov/UMass Amherst November 7–14, 2018 635 – 26% 27% – – – – – – 35%
636 – 29% – – – 25% – – – 38%
Oct 5, 2018 Markey announces his candidacy
Suffolk University September 13–17, 2018 433 – 24% – – – 18% – – – 45%

Debates

Results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joe Kennedy III
Democratic Ed Markey (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary

The state primary election will take place on September 1, 2020.[1]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Other candidates

Green Party

Withdrew

Independents

Declared
  • Frederick Mayock, independent candidate for Massachusetts' 1st congressional district in 2020[5][99]

General election

The general election will take place on November 3, 2020.[1]

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[100] Safe D June 18, 2020
Inside Elections[101] Safe D April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[102] Safe D April 30, 2020
Daily Kos[103] Safe D June 4, 2020
Politico[104] Safe D April 19, 2020
RCP[105] Safe D June 25, 2020
Niskanen[106] Safe D April 28, 2020

Polling
Hypothetical polling
with Charlie Baker
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ed
Markey (D)		 Charlie
Baker (R)		 Undecided
Change Research August 23–25, 2019 1,008 ± 3.1% 44% 45% –
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Shannon
Liss-Riordan (D)		 Charlie
Baker (R)		 Undecided
Change Research August 23–25, 2019 1,008 ± 3.1% 35% 54% –
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Joe
Kennedy III (D)		 Charlie
Baker (R)		 Undecided
Change Research August 23–25, 2019 1,008 ± 3.1% 49% 41% –
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Steve
Pemberton (D)		 Charlie
Baker (R)		 Undecided
Change Research August 23–25, 2019 1,008 ± 3.1% 31% 56% –

Results
United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic TBD
Republican TBD
Independent Frederick Mayock
Total votes 100.0%

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Another candidate" with 4%
  3. "Refused" with 1%

References
  1. https://www.sec.state.ma.us/CalendarWeb/Pages/MonthWeekCalendar.aspx
  2. "Joe Kennedy Officially Announces Decision To Run For US Senate". WBZ-TV. Retrieved September 25, 2019.
  3. "2020 State Primary Candidates". Massachusetts Secretary of State. Massachusetts State Primary Candidate Lists. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
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Official campaign websites
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