2020 United States Senate election in Alaska

The 2020 United States Senate election in Alaska will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan is running for reelection to a second term in office.

2020 United States Senate election in Alaska
November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Dan Sullivan
Party Republican TBA
Incumbent U.S. senator

Dan Sullivan
Republican
Elections in Alaska

Both primaries will take place on August 18, 2020.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Presumptive nominee

Withdrawn

Endorsements
Dan Sullivan
U.S. federal officials

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Sullivan (incumbent)
Total votes 100.00%

Democratic-Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination. In October 2017, the Alaska Democratic Party sued for the right to allow non-Democrats to compete for and win the Democratic nomination, which was ultimately decided in their favor in April 2018.[6]

Democratic Candidates

Declared

Disqualified from the ballot

Withdrawn
  • David Darden (Independent), nonpartisan candidate for Anchorage Assembly District 3 Seat E in a 2018 special election[4]

Alaskan Independence Candidates

Declared
  • John Howe (Alaskan Independence)[4]

Endorsements
Al Gross
State officials
Organizations
Individuals
  • Bella Hammond, former First Lady of Alaska (1974-1982) (passed away in February 2020)[32]
  • Derek Redd, Anchorage Democrats president[33]
  • Andrew Yang, 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[34]

Primary results
Primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Edgar Blatchford
Independent Chris Cumings
Independent Al Gross
Alaskan Independence John Howe
Total votes 100.00%

Other candidates

Green Party

Nominee

Independents

Declared

Withdrawn
  • David Matheny, wildfire technician[37][38]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[39] Likely R June 18, 2020
Inside Elections[40] Safe R April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] Likely R April 30, 2020
Daily Kos[42] Safe R June 4, 2020
Politico[43] Likely R April 19, 2020
RCP[44] Safe R June 25, 2020
Niskanen[45] Safe R April 28, 2020

Polling
Hypothetical polling
with Forrest Dunbar
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Dan
Sullivan (R)		 Forrest
Dunbar (D)		 Undecided
Patinkin Research Strategies May 28 – Jun 4, 2019 1,000 – 39% 39% 22%
with Forrest Dunbar as an independent
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Dan
Sullivan (R)		 Forrest
Dunbar (I)		 Undecided
Patinkin Research Strategies May 28 – Jun 4, 2019 1,000 – 42% 40% 19%

Results
United States Senate election in Alaska, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Dan Sullivan (incumbent)
TBA TBA
Alaskan Independence John Howe
Green Jed Whittaker
Independent Sid Hill
Total votes 100.0%

Notes
  1. Payment of filing fee was not made prior to the deadline.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References
  1. http://www.elections.alaska.gov/Core/electioncalendar.php
  2. "SULLIVAN, DAN - Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
  3. McCue, Dan (May 1, 2020). "Center for Politics Adds Alaska to Senate Battleground Map". TheWell News. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  4. "Alaska Division of Elections". www.elections.alaska.gov. June 5, 2020. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
  5. "President Trump endorses Sullivan re-election as US senator for Alaska". KTUU. December 18, 2019. Retrieved December 30, 2019.
  6. Hertz, Nathaniel (April 4, 2018). "Independents can run in party primaries, Alaska Supreme Court says, opening door for Gov. Walker". Anchorage Daily News.
  7. "Gross announces candidacy for Alaska US Senate seat". Associated Press. June 2, 2019.
  8. "Alaska - Senate". FEC. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
  9. Gross, Dr Al (January 7, 2020). ""Alan Gross will stand up for Alaskans. He'll be an Independent voice we can count on, not a rubber stamp. Alaskans can count on Dr. Al." - Senator Tom Begichpic.twitter.com/icxj3e8XWJ".
  10. Gross (August 1, 2019). "Tom Cashen, Former Commissioner of Labor".
  11. Gross (August 8, 2019). "Senator Johnny Ellis endorses Dr. Al Gross for Senate".
  12. Gross (July 10, 2019). ""Vic Fischer endorses dr. Al Gross for Senate!"".
  13. Gross (July 25, 2019). "Former State Rep. Les Gara endorses Al Gross for Senate".
  14. Gross (September 9, 2019). "Former Senator Berta Gardner endorses Dr. Al Gross for Senate!".
  15. "Sen. Elvi Gray-Jackson endorses Dr. Al Gross for Senate!".
  16. Gross (July 19, 2019). "Sara Hannan, state representative".
  17. Gross (November 4, 2019). "Sen. Kawasaki endorses dr. Al Gross for Senate".
  18. Gross (July 11, 2019). "Al's commitment to Alaska is unparalleled and his vision for solutions gives me hope. I'm all in".
  19. Gross (April 7, 2020). "Sen. Donny Olson endorses DR. Al Gross for Senate!".
  20. Gross (July 22, 2019). "Joe Paskvan, Former State Senator".
  21. "Endorsed Candidates — 314actionfund". 314 Action. Retrieved 27 November 2019.
  22. https://akcenter.org/elections/endorsed-candidates/
  23. Quinn, Steve (October 11, 2019). "Alaska Democratic Party backs Gross for US Senate". KTVA. Retrieved October 14, 2019.
  24. https://cwa-union.org/news/releases/communications-workers-of-america-endorses-al-gross-ak-for-us-senate
  25. "DUH/PEP website". duh4all.org.
  26. "DSCC Endorses Dr. Al Gross in Alaska Senate Race". DSCC. December 3, 2019.
  27. Muller, Tiffany (January 21, 2020). "End Citizens United Endorses 39 Candidates 10 Years After Citizens United Decision". End Citizens United.
  28. Gross (September 6, 2019). "IUPAT endorse Dr. Al Gross for U.S. Senate!".
  29. https://donate.jstreetpac.org/candidate/al-gross-ak-sen/
  30. https://www.aaos.org/aaosnow/2019/oct/advocacy/advocacy02/
  31. "2020 Endorsements". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org.
  32. Gross (July 15, 2019). "Former Alaska First Lady Bella Hammond endorses Dr. Gross for Senate!".
  33. Gross (October 4, 2019). "Anchorage Democrats President Derek Reed endorsed Dr. Al Gross for Senate!".
  34. [https: https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1229776202698809344?s=20 https: https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1229776202698809344?s=20] Check |url= value (help). Missing or empty |title= (help)
  35. "ALASKA". Politics1. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
  36. "November 3, 2020 General Election Candidate List". www.elections.alaska.gov. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
  37. Downing, Suzanne (May 11, 2019). "Sen. Sullivan has his first challenger: a Bernie supporter". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  38. "IDENTIFICATION NUMBER: C00705293" (PDF). FEC. May 29, 2019. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
  39. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  40. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  41. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  42. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  43. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  44. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  45. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
Official campaign websites
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