2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey

The 2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] New Jersey voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey
November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence TBA
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

 Elected President

TBA

Elections in New Jersey

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the state's primary elections were postponed until July 7, 2020. By that time, incumbent President Donald Trump of the Republican Party and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democratic Party had already clinched enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees of their respective parties. Chris Christie, the former governor of New Jersey and Republican primary candidate in 2016 declined to run against Trump. Phil Murphy, the current governor of New Jersey, also declined to run in the Democratic presidential primary.[3] Cory Booker, one of New Jersey's current senators, ran for the presidential bid but has since suspended his presidential campaign.[4]

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for June 2, 2020. In April, they were moved to July 7 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[5] On May 15, 2020, Governor Phil Murphy signed an executive order declaring that the primary election to become a primarily vote-by-mail election. Democratic and Republican voters will automatically receive a vote-by-mail ballot while unaffiliated and inactive voters will get a vote-by-mail application. Unaffiliated voters must declare their party in the application and send in to their respective county board of elections in order to vote and receive their primary election ballot. A limited number of polling stations in each county will be available on primary day for those who prefer to vote in person (including with provisional ballots if they're unable to obtain one) and for voters with disabilities.[6]

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary. The state has 49 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[7]

Democratic primary
2020 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)
Total 100.00% 107

Green primary
New Jersey Green Party presidential primary, May 2, 2020[8]
Candidate Votes Percentage[lower-alpha 1] National delegates
Howie Hawkins 44 78.6% 5
Dario Hunter 4 7.1% 0
Jesse Ventura 3 5.4% 0
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry 2 3.6% 0
Bernie Sanders 2 3.6% 0
Kent Mesplay 1 1.8% 0
Susan Buchser-Lochocki 0 0% 0
Dennis Lambert 0 0% 0
Chad Wilson 0 0% 0
David Rolde 0 0% 0
Total 56 100.00% 5

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Safe D June 19, 2020
Inside Elections[10] Safe D April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe D June 25, 2020
Politico[12] Safe D April 19, 2020
RCP[13] Likely D June 22, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D March 24, 2020
CNN[15] Safe D June 25, 2020
JHK Forecasts[16] Safe D June 27, 2020

Polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
Quinnipiac Apr 30-May 4, 2020 941 (RV) ± 3.2% 35% 54% 3%[lower-alpha 2] 8%
Rutgers-Eagleton Apr 22 - May 2, 2020 689 (RV) ± 4.2% 33% 56% 5%[lower-alpha 3] 7%
Monmouth University April 16–19, 2020 635 (RV) ± 3.9% 38% 54% 2% 6%
Fairleigh Dickinson University Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) – 35% 53% – –
Former candidates
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) – 36% 53% – –
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) – 36% 50% – –
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) – 32% 56% – –
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) – 36% 48% – –
Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University Feb 12–16, 2020 715 (RV) – 36% 47% – –

Notes
  1. This primary was conducted under a system in which each person could cast a vote for more than one candidate, therefore percentages reflect the percentage of voters that approved of each candidate, and as a result do not add up to 100%.
  2. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
  3. "Neither" with 4%; "someone else" with 1%
Partisan clients

    See also

    References
    1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
    2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
    3. Brodesser-Akner, Claude (July 5, 2018). "Is Phil Murphy already running for president? Experts say take a look at the signs". NJ.com. Retrieved July 5, 2018.
    4. Detrow, Scott (1 February 2019). "Cory Booker Makes It Official: He's Running For President In 2020". NPR. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
    5. "New Jersey moves primary elections to July". The Hill. April 8, 2020.
    6. https://www.nj.com/coronavirus/2020/05/njs-july-7-primary-election-will-be-mostly-vote-by-mail-during-coronavirus-pandemic-murphy-says.html
    7. "New Jersey Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
    8. "2020 Convention - [Part 1] Public Office Voting Results". Twitter. Retrieved 9 May 2020.
    9. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
    10. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
    11. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
    12. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
    13. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
    14. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
    15. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
    16. "JHK Forecasts » 2020 President". JHK Forecasts. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
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